Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Australian Capital Territory · Friday 8 May 2026
Our top pick won 0 of 6 races at Canberra. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The Matthew Smith/Pierre Boudvillain combination has a strong 29% strike rate, and she maps to get the right run from the wide draw in what looks a fast tempo. While she's yet to win, her consistent placings suggest she's ready to break through.
Her distance record is perfect with one placing from one start, and the lightweight 57kg with Louise Day's strong Canberra record (22% strike rate) is appealing. The good barrier draw should help her settle well in the run.
Star Of Lily brings strong credentials despite limited experience. Her third placing at this exact track and distance is a major positive, and she's first up from a spell with a solid trial. Coriah Keatings is riding in excellent form with a 25% strike rate recently, and the 55kg weight gives her a significant advantage.
The recent fourth at Gosford and strong trial form suggest he's ready to improve, though the missing jockey booking and top weight are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Sweet Rose | 3 | Louise Day | J M Austin | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 6 | The Way Ahead | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Russian Reign | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Richard Litt | 59kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 3 | Terra Lumina | 4 | Adam Farragher | J C Coyle | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 1 | Kisembo | 1 | Jessica Brookes | K Dryden & L Snowden | 57kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Satin And Cash | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Richard Litt | 57kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Star Of Lily | 6 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 55kg |
Insane Volt presents excellent value dropping from Open company to BM50 after a convincing heavy track win at Nowra.
Into The Fire has the key credential of winning at this exact track and distance in March. The class drop and proven course form make him a solid each-way chance.
The Martin/horse combination has been successful, and the class drop is significant. However, age and barrier draw are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Vainstream | 6 | Teaghan Martin | Todd Smart | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Into The Fire | 4 | Shaun Guymer | Scott Jamieson | 58.5kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Baby Daisy | 1 | Pierre Boudvillain | Nell Foley | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Beau Rock | 8 | Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen | G P Vella | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Insane Volt | 2 | Emma Ly | J Rolfe | 61kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Our Lady Rockstar | 5 | Coriah Keatings | Clare Mansell | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Daulton | 3 | Caitlin Sinclair | G Boucher | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | The Mooch | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | M C Lynch | 58kg | $4.40 |
| Scr | 2 | Discotheque | 9 | B R Mallyon | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Jackets | 6 | J Rolfe | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Jacob Joe | 2 | Becky Byrne | 56kg |
The wide barrier is a concern given Canberra's inside bias, but recent form suggests she's ready to break through.
Louise Day's strong track record and the mare's consistent form make her a solid each-way chance.
Mr Magnificence offers value as a first-up runner dropping significantly in class.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Capital Babe | 6 | Blaike Mc Dougall | K Dryden & L Snowden | 56kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 3 | Obsidian Dream | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | Joseph Pride | 57kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 7 | Prophet's Promise | 2 | Jack Martin | K Dryden & L Snowden | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Wave Dancer | 4 | Louise Day | C Maher | 56kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 4 | A Woman Scorned | 5 | Lee Magorrian | G Portelli | 56.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Think I'm In | 1 | Shaun Guymer | David Pfieffer | 59kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Mr Magnificence | 2 | Billy Owen | Todd Smart | 58kg |
The step to 2000m is untested but her breeding suggests suitability, and the moderate tempo should suit her racing pattern.
Big Time Charlie brings last-start winning form and strong distance credentials. His Queanbeyan victory was impressive, and the Van Overmeire/Pepper combination is proven.
My Greek God offers solid each-way value with proven credentials at this track and distance. His Canberra form is strong, and the second-up angle is positive. The inside barrier should help secure a forward position, crucial at this track. Class rise is a concern but his best form suggests he can be competitive.
His third at this track last start was encouraging, and the Matthew Smith stable suggests there's more improvement to come.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Big Time Charlie | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | Luke Pepper | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Southern Sky | 4 | Adam Farragher | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Knight Of Rhodes | 2 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 5 | Pure Melody | 5 | Blaike Mc Dougall | N F Gardner | 57kg | $2.05 |
| 5th | 4 | Devils Daughter | 1 | Dale Cole | P & M Cave | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Gwennybegg | 7 | Caitlin Sinclair | G Boucher | 53kg | $91.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Anladio | 6 | Damon Budler | A L McRae | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 1 | My Greek God | 2 | Lee Magorrian | Matthew Smith | 62.5kg |
Hammoon Heroine presents as the most logical winner despite class rise concerns. The Matthew Smith/Pierre Boudvillain combination shows strong synergy at 29% strike rate, offsetting jockey form concerns. Second up from spell suits her profile.
