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Victoria · Friday 8 May 2026

Pakenham tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 7Rail True Entire CircuitShowersPakenham track guide ›
Top pick won3/838%
Any tip won6/875%
Top pick placed6/875%
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R1

Ladbrokes Punter Assist Mdn Plate

16:45 local1400mMaiden$45,000
Winner1. GeesevenSP $1.80
★ Top pickWon
1Geeseven

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.80 · Billy Egan

Second up suits, Billy Egan booking adds intent. Barrier 8 neutral but likely midfield suits Pakenham's on-pace bias. Best winning chance.

2nd pickWon
3Aradeo

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.35 · Zac Spain

Aradeo shows consistent maiden form (3:0-1-2) with places on soft (2:0-1-1), ideal barrier 3 positions her midfield/on-pace per Pakenham bias. Recent 3rd Kyneton, 2nd Ararat soft. Hayes team reliable provincials. Strong place claim, next best win threat.

Value pickScratched
8The Alpina Penguin

Our price $8.00

Hayes debutant with trial form (3rd Caulfield Heath), barrier 5 ideal Pakenham, stable hot (cf Aradeo). Jockey-trainer 7% provincial. Proxy form (trainer/jockey/barrier) strong despite no starts; value for place/exotic.

  1. 1st1GeesevenBilly Egan$1.80
  2. 1st3AradeoZac Spain$2.35
  3. 3rd9VespersTeodore Nugent$7.00
  4. 4th5Ivy PrincessRuby Lamont$31.00
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Geeseven5Billy EganG M Begg58kg$1.80
1st3Aradeo2Zac SpainBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg$2.35
3rd9Vespers1Teodore NugentJ F Moloney56kg$7.00
4th5Ivy Princess4Ruby LamontR J Meunier53kg$31.00
5th4Congress Of Vienna3Melea CastleMarcus Fahler56kg$51.00
6th2Hansard6Jackie BerimanI M Pankhurst58kg$71.00
Scr6Let Lily Loose7M Price & M Kent Jnr56kg
Scr7Loft Vega1Alexander Rae56kg
Scr8The Alpina Penguin4Ben, Will & Jd Hayes56kg
R2

Headspace Pakenham Mdn Plate

17:15 local1400mMaiden$45,000
Winner5. Annabelle SunshineSP $3.50
★ Top pick2nd
10Just Swift

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.30 · Ben Allen

Just Swift shows best recent form with competitive placings including 3rd at Werribee 1600m before long spell. Elite jockey Ben Allen boosts chances in fast tempo race. Pakenham's long straight aids closers despite wide draw.

2nd pickWon
5Annabelle Sunshine

Our price $6.50 · SP $3.50 · Jackie Beriman

Barrier 3 ensures midfield position crucial at Pakenham. Second up fitness suits fast tempo.

3rd pick4th
2Bolshie

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Ruby Lamont

Bolshie maps ideally from barrier 4 as likely leader in fast tempo. Recent Pakenham 4th shows suitability despite winless record.

Value pickScratched
4Mag Max

Our price $20.00

Barrier 5 suits Pakenham map, lightly raced with upside.

  1. 1st5Annabelle SunshineJackie Beriman$3.50
  2. 2nd10Just SwiftBen Allen$3.30
  3. 3rd7English ValentineDamien Thornton$12.00
  4. 4th2BolshieRuby Lamont$5.50
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Annabelle Sunshine3Jackie BerimanMichael Trotter57.5kg$3.50
2nd10Just Swift9Ben AllenMitchell Freedman57.5kg$3.30
3rd7English Valentine5Damien ThorntonLuke Oliver57.5kg$12.00
4th2Bolshie4Ruby LamontP Gorman56.5kg$5.50
5th11Steal Away8Patrick MoloneyR D Griffiths57.5kg$31.00
6th12Stormriser6Ryan HoustonAleks Komarovs56kg$10.00
7th6Downtherabbithole7Bailey KinninmontBrian McGrath54.5kg$15.00
8th9Gypsy Moon2Liana WoodI M Pankhurst53.5kg$6.50
9th8Greenhill Gal1Melea CastleChris Diplock57.5kg$101.00
Scr1Analytical9Reece Goodwin59.5kg
Scr3Final Command8Alexander Rae59.5kg
Scr4Mag Max5Gary Cluning59.5kg
Scr13Midnight Loot5Remi TremsalPeter Ioannou59.5kg
R3

Cardinia Men''s Shed Mdn Plate

17:45 local1200mMaiden$45,000
Winner7. AfterbernaSP $1.45
★ Top pickWon
7Afterberna

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.45 · Ben Allen

Midfield map from barrier 8 perfectly suits Pakenham's on-pace bias where top-6 at 400m dominate. Clear top pick in maiden.

