Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 21 March 2026
Our top pick won 0 of 5 races at Warren. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The standout selection based on significant class relief, dropping from Open company to Maiden level. The inside barrier (3) aligns perfectly with Warren's bias favoring barriers 1-6. Multiple gear changes including bubble cheeker and lugging bit suggest stable confidence in improvement. While winless, the class drop and tactical advantages make her the most likely winner.
Perfect record on Good tracks (1:0-1-0) suits today's conditions. The wide barrier is concerning given Warren's inside bias, but her tactical speed and current form make her a genuine winning chance despite the draw.
Second up from spell typically sees improvement, and his 3 from 3 record at 1000m shows clear distance preference. The recent close finish suggests he's ready to break through for his maiden win.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Still Excited | 10 | Izzy Neale | Brett Robb | 57kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 1 | Strassman | 1 | Clayton Gallagher | Ms M Harrison | 59kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 4 | Kingdom Heart | 8 | Wendy Peel | Ms S Jeffries | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Jimmy's Choice | 9 | Liam Blanch | Troy Mc Carney | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Smokin' Genie | 3 | Brooke Stower | Ms M Harrison | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 5 | Silent Drama | 7 | Kody Nestor | Gregory O'Neill | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Lollylicious | 5 | Dylan Stanley | Kylie Kennedy | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Pink Sunset | 6 | Jacob Stiff | A M Molloy | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Victorious Heart | 2 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Tuscanado | 4 | Jordan Quince | Kieren Hazelton | 54.5kg |
Her last start victory at Tottenham was impressive, and the slight class drop combined with the strong Hunt/Lundholm combination (20% strike rate) provides significant confidence. The wide barrier is a concern but her early speed should overcome this.
Press Gaze offers solid each-way value with consistent recent form including a close second at Wellington over 900m. The exact distance suits (1-1-1 record) and barrier 4 provides tactical options. The 34-day gap is a slight concern but his class and consistency make him a strong place chance.
Bring The Rain represents the classic improver stepping up in grade. His narrow maiden victory showed genuine ability and the addition of blinkers suggests connections expect improvement.
Brave Enough offers speculative value as a roughie chance. The significant class drop combined with second-up fitness and light weight creates an overlay opportunity. His recent form is poor but the veteran has shown ability at higher levels and may find this grade more suitable.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Press Gaze | 4 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Swedish Glitter | 7 | Zoe Hunt | C Lundholm | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Russian Ember | 3 | Wendy Peel | Ms S Jeffries | 60.5kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 5 | Pontoon Prince | 1 | Clayton Gallagher | C Lundholm | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 5th | 7 | Calmundi | 5 | Dylan Stanley | Kylie Kennedy | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Smart 'n' Ritzy | 8 | Brooke Stower | G R Brooker | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Brave Enough | 9 | Jacob Stiff | Ms J Clement | 53kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Bring The Rain | 2 | Liam Blanch | C Lundholm | 59kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Spotted | 6 | Kody Nestor | Kieren Hazelton | 57.5kg |
Billabong Rose drops significantly in class after winning a BM50 at Parkes over this distance in January. Despite two poor runs since, the class drop and proven ability at 1200m make her the most reliable winning chance. The inside barrier and removal of blinkers are additional positives.
The wide barrier is concerning but his early speed should overcome it.
St Roy arrives in excellent form after winning his last start at Gilgandra and placing third before that. The class drop and light weight of 54.5kg are significant advantages. His improving trajectory and recent success make him a strong each-way chance despite distance concerns.
While her 1200m record is poor, the significant weight drop to 53.5kg and good barrier position provide hope. Her October win at Narromine shows she retains ability when conditions suit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | St Roy | 6 | Jacob Stiff | Ms J Clement | 54.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Billabong Rose | 2 | Izzy Neale | Brett Thompson | 61.5kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 9 | Adviser | 1 | Brooke Stower | Ms J Clement | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Cheap Shot | 10 | Ashleigh McCabe | Ms G Williams | 61kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Fantasy Crowned | 4 | Liam Blanch | Ms J Galea | 61kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Ultra White | 5 | Nick Palmer | Dar Lunn | 53.5kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Dao Sun | 8 | Jordan Quince | Kieren Hazelton | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 5 | The Git Up | 3 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Mr Invincible | 9 | Dylan Stanley | A W Prisk | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Gettin' Tipsy | 7 | Clayton Gallagher | David J Smith | 57kg |
The narrow second at Dubbo last start shows current form, while the inside barrier suits his likely forward position. Strong trainer-jockey combination adds confidence despite the quick backup.
Friskee Frog brings the best distance credentials with 14 starts at 1200m producing consistent placings. Recent form before the spell was strong with close seconds, and blinkers removal suggests trainer confidence. The wide draw is concerning but class and distance suitability provide strong foundation.
Casterly Rock drops notably in class and adds first-time gear changes that could unlock improvement.
The return to blinkers and inside gate provide tactical advantages, while the Dubbo third suggests current ability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Friskee Frog | 9 | Jacob Stiff | Ms S Jeffries | 54kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | My Crown | 1 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 55.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Casterly Rock | 5 | Liam Blanch | C Lundholm | 60kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Call Me Terry | 3 | Zoe Hunt | C Lundholm | 58.5kg | $1.75 |
| 5th | 3 | Outlaw Annie | 6 | Brett Robb | 57kg | $13.00 | |
| 6th | 11 | Ternini | 4 | Clayton Gallagher | T J Fahey | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Geewiz Johnny | 7 | Jordan Quince | A W Prisk | 53kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Zaibatsu | 8 | Izzy Neale | Brett Thompson | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Our Celebrity | 10 | Wendy Peel | Gregory O'Neill | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Casablanca | 2 | Brooke Stower | Ms C Monaghan | 56kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Gettin' Tipsy | 3 | David J Smith | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Spotted | 4 | Kieren Hazelton | 55kg |
The rising 4YO has scope for improvement and maps to settle midfield with finishing kick.
Rothgate benefits from significant class relief and ideal barrier position. His Warren track record (1-1-0 from 2) and front-running style suit the layout. The drop from BM82 level represents a key advantage, while Clayton Gallagher's strong combination with trainer Brett Robb adds confidence.
Divine Sinner brings winning momentum from Orange and benefits from a 5.5kg weight drop to bottom weight. The barrier 2 draw provides tactical flexibility, while his recent consistency suggests he can handle the class rise. The weight relief could be decisive in a competitive field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Red Beryl | 4 | Brooke Stower | Ms J Clement | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Divine Sinner | 2 | Izzy Neale | Kieren Hazelton | 53.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Macleay | 6 | Jacob Stiff | Ms J Clement | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Flamboyant Lad | 7 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Liam Ruddy | 57kg | $2.25 |
| 5th | 3 | Rothgate | 1 | Clayton Gallagher | Brett Robb | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 5 | Medinah | 5 | Dylan Stanley | Kylie Kennedy | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Cooma Hut | 3 | Kieren Hazelton | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Bobby's Secret | 8 | Zoe Hunt | Ms M Harrison | 55kg |
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