Her consistent placings and recent second suggest she's ready to break through.
Australian Capital Territory · Wednesday 25 March 2026
Canberra tips and results
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Canberra. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Good Friday Racing In Canberra Mdn Hcp
The combination of local trainer Richard Litt and Jason Lyon's exceptional Canberra record (60% strike rate) provides confidence.
Show Rhythm brings proven course form with a second and third from two Canberra starts. Her perfect good track record aligns with today's conditions and the inside barrier allows tactical positioning. Recent consistent form and course familiarity make her a strong place chance.
Her third here last preparation and good track record provide confidence.
- 1st8PombiaAmy Mc Lucas$10.00
- 2nd4Over The LimitOlivia Chambers$10.00
- 3rd5The Way AheadHeavelon Van Der Hoven$9.00
- 4th9Tutto FinitoJason Lyon$9.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Pombia | 5 | Amy Mc Lucas | Ms A Turner | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Over The Limit | 2 | Olivia Chambers | Ms A Turner | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | The Way Ahead | 8 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Matthew Smith | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Tutto Finito | 7 | Jason Lyon | C D Widdison | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Show Rhythm | 3 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Dancer's Delight | 4 | Winona Costin | Anthony Mountney | 59kg | $3.90 |
| 7th | 7 | Get Litt | 6 | Blaike Mc Dougall | Richard Litt | 57kg | $2.90 |
| 8th | 3 | Petomai | 1 | Jack Martin | K Dryden & L Snowden | 59kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Groundcover | 3 | J M Cleary | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Uber In | 8 | Richard Litt | 57.5kg |
John McGrath Auto Group (Bm50)
Liubov presents the strongest winning chance based on her proven ability at this exact track and distance, having won here previously. The significant class drop from BM58 to BM50 is a major positive, combined with an ideal barrier draw that should see her settle in the crucial first half of the field. Second up from a spell, she should strip fitter despite the poor fresh-up run.
However, the wide barrier and winless record create some doubt about her ability to convert.
Prophet Time offers excellent each-way value given her class credentials. She won at BM58 level in January and drops back to BM50 here, with an excellent place record at Canberra (3 placings from 13 starts). The gear changes removing tongue control equipment suggest the stable expects improvement from her disappointing last start.
The strong Budler/Potter combination (27% strike rate) and multiple gear changes suggest stable confidence in her return.
- 1st7Into The FireShaun Guymer$14.00
- 2nd2Written By LucyDamon Budler$4.00
- 3rd1Tango OnDeon Le Roux$12.00
- 4th5Baby DaisyPierre Boudvillain$13.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Into The Fire | 4 | Shaun Guymer | Scott Jamieson | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Written By Lucy | 10 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 61.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Tango On | 8 | Deon Le Roux | Claire Lever | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Baby Daisy | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | Nell Foley | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Isagura | 9 | Jack Martin | Tash Burleigh | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Bedda Mia | 11 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Anthony Mountney | 58kg | $2.70 |
| 7th | 3 | Liubov | 2 | Blaike Mc Dougall | Richard Litt | 60.5kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 9 | Jacob Joe | 3 | Amy Mc Lucas | Becky Byrne | 57.5kg | $24.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Yael's Delight | 1 | Robyn Freeman | Barry Wall | 55kg | $23.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Prophet Time | 6 | Jessica Brookes | G P Vella | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Sogeri | 7 | Zac Wadick | J Rolfe | 56.5kg | $126.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Lucky Champion | 2 | Caitlin Sinclair | J Rolfe | 52kg |
Affinity Electrical Technologies Mdn Plate
The addition of blinkers first time provides positive gear change momentum. Robyn Freeman's excellent 22% strike rate at Canberra adds significant confidence to this consistent performer who appears ready to break maiden status.
The professional Alysha Collett booking and barrier extension gear change suggest stable confidence.
Initiate presents the strongest form case with back-to-back seconds including a narrow defeat last start. The significant gear change from blinkers to visors could unlock the improvement needed for breakthrough win. Barrier 3 provides ideal tactical position at Canberra where forward settling is crucial. Strong place record indicates reliability despite maiden status.
The cross-over nose band gear change suggests trainer adjustments to improve focus. Good track condition suits and second up statistics provide confidence for significant improvement from disappointing first up performance.
- 1st7Uber InBlaike Mc Dougall$3.80
- 2nd3SamakaAlysha Collett$1.70
- 3rd1Kirwans BridgeNick Heywood$16.00
- 4th9Rebel BlazeHeavelon Van Der Hoven$19.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Uber In | 6 | Blaike Mc Dougall | Richard Litt | 57kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 3 | Samaka | 3 | Alysha Collett | Peter Snowden | 58.5kg | $1.70 |
| 3rd | 1 | Kirwans Bridge | 1 | Nick Heywood | Haylee Day | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Rebel Blaze | 7 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | G Portelli | 56.5kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Aleutian | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Brad Widdup | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Brume De Soliel | 4 | Pierre Boudvillain | K Dryden & L Snowden | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Setta Icon | 5 | Robyn Freeman | Anthony Mountney | 59kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 4 | The Champion | 8 | Jack Martin | G Portelli | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Initiate | 3 | Todd Smart | 57kg |
Thoroughbred Park Event Centre Plate (C1)
The 3YO filly's light weight and improving trajectory make her a serious threat, though the step up in class and distance presents challenges.
Luna Bay offers excellent value dropping significantly in class from Listed company. Her previous narrow second over 1600m at Hawkesbury proves distance capability, while the blinkers removal suggests trainer confidence in improved settling. Second up with a perfect record at this stage, she represents strong each-way value despite recent disappointment.
Matthew Smith's proven record with Class 1 horses, combined with Louise Day's exceptional 24% strike rate at Canberra, provides strong proxy indicators.
