Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New Zealand · Saturday 21 March 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 9 races at Trentham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Shacktime presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form and significant class relief. Her last-start second at Otaki was an excellent effort, and dropping from Open company to BM65 provides a crucial advantage. The forward barrier allows tactical control in what shapes as a fast tempo, and her consistent placing record suggests she's ready to break through.
Fancypants brings winning form into this assignment with his last-start victory on Heavy 8 at New Plymouth. His record on rain-affected tracks is solid, and the inside barrier draw provides tactical advantages. The 36-day gap is a concern, but his improving form pattern and distance suitability make him a strong threat.
Dazz has shown consistent improvement through the grades with two recent thirds, and his perfect soft track record is encouraging. The class rise is significant, but his last-start win and distance suitability provide confidence. The wide barrier is a concern in what appears a fast tempo scenario.
The significant spell creates fitness concerns, but her ability to perform fresh and the substantial class drop from Group level provide upside.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Shacktime | 4 | Michael Mc Nab | S A Sharrock | 57.5kg | $4.10 |
| 2nd | 4 | Fancypants | 3 | Masahiro Hashizume | B D Revell | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Kereti | 5 | Jonathan Riddell | M P Breslin | 59.5kg | $7.10 |
| 4th | 6 | Pink Gin | 2 | Kelly Myers | A W Pike | 56.5kg | $6.10 |
| 5th | 2 | Marotiri Marsta | 1 | Sarah O'Malley | B R Lammas | 59kg | $14.30 |
| 6th | 3 | Dazz | 6 | Bruno Queiroz | Kevin & Stephen Gray | 58.5kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 7 | St Kilda | 7 | Samantha Collett | C W Cole | 56kg | $5.10 |
Sir Bruce presents the strongest winning credentials with proven suitability for Trentham's 2100m test. His course record and soft track placings provide confidence, while recent form shows he's ready for this grade. The Preferment gelding's staying pedigree suits the distance, and Grylls knows him well. Despite the wide draw and weight burden, his specific track/distance experience makes him the logical choice.
Cosmic Pursuit represents the classic improver stepping up after maiden success. His narrow Matamata victory demonstrated the resolve needed for staying trips, while his soft track form provides confidence. The Zoustar gelding's pedigree suggests the 2100m will suit, and McNab's perfect record aboard indicates stable confidence. The wide barrier is concerning but his upward trajectory makes him a serious threat.
Helluvah Return offers significant each-way value based on her strong Trentham record and recent improvement. The Turn Me Loose mare has shown she handles the track's demands and her recent placings suggest a return to form.
His recent Te Aroha third indicates current wellbeing, while the inside barrier provides options in what should be a genuinely run race. The U S Navy Flag gelding's soft track experience and Doyle's current form make him a worthwhile value proposition for place returns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Helluvah Return | 8 | Elen Nicholas | G R Vile | 56.5kg | $16.60 |
| 2nd | 3 | Cosmic Pursuit | 12 | Sam McNab | A W Pike | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Kawatiri | 2 | Jim Chung | M N Eales | 56.5kg | $13.60 |
| 4th | 11 | Dark And Dusty | 7 | Samantha Collett | S Nickalls | 57kg | $9.60 |
| 5th | 8 | Ever Charm | 3 | Joe Doyle | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Taupo Dancer | 9 | Bruno Queiroz | Kevin & Stephen Gray | 58.5kg | $8.10 |
| 7th | 1 | Sir Bruce | 11 | Craig Grylls | Robbie Patterson | 60kg | $5.60 |
| 8th | 7 | Small Town Girl | 1 | Michael Mc Nab | R R Manning | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 9th | 4 | Mahoe | 4 | Toni Davies | C R Isdale | 57kg | $35.40 |
| 10th | 5 | Darren Michie | 5 | Chris Dell | J V Wallace | 58.5kg | $26.60 |
| Scr | 2 | Castle Rock | 10 | C K Ormsby | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Zackery | 6 | M N Eales | 57kg |
What You Wish For presents the strongest winning credentials with exceptional soft track form and a significant class drop. The recent Taupo victory confirms current ability, while the drop from Group company to Open level provides a crucial edge. Despite weight and barrier concerns, the form profile is superior to all rivals.
Our Jumala's outstanding Trentham record and wet track credentials make her a compelling each-way proposition. The course specialization is crucial at this venue, while recent Listed placings demonstrate she retains black-type ability. The class drop provides the perfect opportunity for redemption.
