Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Wednesday 25 March 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Mandible Magic broke through for maiden win last start at Ascot and drops significantly in class here. The recent win provides confidence boost and she maps well from barrier 5 in what shapes as a fast tempo race.
The barrier 2 draw is ideal for early positioning in what looks a fast tempo.
The William Pike booking is the standout positive, suggesting stable confidence in this first-up runner. Her maiden win came at this distance and the fresh legs after a long spell could be advantageous. However, her recent form before the spell was concerning and first-up statistics are limited.
The significant class drop and good barrier draw enhance her chances, though the jockey booking is a concern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Eternal Wine | 2 | Chris Parnham | M L Lane | 59kg | $2.05 |
| 2nd | 3 | She's Capitana | 4 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Artie's Eclipse | 3 | Ava Catarino | David Catarino | 53kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Rigatoni | 1 | Holly Nottle | Luke Fernie | 53.5kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 2 | Mandible Magic | 5 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 55kg | $5.50 |
Despite limited experience, the combination of barrier 1, elite jockey Pike, and strong stable confidence makes Free To Fly the standout. Pike's 30% recent form and the trainer/jockey combination's 19% strike rate, combined with the inside barrier bias, provides the best winning chance in this maiden field.
Blinkers first time and quality jockey booking are positive signs, though the lack of form data creates uncertainty.
Perfect track/distance record and strong recent form make this a genuine chance, though the winless record and class rise present challenges.
While winless, the filly has shown ability with multiple placings and the class relief should help.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Joyoh | 8 | Brayden Gaerth | E A Martinovich | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Free To Fly | 1 | William Pike | Simon Miller | 55kg | $2.05 |
| 3rd | 5 | Jolson Al | 4 | Chris Parnham | S & J Casey | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Kanas Mtoto | 10 | Holly Nottle | Summer Dickson | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Pipe Down Chachi | 9 | Rocky Cheung | Daniel O'Connor | 54kg | $201.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Lady Mayflower | 2 | Steven Parnham | D E Skipworth | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Finado | 6 | Keshaw Dhurun | S & J Casey | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Gokana | 3 | Lisa Staples | Ms J Mitchell | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Pilbara Song | 7 | Troy Turner | S J Ryan | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 8 | I'm Back Baby | 11 | Ava Catarino | D Miller | 53kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Admire Belle | 5 | Jason Brown | J P Taylor | 55kg | $21.00 |
His close third at Ascot last start confirms current form, and the second-up pattern suggests further improvement.
His perfect distance record and ability to perform fresh are strong positives, but the class rise and first-up assignment after a long spell create some doubt about his winning chances.
The barrier 1 draw is perfect for securing an economical run, and the recent win suggests confidence is building.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Acorn | 4 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 60kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 3 | Wiluna Lass | 2 | Holly Nottle | Josh Brown | 55.5kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 4 | Door Buster | 6 | Holly Watson | D M Luciani | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Order Online | 8 | Jordan Turner | Colin Webster Jnr | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 7 | Tawaaj | 1 | Elisha Whittington | Brett Pope | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Snip Of Romance | 5 | Luke Campbell | C G Willis | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Scenic Wings | 7 | Brayden Gaerth | Ms K Farrell | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Hidden Jewels | 3 | Joey Azzopardi | Jarrad Humphries | 56kg | $91.00 |
Truly Gallant presents as the most reliable winning chance with an excellent 1600m record (1-1-0) and consistent recent form. The gelding has been competitive at higher grades and maps perfectly from barrier 2 to secure an ideal position.
Hard Solo offers strong value as a class dropper with recent winning form.
Pony Up brings strong local knowledge with an excellent Belmont Park record and the freshness of a first-up runner. The class drop and track familiarity are significant positives, though the first-up record and wide barrier present some concerns for the win.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Pony Up | 6 | Alysha Warren | P H Jordan | 54kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 1 | Old Mate Henry | 5 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | Steele Casey | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Saxon Jewel | 10 | Holly Nottle | S & J Casey | 53kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Sky River | 1 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 52kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Run Pattie Run | 3 | Corey Sutherland | Ms R L Williams | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Hard Solo | 4 | Dakotah Keane | A W Maley | 54kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 2 | Truly Gallant | 2 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | R K Cowl | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Do It Right | 7 | Cassey Martinan | Ms J McLaughlin | 51kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Mr Bling | 8 | Jabez Johnstone | Ms D Baillie | 51kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Forbidden Apple | 9 | Chanel Cooper | Sean Rains | 52kg | $101.00 |
Two recent placings at Ascot in stronger company, now dropping significantly in class. The combination of speed, barrier advantage, and class relief makes this the most reliable winning chance despite being winless.
Pike's 24% strike rate with trainer Morton and his current 30% winning form provide strong proxy indicators.
