Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Thursday 9 April 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Wonderful Sky showed excellent debut form when narrowly beaten at this exact track and distance. Addition of winkers suggests connections expect improvement, and despite the jockey's modest recent form, the horse's proven ability at the venue makes her the standout selection.
Forbidden Desire brings strong credentials despite being first up from a spell. The recent trial victory demonstrates current fitness, while the strong jockey/trainer combination and gear change suggest improvement is expected. The class drop from Listed level provides a significant advantage, though the wide barrier presents a tactical challenge.
Unfailing Truth represents the powerful Hayes stable making their debut. Ben Allen's excellent recent form and the horse's ideal barrier draw provide strong positives.
Icelady offers value based on her direct form line with the top selection. While she finished behind Wonderful Sky last start, the inside barrier and proven track experience provide advantages.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Wonderful Sky | 1 | Ethan Brown | M W Walker | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 13 | Icelady | 3 | Celine Gaudray | C Maher | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Forbidden Desire | 10 | Jamie Melham | Lloyd Kennewell | 57kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 5 | Heat Map | 9 | Zac Spain | Jason Warren | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Unfailing Truth | 5 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Shamelle | 6 | Jake Noonan | A W Noonan | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Blue Jeans Talk | 11 | Olivia East | Shannon Roughan | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Via Theresa | 7 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Teen Torque | 12 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Caption This | 4 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Charleston Lane | 8 | Daniel Stackhouse | G M Begg | 57kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Mull Of Kintyre | 13 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Wild Radiance | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf | Andrew Noblet | 57kg |
Her narrow second placing last start at Ballarat demonstrates genuine ability, and the 139-day break shouldn't concern given her first-up placing record. The barrier 3 draw allows tactical positioning on a track that favours forward runners.
Irreverent brings the most consistent form line with three placings from seven starts and an excellent Pakenham record. Her recent second at Yarra Glen confirms current form, and the I Am Invincible breeding suggests she's well-suited to this distance. The wide draw is a concern but her tactical speed should overcome it.
The Begg stable and Jordan Childs combination is proven, and her recent form suggests she's ready to break through. The inside draw is crucial at Pakenham.
Tycoon Thief represents value as a Hayes stable debutant with Ben Allen aboard in strong form. The barrier 2 draw is perfect for a first starter, and the multiple gear changes suggest the stable has him ready to perform.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Concord Connie | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | Charlotte Littlefield | 57kg | $1.40 |
| 2nd | 2 | Chasing Rainbows | 4 | Daniel Stackhouse | M M Laurie | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Brass In Pocket | 9 | Jamie Melham | Nathan Dunn | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Justibella | 5 | Celine Gaudray | C Maher | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Gattino Veloce | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Elegant Contessa | 7 | Jamie Mott | Julius Sandhu | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Irreverent | 8 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 9 | Tycoon Thief | 2 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Merrow | 6 | Ethan Brown | M W Walker | 57kg | $31.00 |
The standout selection based on class credentials, having competed in Open company at Flemington. The significant class drop to maiden level provides a major advantage despite the long spell.
The gear change and good draw enhance her chances, though limited experience creates some uncertainty about her ceiling.
Pure value play on a debut runner with quality jockey booking. While the complete lack of form data creates uncertainty, the professional connections and gear changes suggest stable confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | There Were Roses | 8 | Jamie Mott | T Busuttin & N Young | 57.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | Avenue Montaigne | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 8 | Brightly Dance | 2 | Thomas Stockdale | Jerome Hunter | 57.5kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Top Liner | 9 | Jake Noonan | Alexander Rae | 57.5kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Bling Baby | 3 | Jackie Beriman | Brian McGrath | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Kaddari | 6 | Luke Cartwright | Ms B Dunn | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Flying Riches | 11 | Ben Kennedy | Rachael Cunningham | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Jupiter's Girl | 7 | Emily Pozman | N J Harnett | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Bon Aurelia | 4 | Logan McNeil | Lisa Jones | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Lady San Chez | 5 | Valentin Le Boeuf | E P Francese | 58kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Gottaluvsport | 10 | R J Meunier | 58kg |
Her recent win here demonstrates current form, and the combination with in-form jockey Jake Noonan is appealing. The mare's ability to settle handy aligns perfectly with Pakenham's tactical requirements where winners typically come from the first half of the field.
Time Allowed brings strong credentials at the distance with an excellent 1600m record. The inside barrier draw is advantageous at Pakenham, and the addition of blinkers for the first time could spark improvement. Despite the class rise, the quality connections and recent competitive form make this a solid each-way proposition.
His consistent form pattern and suitability at the distance make him a genuine chance, though the wide barrier and jockey's poor recent form are concerns in a tactical race.
Hey Bella offers value despite the significant class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Hey Bella | 6 | Lachlan Neindorf | Luke Oliver | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Belcony | 4 | Jake Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 57.5kg | $2.20 |
| 3rd | 4 | Don Stefano | 5 | Jackson Radley | E & D Browne | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Batoka Chief | 1 | Cory Parish | Lee & Shannon Hope | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Aloysius | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | Andrew Noblet | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Time Allowed | 2 | Jamie Mott | T Busuttin & N Young | 60kg | $3.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Lim's Smythe | 7 | Rhys Mc Leod | D Meagher | 59.5kg |
Ballistic Romeo shapes as the most likely winner based on his excellent last start second at this exact venue and distance on Heavy 9. Jamie Melham's strong recent form (20% strike rate) and proven combination with Jason Warren adds confidence. The reapplication of blinkers suggests stable intent for improvement.