Bridal Train brings the best recent form to this contest with her narrow Otaki defeat suggesting she's ready for this class rise. Her soft track credentials and tactical speed from barrier 3 provide strong winning chances despite the step up in grade.
Who Knows offers exceptional value as a proven first up performer with outstanding wet track credentials.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Who Knows | 7 | Jonathan Riddell | N J Quinn | 58.5kg | $8.90 |
| 2nd | 1 | What You Wish For | 6 | Craig Grylls | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 60kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Bridal Train | 3 | Kelly Myers | S A Sharrock | 56.5kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 6 | Loch In Ora | 4 | Kavish Chowdhoory | S A Sharrock | 55kg | $4.70 |
| 5th | 7 | Sevenayes | 1 | Masahiro Hashizume | M P Breslin | 54kg | $10.70 |
| 6th | 3 | Sagunto | 2 | Samantha Collett | Peter & Shaun Mckay | 59.5kg | $11.10 |
| 7th | 2 | Our Jumala | 5 | Joe Doyle | Robbie Patterson | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
Roaring Bebe offers exceptional value dropping significantly in class from Hong Kong Class 4 to NZ maiden level.
Furiosa's recent Trentham victory and strong soft track record make her a genuine threat.
Sir You Can Dance offers solid each-way value with his perfect soft track record and consistent placing ability. His recent narrow defeat at Trentham and favorable draw position him well for another strong showing.
Silent Applause represents excellent value after her recent maiden victory.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Katamuku | 8 | Ryan Elliot | Samantha Logan | 58kg | $5.20 |
| 2nd | 10 | Mazino | 10 | Matthew Cartwright | S B Marsh | 56kg | $5.30 |
| 3rd | 1 | Roaring Bebe | 6 | Craig Grylls | Ben & Ryan Foote | 60kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 11 | Under Orders | 12 | Bruno Queiroz | Ms L Latta | 56kg | $18.40 |
| 5th | 8 | Furiosa | 7 | Samantha Collett | M N Eales | 56.5kg | $13.60 |
| 6th | 2 | Super Legocy | 11 | Michael Mc Nab | S B Marsh | 58.5kg | $8.80 |
| 7th | 12 | Teresa Mac | 5 | Madan Singh | Ms I Kelly | 55kg | $16.50 |
| 8th | 6 | Sir You Can Dance | 4 | Joe Doyle | C W Cole | 57kg | $8.90 |
| 9th | 9 | Silent Applause | 2 | Chris Dell | Ms L Latta | 56.5kg | $39.10 |
| 10th | 7 | Fleur De Blues | 9 | Elen Nicholas | Ms D M Harris | 55.5kg | $25.80 |
| 11th | 3 | Riomosa | 3 | Jonathan Riddell | G J Haigh | 58.5kg | $45.70 |
| Scr | 5 | Track Tester | 1 | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 58kg |
Summit Up presents the strongest winning credentials having proven himself at this exact venue and distance. His narrow victory last start demonstrates the stamina and finishing power essential for Trentham's long straight. The perfect soft track record and tactical speed from a good draw make him the logical choice despite the class rise concerns.
Flamenco brings excellent recent form and proven distance credentials to this assignment. Strong 1600m record and solid soft track form make her a genuine threat.
Esperanza brings solid recent form and proven class credentials to this contest. Her close third at Te Rapa demonstrates current fitness and ability at this level. The good barrier draw and strong jockey booking are positives, though her poor soft track record is a significant concern for today's conditions.
New Castle represents excellent value having won his last start over this exact distance on soft ground. His perfect soft track record and proven 1600m ability provide strong foundations for this assignment.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Summit Up | 4 | Ryan Elliot | Ms L E Elliot | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 7 | Flamenco | 6 | Masahiro Hashizume | M H Brooks | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Indian Pacific | 7 | Jonathan Riddell | G J Haigh | 58.5kg | $13.70 |
| 4th | 9 | Esperanza | 5 | Joe Doyle | S Ritchie & C Murray | 57kg | $4.90 |
| 5th | 6 | Rocky Marciano | 10 | Elen Nicholas | Peter & Shaun Mckay | 57.5kg | $7.20 |
| 6th | 1 | The Weapon | 9 | Bruno Queiroz | Ms S Gordon | 59.5kg | $10.20 |
| 7th | 2 | New Castle | 3 | Sam McNab | Ms M L Bradley | 57kg | $10.90 |
| 8th | 4 | Hickory Jack | 2 | Madan Singh | F J Auret | 58.5kg | $23.40 |
| 9th | 10 | Vesphire | 1 | Samantha Collett | R R Manning | 56kg | $4.80 |
| 10th | 8 | Vespacian | 8 | Toni Davies | A J Dravitzki | 55.5kg | $29.70 |
Origin Of Love stands out with proven Group/Listed credentials and excellent recent form. Her close 3rd at Ellerslie over 1500m was outstanding, and she has demonstrated course suitability with a Group 3 placing at Trentham. The filly's black-type experience gives her a significant edge in this Open grade, and the quality connections provide additional confidence despite the wide draw.