The Peter Snowden stable quality and Alysha Collett's solid Canberra record add confidence, making her a value proposition despite limited winning experience.
- 1st6CabbucioJean Van Overmeire$2.60
- 2nd5Canadian FlingZac Wadick$6.00
- 3rd7Luna BayShaun Guymer$6.50
- 4th10Dundeel FlyerAlysha Collett$5.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Cabbucio | 5 | Jean Van Overmeire | Joseph Ible | 55.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 5 | Canadian Fling | 9 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Luna Bay | 6 | Shaun Guymer | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 10 | Dundeel Flyer | 8 | Alysha Collett | Peter Snowden | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 2 | The Stars Align | 7 | Blaike Mc Dougall | Richard Litt | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Timeless Grace | 3 | Pierre Boudvillain | Luke Pepper | 55.5kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Via Varallo | 2 | Amy Mc Lucas | Ms A Turner | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Aerial Response | 1 | Jessica Brookes | K Dryden & L Snowden | 53kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Septimus | 4 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Unavoidable | 10 | Louise Day | Matthew Smith | 59kg | |
| Scr | 11 | My Mate Elvis | 6 | Doug Gorrel | 55kg |
TAB Federal Hcp
The barrier 1 draw is ideal for her forward racing style, and despite a disappointing last start, her proven ability at this track makes her the standout selection. The class rise is manageable given her previous form levels.
His consistent recent placings and strong Canberra record suggest he's well-suited here. The barrier 2 draw aids his racing pattern, though his inability to win at this track despite multiple attempts remains a concern.
Her outstanding distance record and proven second-up ability are strong positives. The light weight helps offset the wide barrier, though lack of Canberra experience and recent form decline are concerns.
The barrier 3 draw suits her racing style, and her soft track record is encouraging.
- 1st3UrafikiShaun Guymer$6.00
- 2nd1KeikokuJack Martin$5.50
- 3rd8Party DollQuayde Krogh$21.00
- 4th5Chasing A QuidPierre Boudvillain$4.20
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Urafiki | 1 | Shaun Guymer | Danielle Seib | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Keikoku | 2 | Jack Martin | Luke Pepper | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Party Doll | 5 | Quayde Krogh | Danielle Seib | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Chasing A Quid | 7 | Pierre Boudvillain | G P Vella | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 6 | Cyclone Rupert | 9 | Jean Van Overmeire | Luke Pepper | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 7 | Champions League | 6 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | A D Bourke | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 9 | You Wish | 3 | Coriah Keatings | Anthony Warren | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Soul Lady | 8 | Alysha Collett | J M Cleary | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Chop The Ice | 4 | Damon Budler | G P Vella | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
Tooheys Hcp (C2)
Barrier 8 is manageable for his style, and the trainer/jockey combination adds confidence to his chances.
While untested at the distance, her overall profile suggests she can be competitive at this easier level.
Unbeaten filly with impressive wins in both starts, including a dominant Class 1 victory last time. The barrier 2 draw is perfect for her forward style, and the successful jockey/trainer combination continues.
His recent win demonstrates current ability, and the gear change could unlock significant improvement.
- 1st6Common GoalShaun Guymer$3.50
- 2nd8InterroAlysha Collett$4.20
- 3rd4Walk The PierJeff Penza$6.00
- 4th3FaceoffAdam Farragher$10.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Common Goal | 7 | Shaun Guymer | Joseph Ible | 57.5kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Interro | 5 | Alysha Collett | C Maher | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 4 | Walk The Pier | 1 | Jeff Penza | Matthew Kelley | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Faceoff | 2 | Adam Farragher | Bryce Heys | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Showtime Maggie | 6 | Jean Van Overmeire | K Dryden & L Snowden | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Miss Emma | 4 | Billy Owen | Geoffrey Crothers | 60.5kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 10 | Vella Icon | 8 | Damon Budler | G P Vella | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Media Frenzy | 3 | Deon Le Roux | Luke Pepper | 55kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Party Doll | 2 | Danielle Seib | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Cruizingthestars | 2 | Pierre Boudvillain | Scott Collings | 57.5kg |
TAB Same Race Multi (Bm55)
The Maher stable excels with progressive types, making him the logical choice despite maiden status.
Take The Chance offers excellent reliability based on her recent win and consistent placing record. The last start Cowra victory demonstrated she's found her right level, and her previous 2000m form suggests distance suitability. Despite the wide draw, her tactical speed should secure a forward position.
- 1st5Awesome ArtistAdam Farragher$2.50
- 2nd6Party It DownDamon Budler$4.80
- 3rd9ShylockMathew Cahill$61.00
- 4th12CinephileRebecca Bronett Prag$17.00
Full result · 13 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Awesome Artist | 5 | Adam Farragher | C Maher | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Party It Down | 7 | Damon Budler | P J Facoory | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 9 | Shylock | 6 | Mathew Cahill | Kathryn Cahill | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Cinephile | 12 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | G G Kirkup | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Justifiably | 3 | Pierre Boudvillain | Darrell Burnet | 62kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Tavijewel | 2 | Robyn Freeman | Barry Wall | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Mr Tadashi | 4 | Billy Owen | Doug Gorrel | 61.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Ever Was | 8 | Blaike Mc Dougall | J A Steinmetz | 60kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Threw | 9 | Olivia Chambers | Ms W Haynes | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Solar Orbit | 10 | Amy Mc Lucas | Mary Bray | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Big Time Charlie | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | Luke Pepper | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Take The Chance | 11 | Jeff Penza | M C Lynch | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 13th | 13 | Radion | 13 | Coriah Keatings | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55kg | $31.00 |
Before the races, not after
Get every tip before the jump
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.