Recent 950m win at track on heavy ground translates well to Soft 6. Fast tempo suits forward runner from gate 1. Form and map make top pick despite class rise.
Queensland · Thursday 9 April 2026
Cairns tips and results
Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Cairns. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Holmes Commercial Real Estate Hcp
Strong local form at Cairns 950m (4:1-1-1), barrier 5 suits inside bias. Second up from spell with placing record. Recent runs disappointing but track familiarity and midfield map could see improvement in fast tempo. Reliable place chance in positional track.
Barrier 3 perfect for track bias favouring inside/on-pace. Recent form consistent, likely to lead or sit handy in fast tempo. Soft record modest but proven wet winner (heavy).
Local experience and light weight appeal despite recent form dip. Fast tempo may suit if improves second up. Risky but upside in sprint on soft.
- 1st1Nottington PrinceAidan Holt$3.60
- 2nd4Insta WorthyLacey Morrison$1.70
- 3rd3HaphazardNathan Thomas$5.50
- 4th6Raff VaderSean Cormack$9.00
Full result · 4 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Nottington Prince | 6 | Aidan Holt | Ms J Hassett | 60kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | Insta Worthy | 1 | Lacey Morrison | Sharlee Hoffman | 56.5kg | $1.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | Haphazard | 5 | Nathan Thomas | Louise Terzi | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Raff Vader | 4 | Sean Cormack | S Massingham | 55kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Nordic Invader | 3 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 57kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Vegameister | 2 | Chelsea Jokic | Kayla Russell | 56kg |
Look Sharp Painting & Decorating Pty Ltd Mdn Plate
Second up sharp, class drop enhances chances in position-driven track. Best in field for recency, track affinity and suitability despite maiden status.
Strong position from barrier 1, local form at distance (2:0-0-1 T/D), suits Cairns on-pace bias and soft conditions. Blinkers added second up could improve finishing. Solid each-way chance in maiden with map advantage over deeper runners.
Wide draw concern but class drop and tempo favour early speed. Viable threat if overcomes barrier in low-grade maiden.
Soft track exposure, class drop to maiden. Jockey Cormack excels at Cairns. Upside if improves second up in pace-favouring setup.
- 1st8Red Light PowerChelsea Jokic$31.00
- 2nd10Stable InvestmentRachel Shred$26.00
- 3rd2Nicco Nota FighterNathan Thomas$10.00
- 4th5Booming BeliefWanderson D'Avila$4.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Red Light Power | 6 | Chelsea Jokic | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Stable Investment | 8 | Rachel Shred | Krystin Allender | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Nicco Nota Fighter | 10 | Nathan Thomas | Matthew McGuire | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Booming Belief | 1 | Wanderson D'Avila | O Chillemi | 56kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Chica Poderosa | 5 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 56kg | $1.65 |
| 6th | 3 | Raar | 4 | Sean Cormack | A R Bailey | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Ostuni | 7 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Betta Win | 3 | Shohei Kaya | A R Bailey | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Long Tall James | 2 | Aidan Holt | Lachie Manzelmann | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Scotch Rocket | 9 | Lacey Morrison | Jade Doolan | 56kg | $41.00 |
Zenbook (Qtis Bonuses Applicable 2&3yo Only) Mdn Plate
Soft 6 suits (8 soft starts), improving trend & Wiggins booking outweigh maiden status in low-class sprint.
Midfield map perfect for positional track, light weight helps on Soft 6. Reliable consistent type with place safety in maiden company.
Second up, proven heavy performer, light weight & map exploits Cairns bias better than most.
- 1st6Middle ChildRyan Wiggins$3.20
- 2nd1Any NewsLacey Morrison$3.80
- 3rd2Monty RoadSamantha Pointon$9.50
- 4th7VolareTasha Chambers$26.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Middle Child | 3 | Ryan Wiggins | S J Royes | 56.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 1 | Any News | 7 | Lacey Morrison | Rachel Shred | 58.5kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Monty Road | 5 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Volare | 8 | Tasha Chambers | Troy Clive | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Sheza Barbarossa | 6 | Nathan Thomas | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Webs | 9 | Wanderson D'Avila | Ms M Preston | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 5 | Lichfield Angel | 1 | Lauren Guernier | A G Malliff | 54.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Radio Waves | 2 | Aidan Holt | Jade Doolan | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Super Steven | 4 | Chelsea Jokic | Maria Potiris | 57.5kg |
Mayfair Buyers Agent Hcp
Barrier 2 perfect for Cairns positional bias, maps forward in moderate-fast tempo. Soft 6 suits better than pure heavy performers.
