Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Saturday 11 April 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 10 races at Ascot. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Barron Bill gets the nod as second pick based purely on connections and positioning. Pike's booking on a debutant from Morton's stable (26% strike rate together) suggests serious intent. The inside barrier is crucial at Ascot, and his recent trial win indicates readiness for debut.
Dixie Doo brings the most recent winning form to this contest with her Belmont Park victory. The wide barrier is concerning at Ascot, but her proven ability at this level makes her a solid each-way chance.
All On Red stands out as the most credentialed runner with two wins from three starts at Ascot 1000m. Despite a poor last start in Listed company, his class edge over this field is significant, and the recent trial win suggests he's back on track.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Striking Alibi | 11 | Holly Watson | Luke Fernie | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Barron Bill | 1 | William Pike | D L Morton | 56kg | $1.95 |
| 3rd | 4 | Anaconda Jones | 6 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Official Business | 2 | Chris Parnham | N D Parnham | 56kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 8 | Dixie Doo | 10 | Joey Azzopardi | S & J Casey | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Miss Flinders | 8 | Shaun O'Donnell | B R Larsson | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Light Of The World | 3 | Jade Mc Naught | F R Kersley | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Morikawa | 5 | Lisa Staples | P H Jordan | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Sundae Swirl | 7 | Chloe Azzopardi | Darren Taylor | 54kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Frosted Warrior | 9 | Steven Parnham | S V Vahala | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Chantatious | 12 | Lucy F Fiore | D L Morton | 54kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 1 | All On Red | 4 | Holly Nottle | Tiarnna Noske | 57.5kg |
The William Pike booking signals serious intent, while barrier 2 perfectly suits his on-speed racing pattern. Second up with a 100% record at this stage, he gets significant class relief and maps ideally for Ascot's on-speed bias.
Star Supreme offers strong first-up credentials with a 50% strike rate fresh and previous Ascot 1000m form. The gear change removing bar plates suggests connections expect improvement, while the Parnham stable excels with first-up runners. Despite the long spell, her fresh record and class drop make her a genuine threat.
Hezangelic brings consistent recent form with strong provincial placings and a solid 1000m record. His reliability makes him a solid each-way chance.
The Parnham combination and significant class drop provide upside, making him an attractive value proposition despite his low overall strike rate.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Hezangelic | 3 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 57.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Go Go Grommet | 1 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Acorn | 2 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 60kg | $3.90 |
| 4th | 6 | Flagship | 5 | Steven Parnham | N D Parnham | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Scenic George | 4 | Brad Parnham | D & B Pearce | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Soldier Of God | 6 | Natika Riordan | P H Jordan | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 9 | My Lovely Pet | 9 | Laqdar Ramoly | Bronwyn Mathieson | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Order Online | 8 | Troy Turner | Colin Webster Jnr | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Star Supreme | 7 | Chris Parnham | N D Parnham | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
The Holly Nottle partnership has been highly successful, and despite the class rise, his recent form and track/distance expertise make him the standout selection.
Kay Tee Why's exceptional first-up record and outstanding track/distance statistics make him a major threat despite the long spell. The William Pike booking and class drop provide additional confidence, though the wide barrier is a concern.
Sixinch Heels offers value as a first-up performer dropping significantly in class. The Lucy Fiore booking and good barrier draw enhance prospects, though the long spell and distance concerns require consideration.
The recent form is strong despite the class rise, making her a worthwhile value play in a competitive field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Tycoon Harry | 3 | Holly Nottle | J P Taylor | 57.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 8 | Sixinch Heels | 4 | Lucy F Fiore | Simon Miller | 54kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Crippalenko | 5 | Patrick Carbery | Greg Beauglehole | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Kay Tee Why | 7 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 58.5kg | $2.70 |
| 5th | 3 | Supersession | 6 | Natika Riordan | A G Durrant | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Castle Road | 2 | Lisa Staples | P H Jordan | 54.5kg | $4.40 |
| Scr | 6 | Pingers | 1 | Natasha Faithfull | Misty Bazeley | 54kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Rolling Ruler | 4 | Troy Turner | B V Watkins | 54kg |
Her 55% place rate demonstrates consistency, and the inside barrier suits Ascot's on-pace bias.
His strong Ascot record and proven staying ability make him a genuine threat.
Fat Roy Slim benefits from a significant class drop after competing in Listed company. The William Pike booking and proven staying ability are positives, but recent form is concerning with three straight unplaced runs. The class drop may be enough to see improvement, making him a speculative third pick.
