The Bjorn Baker/Regan Bayliss combination adds significant confidence, with the jockey perfect at this track.
New South Wales · Friday 27 March 2026
Muswellbrook tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Muswellbrook. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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7 Your Home Of Horse Racing Starmaker Hcp
Another Group 3 dropout with significant class relief. Mitchell Bell's outstanding 23% strike rate at Muswellbrook is a major positive, combined with the favourable inside barrier.
A debut runner with positive stable signals through gear changes and strong local jockey booking. Ashley Morgan's excellent track record at Muswellbrook (21% strike rate) suggests stable confidence in this newcomer. The first-time ear muffs indicate preparation focus.
The barrier and lack of gear changes indicate natural ability.
- 1st5Hellenic BelleMitchell Bell$5.50
- 2nd4Better Off AloneRegan Bayliss$2.00
- 3rd6HulalandLuke Rolls$81.00
- 4th11Cosmic JinksBraith Nock$41.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Hellenic Belle | 2 | Mitchell Bell | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Better Off Alone | 7 | Regan Bayliss | Bjorn Baker | 56kg | $2.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Hulaland | 11 | Luke Rolls | Ms J Bowen | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Cosmic Jinks | 8 | Braith Nock | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Street Lyric | 3 | Ashley Morgan | Nathan Doyle | 56kg | $3.30 |
| 6th | 2 | Raguel | 4 | Mikayla Weir | T S Howlett | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Mazort | 6 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Super Vitality | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | T S Howlett | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 10 | What A Scandal | 9 | Jeff Penza | Ms J Bowen | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Syllable | 10 | Winona Costin | Holly Williams | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Pietiero | 5 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 56kg | $20.00 |
Keldan Group Super Mdn Hcp
Talk About Layla represents excellent value with the proven Lees/Gibbons combination. Her first up placing record and soft track form make her ideally suited to today's conditions. The filly allowance and quality connections suggest she's ready to break through despite the long spell.
Powerful Annie showed promise in her debut on soft going and represents the powerful Lees stable. Her Pierro breeding and recent competitive effort suggest she can improve significantly second up on similar conditions.
Ready Made Heir has shown consistent form at this venue with a recent close second. Her course knowledge and barrier advantage make her a strong each-way chance despite lacking a win.
- 1st1OverzoneKody Nestor$15.00
- 2nd17VltavaLuke Rolls$91.00
- 3rd14Ready Made HeirAnna Roper$5.50
- 4th18Think BackMikayla Weir$10.00
Full result · 13 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Overzone | 15 | Kody Nestor | W T Wilkes | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 17 | Vltava | 19 | Luke Rolls | Joel Wilkes | 56.5kg | $91.00 |
| 3rd | 14 | Ready Made Heir | 4 | Anna Roper | Ms K Buchanan | 55.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 18 | Think Back | 3 | Mikayla Weir | S I Singleton | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Kharif | 2 | Braith Nock | C Maher | 58.5kg | $2.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Hellfighter | 16 | Ashley Morgan | Nathan Doyle | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Checks'n'balances | 1 | Mitchell Bell | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Powerful Annie | 12 | Tom Sherry | K A Lees | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Talk About Layla | 9 | Andrew Gibbons | K A Lees | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 15 | Manapouri | 8 | Grant Buckley | D Riley | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Moon Dart | 7 | Shannen Llewellyn | Brett Thompson | 58.5kg | $91.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Quirky Princess | 10 | Winona Costin | S I Singleton | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 13th | 12 | Bubbles Please | 6 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 56kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Captainthunderbolt | 18 | S I Singleton | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Fat Barry | 13 | Ms K Buchanan | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Dancingontherosso | 18 | K A Lees | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Silent Uprising | 17 | Ms K Buchanan | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Our Bully | 11 | M N Howard | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Cosmora | 5 | Peter D Green | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Litlfela | 14 | Connie Greig | 55.5kg |
Denbrook Thoroughbreds Showcase (Bm58)
Ready And Lucky stands out as the most logical winner with a perfect record at Muswellbrook over 1280m. The mare's strong soft track form (1 win, 2 places from 6 starts) suits today's Soft 5 conditions. Her narrow second at Taree last start shows she's in good form, and the drop from BM64 to BM58 is a significant class advantage.
