Second up suits, Billy Egan booking adds intent. Barrier 8 neutral but likely midfield suits Pakenham's on-pace bias. Best winning chance.
Victoria · Friday 8 May 2026
Pakenham tips and results
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Ladbrokes Punter Assist Mdn Plate
Aradeo shows consistent maiden form (3:0-1-2) with places on soft (2:0-1-1), ideal barrier 3 positions her midfield/on-pace per Pakenham bias. Recent 3rd Kyneton, 2nd Ararat soft. Hayes team reliable provincials. Strong place claim, next best win threat.
Hayes debutant with trial form (3rd Caulfield Heath), barrier 5 ideal Pakenham, stable hot (cf Aradeo). Jockey-trainer 7% provincial. Proxy form (trainer/jockey/barrier) strong despite no starts; value for place/exotic.
- 1st1GeesevenBilly Egan$1.80
- 1st3AradeoZac Spain$2.35
- 3rd9VespersTeodore Nugent$7.00
- 4th5Ivy PrincessRuby Lamont$31.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Geeseven | 5 | Billy Egan | G M Begg | 58kg | $1.80 |
| 1st | 3 | Aradeo | 2 | Zac Spain | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $2.35 |
| 3rd | 9 | Vespers | 1 | Teodore Nugent | J F Moloney | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Ivy Princess | 4 | Ruby Lamont | R J Meunier | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Congress Of Vienna | 3 | Melea Castle | Marcus Fahler | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Hansard | 6 | Jackie Beriman | I M Pankhurst | 58kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Let Lily Loose | 7 | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Loft Vega | 1 | Alexander Rae | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | The Alpina Penguin | 4 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg |
Headspace Pakenham Mdn Plate
Just Swift shows best recent form with competitive placings including 3rd at Werribee 1600m before long spell. Elite jockey Ben Allen boosts chances in fast tempo race. Pakenham's long straight aids closers despite wide draw.
Barrier 3 ensures midfield position crucial at Pakenham. Second up fitness suits fast tempo.
Bolshie maps ideally from barrier 4 as likely leader in fast tempo. Recent Pakenham 4th shows suitability despite winless record.
Barrier 5 suits Pakenham map, lightly raced with upside.
- 1st5Annabelle SunshineJackie Beriman$3.50
- 2nd10Just SwiftBen Allen$3.30
- 3rd7English ValentineDamien Thornton$12.00
- 4th2BolshieRuby Lamont$5.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Annabelle Sunshine | 3 | Jackie Beriman | Michael Trotter | 57.5kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | Just Swift | 9 | Ben Allen | Mitchell Freedman | 57.5kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 7 | English Valentine | 5 | Damien Thornton | Luke Oliver | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Bolshie | 4 | Ruby Lamont | P Gorman | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 11 | Steal Away | 8 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Stormriser | 6 | Ryan Houston | Aleks Komarovs | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Downtherabbithole | 7 | Bailey Kinninmont | Brian McGrath | 54.5kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Gypsy Moon | 2 | Liana Wood | I M Pankhurst | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Greenhill Gal | 1 | Melea Castle | Chris Diplock | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Analytical | 9 | Reece Goodwin | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Final Command | 8 | Alexander Rae | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Mag Max | 5 | Gary Cluning | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Midnight Loot | 5 | Remi Tremsal | Peter Ioannou | 59.5kg |
Cardinia Men''s Shed Mdn Plate
Midfield map from barrier 8 perfectly suits Pakenham's on-pace bias where top-6 at 400m dominate. Clear top pick in maiden.
Form trend positive in maiden company.
- 1st7AfterbernaBen Allen$1.45
- 2nd10My Bonnie LassieBailey Kinninmont$12.00
- 3rd9HighabovemeBen Kennedy$31.00
- 4th1DonatoPatrick Moloney$17.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Afterberna | 5 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 57.5kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 10 | My Bonnie Lassie | 4 | Bailey Kinninmont | Jerome Hunter | 54.5kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Highaboveme | 1 | Ben Kennedy | Tori Madigan | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Donato | 9 | Patrick Moloney | Brett Scott | 59.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Patriot Wolf | 3 | Teodore Nugent | Glen Thompson | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Rhineglow | 8 | Cian Macredmond | Brent Stanley | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Ciphered | 7 | Billy Egan | Gavin Bedggood | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 13 | Delta's Gold | 2 | Liana Wood | Ms C Heffernan | 53.5kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Attuma | 6 | Logan Bates | Ms W Kelly | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Golden Magnate | 5 | R D Griffiths | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Johnny Tightlips | 1 | E Jusufovic | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Paramount Plus | 12 | G Eurell | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Shy Velocity | 1 | Alexander Rae | 59.5kg |
Race Day Medical ? Supporting Things That Matter Mdn Plate
Barrier 3 perfect for track's on-pace bias, soft record excellent (5:0-2-0). Clear class edge in weak maiden despite no win.