Waimea Bay brings excellent credentials with a perfect 1600m record and proven form at Trentham including a Group 3 placing. Her soft track ability and Savabeel breeding make her well-suited to today's conditions. While her last start was disappointing and the break is a concern, her previous form at this track and distance combination is compelling.
Alottago brings solid credentials with recent Listed exposure and proven soft track ability. His consistency with 5 top-3 finishes from 8 starts is appealing, and he has shown he can handle 1600m. The main concern is the jockey booking with Riddell's poor recent form, but the horse's own form suggests he can be competitive at this level.
Flashback represents excellent value despite the significant class rise. His recent maiden win and perfect 1600m record suggest he has the ability to step up. The McNab/Marsh combination is reliable, and being lightly raced, he may have untapped potential.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Origin Of Love | 9 | Craig Grylls | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 55kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 5 | Midnight Train | 6 | Erin M Leighton | R R Manning | 57kg | $15.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Alottago | 7 | Jonathan Riddell | L M Robinson | 57kg | $6.90 |
| 4th | 7 | Waimea Bay | 2 | Masahiro Hashizume | R James & R Wellwood | 55kg | $7.30 |
| 5th | 10 | Iffigive | 1 | Samantha Collett | S Nickalls | 55kg | $12.70 |
| 6th | 3 | Flashback | 8 | Michael Mc Nab | S B Marsh | 57kg | $7.30 |
| 7th | 4 | Loose Jewels | 3 | Bruno Queiroz | Kevin & Stephen Gray | 57kg | $22.30 |
| 8th | 2 | Faultless | 5 | Chris Dell | Peter & Shaun Mckay | 57kg | $22.20 |
| 9th | 9 | Sierra Leone | 4 | Kelly Myers | J W Benner | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Clara Bow | 10 | Joe Doyle | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 55kg | $17.00 |
The second up angle and strong Trentham record provide additional confidence.
Not So Unusual brings exceptional recent consistency into this class rise, with 6 top-3 finishes from her last 7 starts. Her soft track suitability and consistent performance patterns suggest she can handle the step up in grade. The good barrier draw and strong trainer combination add appeal.
His strong track record at Trentham and recent Group level placings demonstrate class, though his soft track record and wide barrier present concerns.
The significant weight advantage and strong jockey combination provide additional appeal.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Latest Model | 7 | Elen Nicholas | G R Vile | 52kg | $12.40 |
| 2nd | 7 | Freebelle | 2 | Jim Chung | Robbie Patterson | 52kg | $6.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | He's A Battler | 11 | Liam Kauri | Ms S Gordon | 53kg | $31.40 |
| 4th | 10 | Not So Unusual | 10 | Madan Singh | F J Auret | 53kg | $7.20 |
| 5th | 11 | No Plan Be | 13 | Samantha Collett | Ms M L Bradley | 53kg | $22.30 |
| 6th | 8 | Steal My Thunder | 9 | Kelly Myers | Bill Thurlow And Sam O'malley | 53kg | $15.70 |
| 7th | 13 | Shes Wondering | 5 | Sam McNab | J J Rayner | 51kg | $50.80 |
| 8th | 6 | Santa Catalina | 1 | Craig Grylls | Peter & Shaun Mckay | 54kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 4 | Donnybrook | 4 | Erin M Leighton | M P Breslin | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Trav | 12 | Masahiro Hashizume | R M Connors | 57kg | $5.90 |
| 11th | 5 | Walkinthepark | 3 | Matthew Cartwright | G R Vile | 55kg | $39.80 |
| 12th | 2 | Wolfgang | 8 | Joe Doyle | Peter & Shaun Mckay | 56kg | $5.10 |
| 13th | 12 | Trust Alone | 6 | Toni Davies | A B Bidlake | 51kg | $40.60 |
Poetic Champion presents the strongest winning chance based on his excellent second-up record and proven soft track ability. His recent dominant win at Matamata showcased his class, and the significant weight advantage of 53kg provides a crucial edge in this competitive Listed field.