Siragusa brings an unbeaten record and impressive debut win to this assignment. The I Am Invincible gelding showed quality in winning his maiden at Tamworth, and the Archibald stable has a good record with Tom Sherry. However, the step up to BM58 level and soft track conditions present unknowns.
Rose Water brings a strong first up record and the booking of in-form Ashley Morgan who has a 21% strike rate at Muswellbrook. The mare's consistency (38% place rate) and good barrier draw make her a solid each-way chance despite the long spell and class rise.
The light weight and Buckley booking add appeal despite the wide barrier and class rise.
- 1st3SiragusaTom Sherry$2.40
- 2nd1Ready And LuckyDeon Le Roux$3.00
- 3rd9Rose WaterAshley Morgan$4.60
- 4th2OenologyLiberty Smyth$18.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Siragusa | 8 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 61kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 1 | Ready And Lucky | 5 | Deon Le Roux | Lou Mary | 60.5kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Rose Water | 3 | Ashley Morgan | J C Deamer | 58.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 2 | Oenology | 9 | Liberty Smyth | D J Hatch | 60kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Tipsy Miss | 13 | Grant Buckley | John W Ramsey | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Sunday Punch | 10 | Winona Costin | Cheryl Roberts | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Billy Bowlegg | 4 | Jeff Penza | P Niceforo | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Akauwheo | 2 | Kody Nestor | G A O'Brien | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 8 | He'sthechief | 14 | Christian Reith | Luke A Thomas | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Satin Dragon | 1 | Billy Cray | L K Roberts | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Croatian Madame | 12 | Mikayla Weir | J R Gask | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Dial Of Destiny | 7 | Chad Lever | P H Bloomfield | 59kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Whispering Rupert | 11 | G McFarlane | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Nay Pee Cee | 6 | G McFarlane | 59kg |
Glen Gallic Stud Showcase Hcp (C2)
Zocketman presents as the standout selection with a perfect first-up record and proven ability at this track and distance. His class drop from BM68 to Class 2 is significant, and his soft track win here previously gives him a clear edge.
Occult brings strong last-start winning form and a solid first-up record to this assignment. His soft track win and the stable's confidence shown through gear changes make him a genuine threat. The class rise is manageable given his impressive Tamworth victory, though the lengthy spell and jockey form are concerns.
Real Baker represents the classic 'unknown quantity' with his perfect record and strong stable/jockey combination. The Bjorn Baker stable's reputation and Bayliss's quality booking suggest confidence, but the wide barrier and limited form reference make this a speculative selection based largely on connections.
The class rise is concerning, but his proven ability here and good barrier position make him worth a value play.
- 1st2OccultNick Palmer$8.50
- 2nd12EchelonBraith Nock$7.50
- 3rd4Whil To WinAlysha Collett$12.00
- 4th6EnnirocZac Wadick$21.00
Full result · 13 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Occult | 10 | Nick Palmer | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 12 | Echelon | 7 | Braith Nock | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Whil To Win | 9 | Alysha Collett | John Thompson | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Enniroc | 15 | Zac Wadick | D J Hatch | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 15 | Brighella | 8 | Andrew Gibbons | D J Hatch | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Calido Magic | 11 | Madeline Owen | Ms K Owen | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Trumper | 3 | Tom Sherry | K A Lees | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Mirai San | 4 | Christian Reith | S I Singleton | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Withstand | 6 | Luke Rolls | Ms J Bowen | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Real Baker | 16 | Regan Bayliss | Bjorn Baker | 55kg | $2.70 |
| 11th | 11 | Golden Vader | 13 | Ashley Morgan | Liam Ruddy | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 17 | Hoku | 5 | L K Roberts | 55kg | $201.00 | |
| 13th | 5 | Zocketman | 1 | Dylan Gibbons | Richard & Will Freedman | 58kg | $3.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Hellova Nature | 12 | Lee Magorrian | Ms K Buchanan | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Mr Trackside | 14 | P M Perry | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Chamber Of Secrets | 2 | Lyle Chandler | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Provencal | 14 | J R Gask | 55kg |
Asahi Showcase Country Magic Hcp (C3)
The Ashley Morgan/Messara combination has excellent strike rate, and this rising 4yo appears perfectly placed despite the class rise.