Savorski won two starts back in Open company and drops significantly in class today.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Western Lady | 2 | Lucy F Fiore | G & A Williams | 55.5kg | $1.35 |
| 2nd | 3 | Audio Boy | 4 | Holly Nottle | A G Durrant | 54kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Cheyne Bay | 9 | Clint Johnston-Porter | A G Durrant | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Fat Roy Slim | 6 | William Pike | J F Miller | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Savorski | 5 | Troy Turner | Colin Webster Jnr | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Deadly And Fast | 7 | Lisa Staples | Alan L Smith | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Guns Away | 3 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | Tania Burns | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Royal Splendour | 1 | Laqdar Ramoly | Raymond Vincent | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Zackariah Beau | 8 | Patrick Carbery | Greg Beauglehole | 55kg | $101.00 |
Her Group 2 placing last start demonstrates genuine class, while Pike's booking and perfect first-up record (won fresh) provide strong confidence. The inside barrier suits her forward racing style, and the significant weight drop to 58kg is a major positive. While the class rise is substantial, her proven ability at the highest level and elite connections make her the most reliable winning chance.
Roaming America brings the best current form to this race with two wins from his last three starts, including a dominant Class 1 victory last start. The Ascot track record is perfect, and he's shown clear improvement through the grades. The main concern is the significant class jump and wide barrier, but his form trajectory suggests he can handle the step up.
She's Capitana appeals as the best each-way chance based on her perfect second-up record and strong recent form. The close second last start behind quality opposition suggests she's ready to step up, while the significant weight advantage and good barrier provide tactical benefits. Her trainer/jockey combination shows excellent synergy, and the consistent place record makes her a solid each-way proposition despite the class rise.
God's Rapture represents value based purely on the significant class drop from Listed/Group company to this Open grade.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Ladies Pro | 2 | William Pike | G & A Williams | 58kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 3 | Split The Gee | 1 | Lucy F Fiore | Luke Fernie | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Roaming America | 8 | Jarrad Noske | Mack Hall | 58.5kg | $20.00 |
| 4th | 10 | She's Capitana | 5 | Holly Nottle | A G Durrant | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Beau's A Lad | 7 | Shaun O'Donnell | Greg Cave | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 7 | God's Rapture | 10 | Holly Watson | E A Martinovich | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Vandoula Jet | 11 | Steven Parnham | S V Vahala | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Fiery Spark | 6 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Xentaro | 4 | Chris Parnham | N D Parnham | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Melody Fair | 3 | Natika Riordan | T M Andrews | 52kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Moon Jewel | 9 | Brandon Louis | Petra Kobzova | 54kg | $151.00 |
Too Darn Stormy presents as the most reliable winning chance with strong recent form including a narrow second last start. The William Pike booking and significant class drop from previous runs provide additional confidence.
Ourgirlcanrun showed excellent form first-up and should improve second-up.
First Beach brings strong second-up credentials and is well-placed with Steven Parnham's excellent recent form. The class drop and good barrier position provide additional appeal, making him a solid each-way chance.
The Parnham/Lane combination and class drop provide additional appeal, though her overall record suggests she's better as a value play than a confident selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Ourgirlcanrun | 9 | Holly Watson | Mitchell Pateman | 54kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Too Darn Stormy | 8 | William Pike | D L Morton | 57kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Urquharts Bluff | 2 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | P H Jordan | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Main Act | 10 | Jessica Valas | R C McPherson | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Loves Talking | 6 | Brad Parnham | Luke Fernie | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Desert Life | 3 | Chris Parnham | M L Lane | 54.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Country God | 5 | Jason Brown | N D Parnham | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Superfluous | 1 | Holly Nottle | Simon Miller | 53.5kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Just Gifted | 7 | Natasha Faithfull | T W Crosby | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 3 | First Beach | 4 | Steven Parnham | C & M Gangemi | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
Black Ora maps perfectly from barrier 1 with Pike aboard, crucial advantages at the on-speed favouring Ascot track. Recent form is solid with a close 2nd at BM72+ level, and the mare has proven Ascot form with 3 wins from 10 starts. The class rise is significant but the tactical advantages and elite connections make this the standout selection.
London's Image brings strong class credentials dropping from Listed company and has proven Ascot form. The recent Listed placings show current ability, and the class drop should see improvement. However, the wide barrier and top weight are concerns on this track that favours forward positions.
The recent Listed placing confirms current ability, but the wide barrier is a major concern on this on-speed track. The class rise also adds difficulty despite the light weight advantage.
