Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Wednesday 29 April 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Ascot. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The only horse in the field with a recent win, Redrye broke through at Albany 13 days ago and brings proven soft track ability (1-0-0 from 2 starts). The barrier 1 draw is ideal for Ascot's midweek profile where inside positions dominate. Despite the class rise and distance query, the combination of recent success, track condition suitability, and tactical advantage makes this the standout selection.
Universal Impact won impressively at this exact track and distance last start, demonstrating clear suitability for today's conditions. However, the lack of soft track experience and wide barrier present concerns for a horse that maps to settle midfield.
The barrier 2 draw provides tactical advantage, and the staying distance suits recent form patterns.
Yalda Night represents value based on the recent runner-up performance and Holly Nottle's strong current form. While winless, the improving trend and distance suitability suggest potential for an upset.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Kleva Conned | 3 | Natasha Faithfull | A W Maley | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Yalda Night | 5 | Holly Nottle | Matthew Scott | 54kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 4 | Buckland | 4 | Patrick Carbery | F R Kersley | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Pretey Royal | 2 | Brayden Gaerth | Ms S L Miller | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Redrye | 1 | Cassey Martinan | Kirsten Melis | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 2 | Universal Impact | 6 | Rocky Cheung | M Santich | 56kg | $3.70 |
The combination with Riordan has been highly successful, and the inside barrier suits her forward racing style. However, the soft track inexperience and weight rise present genuine concerns for a filly stepping up in grade.
Consistent performer with proven soft track ability and recent form. The class drop and barrier draw provide advantages, though the top weight and moderate Ascot record are concerns. Represents solid each-way value given the form credentials and track condition suitability.
Pike's engagement and gear changes suggest stable believes issues can be resolved. The class drop provides opportunity, but distance and track condition inexperience create significant risk. Represents speculative value for those believing the stable changes will unlock improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Xentaro | 3 | Chris Parnham | N D Parnham | 60kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | Mandible Magic | 1 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Don't Declare | 5 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Simon Miller | 59kg | $1.95 |
| 4th | 7 | Moon Jewel | 7 | Jefferson Tsang | Petra Kobzova | 51kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Melody Fair | 2 | Steven Parnham | T M Andrews | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Spirited Strike | 4 | Jason Whiting | L P Luciani | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Viresha | 6 | William Pike | D L Morton | 56kg | $5.50 |
Maps perfectly to settle midfield and should handle the step up to soft conditions.
Impressive trial winner last start with consistent form through three trials. The addition of blinkers and good barrier draw suggests stable confidence. Well-placed to take advantage of any tempo pressure on the leaders.
Showed promise in recent trial with a close third placing. The Pearce stable typically has their debutants well-prepared and Parnham's booking adds confidence. Inside barrier provides tactical options in what looks a competitive maiden.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Anaconda Jones | 2 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Barron Bill | 6 | William Pike | D L Morton | 57kg | $1.90 |
| 3rd | 7 | Is This Thing On | 3 | Holly Watson | Mitchell Pateman | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Saints 'n' Sinners | 10 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Simon Miller | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 4 | London Rose | 12 | Jefferson Tsang | M Santich | 52kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Superrific | 5 | Holly Nottle | A G Durrant | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Peak Tycoon | 4 | Steven Parnham | D L Morton | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 10 | She's No No | 7 | Laqdar Ramoly | Fenella Martin | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Parish Party | 8 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Aura Magna | 9 | Lucy F Fiore | D T McAuliffe | 55kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Lenny Good Child | 1 | Chris Parnham | D & B Pearce | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Brave Ego | 11 | S & J Casey | 57kg |
Dropping significantly in class from Open company to maiden level. Proven first-up performer with excellent trainer/jockey combination. Wide barrier concern but class edge should overcome.
Limited but promising form with 2nd on debut at Pinjarra. First up specialist with 100% place rate. Wide barrier suits if settling back.
Gear addition indicates preparation focus. Represents solid each-way value.