Second-up stats solid (1:0-0-1), barrier 4 ideal for Pakenham's positional bias.
Barrier 2 perfect for track bias favouring inside forwards in moderate-fast tempo. Improving trend suits step to 2000m, Egan booking positive. Solid top-3 chance despite soft query.
Backmarker but Pakenham staying allows improvement.
- 1st2KazungulaNadia Daniels$5.50
- 2nd11ShindyBen Allen$2.20
- 3rd5MontesquieuBilly Egan$4.60
- 4th13NihancanJessica Booth$91.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Kazungula | 4 | Nadia Daniels | Jarrod Robinson | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 11 | Shindy | 3 | Ben Allen | Peter Gelagotis | 57.5kg | $2.20 |
| 3rd | 5 | Montesquieu | 2 | Billy Egan | Nick Ryan | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 13 | Nihancan | 7 | Jessica Booth | J G Symons & S Laxon | 56.5kg | $91.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Poor Ol' Johny Ray | 6 | Teodore Nugent | Denis Pagan | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 9 | Autumn Diamonds | 8 | Jackie Beriman | Rhiannon Schiffer | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 14 | First Frost | 10 | Jason Maskiell | Rachael Cunningham | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Woolf's Prize | 5 | Caitlin Hollowood | I R Jones | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Ranselot | 9 | Ben Kennedy | Ms B Dunn | 57.5kg | $91.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Ella's Boy | 1 | Koby Jennings | P A Haythorpe | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Lillard | 10 | Jason Warren | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Luxor Gold | 6 | G Eurell | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Seaborn | 5 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Sitar | 11 | Rachel Samsonenko | 59.5kg |
Stableline Sky Heights Stayers Series (Bm70)
Despite no soft record, heavy placing shows wet adaptability.
Jenny The Beaver fits Pakenham bias with barrier 4 for midfield, class drop from BM74, and recent 2nd on heavy Terang showing wet suitability (soft/heavy places). Solid place chance in moderate field.
Consistent placer with soft record (1 win, 3 places from 7), barrier 2 perfect for Pakenham's on-pace lean and likely midfield settling. Recent narrow 2nd at 2535m Morphettville Soft 6 shows stamina; class rise offset by trajectory. Slightly overbet but clear win threat.
First up record poor but Payne stable targets provincials; likely sets moderate-fast tempo suiting map.
- 1st2JaykayannBilly Egan$4.20
- 2nd4Nassak DiamondHolly Durnan$14.00
- 3rd7Jenny The BeaverLinda Meech$3.10
- 4th1A DivaJackson Radley$2.30
Full result · 5 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Jaykayann | 1 | Billy Egan | Patrick Payne | 62kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 4 | Nassak Diamond | 5 | Holly Durnan | Patrick Payne | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Jenny The Beaver | 3 | Linda Meech | Ben O'Farrell | 56kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 1 | A Diva | 2 | Jackson Radley | Richard Laming | 60kg | $2.30 |
| 5th | 8 | Lightning Flash | 4 | Patrick Moloney | Ben Brisbourne | 55kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Callmeanicon | 5 | Teodore Nugent | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Birdie Time | 4 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Lady Thinkabell | 2 | J G Symons & S Laxon | 56.5kg |
Smacktalk Sabaj Mile Series (Bm62)
Belcony stands out with exceptional Pakenham form (5:2-2-0) including 2 wins at T/D (4:2-1-0). Barrier 3 perfect for midfield settling in fast tempo race suiting Pakenham's first-half bias. Significant class drop from Rest.66 enhances chances over proven soft track record.
Barrier 6 ideal for Pakenham's midfield bias in fast tempo. Not selected over Belcony due to superior track record.
Barrier 1 maximises Pakenham's positional bias for inside forward run. Maher/Allen elite connections (15% strike), recent Pakenham 2nd shows track affinity. Significant class drop from BM66/Cl1 to BM62 boosts chances despite 1400m query.
Pakenham record 3:0-1-1 including T/D place shows affinity. High soft suitability perfect for conditions, barrier 8 allows midfield settling. Tolson/Proctor target wet tracks.
