Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Northern Territory · Friday 27 March 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 6 races at Darwin. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Fly gets the crucial barrier 1 draw at a track where inside barriers dominate. Strong recent form including a close second last start, excellent track record with 3 wins from 7 starts, and proven ability under Jarrod Todd. The weight rise and class step are concerns, but the barrier advantage and track specialization make him the most likely winner.
I Loverain brings last start winning form and gets the benefit of barrier 2 at a track favoring inside draws. The weight drop to 56kg is significant, and his only previous run at track and distance resulted in victory. Class rise is the main concern, but the momentum and conditions suit.
Hell Fire Miss ran a strong second last start in higher company and drops back in class here. Good track specialist with consistent placing record, though the jockey booking raises concerns about winning chances. Better suited as an each-way proposition given placing consistency.
Rhesus offers value dropping back in class after competitive recent efforts. Strong track specialist with solid distance record, but the wide barrier is a significant negative at Fannie Bay.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Fly | 1 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 61kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 2 | Hotim English | 5 | Aaron Sweeney | Ella Clarke | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | I Loverain | 2 | Deborah Barton | Paul Shiers | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 4 | Rhesus | 6 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Hell Fire Miss | 3 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Chloe Baxter | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Funnyifitwon | 4 | Raymond Vigar | Ms T Halter | 59kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Kessler | 7 | Vanessa Arnott | Philip Cole | 59.5kg |
Strong track record at Fannie Bay with consistent placings. Well-drawn to settle forward and control the race.
Consistent placegetter who has been knocking on the door with three placings from last four starts. Well-drawn to settle forward but concerning that he's yet to win from 9 starts.
The step up in class is significant but his recent form suggests he's ready to break through. Good jockey booking and well-drawn to be competitive.
Her maiden win shows she has ability and the drop back in distance may suit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Pleasing Smile | 2 | Raymond Vigar | Philip Cole | 57.5kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Sassy Abbey | 5 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 57.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 3 | God's Eye | 3 | Aaron Sweeney | Philip Cole | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Graysville | 1 | Vanessa Arnott | Philip Cole | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Brash Lass | 4 | Hannah Le Blanc | Philip Cole | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
Rising Water presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form showing two consecutive second placings at this track.
Straya Pride offers excellent value with his outstanding track and distance record of 2 wins from 6 starts.
Miss Black Diamond brings first up credentials with a solid record fresh from a spell. Her track record shows consistent performance at Fannie Bay, and the addition of blinkers for the first time could provide the improvement needed.
The improving form trend and significant weight advantage of 50kg provide hope, though the wide barrier and maiden status present challenges.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Miss Black Diamond | 7 | Hannah Le Blanc | Tommy Logan | 60kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Straya Pride | 6 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 59kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Rising Water | 2 | Aaron Sweeney | Paul Shiers | 55kg | $2.25 |
| 4th | 7 | Tough Impact | 3 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Chris Pollard | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Mlinzi | 1 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Aqua Blue | 8 | Deborah Barton | Chris Pollard | 50kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Hell And Back | 5 | Vanessa Arnott | Chris Pollard | 61kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Danger Man | 4 | Raymond Vigar | Chris Pollard | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
Vanguard Legend presents as the most reliable winning chance with an outstanding Fannie Bay record and significant class drop.
Fury brings last start winning form at this track and distance, creating strong confidence despite the class rise. His perfect record at Fannie Bay 1200m and the strong Todd/Clarke combination provide solid foundations. The weight drop and winning momentum offset concerns about the barrier draw and class step-up.
The mare's light weight of 55kg provides a significant advantage, and her proven ability at this distance combined with a good barrier draw makes her a strong each-way chance despite the jockey's recent form concerns.
Orion The Hunter represents excellent value as a first up specialist returning from a long spell. His last start win at this track in the same class provides confidence, and the inside barrier draw is crucial at Fannie Bay. The gear changes and strong jockey form suggest connections expect improvement, making him a solid value proposition despite the extended break.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Atlantic Ocean | 2 | Deborah Barton | Paul Shiers | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 3 | Orion The Hunter | 1 | Vanessa Arnott | Jason Manning | 60kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 6 | Fury | 6 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 7 | Polarising | 4 | Hannah Le Blanc | Tommy Logan | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Vanguard Legend | 3 | Raymond Vigar | Chloe Baxter | 60.5kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 5 | Prince Ruban | 5 | Aaron Sweeney | G Clarke | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Miami Vice | 7 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
July presents the strongest winning chance based on recent BM54 victory at this exact track and distance, combined with a significant class drop from Restricted 64. The inside barrier draw is crucial at Fannie Bay, and despite carrying top weight, the class relief and proven course form make this the most reliable selection.
Carat Time offers strong each-way value first up from a spell. The gelding has an excellent Fannie Bay record and benefits from a significant class drop. Vanessa Arnott's hot recent form is a major positive, and the stable's first-up preparation should have the horse competitive despite the fitness query.
The mare has shown ability with a track win last year and benefits from Jarrod Todd's good recent form.
While the overall record is modest, the improving trend and light weight make this an attractive value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | No I'm Not | 6 | Deborah Barton | Chris Pollard | 52kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | July | 1 | Hannah Le Blanc | Chris Pollard | 60.5kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 4 | Lady Fireball | 2 | Raymond Vigar | Chris Pollard | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Carat Time | 4 | Vanessa Arnott | Jason Manning | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Barocco Bar | 3 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Patrick Johnston | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Roc De Russian | 7 | Wayne Davis | Chris Pollard | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Valkur | 5 | Jarrod Todd | Chris Pollard | 55kg | $9.50 |
Inside barrier and established connections provide additional confidence.
Well-placed second up runner dropping in class after narrow defeat last start.
Track specialist with exceptional Fannie Bay record but concerning weight burden and distance query.
Long shot with recent win confidence but facing significant class rise. Barrier 1 and light weight provide tactical advantages in fast tempo scenario.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Struck Gold | 5 | Jarrod Todd | Ella Clarke | 57kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 3 | Convincebility | 4 | Raymond Vigar | Ms T Halter | 56.5kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 1 | Wolfburn | 3 | Aaron Sweeney | G Clarke | 62.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 4 | I'm A Dreamer | 1 | Wayne Davis | Ms T Halter | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Predicting | 2 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Ms T Halter | 53.5kg | $19.00 |
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