Agent Zero offers strong value as the class dropper from Group racing. The significant class drop from Group 3 to Class 1 provides the key edge, though soft track inexperience and recent Group form disappointments create some doubt about current condition.
His 1600m win and quality breeding suggest he's capable at this level when fresh.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Agent Zero | 4 | Jean Van Overmeire | C Maher | 57.5kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 8 | Kindamagic | 2 | Blaike Mc Dougall | Mitchell Maloney-Stone | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Hammett | 3 | Nick Heywood | Matthew Dale | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Hammoon Heroine | 1 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $2.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Flats | 7 | Robyn Freeman | Ms W Haynes | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Memphis Tennessee | 5 | Emma Ly | J Rolfe | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Dream Hard | 6 | Quayde Krogh | R Cole | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Passenger Princess | 8 | Jack Martin | K Dryden & L Snowden | 56kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Reef Road | 13 | K P Weir | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | The Iron Star | 4 | Marc Chevalier | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Pure Melody | 7 | N F Gardner | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Manzobeel | 7 | Claire Ramsbotham | Luke Pepper | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Zippy Lion | 9 | Joseph Ible | 55kg |
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Written By Lucy | 2 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Matchsticks | 1 | Coriah Keatings | G Portelli | 57kg | $2.30 |
| 3rd | 7 | Shoreman | 5 | Jeff Penza | K Dryden & L Snowden | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 2 | Cossack Warrior | 3 | Brodie Loy | Luke Pepper | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 1 | Button Up | 4 | Adam Farragher | Matthew Smith | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Trooper | 11 | Natalie Jarvis | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Shezain | 1 | Nick Heywood | K Dryden & L Snowden | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Zoucat | 8 | Matthew Kelley | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Pushalot | 5 | Matthew Kelley | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Bourbon Queen | 4 | Robyn Freeman | T J Wilson | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Dame Annie | 10 | J M Austin | 55kg |
Teylu stands out as the most reliable winning chance based on recent form, track specialisation, and proven ability at the distance. The 4-year-old has been ultra-consistent with 5 wins and 7 placings from 15 starts, including strong performances at this venue.
Dupli Kate presents as the main danger with her excellent fresh record and proven class. The 4-year-old mare has won twice first-up from four attempts and showed strong form before her spell.
Keikoku offers excellent each-way value with his outstanding recent consistency and track familiarity. The inside barrier draw is perfect for his on-pace style, though his inability to win at the track remains a concern.
The inside barrier draw is crucial at this track, and the Nick Heywood booking adds confidence. While her overall record is modest, the recent form spike and favourable race setup make her a strong value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Bon Frankie | 9 | Amy Mc Lucas | Aaron Clarke | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Louie's Legacy | 7 | Quayde Krogh | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 61.5kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Keikoku | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Luke Pepper | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 11 | Silent Impact | 8 | Coriah Keatings | Matthew Kelley | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Cliff House | 10 | Adam Farragher | T P Donnelly | 61kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 16 | Rubi Air | 5 | Robyn Freeman | Anthony Warren | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Dupli Kate | 3 | Blaike Mc Dougall | N F Gardner | 57kg | $2.50 |
| 8th | 3 | Rocket Tiger | 11 | Shaun Guymer | K P Weir | 61kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 15 | Cyclone Rupert | 4 | Claire Ramsbotham | Luke Pepper | 53.5kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Teylu | 6 | Pierre Boudvillain | G P Vella | 60kg | $3.60 |
| 11th | 6 | Epaullo Creed | 12 | Caitlin Sinclair | N J Olive | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Mountain Chatter | 1 | Deep Shanker | G Lukss | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 4 | West Of Dalby | 3 | Nick Heywood | Matthew Dale | 61kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Doogan's Design | 13 | P J Facoory | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Ravalli | 11 | Rob Potter | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Chasing A Quid | 15 | Damon Budler | G P Vella | 55kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Hello Jack | 15 | Cindy Pearson | 55kg |
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