Consistent form without breakthrough win but shows ability. Jockey uncertainty main concern but form suggests each-way chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Bassett Hound | 15 | Patrick Carbery | Mitchell Pateman | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 3 | My Danny Boy | 14 | Jarrad Noske | Tiarnna Noske | 57.5kg | $2.35 |
| 3rd | 12 | Lady Mayflower | 7 | Steven Parnham | D E Skipworth | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Tedeschi | 1 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Simon Miller | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Fila Mia | 12 | Holly Watson | Jayce Buckley | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Himizu | 11 | Holly Nottle | Summer Dickson | 53.5kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Elite Enough | 9 | Jade Mc Naught | D L Morton | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Celebrity Angel | 4 | Lucy F Fiore | D & B Pearce | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Blatant Violation | 2 | William Pike | D & B Pearce | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Paris Treaty | 3 | Brad Parnham | D T McAuliffe | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 1 | The Beaugon Tap | 8 | Chloe Azzopardi | Greg Beauglehole | 58kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Chattahoochie | 6 | Laqdar Ramoly | Mack Hall | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Bahnbougle Baby | 10 | Simon Miller | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Mensesh | 13 | A W Maley | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Moon Jewel | 5 | Petra Kobzova | 55.5kg |
The Simon Miller/Clint Johnston-Porter combination is strong, and the jockey is in excellent form. Despite being winless, the filly has shown clear improvement and maps well from barrier 7.
The barrier draw is perfect for a young horse, and the recent trial win suggests improvement. However, being the only 2-year-old against older horses is a concern.
The barrier draw is ideal for settling handy, but the missing jockey booking is a significant concern that affects confidence despite strong form indicators.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Free To Fly | 7 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Simon Miller | 55.5kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 5 | Miss Santa Corrs | 3 | Holly Watson | D M Luciani | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 6 | Angel Like You | 2 | William Pike | S & J Casey | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Wild Promise | 4 | Natasha Faithfull | E A Martinovich | 53kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Ganaji Wangkathe | 9 | Laqdar Ramoly | Meryl Hayley | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Rocking In Broome | 1 | Brayden Gaerth | Ms S L Miller | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Flag High | 12 | Holly Nottle | D T McAuliffe | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Lady Lilac | 6 | Rocky Cheung | Darren Taylor | 52.5kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Breath Of Fire | 11 | Shaun O'Donnell | Ms J Clements | 56kg | $91.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Lucky Target | 8 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | Ms C Stelmach | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Token King | 10 | Taj Dyson | Mack Hall | 58kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Shimmery Star | 5 | S & J Casey | 55.5kg |
Queen Aria presents as the most reliable winning chance with strong recent form, elite connections, and proven distance ability. Her second at Pinjarra last start was excellent, and Pike's 25% strike rate with this mare provides confidence. The barrier draw suits her racing pattern perfectly for Ascot's midfield-friendly track profile.
Saxon Jewel offers strong each-way value with her close third last start and significant weight advantage. The gear change and weight drop suggest connections expect improvement, while her barrier draw suits Ascot's track bias perfectly.
Howdy brings proven class and improving form but faces the challenge of barrier 9 at Ascot.
Tribal Ruler offers exceptional value given his recent Ascot Class 3 win and ideal barrier draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Saxon Jewel | 5 | Natika Riordan | S & J Casey | 52kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Hard Solo | 2 | Natasha Faithfull | A W Maley | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Queen Aria | 6 | William Pike | A G Durrant | 58.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 4 | Highly Spoken | 8 | Victoria Corver | David Philp | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Trailer Truck | 4 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 55.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Prince Epaulette | 7 | Laqdar Ramoly | Meryl Hayley | 58kg | $3.20 |
| 7th | 8 | Tribal Ruler | 1 | Shaun O'Donnell | P W McLeod | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 1 | Howdy | 9 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | J P Taylor | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Opal Tango | 3 | Jade Mc Naught | Greg Cave | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Tosen Impact | 10 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Takahide Ikenushi | 57kg | $26.00 |
Corner Off offers excellent value as the main danger. Her soft track credentials are outstanding, and she's dropping in class after competing in stronger Victorian company.
Cleanemup represents solid each-way value with her proven soft track ability and first up credentials.
This lightly raced 3-year-old has shown consistent improvement and the step up in class may not be as daunting given his recent form progression.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Lord Shiva | 5 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 60kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 3 | Cleanemup | 7 | Rocky Cheung | N D Parnham | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Corner Off | 1 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Robert Gulberti | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Great Promise | 8 | Jason Brown | J P Taylor | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Sesh | 2 | Troy Turner | Rhys Radford | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Media Mogul | 3 | Lucy F Fiore | D T McAuliffe | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 7 | Weapons Hot | 9 | Jefferson Tsang | Cliff Howe | 53.5kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Blue Can Talk | 6 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Dellar | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Barra Mundy | 10 | Tiana Murray | E A Martinovich | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Miss Ava | 4 | Cassey Martinan | Meryl Hayley | 56.5kg |
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