Regal Problem brings Group race experience and draws perfectly in barrier 3. Mitchell Bell's outstanding track record and the filly's consistent form profile make her a strong each-way chance despite soft track concerns.
Feared brings perfect recent form and strong jockey/horse combination. The 3yo's rapid improvement and tactical barrier draw offset concerns about the class rise and track conditions.
- 1st4SolitarioAshley Morgan$4.60
- 2nd7Tanglewood JimmyAndrew Gibbons$11.00
- 3rd6LaizaboutKody Nestor$9.00
- 4th12Lightning SpeedWilliam A Stanley$8.00
Full result · 14 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Solitario | 6 | Ashley Morgan | P Messara & L Gavranich | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | Tanglewood Jimmy | 12 | Andrew Gibbons | W T Wilkes | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Laizabout | 5 | Kody Nestor | W T Wilkes | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Lightning Speed | 7 | William A Stanley | Cameron Crockett | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 15 | Feared | 4 | Jean Van Overmeire | M D Griffith | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 13 | Regal Problem | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Lyle Chandler | 55.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Favour The Bold | 2 | Reece Jones | R P Northam | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Andale Andale | 17 | Anna Roper | Lyle Chandler | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 2 | Christa | 13 | Alysha Collett | T S Howlett | 59.5kg | $19.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Smoke On The Water | 8 | Christian Reith | James Dobie | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Great Idea | 11 | Braith Nock | Ben Blay | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 12th | 14 | Myalaby | 10 | Luke Rolls | Tim McIntosh | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 3 | Jaex | 9 | Emily Farr | B M Lazzarini | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 14th | 1 | Brok Cafe | 1 | Deon Le Roux | P Messara & L Gavranich | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Speedy Henry | 14 | R P Northam | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Full Regalia | 15 | Madeline Owen | Ms K Owen | 56kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Ichika | 16 | Ms S Grills | 55kg |
Horsepower Showcase Skellatar Sprint
Durova presents as the standout selection despite the class rise. Her dominant last-start win at this track, combined with her excellent soft track record and perfect distance statistics, makes her the most reliable winning chance. The Ashley Morgan booking adds confidence, and her second-up record shows no concerns about fitness.
Straand Beauty offers excellent value as the second pick with his improving form trajectory and tactical advantages. The good barrier draw and proven distance ability make him a genuine winning threat, particularly if the pace scenario unfolds favorably for his running style.
The 105-day break is a concern, but her fresh record and tactical advantages from the good barrier make her a worthwhile value play in a competitive field.
- 1st2DurovaAshley Morgan$1.95
- 2nd3Straand BeautyJean Van Overmeire$4.60
- 3rd4Saratoga PowerBraith Nock$5.50
- 4th6Iron HatLuke Rolls$31.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Durova | 10 | Ashley Morgan | Cameron Crockett | 60kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 3 | Straand Beauty | 8 | Jean Van Overmeire | Liam Ruddy | 58.5kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 4 | Saratoga Power | 11 | Braith Nock | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Iron Hat | 7 | Luke Rolls | Ms J Bowen | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 8 | King Larry | 13 | Shannen Llewellyn | W T Wilkes | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Super Freds | 4 | Alysha Collett | Jay Hopkins | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Ran Na Lady | 9 | Reece Jones | Cassandra Stummer | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Play My Song | 3 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 53.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Kantishna | 6 | Winona Costin | S I Singleton | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Redline | 1 | Izzy Neale | G A O'Brien | 53.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Colourful Emperor | 12 | Dylan Gibbons | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 63kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Sapphire Kiss | 2 | Grant Buckley | Wayne Seelin | 55kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Hoku | 5 | Billy Cray | L K Roberts | 55kg |
''Big Dance Eligibility'' EMF Group Muswellbrook Gold Cup
Green Fly presents as the most reliable winning chance based on recent Listed success and proven soft track ability. The 7yo gelding won impressively at Canberra 18 days ago and has an outstanding record on rain-affected tracks (5 wins from 19 soft starts). While carrying top weight is a concern, his form superiority justifies favouritism.