- 1st14Camp CableRyan Houston$15.00
- 2nd10BelconyJake Noonan$4.80
- 3rd7On The ProwlBilly Egan$3.00
- 4th3Promised LandHolly Durnan$15.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 14 | Camp Cable | 8 | Ryan Houston | Lee & Shannon Hope | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Belcony | 2 | Jake Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 59.5kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 7 | On The Prowl | 1 | Billy Egan | Gavin Bedggood | 60kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Promised Land | 10 | Holly Durnan | Patrick Payne | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Glenfinnan | 5 | Dylan Dean | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 2 | Brutalina | 4 | Olivia East | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 11 | Honey Maker | 9 | Jason Maskiell | Shawn Mathrick | 59.5kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Podargoni | 3 | Adam Mc Cabe | Rory Hunter | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 13 | No Overtaking | 7 | Cian Macredmond | Brent Stanley | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 9 | The Maggstar | 6 | Liana Wood | Tetyana Furdetska | 56kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Masterful | 12 | E Jusufovic | 64kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Tolpuddle | 5 | Nick Ryan | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Blankfield | 12 | Alexander Rae | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Street Lark | 6 | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Alzaro | 1 | C Maher | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Lil Orlov | 12 | Ben Brisbourne | 59.5kg |
It''s Okay Not To Be Okay (Bm62)
Class drop from BM66+ suits, barrier 7 maps midfield to exploit Pakenham's position bias in very fast tempo. Maher/Allen combo elite (15% strike), recent form trajectory upward.
Soft record (26:2-4-4) handles conditions.
Quebeck likely leader from barrier 2, suits Pakenham on-speed lean and very fast tempo. 13 days fresh, slight class drop. Jockey concern but map/form outweighs.
Barrier 8 maps midfield to suit track bias, consistent form (7341x524). Each-way value play.
- 1st11BarariBen Allen$3.70
- 2nd12Naughty SortBilly Egan$31.00
- 3rd10Tillya TepeNathan Punch$15.00
- 4th8PrincingLogan Bates$18.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Barari | 5 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 12 | Naughty Sort | 8 | Billy Egan | Glen Thompson | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Tillya Tepe | 12 | Nathan Punch | R D Griffiths | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Princing | 9 | Logan Bates | Jerome Hunter | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Express Guard | 7 | Luke Nolen | Brad Cunningham | 60kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Salizou | 2 | Damien Thornton | Mitchell Freedman | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Nasraawy | 3 | Joe Bowditch | Gavin Bedggood | 60.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Flying Mikki | 4 | Logan McNeil | D M Noonan | 63kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Bark | 11 | Adam Mc Cabe | J W Price | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Calypso King | 10 | Fred W Kersley | P Koumis | 61kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Quebeck | 1 | Olivia East | Nathan Dunn | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 12th | 14 | Doc's Nipper | 6 | Jason Maskiell | Patrick Keane | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Firerated | 1 | Alexander Rae | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Very Torquee | 8 | Ben Brisbourne | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | De La Rocha | 5 | D J Cave | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Skellig Rock | 10 | Aaron Laing | 55kg |
Do It For Dolly (Bm62)
Fast tempo and provincial BM62 suit progressive 3yo filly.
Soft record solid, light 54kg ideal for fast tempo. Barrier 9 tests but midfield map viable at Pakenham.
Class dropper with perfect track/distance stats (2:1-0-1), recent soft 2nd from barrier 1.
- 1st10Electric StarLogan Bates$10.00
- 2nd7Hey Kleine MausBilly Egan$3.70
- 3rd11She Daresthe DevilLiana Wood$3.90
- 4th1Core ConceptDylan Dean$6.50
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Electric Star | 4 | Logan Bates | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Hey Kleine Maus | 6 | Billy Egan | Gavin Bedggood | 58.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 11 | She Daresthe Devil | 2 | Liana Wood | Kasey Besanko | 54kg | $3.90 |
| 4th | 1 | Core Concept | 5 | Dylan Dean | Michael Jones | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 13 | Kiwi Raider | 1 | Damien Thornton | M W Walker | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 15 | Forever With Ned | 3 | Jake Noonan | Patrick Payne | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Killiana | 10 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Misty Legend | 1 | Carly Thomas | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Buvelot | 2 | R D Griffiths | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Strong Box | 1 | Ryan Houston | Dominic Sutton | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Gliding Lightening | 5 | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Stahnado | 10 | John McArdle | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Dragon Scroll | 12 | Clayton Douglas | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Maya's Ace | 1 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Flat Chat | 4 | Colin Scott | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Octrain | 2 | M Croston & G Gilmour | 59.5kg |
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