The second up record is solid and wet track ability provides insurance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | London's Image | 6 | Lucy F Fiore | G & A Williams | 58.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | Cessation | 9 | Luke Campbell | Tiarnna Noske | 55kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Earthstorm | 2 | Shaun O'Donnell | Russell Stewart | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Rissoles | 5 | Chris Parnham | Luke Fernie | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Petula | 8 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Simon Miller | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Black Ora | 1 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 55kg | $2.60 |
| 7th | 4 | Toropa | 7 | Brad Parnham | S J Miller | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Platinum Shot | 3 | Holly Nottle | D & B Pearce | 55kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Fast Flicker | 4 | Steven Parnham | T Triscari | 56.5kg |
Lightly raced 3YO filly with outstanding 67% strike rate and recent Ascot win over 1500m. Despite jockey concerns, her upward trajectory and class make her the standout.
Pike's booking on this consistent galloper signals strong stable confidence. Two recent wins including at Ascot, combined with the elite jockey/trainer combination, makes him a serious threat despite the wide draw and class rise.
Consistent galloper with excellent distance credentials and recent winning form.
Quality galloper dropping significantly in class from Open/Listed company.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Rally The Troops | 6 | Holly Nottle | D & B Pearce | 55.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Pond Master | 8 | Lucy F Fiore | Takahide Ikenushi | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Odinaka | 4 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Simply Thinkin' | 5 | Clint Johnston-Porter | A G Durrant | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Saturday Sesh | 2 | Steven Parnham | A W Maley | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Searchin' Times | 1 | Shaun O'Donnell | Summer Dickson | 54.5kg | $2.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Wembanyama | 10 | William Pike | Mack Hall | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Corn Cob | 9 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 51.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Reginald | 3 | Luke Campbell | Timothy Pike | 54kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Exceltrain | 7 | Brad Parnham | D & B Pearce | 60.5kg |
Wonderfully Made stands out as the most logical winner having won the Group 3 WA Oaks over this exact distance last start. Her perfect record at 2400m, strong staying pedigree, and excellent form progression make her the standout despite the class rise. The filly allowance and in-form jockey Lucy Fiore add further appeal.
Sentimental Legend brings strong recent form having won the Listed race last start. The William Pike booking and inside barrier are major positives at Ascot where position is crucial. While the class rise is significant, his progressive profile and tactical advantages make him a serious threat.
Masmelo showed her class winning a Listed race two starts back and has proven she can handle the 2400m distance. The tongue tie first time and strong staying connections provide hope for improvement.
Aberdeen Flyer represents value dropping back in class after competitive efforts in Listed company.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Sentimental Legend | 1 | William Pike | G & A Williams | 57kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Tahni Talk | 8 | Brayden Gaerth | S J Miller | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Masmelo | 6 | Chris Parnham | N D Parnham | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Hey True Blue | 2 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Aberdeen Flyer | 9 | Brad Parnham | S & J Casey | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Wonderfully Made | 5 | Lucy F Fiore | D L Morton | 55kg | $1.75 |
| 7th | 3 | Wynn Las Vegas | 3 | Steven Parnham | G & A Williams | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Poppy's Roses | 7 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Holly Taylor | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Sovereign Salute | 4 | Natasha Faithfull | Ms C Stelmach | 57kg | $101.00 |
Old Mate Henry gets the premium jockey booking in William Pike and showed his class with a recent placing.
The established jockey/horse combination and proven track record provide confidence, though the fitness question after 20 days and weight rise are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Fifth Essence | 11 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Brett Pope | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Defending | 5 | Holly Nottle | D & B Pearce | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 7 | Showlas | 10 | Jarrad Noske | David Catarino | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Crunchy Nut | 4 | Natasha Faithfull | Ms H Harding | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Noble Connection | 1 | Natika Riordan | D & B Pearce | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Makin Prophets | 12 | Lisa Staples | Alan L Smith | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Old Mate Henry | 7 | William Pike | Steele Casey | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 8th | 9 | Seindeel | 3 | Chris Parnham | M L Lane | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 9th | 6 | Hewilldous | 8 | Laqdar Ramoly | Meryl Hayley | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Gage Roads | 9 | Shaun O'Donnell | Mollie Clark | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Icandoit Onmyown | 6 | Jade Mc Naught | C G Willis | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Manhattan Strip | 2 | Brad Parnham | D & B Pearce | 56kg | $41.00 |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.