Platinum Attack brings strong Group form to this class drop and boasts an outstanding Trentham record. His recent Group 3 third was solid, and the significant class reduction combined with his proven track success makes him a major threat despite soft track concerns.
Miss Jones brings a perfect Trentham record and strong winning momentum to this significant class rise. Her four consecutive wins demonstrate clear improvement, and the soft track conditions suit perfectly. The class jump is substantial, but her track record and form trajectory are compelling.
Recent Group 1 placings demonstrate he retains ability, and his excellent distance record provides confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Platinum Attack | 7 | Bruno Queiroz | Ms L Latta | 56.5kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 1 | Navigator | 1 | Ryan Elliot | C W Cole | 59kg | $7.10 |
| 3rd | 5 | Slipper Island | 8 | Michael Mc Nab | A W Pike | 53.5kg | $24.90 |
| 4th | 11 | Miss Jones | 6 | Samantha Collett | C W Cole | 53kg | $8.40 |
| 5th | 10 | Tristar | 10 | Masahiro Hashizume | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 53kg | $19.10 |
| 6th | 4 | Bold Belle | 9 | Kavish Chowdhoory | B E Newman | 53.5kg | $46.90 |
| 7th | 8 | Poetic Champion | 5 | Matthew Cartwright | A W Pike | 53kg | $3.30 |
| 8th | 7 | Oneira | 12 | Kelly Myers | C W Cole | 53kg | $28.10 |
| 9th | 6 | The Princie One | 2 | Elen Nicholas | R C Dennis | 53kg | $32.90 |
| 10th | 12 | Power Of Three | 11 | Warren Kennedy | C W Cole | 53kg | $24.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Party Rocking | 4 | Jim Chung | J G Bary | 53kg | $30.00 |
| 23rd | 3 | Tikki | 13 | Craig Grylls | Steven Prince | 55kg | $29.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Hankee Alpha | 3 | Joe Doyle | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 53kg |
Jungle Jane stands out as the most reliable winning chance based on her superior soft track credentials and consistent recent form. Her 40% win rate on soft surfaces is exceptional, and two recent placings demonstrate current fitness. The inside barrier requires tactical navigation but Queiroz knows her well and can position her for Trentham's long straight finish.
Hoorah Henry brings the strongest recent form with two consecutive wins and proven Trentham credentials. His progression through the grades has been impressive, and Collett's 40% strike rate on this horse is compelling.
Eliud offers the highest class credentials with Group race experience and an outstanding 67% win rate on wet tracks. If ready to go, his superior class and wet track dominance make him a serious threat despite the fitness concerns.
His third placing last start and distance specialization (three wins at 1400m) provide confidence, while the class drop from recent assignments is significant.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Riverplate | 6 | Chris Dell | Andrew Campbell | 59.5kg | $6.30 |
| 2nd | 9 | Dollybird | 11 | Kelly Myers | M T Dixon | 55.5kg | $11.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Eliud | 10 | Michael Mc Nab | A W Pike | 56.5kg | $7.30 |
| 4th | 3 | Hoorah Henry | 8 | Samantha Collett | Ms L Latta | 58.5kg | $7.20 |
| 5th | 5 | Delz Abeel | 9 | Sam McNab | A W Pike | 55kg | $18.30 |
| 6th | 11 | Charmer | 7 | Craig Grylls | C W Cole | 54.5kg | $8.20 |
| 7th | 8 | Anushka Shesastar | 5 | Jim Chung | J G Bary | 54.5kg | $18.60 |
| 8th | 1 | Rudyard | 3 | Elen Nicholas | Ms D C Kennedy | 59.5kg | $26.70 |
| 9th | 10 | Jungle Jane | 1 | Bruno Queiroz | Kevin & Stephen Gray | 55.5kg | $4.70 |
| 10th | 7 | Belles Fate | 2 | Joe Doyle | Robbie Patterson | 56kg | $7.80 |
| 11th | 4 | Za Spirit | 4 | Toni Davies | T R Hina | 55.5kg | $17.10 |
| Scr | 12 | La Prima Dama | 10 | Masahiro Hashizume | R James & R Wellwood | 54.5kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.
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