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Victoria · Thursday 19 February 2026

Pakenham tips and results

Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail Out 9m Entire CircuitFinePakenham track guide ›
Top pick won4/757%
Any tip won6/786%
Top pick placed5/771%
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R1

Ladbrokes Mega Multi Mdn Plate

17:45 local1400mMaiden$45,000
Winner7. SeychellesSP $8.00
★ Top pick6th
6Privateer

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.40 · Ben Melham

The addition of blinkers and Ben Melham's booking suggests stable confidence in breakthrough performance. Her strong finishing ability suits the likely moderate-fast tempo.

2nd pickWon
7Seychelles

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · Jordan Childs

The significant class drop to maiden level, combined with the inside barrier draw, provides strong winning chances despite the first-up assignment. Her proven ability at higher levels gives her a clear class edge.

3rd pick4th
8Silent Answer

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Lachlan Neindorf

Silent Answer showed promise with a close second at Geelong over a similar distance and returns with blinkers for the first time. The Neindorf/Stokes combination has a solid strike rate, and her proven ability at the distance gives her strong each-way claims despite the wide draw.

Value pick7th
1All Too Single

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Craig Newitt

  1. 1st7SeychellesJordan Childs$8.00
  2. 2nd5OttolenghiBeau Mertens$3.80
  3. 3rd2Carry TradeCeline Gaudray$8.00
  4. 4th8Silent AnswerLachlan Neindorf$9.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Seychelles2Jordan ChildsP G Moody & Katherine Coleman57kg$8.00
2nd5Ottolenghi3Beau MertensT Busuttin & N Young57kg$3.80
3rd2Carry Trade1Celine GaudrayLiam Howley57kg$8.00
4th8Silent Answer10Lachlan NeindorfP Stokes57kg$9.00
5th3Dolce Carolina7Zac SpainP G Moody & Katherine Coleman57kg$12.00
6th6Privateer5Ben MelhamM Price & M Kent Jnr57kg$3.40
7th1All Too Single4Craig NewittG Eurell57kg$8.00
8th10Thinking Positive6Jason MaskiellPeter Gelagotis57kg$26.00
9th11Tinuviel8Luke CartwrightP G Moody & Katherine Coleman57kg$21.00
10th4Lady Of Soul11Remi TremsalD Binaisse57kg$101.00
Scr9So Enchanting9Luke CurrieT & C McEvoy57kg
R2

9mile Fresh Mdn Plate

18:15 local1400mMaiden$45,000
Winner5. Light MovesSP $2.90
★ Top pickWon
5Light Moves

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.90 · Ben Melham

The addition of blinkers first time should sharpen his focus, while Ben Melham's excellent recent form (30% strike rate) adds confidence. As a Zoustar colt, he has the breeding to improve significantly second-up.

2nd pick2nd
9Talkin' Stern

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · John Allen

Talkin' Stern brings valuable track experience from his recent 4th at Pakenham and the booking of John Allen suggests stable confidence. The Astern gelding should appreciate the step up to 1400m and can improve with race fitness. The wide draw is concerning but Allen's tactical skills can overcome it.

Value pick10th
3Southern Sunshine

Our price $10.00 · SP $17.00 · Ben Allen

Southern Sunshine represents the classic maiden mystery with no form guide but positive indicators. Ben Allen's excellent recent form (25% strike rate) and the gear changes suggest stable confidence.

  1. 1st5Light MovesBen Melham$2.90
  2. 2nd9Talkin' SternJohn Allen$6.00
  3. 3rd6Mr MargolinThomas Stockdale$15.00
  4. 4th8Power PlayedJye McNeil$11.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Light Moves8Ben MelhamM Price & M Kent Jnr59kg$2.90
2nd9Talkin' Stern14John AllenGavin Bedggood59kg$6.00
3rd6Mr Margolin11Thomas StockdaleG Eurell59kg$15.00
4th8Power Played1Jye McNeilAlexander Rae59kg$11.00
5th2San Pueblo9Melea CastleMarcus Fahler59.5kg$31.00
6th4Ballistic Romeo7Jamie MelhamJason Warren59kg$4.80
7th13Clansman4Jamie MottJ F Moloney59kg$8.00
8th1Bjarne2Patrick MoloneyR D Griffiths59.5kg$12.00
9th12Rose Velvet13Ben KennedyShannon Roughan57.5kg$51.00
10th3Southern Sunshine3Ben AllenMitchell Leek59.5kg$17.00
11th15Gypsy Roma16Chris Diplock57.5kg$151.00
12th10Which Floor6Jake NoonanA & J Williams59kg$61.00
Scr7On The Loose12Beau MertensG Eurell59kg
Scr11Hurry Up Poppy10Ruby LamontM C Kent53.5kg
Scr14Redcloud15M Price & M Kent Jnr59kg
Scr16Wombat5Rhys Mc LeodJarrod Robinson59kg
R3

Beraldo Coffee Mdn Plate

18:45 local1600mMaiden$45,000
Winner2. Mr IndependentSP $2.40
★ Top pickWon
2Mr Independent

Our price $2.20 · SP $2.40 · Beau Mertens

His form shows clear upward trajectory with each start, and the distance suits his racing pattern.

