Caulfield tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Jamie Melham

Furious is the highest-class winner in this field having won BM88 at Randwick over 2000m two starts back. The blinkers going on first time is a significant positive gear change from the Hawkes stable, and barrier 2 is ideal at Caulfield 2000m with the rail out 9m. His declining form trend (1st, 6th, 9th) is concerning, but the last run was on Soft 6 which doesn't suit.

Our price $10.00 · SP $7.00 · Lachlan Neindorf

Barrier 1 with the rail out 9m gives him the perfect inside passage. His poor overall strike rate (7%) is the major negative, but the moderate-fast tempo should set up his closing style.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Oh Too Good has the class credentials with a Group 3 win at Caulfield and Group 2 placings, plus an outstanding first-up record of 2 wins from 3 starts. Her Caulfield record of 1-1-1 from 3 starts is excellent. However, the massive distance drop to 1100m from her usual 1400-1600m range is a major concern with no sprint form on record. If she handles the sharp speed, her class and barrier 2 give her every chance to control the race on pace.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.20 · Jackson Radley

The blinkers being reapplied is a positive signal and his likely leading position suits the track bias. The new jockey booking adds uncertainty.

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.40 · Daniel Stackhouse

Bossy Benita is the standout form runner with a last-start Group 3 win at this exact track and distance. As a likely leader, she benefits enormously from the strong positional bias favouring front-runners. The 3.5kg weight rise to 59.5kg is the key concern, but her proven class edge and course-distance dominance make her the most likely winner.

Our price $4.00 · SP $16.00 · Jamie Mott

Barrier 2 is ideal for the 1200m chute start where inside draws gain a significant advantage. His last run over 1400m at Cranbourne was clearly the wrong trip.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Tom Madden

Wintery brings the best black-type form with her Group 3 second at Caulfield two starts back. As a likely leader, she benefits enormously from the strong positional bias favouring front-runners at this track. The last-start Flemington effort was disappointing but was a different track shape. The untested 1200m distance and top weight of 59kg are concerns, but her proven Caulfield ability and pace advantage make her a strong place contender in what should be a genuinely-run race.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Luke Currie

Her last Flemington run from barrier 13 can be forgiven, and the draw into barrier 8 places her in the favoured middle zone.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.50 · Teodore Nugent

Cat Noir has been in outstanding form over 1600m with four consecutive competitive runs including two wins. The light weight of 54.5kg provides a real edge in this field. The class rise from BM66-70 country to BM80 metro is the obvious concern, but her consistent improvement trajectory and strong distance aptitude suggest she can handle the step. Barrier 4 allows ideal midfield positioning at Caulfield.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Luke Currie

Barrier 1 at Caulfield's tight turning track is a significant advantage, allowing her to save ground throughout. With 2 wins from 3 starts at 1600m, the distance is ideal.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Jamie Melham

Barrier 6 is ideally placed in the favoured middle zone at Caulfield. The stallion chain gear suggests a forward type which suits the strong leader/on-pace bias.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Ben Melham

Milsons Point's last-start G1 failure can be forgiven given the enormous class rise. The critical factor is his likely leader position at a track where leaders have dominated recent meetings (33% win, 67% place). His Listed 2nd at Caulfield over 1000m confirms track aptitude. The step to 1200m is the key query, but Blue Point progeny typically handle the distance.

Our price $9.00 · SP $26.00 · Logan Bates

The Bates-Alderson combination boasts a strong 17% strike rate, and Bates is riding in career-best form at 30% from his last 20 rides. Barrier 8 sits perfectly in the favoured middle zone.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.25 · Jye McNeil

The significant class drop from Group 1 to Group 2 is a major positive. His likely on-pace position suits Caulfield's short straight.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.20 · Harry Coffey

Light Infantry Man brings strong recent Caulfield form with a Group 3 win and Group 2 placing at the track in his last two starts. Barrier 1 is a genuine advantage at Caulfield 1800m where the short run to the first turn penalises wide draws. The step from 1600m to 1800m is manageable given his 2400m placing.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Ben Melham

Different Gravy showed explosive improvement through spring with a Listed win at Flemington and an Open win at Caulfield over 2000m. The very fast predicted tempo suits his closing style. However, barrier 16 is a major concern at Caulfield where outside barriers have shown 0% win rate, and he's first-up from a 105-day spell with a poor fresh record. The talent is undeniable but the circumstances are challenging.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Jamie Melham

The Russian Camelot gelding has barrier 4 which is ideal at Caulfield 1600m. However, this represents an enormous class rise from Restricted 66 at Caulfield Heath to Open metro Saturday. The potential is there but the jump in grade is severe.

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · Zac Spain

First time at 1600m but his 1800m form suggests the distance will suit. The Moody stable knows how to place horses in feature races.

Our price $10.00 · SP $17.00 · Luke Cartwright

The 53kg minimum weight gives him an 8kg pull on the topweight. The very fast predicted tempo should set up for his explosive closing style.