Value pick9th
8Attuma

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Logan Bates

Form trend positive in maiden company.

  1. 1st7AfterbernaBen Allen$1.45
  2. 2nd10My Bonnie LassieBailey Kinninmont$12.00
  3. 3rd9HighabovemeBen Kennedy$31.00
  4. 4th1DonatoPatrick Moloney$17.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Afterberna5Ben AllenC Maher57.5kg$1.45
2nd10My Bonnie Lassie4Bailey KinninmontJerome Hunter54.5kg$12.00
3rd9Highaboveme1Ben KennedyTori Madigan57.5kg$31.00
4th1Donato9Patrick MoloneyBrett Scott59.5kg$17.00
5th5Patriot Wolf3Teodore NugentGlen Thompson59.5kg$18.00
6th11Rhineglow8Cian MacredmondBrent Stanley57.5kg$51.00
7th12Ciphered7Billy EganGavin Bedggood57kg$5.50
8th13Delta's Gold2Liana WoodMs C Heffernan53.5kg$151.00
9th8Attuma6Logan BatesMs W Kelly57.5kg$13.00
Scr2Golden Magnate5R D Griffiths59.5kg
Scr3Johnny Tightlips1E Jusufovic59.5kg
Scr4Paramount Plus12G Eurell59.5kg
Scr6Shy Velocity1Alexander Rae59.5kg
R4

Race Day Medical ? Supporting Things That Matter Mdn Plate

18:15 local2000mMaiden$45,000
Winner2. KazungulaSP $5.50
★ Top pick2nd
11Shindy

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.20 · Ben Allen

Barrier 3 perfect for track's on-pace bias, soft record excellent (5:0-2-0). Clear class edge in weak maiden despite no win.

2nd pickWon
2Kazungula

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Nadia Daniels

Second-up stats solid (1:0-0-1), barrier 4 ideal for Pakenham's positional bias.

3rd pick3rd
5Montesquieu

Our price $8.00 · SP $4.60 · Billy Egan

Barrier 2 perfect for track bias favouring inside forwards in moderate-fast tempo. Improving trend suits step to 2000m, Egan booking positive. Solid top-3 chance despite soft query.

Value pick5th
6Poor Ol' Johny Ray

Our price $8.00 · SP $4.20 · Teodore Nugent

Backmarker but Pakenham staying allows improvement.

  1. 1st2KazungulaNadia Daniels$5.50
  2. 2nd11ShindyBen Allen$2.20
  3. 3rd5MontesquieuBilly Egan$4.60
  4. 4th13NihancanJessica Booth$91.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Kazungula4Nadia DanielsJarrod Robinson56.5kg$5.50
2nd11Shindy3Ben AllenPeter Gelagotis57.5kg$2.20
3rd5Montesquieu2Billy EganNick Ryan59.5kg$4.60
4th13Nihancan7Jessica BoothJ G Symons & S Laxon56.5kg$91.00
5th6Poor Ol' Johny Ray6Teodore NugentDenis Pagan59.5kg$4.20
6th9Autumn Diamonds8Jackie BerimanRhiannon Schiffer57.5kg$31.00
7th14First Frost10Jason MaskiellRachael Cunningham59.5kg$61.00
8th12Woolf's Prize5Caitlin HollowoodI R Jones54.5kg$31.00
9th10Ranselot9Ben KennedyMs B Dunn57.5kg$91.00
10th1Ella's Boy1Koby JenningsP A Haythorpe59.5kg$81.00
Scr3Lillard10Jason Warren59.5kg
Scr4Luxor Gold6G Eurell59.5kg
Scr7Seaborn5Jake NoonanM M Laurie59.5kg
Scr8Sitar11Rachel Samsonenko59.5kg
R5

Stableline Sky Heights Stayers Series (Bm70)

18:45 local2000mBenchmark 70$40,000
Winner2. JaykayannSP $4.20
★ Top pick4th
1A Diva

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.30 · Jackson Radley

Despite no soft record, heavy placing shows wet adaptability.

