Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Hong Kong · Wednesday 11 March 2026
Our top pick won 0 of 9 races at Happy Valley. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Macanese Master stands out with a perfect record at this track and distance, winning both previous attempts including his last start victory here. The combination of track specialization and recent winning form makes him the logical choice despite the wide draw.
His extensive Happy Valley experience (25 starts) and solid record at 1000m provides confidence. The good barrier draw and consistent recent efforts make him a strong each-way proposition despite his advancing years.
Jerry Chau's excellent recent form (25% strike rate) adds confidence.
Nebraskan offers value with his excellent 1000m record (2 wins from 3 starts) and recent placing at this track. The Size stable provides confidence and his distance record is superior to most rivals.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Elegant Life | 9 | Luke Ferraris | C Fownes | 61kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Macanese Master | 11 | Angus Chung | Y S Tsui | 56.5kg | $5.30 |
| 3rd | 6 | King Alloy | 12 | Richard Kingscote | K H Ting | 59.5kg | $6.30 |
| 4th | 8 | Always My Folks | 8 | Zac Purton | C S Shum | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Robot Knight | 7 | Karis Teetan | K L Man | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Modest Gentleman | 5 | Matthew L Chadwick | C H Yip | 53.5kg | $6.20 |
| 7th | 5 | Spicy Spangle | 6 | Hugh Bowman | W K Mo | 60kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 4 | Nebraskan | 4 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | J J Size | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Happydearhappydeer | 1 | Alexis Badel | A S Cruz | 60.5kg | $19.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Camp Fire | 10 | Keith Yeung | D Whyte | 52kg | $78.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Sportic Warrior | 2 | Dylan Mo | C W Chang | 53kg | $141.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Island Breezes | 3 | Jerry Chau | P C Ng | 59.5kg | $7.80 |
| 13 | Glorious Ryder | 13 | D Eustace | 61kg | |||
| 14 | Triumphant Warrior | 14 | J W Richards | 58.5kg |
The gelding has shown consistent improvement through recent starts, highlighted by a solid fourth placing last start. While still a maiden, the upward trajectory and quality connections suggest he's ready to break through.
The barrier 1 position is crucial at Happy Valley, and the gelding has proven class credentials.
Lucky Mcqueen offers solid each-way value with consistent recent form including two placings. The wide barrier is a concern at Happy Valley, but his consistent form pattern and light weight provide compensation. An each-way proposition given his reliable placing record.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Lucky Mcqueen | 10 | Matthew Poon | W K Mo | 55.5kg | $5.90 |
| 2nd | 6 | Smart Fighter | 6 | Alexis Badel | P F Yiu | 56kg | $25.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | The Heir | 1 | James Orman | C Fownes | 58.5kg | $2.20 |
| 4th | 1 | Joker Orbit | 9 | Hugh Bowman | C S Shum | 61kg | $38.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Viva Firecracker | 8 | Matthew L Chadwick | A S Cruz | 55.5kg | $6.90 |
| 6th | 4 | King Glorioso | 12 | Brenton Avdulla | D Whyte | 56.5kg | $23.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Fashion Legend | 2 | Luke Ferraris | D Eustace | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Lean Master | 3 | Harry Bentley | C H Yip | 55kg | $9.40 |
| 9th | 12 | Noble Fans | 11 | Andrea Atzeni | J J Size | 52.5kg | $66.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Supreme Feeling | 5 | Keith Yeung | D A Hayes | 56kg | $37.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Blazing Beam | 7 | Richard Kingscote | K H Ting | 55kg | $24.00 |
| 5 | Sky Phoenix | 4 | Karis Teetan | Brett Crawford | 56kg | ||
| 13 | Giddy Up | 13 | J W Richards | 53kg | |||
| 14 | Happy Brethren | 14 | K W Lui | 58kg |
Amazing Award presents as the most reliable winning chance with a strong Happy Valley record of 2 wins and 3 placings from 17 starts. His recent second at this track over this distance shows he's in peak form, and the drop to 58kg suits perfectly.