Hillside Avenue benefits from Brad Parnham's red-hot form (30% recent strike rate) and represents a stable with first-up success. Neutral barrier allows tactical positioning in what shapes as a fast tempo race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Dixie Doo | 9 | Chris Parnham | S & J Casey | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 10 | Hillside Avenue | 7 | Brad Parnham | Simon Miller | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Axopar | 6 | Lucy F Fiore | D L Morton | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Awe Inspired | 2 | Jordan Turner | Colin Webster Jnr | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Properata | 10 | Natasha Faithfull | D & B Pearce | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 5 | All The Rage | 12 | Steven Parnham | S V Vahala | 57kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Morikawa | 5 | Lisa Staples | P H Jordan | 57kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Wild Promise | 8 | Brayden Gaerth | E A Martinovich | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Shenton Road | 4 | Luke Campbell | E A Martinovich | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Playing Solo | 13 | William Pike | D L Morton | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Firearm | 1 | Holly Nottle | T M Andrews | 55kg | $3.30 |
| 12th | 3 | Tigerland | 11 | Keshaw Dhurun | N D Parnham | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 13th | 6 | Irresistible Man | 3 | Troy Turner | A W Maley | 57kg | $151.00 |
Rally The Troops presents as the most reliable winning chance with consistent recent form including three placings from his last four starts. The significant class drop from Rest 1 Metro Win to this restricted grade, combined with the strong Pearce stable and proven jockey Holly Nottle, provides confidence. His 4 wins from 12 starts at 1400m demonstrates distance suitability, and the neutral barrier allows tactical flexibility in what shapes as a fast tempo.
Success Play offers strong each-way value with his excellent recent third at Ascot demonstrating current fitness and ability. The inside barrier draw is crucial given the track's positional bias, and his proven ability at 1400m makes him a genuine winning chance.
Housewife presents excellent each-way value as a second-up runner with a positive record in this position. The light weight of 53kg and strong good track record (3 wins from 9 starts) enhance her chances, despite the challenging barrier draw.
The inside barrier is crucial given Belmont's positional bias, while the significant class drop and light weight provide clear advantages.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Rally The Troops | 5 | Holly Nottle | D & B Pearce | 56.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 12 | Housewife | 7 | Cassey Martinan | G & A Williams | 53kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Playing Games | 4 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Meryl Hayley | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 8 | More Than Enuff | 8 | Corey Sutherland | S J Miller | 54.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Galaxy Affair | 6 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | Timothy Pike | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Manhattan Strip | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | D & B Pearce | 54kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Falcon Trader | 11 | Sharni Webster | Brett Pope | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Boab Boy | 1 | Natika Riordan | Ms R L Williams | 54.5kg | $4.60 |
| 9th | 11 | Success Play | 3 | Dakotah Keane | N D Parnham | 54kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Western Knight | 10 | Alysha Warren | B V Watkins | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Our Nemesis | 9 | Chanel Cooper | D H Hopperton | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Howdy | 6 | M G Reed | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Just Leroy | 1 | Ms J Erkelens | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Magic Whistle | 15 | Misty Bazeley | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Sparkle Corner | 14 | R K Cowl | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Reginald | 12 | Timothy Pike | 55kg |
Cheyne Bay presents as the most logical winner having won his last start in Class 3 company at Ascot and now drops significantly in class. The barrier 1 draw is ideal for Belmont's tactical nature, allowing him to secure an economical position. The class drop from Open company to Class 3 is substantial and should see him competitive despite carrying top weight.
Eternal Romance brings strong credentials having won at this exact track and distance combination. Her recent form in Open company is excellent with a close second last start, and the Lucy Fiore partnership has been successful. While the wide barrier is concerning, her proven ability at the trip and class credentials make her a genuine winning chance despite the tactical challenge.
Tahni Talk represents the improving type that can handle a class rise. This lightly raced 3-year-old showed promise with a maiden win and recent Class 1 placing.
Ahh Choux offers value as a recent maiden winner stepping up significantly in class. The 53kg weight advantage is substantial in staying races, and her barrier 5 position allows for tactical placement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Fey King | 8 | William Pike | Kieran Regan | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Cheyne Bay | 1 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | A G Durrant | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Tahni Talk | 6 | Brad Parnham | S J Miller | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 11 | Eternal Romance | 13 | Lucy F Fiore | D & B Pearce | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Royal Trooper | 3 | Steven Parnham | G J Kersley | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Royal Splendour | 7 | Chris Parnham | Raymond Vincent | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Guns Away | 9 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | Tania Burns | 55.5kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Another Nephew | 16 | Kyra Yuill | Timothy Pike | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Ahh Choux | 5 | Natika Riordan | Holly Taylor | 53kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Declared Innocent | 10 | Jason Whiting | J A Popescu | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Gold Beau | 2 | Laqdar Ramoly | Coreen Maynard | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 12th | 15 | Fulmine | 14 | Jade Mc Naught | A G Durrant | 54kg | $91.00 |
| 13th | 14 | Al Unique | 15 | Holly Nottle | G J Kersley | 53kg | $18.00 |
| 14th | 4 | Pointless Praise | 12 | Brandon Louis | John Doyle | 57.5kg | $91.00 |
| 15th | 16 | Truly Sweet | 11 | Natasha Faithfull | Brandon Fiore | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 16th | 12 | Mirrorschino | 4 | Holly Watson | Ms S Bakranich | 56kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 17 | King Of Cordoba | 14 | Darren Taylor | 54kg |
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