2nd pick2nd
6Butterscotch

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.40 · Craig Williams

Her third placing at Sandown over 1600m demonstrates clear suitability for today's conditions. The elite jockey booking suggests stable confidence, and her form pattern shows improvement despite being winless.

3rd pickScratched
10Stand My Ground

Our price $6.50 · Jamie Melham

Stand My Ground returns fresh from a 139-day spell with blinkers applied for the first time, suggesting connections expect improvement. The fresh condition and gear change provide upside in a race lacking standout chances.

Value pick5th
8Detroit Dreaming

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Rose Hammond

Her consistent form includes two placings from four starts, and the light weight provides a significant advantage.

  1. 1st2Mr IndependentBeau Mertens$2.40
  2. 2nd6ButterscotchCraig Williams$3.40
  3. 3rd4ShotaroJamie Mott$10.00
  4. 4th9SkydreamJohn Allen$10.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Mr Independent5Beau MertensJulius Sandhu59kg$2.40
2nd6Butterscotch6Craig WilliamsP G Moody & Katherine Coleman57.5kg$3.40
3rd4Shotaro7Jamie MottT Busuttin & N Young59kg$10.00
4th9Skydream4John AllenMitchell Freedman57kg$10.00
5th8Detroit Dreaming2Rose HammondG Eurell54kg$13.00
6th1Ardashir3Ben AllenC Maher59.5kg$7.00
7th3Saint Louis Blue1Thomas StockdaleM Price & M Kent Jnr59kg$19.00
8th7Gigantor8Ben KennedyM Krikas57.5kg$151.00
Scr5Vallo10Nadia DanielsBill Papazaharoudakis56kg
Scr10Stand My Ground9Jamie MelhamMarc Chevalier57kg
R4

Superior Food Services (Bm66)

19:15 local1000mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner6. Trapper JohnSP $1.60
★ Top pickWon
6Trapper John

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.60 · Ben Melham

The Ben Melham booking and willingness to step up significantly in class indicates genuine stable confidence. His inside barrier provides a crucial advantage on Pakenham's synthetic surface where leaders are favoured in 1000m races.

2nd pick2nd
2Viasain

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Jamie Mott

The addition of blinkers and proven jockey/trainer combination provides confidence despite the wide barrier draw.

3rd pick5th
5La Roux

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Lachlan Neindorf

La Roux brings impressive credentials with an unbeaten record at 1000m and strong second-up performance. The significant class drop from Listed company provides a major advantage, while her distance specialization makes her a strong each-way proposition.

Value pick6th
8Barari

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Jamie Melham

Barari represents excellent value given her strong first-up record and significant class drop. The extended spell may have benefited her despite fitness concerns.

  1. 1st6Trapper JohnBen Melham$1.60
  2. 2nd2ViasainJamie Mott$9.00
  3. 3rd3VolatileLuke Cartwright$41.00
  4. 4th7Fully CalculatedJackson Radley$20.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Trapper John2Ben MelhamC W McDonald59kg$1.60
2nd2Viasain6Jamie MottJohn McArdle59.5kg$9.00
3rd3Volatile8Luke CartwrightMs L Tolson & Ms L Proctor59.5kg$41.00
4th7Fully Calculated1Jackson RadleyBen, Will & Jd Hayes55.5kg$20.00
5th5La Roux5Lachlan NeindorfP Stokes59kg$7.50
6th8Barari4Jamie MelhamC Maher55.5kg$5.50
7th1Nation State7Dylan DeanJ F Moloney59kg$13.00
Scr4Epic Centre3Thomas StockdaleAnnalise Maragos59kg
R5

Trusteel Fabrications (Bm62)

19:45 local1200mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner5. KokakoSP $2.80
★ Top pickWon
5Kokako

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.80 · Jamie Melham

Kokako presents as the standout selection with an exceptional first-up record and ideal positioning from barrier 2. The mare's 67% first-up strike rate and 80% overall place rate demonstrate remarkable consistency. Her previous Pakenham form (2nd) and proven Good track ability align perfectly with today's conditions. The 131-day break is offset by her fresh-up prowess.

2nd pick3rd
1Allinthetiming

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Billy Egan

His Good track dominance (67% strike rate) and second-up positioning suggest he's primed for another strong showing. The wide barrier is concerning on Pakenham's synthetic surface, but his recent winning form and class rise trajectory make him a compelling overlay chance.