Fortune Star comes off a convincing win at this track and distance, showing he's perfectly suited to Happy Valley conditions. His record of 1 win and 3 placings from 7 starts here is excellent, and the Ferraris/Newnham combination has been successful. The wide barrier is a concern but his proven ability to handle this track makes him a strong each-way chance.
The Badel booking indicates stable confidence, and fresh horses can often improve sharply at Happy Valley.
His recent third suggests he's finding form again, and his experience at this track is invaluable.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Golden Brilliant | 9 | Alexis Badel | C Fownes | 54.5kg | $8.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Star Elegance | 7 | Derek Leung | D Whyte | 56kg | $40.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Winning Data | 8 | Karis Teetan | P F Yiu | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Amazing Award | 6 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | D Eustace | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 3 | Harmony Galaxy | 1 | Hugh Bowman | C S Shum | 60.5kg | $7.80 |
| 6th | 6 | The Azure | 5 | Matthew Poon | F C Lor | 58kg | $9.60 |
| 7th | 4 | Fortune Star | 12 | Luke Ferraris | Mark Newnham | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Stellar Swift | 2 | Harry Bentley | D A Hayes | 61kg | $5.00 |
| 9th | 7 | To Infinity | 10 | James Orman | J W Richards | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Diriya | 3 | Lyle Hewitson | C H Yip | 53.5kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Wave Garden | 4 | Richard Kingscote | K H Ting | 55kg | $29.00 |
| 12th | 1 | King Of Selection | 11 | Jerry Chau | W K Mo | 60kg | $85.00 |
| 13 | Blossomy | 13 | K L Man | 58.5kg | |||
| 14 | Fortune Supernova | 14 | K H Ting | 56.5kg |
Run Run Timing presents excellent value as the form pick after winning his last start over this distance in strong time. The class drop from his previous campaign, combined with the crucial barrier 1 draw at Happy Valley's tight circuit, positions him perfectly.
Vivacious Win has been knocking on the door with two recent runner-up finishes at this exact track and distance. The return to blinkers and light weight allocation provide additional advantages, though the wide draw presents a challenge in this tight Happy Valley field.
Absolute Awakened brings proven credentials with a win at this exact track and distance. Despite recent form concerns, the Zac Purton booking and good barrier draw provide tactical advantages.
Dashing Maurison represents excellent value dropping significantly in class after competing in Group and Open company.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Win Method | 5 | Lyle Hewitson | C S Shum | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Run Run Timing | 1 | Richard Kingscote | P F Yiu | 53.5kg | $2.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Romantic Laos | 9 | Jerry Chau | W K Mo | 60kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Vivacious Win | 12 | Karis Teetan | D Eustace | 55kg | $5.70 |
| 5th | 3 | Celtic Times | 3 | Derek Leung | K L Man | 59kg | $37.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Dashing Maurison | 11 | Harry Bentley | D A Hayes | 53kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Absolute Awakened | 4 | Zac Purton | F C Lor | 58.5kg | $6.90 |
| 8th | 8 | Good Luck Win | 2 | Angus Chung | K H Ting | 53.5kg | $9.80 |
| 9th | 9 | Dilbagh | 7 | Keith Yeung | D Whyte | 53.5kg | $80.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Setanta | 6 | Andrea Atzeni | Mark Newnham | 53kg | $17.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Derrynblue | 10 | Alexis Badel | C H Yip | 55.5kg | $96.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Win Ease | 8 | Hugh Bowman | K W Lui | 60.5kg | $19.00 |
| 13 | Vermilion Tempest | 13 | C Fownes | 61kg | |||
| 14 | Glorious Success | 14 | D Eustace | 60kg |
Bienvenue presents the strongest winning chance with barrier 1 being crucial at Happy Valley's tight circuit. Recent form shows improvement with a close 2nd last start, and his 9:2-4-0 track record demonstrates genuine suitability.
Jumbo Treasure offers excellent value as the main danger. The Leung partnership has proven successful, and despite the Happy Valley inexperience, his form suggests he can adapt to the tight circuit.