Shindy brings consistent recent form including a strong second at this track 20 days ago. Her soft track record and proven ability at Pakenham make her a genuine winning chance despite being winless.
Kings Domain brings solid recent form with two placings from his last three starts. The 3yo colt has drawn ideally in barrier 2 which should allow Jamie Mott to secure a perfect position. The Busuttin & Young stable is reliable and the horse has shown consistent improvement through his brief career.
Her recent form suggests she's ready to break through at this easier level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Cushioned | 12 | Daniel Stackhouse | A & S Freedman | 57kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 10 | Shindy | 10 | Lachlan Neindorf | Peter Gelagotis | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Certainly Quiet | 15 | Thomas Stockdale | Jerome Hunter | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Colour Circle | 7 | Jackie Beriman | Brian McGrath | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Ballistic Romeo | 11 | Jamie Melham | Jason Warren | 59kg | $3.30 |
| 6th | 8 | Montoya Mak | 5 | Jordan Childs | Matthew Cumani | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Guthrie | 3 | Jake Noonan | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Clydebank Robber | 8 | Valentin Le Boeuf | Susie Wells | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Last Card Louie | 4 | Caitlin Hollowood | Denis Pagan | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Kings Domain | 2 | Jamie Mott | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $17.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Our William | 1 | Sheridan Clarke | J F Moloney | 59kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Chirpy Chap | 6 | Koby Jennings | K & K Keys | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Shezonahigh | 14 | Ben Kennedy | Susie Wells | 57kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Stars Aligned | 13 | Brian Lawlor | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Dun Dozen | 9 | Teodore Nugent | Christine Sexton | 59.5kg |
The wide draw is a concern but her class and connections make her the standout.
Second up with inside barrier gives her tactical advantage and her speed should suit the expected fast tempo. Class rise is a query but her recent form suggests she's ready.
Her recent Ballarat second shows she's in good form and the King stable combination has a solid record.
Gelding with perfect first-up record who won his maiden at this distance. The long spell is concerning but his first-up statistics are perfect and he's proven at the distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Humble Trader | 10 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Bajaria | 2 | Ethan Brown | Peter Gelagotis | 56.5kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 10 | Rockette Roulette | 4 | Caitlin Hollowood | C J Davis | 52kg | $81.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Neziha | 9 | Jamie Melham | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56.5kg | $2.25 |
| 5th | 7 | Unobscured | 7 | Lachlan King | Steven King | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Confine | 3 | Sheridan Clarke | M E Templeton | 55kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Decanted | 1 | Jett Stanley | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Camp Cable | 5 | Cory Parish | Lee & Shannon Hope | 57kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Tipsy Gypsy | 8 | Teodore Nugent | E W Ewert | 56kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Cheeky Sneaky | 6 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R J Meunier | 55kg |
Lightly-raced filly with perfect winning strike rate who impressed when breaking maiden status last start. The step up in class is significant, but the raw ability shown in limited opportunities suggests untapped potential. The weight allocation and tactical speed make this a genuine threat despite the class rise.
Last start winner who showed excellent adaptability winning on a Heavy 8 track at this venue. The strong jockey-trainer combination and perfect track record provide confidence, though the wide barrier and class rise present challenges. The proven heavy track form could be valuable if conditions deteriorate.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | I'm Foxing | 6 | Lachlan Neindorf | Alexander Rae | 57.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Doc's Nipper | 2 | Jason Maskiell | Patrick Keane | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Octrain | 9 | Jackson Radley | M Croston & G Gilmour | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Kiwi Raider | 3 | Ethan Brown | M W Walker | 57kg | $1.70 |
| 5th | 4 | Listening Is Doing | 1 | Bree Temple | J D Sadler | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Tomanado | 10 | Jackie Beriman | D P Dwyer | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Tartan Queen | 7 | Ruby Lamont | Jaymee Cockram | 51kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Ourzacracker | 4 | Teodore Nugent | C J Davis | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Flying D'amore | 5 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 55kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Bangholme | 11 | Luke Nolen | A R McGregor | 60kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Tillya Tepe | 8 | Nathan Punch | R D Griffiths | 57.5kg |
The Moody/Coleman filly showed excellent speed at Sandown and has proven track form at Pakenham.
Ferocious Frankie benefits from a significant class drop and ideal barrier draw. The Busuttin/Young filly has shown ability with a maiden win and recent placing, and the stable's strong record with Ethan Brown adds appeal.
The mare has shown ability at this distance and her recent form suggests she's found her mark.
The mare has shown consistent placing ability and her recent form suggests she can handle this class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Cooly | 4 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 2 | Scalable | 8 | Jackson Radley | E & D Browne | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Stella Cantante | 7 | Caitlin Hollowood | N J Harnett | 52kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Epeiric | 3 | Thomas Stockdale | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Justdoit | 6 | Lachlan Neindorf | Luke Oliver | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Fondled | 9 | Jamie Mott | Andrew Noblet | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Ferocious Frankie | 2 | Ethan Brown | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 8th | 9 | Snow On Her | 1 | Jade Da Rose | C J Davis | 55kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Hotinherre | 5 | Theodore Ladd | Charlotte Littlefield | 57.5kg |
Before the races, not after
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