2nd pick3rd
7Jenny The Beaver

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.10 · Linda Meech

Jenny The Beaver fits Pakenham bias with barrier 4 for midfield, class drop from BM74, and recent 2nd on heavy Terang showing wet suitability (soft/heavy places). Solid place chance in moderate field.

3rd pickScratched
6Lady Thinkabell

Our price $3.50

Consistent placer with soft record (1 win, 3 places from 7), barrier 2 perfect for Pakenham's on-pace lean and likely midfield settling. Recent narrow 2nd at 2535m Morphettville Soft 6 shows stamina; class rise offset by trajectory. Slightly overbet but clear win threat.

Value pickWon
2Jaykayann

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.20 · Billy Egan

First up record poor but Payne stable targets provincials; likely sets moderate-fast tempo suiting map.

  1. 1st2JaykayannBilly Egan$4.20
  2. 2nd4Nassak DiamondHolly Durnan$14.00
  3. 3rd7Jenny The BeaverLinda Meech$3.10
  4. 4th1A DivaJackson Radley$2.30
Full result · 5 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Jaykayann1Billy EganPatrick Payne62kg$4.20
2nd4Nassak Diamond5Holly DurnanPatrick Payne56.5kg$14.00
3rd7Jenny The Beaver3Linda MeechBen O'Farrell56kg$3.10
4th1A Diva2Jackson RadleyRichard Laming60kg$2.30
5th8Lightning Flash4Patrick MoloneyBen Brisbourne55kg$10.00
Scr3Callmeanicon5Teodore NugentBill Papazaharoudakis59.5kg
Scr5Birdie Time4Ben, Will & Jd Hayes57kg
Scr6Lady Thinkabell2J G Symons & S Laxon56.5kg
R6

Smacktalk Sabaj Mile Series (Bm62)

19:15 local1400mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner14. Camp CableSP $15.00
★ Top pick2nd
10Belcony

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Jake Noonan

Belcony stands out with exceptional Pakenham form (5:2-2-0) including 2 wins at T/D (4:2-1-0). Barrier 3 perfect for midfield settling in fast tempo race suiting Pakenham's first-half bias. Significant class drop from Rest.66 enhances chances over proven soft track record.

2nd pick6th
2Brutalina

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.40 · Olivia East

Barrier 6 ideal for Pakenham's midfield bias in fast tempo. Not selected over Belcony due to superior track record.

3rd pickScratched
15Alzaro

Our price $6.50

Barrier 1 maximises Pakenham's positional bias for inside forward run. Maher/Allen elite connections (15% strike), recent Pakenham 2nd shows track affinity. Significant class drop from BM66/Cl1 to BM62 boosts chances despite 1400m query.

Value pick5th
4Glenfinnan

Our price $12.00 · SP $6.50 · Dylan Dean

Pakenham record 3:0-1-1 including T/D place shows affinity. High soft suitability perfect for conditions, barrier 8 allows midfield settling. Tolson/Proctor target wet tracks.

  1. 1st14Camp CableRyan Houston$15.00
  2. 2nd10BelconyJake Noonan$4.80
  3. 3rd7On The ProwlBilly Egan$3.00
  4. 4th3Promised LandHolly Durnan$15.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st14Camp Cable8Ryan HoustonLee & Shannon Hope58.5kg$15.00
2nd10Belcony2Jake NoonanReece Goodwin59.5kg$4.80
3rd7On The Prowl1Billy EganGavin Bedggood60kg$3.00
4th3Promised Land10Holly DurnanPatrick Payne59.5kg$15.00
5th4Glenfinnan5Dylan DeanMs L Tolson & Ms L Proctor59kg$6.50
6th2Brutalina4Olivia EastM Price & M Kent Jnr59.5kg$4.40
7th11Honey Maker9Jason MaskiellShawn Mathrick59.5kg$17.00
8th8Podargoni3Adam Mc CabeRory Hunter60kg$21.00
9th13No Overtaking7Cian MacredmondBrent Stanley58kg$31.00
10th9The Maggstar6Liana WoodTetyana Furdetska56kg$81.00
Scr1Masterful12E Jusufovic64kg
Scr5Tolpuddle5Nick Ryan61kg
Scr6Blankfield12Alexander Rae60kg
Scr12Street Lark6P G Moody & Katherine Coleman59kg
Scr15Alzaro1C Maher57.5kg
Scr16Lil Orlov12Ben Brisbourne59.5kg
R7

It''s Okay Not To Be Okay (Bm62)

19:45 local1200mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner11. BarariSP $3.70
★ Top pickWon
11Barari

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.70 · Ben Allen

Class drop from BM66+ suits, barrier 7 maps midfield to exploit Pakenham's position bias in very fast tempo. Maher/Allen combo elite (15% strike), recent form trajectory upward.