His consistent recent form and class drop provide strong foundations, though the Happy Valley debut and wide draw present tactical challenges that may limit his winning chances despite the quality.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Sight Hermoso | 9 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | J J Size | 58kg | $9.90 |
| 2nd | 10 | King Of Fighters | 5 | Karis Teetan | Brett Crawford | 54.5kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Jumbo Treasure | 7 | Derek Leung | W K Mo | 61kg | $7.60 |
| 4th | 8 | Igor Stravinsky | 10 | Angus Chung | A S Cruz | 54.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 1 | King Miles | 6 | Jerry Chau | K W Lui | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Bienvenue | 1 | Zac Purton | D A Hayes | 58.5kg | $2.90 |
| 7th | 5 | Sugar Sugar | 3 | Brenton Avdulla | C Fownes | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Prestige Always | 4 | Harry Bentley | P C Ng | 56kg | $5.40 |
| 9th | 9 | Igot | 8 | Keith Yeung | C H Yip | 55.5kg | $33.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Vulcanus | 2 | Hugh Bowman | Y S Tsui | 57kg | $29.00 |
The inside barrier draw is crucial at Happy Valley's tight circuit, and recent third placing shows current fitness. Strong jockey-trainer combination adds confidence despite modest overall strike rates.
Somelovefromabove brings proven Happy Valley success with 2 wins from 3 starts at track and distance. Recent winner status and consistent class level performance provide strong credentials, though the 36-day break raises minor fitness concerns.
Second up positioning typically improves fitness, and the inside barrier suits Happy Valley's tactical requirements despite poor track record.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Somelovefromabove | 6 | James Orman | C Fownes | 58kg | $5.20 |
| 2nd | 1 | Victor The Rapid | 4 | Jerry Chau | P C Ng | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Same To You | 5 | Lyle Hewitson | Mark Newnham | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Riding High | 11 | Alexis Badel | D Whyte | 53.5kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 8 | Happy Park | 3 | Karis Teetan | Brett Crawford | 54.5kg | $3.40 |
| 6th | 3 | Fun Elite | 2 | Derek Leung | C W Chang | 58.5kg | $6.10 |
| 7th | 7 | California Deeply | 7 | Brenton Avdulla | A S Cruz | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 5 | King Cannon | 12 | Richard Kingscote | D Eustace | 57.5kg | $82.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Starry Show | 8 | Matthew Poon | D A Hayes | 59.5kg | $157.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Up With Charm | 9 | Angus Chung | K L Man | 52.5kg | $168.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Topspin King | 1 | Vincent Ho | K W Lui | 57.5kg | $58.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Fortune Warrior | 10 | Keith Yeung | C H Yip | 52kg | $49.00 |
| 13 | The Cosmic Power | 13 | C S Shum | 57.5kg | |||
| 14 | Beauty Thunder | 14 | W K Mo | 59.5kg |
Northern Fire Ball presents as the most reliable winning chance based on proven Happy Valley form and last start victory at this exact track and distance. The inside barrier perfectly suits his tactical speed, and despite the weight rise, his track specialization and improving form trend make him the standout selection in a competitive field.
His track specialization is unmatched in the field, and Zac Purton's booking suggests stable confidence. The recent win here proves he's in form, though the barrier presents a tactical challenge that may prevent him from leading.