Value pick9th
9Stormbourg

Our price $12.00 · SP $10.00 · Ryan Houston

  1. 1st5KokakoJamie Melham$2.80
  2. 2nd2DamehoodEthan Brown$2.90
  3. 3rd1AllinthetimingBilly Egan$13.00
  4. 4th6MigliorareCeline Gaudray$9.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Kokako2Jamie MelhamLloyd Kennewell60.5kg$2.80
2nd2Damehood5Ethan BrownC Maher61.5kg$2.90
3rd1Allinthetiming9Billy EganPatrick & Michelle Payne61.5kg$13.00
4th6Migliorare6Celine GaudrayBen, Will & Jd Hayes60kg$9.00
5th3Bossy Star10Jake NoonanM M Laurie60.5kg$17.00
6th10Shidan7Emily PozmanAdele Garraway56.5kg$31.00
7th7Karasmatic1Ben AllenBen, Will & Jd Hayes59kg$11.00
8th8Snappy Beau8Jason MaskiellMs D Chapman59kg$31.00
9th9Stormbourg3Ryan HoustonJ F Moloney57.5kg$10.00
Scr4Fly By Light4Ben MelhamC W McDonald60.5kg
Scr11Pietro Road11Teodore NugentM, W & J Hawkes58kg
Scr12Stahnado12Sam KennedyJohn McArdle54kg
R6

Ray White Pakenham & Officer (Bm66)

20:15 local1400mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner5. Mount SabyinyoSP $5.00
★ Top pick3rd
3Insain Harry

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.90 · Ben Allen

The class rise is a concern, but his raw ability and current trajectory suggest he can handle the step up.

2nd pick5th
2Stay Silent

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.70 · Ethan Brown

Stay Silent brings strong credentials as a last-start winner dropping in class. The class drop from previous campaigns gives him a significant advantage, though the wide barrier and top weight present challenges.

3rd pickWon
5Mount Sabyinyo

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Jamie Mott

The class rise is significant, but his raw ability and quality connections suggest he can handle the step up with natural improvement expected.

Value pick2nd
6The Flying Popov

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Ben Melham

The class rise from maiden level is the main concern, but his raw ability suggests he can handle the step up and offers strong each-way value.

  1. 1st5Mount SabyinyoJamie Mott$5.00
  2. 2nd6The Flying PopovBen Melham$11.00
  3. 3rd3Insain HarryBen Allen$2.90
  4. 4th1MasterfulRose Hammond$12.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Mount Sabyinyo1Jamie MottT Busuttin & N Young57.5kg$5.00
2nd6The Flying Popov5Ben MelhamC J Waller57.5kg$11.00
3rd3Insain Harry7Ben AllenL & T Corstens & W Larkin60kg$2.90
4th1Masterful3Rose HammondE Jusufovic59kg$12.00
5th2Stay Silent6Ethan BrownC Maher60.5kg$3.70
6th4Snappy Secret9Jason MaskiellMs D Chapman58kg$31.00
7th8You Never Can Tell4Lachlan NeindorfG Eurell57kg$26.00
8th9Chartwell House8Liana WoodJack Laing51kg$101.00
9th7Axiom2Thomas StockdaleGavin Bedggood57kg$7.00
10th10Rushford10Sally WynneMs N Shelton55kg$151.00
R7

Stables Plus Hcp (62)

20:45 local2000mRestricted 62$40,000
Winner1. MickidabeelSP $26.00
★ Top pick5th
2Mr Bannock

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.85 · Daniel Stackhouse

Two consecutive seconds, including a narrow defeat at Sandown-Hillside, demonstrate current fitness and ability. The Hayes stable booking of Stackhouse adds confidence despite the class rise.

2nd pick8th
7Flaming Moon

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Craig Newitt

The good barrier draw provides tactical flexibility, though the class rise presents the main concern.

3rd pick7th
11Quite The Lass

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.00 · Jye McNeil

Quite The Lass brings proven Pakenham form with a recent third over this distance. The wide draw is concerning, but her track familiarity and current form make her a genuine place chance.

Value pick10th
6Crossoverkid

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Ben Allen

Crossoverkid represents solid value as a second-up runner with proven distance ability. His recent Cranbourne fourth was encouraging, and the reapplication of winkers suggests connections expect improvement. The 2000m distance suits his staying style, and second-up statistics show promise despite the class challenge.

  1. 1st1MickidabeelKoby Jennings$26.00
  2. 2nd4Diggers AimJamie Mott$13.00
  3. 3rd10ConvoJohn Allen$7.00
  4. 4th9AlmagoJordyn Weatherley$31.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Mickidabeel1Koby JenningsAaron Laing59.5kg$26.00
2nd4Diggers Aim5Jamie MottT Rogers59kg$13.00
3rd10Convo14John AllenC Maher57kg$7.00
4th9Almago6Jordyn WeatherleyM C Kent55kg$31.00
5th2Mr Bannock12Daniel StackhouseBen, Will & Jd Hayes59.5kg$1.85
6th5Akitu10Jason MaskiellJoanne Mugavin58.5kg$41.00
7th11Quite The Lass13Jye McNeilReece Goodwin57kg$12.00
8th7Flaming Moon3Craig NewittEdward Cummings58kg$21.00
9th13Gymkhana4Ben KennedyAngus Townley58kg$41.00
10th6Crossoverkid9Ben AllenAndrew Payne58kg$5.50
11th8Kokonotsu11Teodore NugentThomas Carberry58kg$51.00
12th12Towntotown7Jake NoonanJulius Sandhu56.5kg$51.00
Scr3Bertrand15T & C McEvoy59kg
Scr14King Ben8M J Mehegan56kg
Scr15Vizie2Chris Calthorpe58kg

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