Soft experience solid (22:4-3-0), barrier 5 ideal for midfield role on short straight. Cormack booking boosts (28% trainer combo).
Local star with 5:3-0-0 at Cairns, soft performer (14:5-0-1). Barrier 4 suits map to on-pace, tempo favours midfielders. First up blank but recent form solid including Open stays, fitness from prep.
Barrier 3 suits likely leader role in speed map, Cairns bias loves front half. Soft/heavy ok but no track success tempers. Recent poor but prior placings and map make overlay in volatile country Open.
- 1st2Armour ForceSean Cormack$2.50
- 2nd7Colours Of AutumnLacey Morrison$1.60
- 3rd3Choir BoyNathan Thomas$20.00
- 4th6Olympic KorchnoiKrysten Swaffer$31.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Armour Force | 5 | Sean Cormack | S Massingham | 55.5kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Colours Of Autumn | 2 | Lacey Morrison | O Chillemi | 54kg | $1.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Choir Boy | 3 | Nathan Thomas | Ms J Ryan | 54kg | $20.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Olympic Korchnoi | 6 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Perovic | 4 | Wanderson D'Avila | F J Wieland | 54kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Acclimatise | 1 | Rachel Shred | Krystin Allender | 54kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Valenki | 5 | O Chillemi | 63kg |
Dental On Martyn (Bm60)
Golden Octavian tops form assessment with barrier 1 perfectly suiting Cairns' first-half-field bias where winners come from top 6 at 400m. Moderate-fast tempo favours forward midfield map.
Swatow's pure form shines via dominant Cairns record (4:2-1-0) and T/D perfection (2:1-1-0), soft suitability (6:2-1-2) and class drop from Open wins. First-up record modest but trainer/jockey intent clear (Cormack 50% combo). Barrier 7 workable for likely midfield map on position-biased track.
Soft suitability and barrier 6 suit forward midfield role on bias track.
Thirteen Under provides value overlay with flawless recent Cairns T/D form (2:2-0-0), back-to-back wins including last start BM55.
- 1st6Thirteen UnderLacey Morrison$3.90
- 2nd9La ManoChelsea Jokic$16.00
- 3rd5SkogafossAidan Holt$9.50
- 4th3Alabama MoonlightKrysten Swaffer$4.20
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Thirteen Under | 5 | Lacey Morrison | Sharlee Hoffman | 59kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 9 | La Mano | 4 | Chelsea Jokic | Ms J Ryan | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Skogafoss | 6 | Aidan Holt | Dean Piccolo | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Alabama Moonlight | 9 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 60kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 4 | Golden Octavian | 1 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 60kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 8 | Kitema | 3 | Shohei Kaya | A R Bailey | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Eclipsion | 8 | Lauren Guernier | S Massingham | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Swatow | 7 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 64kg | $4.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Attentive | 2 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
Ladbrokes Hosted Pots Hcp (C1)
Kirikan tops form assessment with class drop from recent Class 3, strong Cairns record (3:0-0-2) and barrier 1 positioning him to lead or sit handy on this tight track favouring first half of field. Wiggins/Massingham combo reliable (14%).
Essay Wine's recent form bulletproof: won Cairns 1250m maiden on soft 28 days ago from barrier 3, exact setup here. Track record 3:1-0-1, barrier 3 perfect for positional bias. Cormack in career-best form. Rising class risk but fresh winner with ideal map outweighs; strong place chance in moderate tempo.
Floral Legend building perfectly: recent Atherton maiden win, close 2nd at Cairns 950m heavy. Barrier 2 secures forward position crucial at Cairns. Light weight helps on soft; class rise manageable from provincials.
Barrier 6 maps midfield to exploit moderate-fast tempo. High place strike suits exotics; proven on soft. Class rise but track affinity and fitness make her undervalued vs assessed fair line.