While he lacks Happy Valley experience, his upward trajectory and quality recent performances suggest he can handle the class rise. The consistent Hewitson partnership adds stability to the selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Team Team Folks | 7 | Vincent Ho | K H Ting | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | Forerunner | 8 | Alexis Badel | W K Mo | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Golden Empire | 2 | Luke Ferraris | Brett Crawford | 60.5kg | $8.90 |
| 4th | 2 | Northern Fire Ball | 1 | Derek Leung | C H Yip | 61kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 11 | Kiama | 5 | Andrea Atzeni | J J Size | 55.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Iconical | 4 | Matthew L Chadwick | J W Richards | 52.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Winning Money | 10 | Zac Purton | K W Lui | 58.5kg | $3.90 |
| 8th | 8 | Cheerful Wongchoy | 3 | James Orman | P C Ng | 57.5kg | $30.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Thousand Spirit | 6 | Lyle Hewitson | Mark Newnham | 60.5kg | $3.40 |
| 10th | 1 | Always Ahead | 11 | Jerry Chau | K L Man | 60kg | $113.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Flash Star | 12 | Richard Kingscote | C S Shum | 56kg | $25.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Prestige Superior | 9 | Dylan Mo | C W Chang | 60.5kg | $111.00 |
| 13 | Soaring Steed | 13 | C Fownes | 57.5kg | |||
| 14 | Master Phoenix | 14 | D Eustace | 59kg |
Spirit Of Peace presents as the most reliable winning chance with strong recent form including a close 2nd at this track last start. The inside barrier draw is crucial at Happy Valley's tight circuit, and his proven track record (1 win, 1 place from 6 starts) demonstrates suitability. While not a prolific winner, his consistent recent form and tactical advantages make him the standout selection.
Outgate comes off a convincing win at this exact track and distance, demonstrating current form and track suitability. His excellent Happy Valley record (3 wins from 16 starts) and consistent class level performance provide strong credentials. The wide barrier is a concern, but his proven ability to handle this circuit and winning momentum make him a strong each-way chance.
Meowth brings strong Happy Valley credentials with 4 placings from 6 starts at the track, including recent consistent form in Class 4. The drop back to Class 3 combined with his proven track suitability and light weight creates a solid each-way proposition. While winning ability is limited, his place consistency makes him a reliable minor placing chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Metro Power | 6 | James Orman | D A Hayes | 56kg | $7.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Ace Champion | 1 | Richard Kingscote | P C Ng | 54.5kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Meowth | 7 | Alexis Badel | W K Mo | 54.5kg | $5.10 |
| 4th | 2 | Wonder Kit | 3 | Lyle Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 60kg | $24.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Spirit Of Peace | 2 | Andrea Atzeni | J J Size | 55.5kg | $3.20 |
| 6th | 3 | Outgate | 8 | Angus Chung | A S Cruz | 56kg | $9.60 |
| 7th | 1 | Love Together | 11 | Vincent Ho | C Fownes | 61kg | $7.40 |
| 8th | 6 | Young Arrow | 4 | Derek Leung | D Whyte | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Lucky Together | 10 | Matthew L Chadwick | F C Lor | 53.5kg | $102.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Wonderstar | 5 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | Y S Tsui | 57kg | $7.30 |
| 11th | 10 | Leaping Star | 9 | Keith Yeung | D A Hayes | 53.5kg | $130.00 |
China Win presents the strongest winning chance based on recent dominant form, perfect track/distance record, and elite connections.
Enthusium offers value as a European import second up from spell with proven distance ability and significant class drop.
Another World represents solid value with consistent recent form and the significant advantage of barrier 1 at Happy Valley.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Fallon | 4 | Keith Yeung | A S Cruz | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | China Win | 3 | Zac Purton | D A Hayes | 55kg | $1.70 |
| 3rd | 4 | Keefy | 5 | Matthew Poon | F C Lor | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Le Zonda | 10 | Jerry Chau | P C Ng | 57.5kg | $52.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Highland Rahy | 6 | Lyle Hewitson | K W Lui | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Mighty Strength | 8 | Karis Teetan | P F Yiu | 54.5kg | $45.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Mister Dapper | 7 | Brenton Avdulla | D Eustace | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Another World | 1 | Vincent Ho | C H Yip | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Excellence Value | 2 | Derek Leung | W Y So | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Jumbo Legend | 9 | Hugh Bowman | C Fownes | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Enthusium | 12 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | J J Size | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 12th | 3 | La City Blanche | 11 | Harry Bentley | D Whyte | 59kg | $146.00 |
| 13 | Reliable Profit | 13 | C S Shum | 56kg | |||
| 14 | Definitive | 14 | D Eustace | 57.5kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.