2nd pick7th
4Nasraawy

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.00 · Joe Bowditch

Soft record (26:2-4-4) handles conditions.

3rd pick11th
2Quebeck

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Olivia East

Quebeck likely leader from barrier 2, suits Pakenham on-speed lean and very fast tempo. 13 days fresh, slight class drop. Jockey concern but map/form outweighs.

Value pick12th
14Doc's Nipper

Our price $18.00 · SP $26.00 · Jason Maskiell

Barrier 8 maps midfield to suit track bias, consistent form (7341x524). Each-way value play.

  1. 1st11BarariBen Allen$3.70
  2. 2nd12Naughty SortBilly Egan$31.00
  3. 3rd10Tillya TepeNathan Punch$15.00
  4. 4th8PrincingLogan Bates$18.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st11Barari5Ben AllenC Maher57.5kg$3.70
2nd12Naughty Sort8Billy EganGlen Thompson57.5kg$31.00
3rd10Tillya Tepe12Nathan PunchR D Griffiths58kg$15.00
4th8Princing9Logan BatesJerome Hunter59.5kg$18.00
5th5Express Guard7Luke NolenBrad Cunningham60kg$26.00
6th9Salizou2Damien ThorntonMitchell Freedman58kg$14.00
7th4Nasraawy3Joe BowditchGavin Bedggood60.5kg$13.00
8th1Flying Mikki4Logan McNeilD M Noonan63kg$6.00
9th6Bark11Adam Mc CabeJ W Price59.5kg$5.00
10th3Calypso King10Fred W KersleyP Koumis61kg$10.00
11th2Quebeck1Olivia EastNathan Dunn59.5kg$10.00
12th14Doc's Nipper6Jason MaskiellPatrick Keane59kg$26.00
Scr7Firerated1Alexander Rae59.5kg
Scr13Very Torquee8Ben Brisbourne59kg
Scr15De La Rocha5D J Cave57kg
Scr16Skellig Rock10Aaron Laing55kg
R8

Do It For Dolly (Bm62)

20:15 local1000mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner10. Electric StarSP $10.00
★ Top pick5th
13Kiwi Raider

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.60 · Damien Thornton

Fast tempo and provincial BM62 suit progressive 3yo filly.

2nd pick3rd
11She Daresthe Devil

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.90 · Liana Wood

Soft record solid, light 54kg ideal for fast tempo. Barrier 9 tests but midfield map viable at Pakenham.

Value pick4th
1Core Concept

Our price $12.00 · SP $6.50 · Dylan Dean

Class dropper with perfect track/distance stats (2:1-0-1), recent soft 2nd from barrier 1.

  1. 1st10Electric StarLogan Bates$10.00
  2. 2nd7Hey Kleine MausBilly Egan$3.70
  3. 3rd11She Daresthe DevilLiana Wood$3.90
  4. 4th1Core ConceptDylan Dean$6.50
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Electric Star4Logan BatesMs L Tolson & Ms L Proctor58kg$10.00
2nd7Hey Kleine Maus6Billy EganGavin Bedggood58.5kg$3.70
3rd11She Daresthe Devil2Liana WoodKasey Besanko54kg$3.90
4th1Core Concept5Dylan DeanMichael Jones60kg$6.50
5th13Kiwi Raider1Damien ThorntonM W Walker57.5kg$4.60
6th15Forever With Ned3Jake NoonanPatrick Payne57.5kg$5.00
Scr2Killiana10Ben, Will & Jd Hayes62kg
Scr3Misty Legend1Carly Thomas62kg
Scr4Buvelot2R D Griffiths61.5kg
Scr5Strong Box1Ryan HoustonDominic Sutton58.5kg
Scr6Gliding Lightening5P G Moody & Katherine Coleman59kg
Scr8Stahnado10John McArdle58.5kg
Scr9Dragon Scroll12Clayton Douglas58kg
Scr12Maya's Ace1Ben, Will & Jd Hayes57.5kg
Scr14Flat Chat4Colin Scott57.5kg
Scr16Octrain2M Croston & G Gilmour59.5kg

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