Magnatear offers solid each-way value having run a creditable third behind Green Fly in the same Listed race. The combination with Ashley Morgan (33% strike rate together) is positive, and his barrier draw suits his racing pattern. While the class rise is significant, his recent form suggests he can be competitive at this level.
Zaphod presents as an interesting first-up proposition with his excellent fresh record and recent winning form. However, the wide barrier and significant class rise from his previous wins create substantial obstacles. His soft track ability and strong finishing style could see him run into the placings if the pace is genuine.
- 1st4MagnatearAshley Morgan$11.00
- 2nd8HellsingMitchell Bell$4.60
- 3rd2Green FlyDylan Gibbons$4.60
- 4th5ZaphodTom Sherry$4.80
Full result · 14 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Magnatear | 7 | Ashley Morgan | Richard & Will Freedman | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Hellsing | 8 | Mitchell Bell | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Green Fly | 4 | Dylan Gibbons | A & S Freedman | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 5 | Zaphod | 17 | Tom Sherry | K A Lees | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 7 | War Eternal | 1 | Regan Bayliss | Bjorn Baker | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 12 | Indifference | 10 | Luke Rolls | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 54kg | $201.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Supreme Command | 6 | Glen Milligan | 54kg | $151.00 | |
| 8th | 14 | Hibiki Harmony | 5 | Braith Nock | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Iron Man | 3 | Mikayla Weir | Stirling Osland | 54kg | $15.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Elson Boy | 15 | Zac Wadick | Dar Lunn | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Uzziah | 12 | Alysha Collett | Scott Aspery | 54kg | $4.60 |
| 12th | 16 | Fiorsum Fred | 2 | Winona Costin | S I Singleton | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 13th | 17 | Otium | 16 | W T Wilkes | 54kg | $151.00 | |
| 14th | 13 | Taipan Legend | 11 | Cameron Crockett | 54kg | $41.00 | |
| Scr | 1 | Welwal | 18 | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Ducasse | 19 | Tommy Berry | Michael Freedman | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Justadeel | 14 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Tanglewood Jimmy | 13 | W T Wilkes | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Green Run | 9 | Dar Lunn | 54kg |
BHP Mt Arthur Showcase Wayne Harris Hcp
Miss Rebel presents the strongest winning chance based on her excellent course record and proven ability at this distance. Her last start third, beaten less than a length in Class 5 company, suggests she's in good form. The step up to Open grade is significant, but her track familiarity and soft track credentials on a Soft 5 surface provide confidence.
Hulu's outstanding record at this specific track and distance makes her a serious threat despite her poor last start. Her wet track credentials are excellent, and the gear changes (blinkers off, equicast on) suggest connections are trying to find the key. The inside barrier is ideal for her racing style.
Tickle Me Pink's perfect soft track record makes her very appealing on today's Soft 5 surface. Her recent second at Beaumont shows she's in good form, and the gear changes (cross-over nose band and tongue tie first time) suggest connections believe she can improve further.
- 1st2Miss BusslingerTom Sherry$2.45
- 2nd8Miss RebelReece Jones$2.70
- 3rd10Ollie's SecretAnna Roper$51.00
- 4th7HuluMitchell Bell$9.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Miss Busslinger | 8 | Tom Sherry | K A Lees | 60.5kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 8 | Miss Rebel | 9 | Reece Jones | Cassandra Stummer | 55kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 10 | Ollie's Secret | 5 | Anna Roper | Ms J Bowen | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Hulu | 1 | Mitchell Bell | Cameron Crockett | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Rivkin | 4 | Alysha Collett | Lyle Chandler | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Two Ya Got | 3 | Braith Nock | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 60kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Rajnish | 12 | Mikayla Weir | Cameron Crockett | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Water Lad | 10 | Winona Costin | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Wanda River | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | Ms S Grills | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 9 | A Pound Of Salt | 11 | Grant Buckley | T S Howlett | 55kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | So Good So Cool | 12 | Nacim Dilmi | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Puerto Banus | 15 | P M Perry | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Love Child | 13 | Glen Milligan | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Tickle Me Pink | 2 | Luke Rolls | M S Minervini | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | King Larry | 6 | W T Wilkes | 55kg |
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