- 1st8Fools PlayLacey Morrison$3.40
- 2nd3ParchTasha Chambers$6.50
- 3rd1KirikanRyan Wiggins$4.40
- 4th5TsunamiLauren Guernier$18.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Fools Play | 4 | Lacey Morrison | S J Royes | 54kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 3 | Parch | 10 | Tasha Chambers | S J Royes | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Kirikan | 1 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 62.5kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 5 | Tsunami | 7 | Lauren Guernier | O Chillemi | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Geraldine's Wish | 6 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg | $3.60 |
| 6th | 2 | First Man | 5 | Aidan Holt | Ms J Hassett | 62kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Diamond Lucy | 8 | Nathan Thomas | Troy Clive | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Essay Wine | 3 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Line 'em Up Loui | 9 | S Massingham | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Floral Legend | 2 | Chelsea Jokic | R C Ludwig | 54kg |
Magic Millions/ Rob Koch Memorial/ FNQ Up & Coming Stayers (Bm55)
Proven wet tracker (2:1-0-0 soft/heavy). Clear top pick despite weight.
Strong each-way chance with barrier 5, recent places at track on wet (2nd/3rd heavy), 8:1-1-2 soft record.
Barrier 1 exploits Cairns inside bias (15% win rate 1-6), vast track stats 37:2-8-6, soft proven 27:1-5-5.
Gear change positive, maps midfield in fast tempo.
- 1st3InnovatesLacey Morrison$3.20
- 2nd5Lord PowerKrysten Swaffer$15.00
- 3rd4FlourishSamantha Pointon$31.00
- 4th1The Honey BadgerRyan Wiggins$2.15
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Innovates | 7 | Lacey Morrison | R J Miller | 58kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 5 | Lord Power | 1 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Flourish | 8 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 1 | The Honey Badger | 4 | Ryan Wiggins | Scott Cooper | 62.5kg | $2.15 |
| 5th | 7 | Lucky Jim | 3 | Chelsea Jokic | M A Dale | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Rose Of Athens | 10 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 54kg | $91.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Kammerzell House | 9 | Aidan Holt | Maria Potiris | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Khamis | 2 | Tasha Chambers | Troy Clive | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 6 | The Cops | 6 | Shohei Kaya | R J Miller | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Starmeira | 5 | Wanderson D'Avila | Krystin Allender | 56kg | $5.00 |
Mirunners Australia Pty Ltd (Bm50)
Local record strong at track (1 win) and T/D (1 win 1 place from 3). Maps as likely leader in very fast tempo, suiting on-pace bias. Recent form poor but class drop and jockey upgrade (Cormack hot) provide upside.
Best recent form with 3rd-2nd at track over T/D in similar company. Track specialist (4 places from 7). Barrier 13 and backmarker map major cons at Cairns but very fast tempo may help midfield finish. Solid place chance.
Ideal barrier 4 positions her forward in speed map, suiting Cairns' first-half bias and very fast tempo. Second-up stats excellent (places both runs). Assessed slight underlay.
Barrier 6 perfect for inside bias, maps midfield to exploit very fast tempo on short straight. Class drop huge positive, track experience (10 runs). Form ordinary but fitness evident in recent 4th.
- 1st11Sweet CandyRachel Shred$101.00
- 2nd1Coppabella RoadAidan Holt$3.70
- 3rd3Framed ItSamantha Pointon$15.00
- 4th6Miss MolokaiShohei Kaya$101.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Sweet Candy | 2 | Rachel Shred | Rachel Shred | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Coppabella Road | 14 | Aidan Holt | S J Royes | 62kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | Framed It | 11 | Samantha Pointon | Rachael Singleton | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Miss Molokai | 7 | Shohei Kaya | Louise Terzi | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Airborne Hotdog | 13 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Arrogant Heart | 12 | Tasha Chambers | K J McGuire | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Our Addiction | 8 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Tipped Off | 1 | Sean Cormack | A R Bailey | 61kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 14 | Five Bulls | 6 | Wanderson D'Avila | Ms J Ryan | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Mr Damage | 10 | Chelsea Jokic | Troy Clive | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Talk Dirty | 9 | Lacey Morrison | Bodine Bailey | 60kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 4 | She's Speedy | 4 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 60kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Stateswoman | 5 | Lauren Guernier | Kayla Russell | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Egzakly | 3 | Kayla Russell | 56kg |
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