Jockey-trainer 26% strike rate, heavy experience without major penalty. Recent form shows closing ability; position at 400m likely top 3-4. Form justifies favoritism in low-class maiden on position-driven track.
Queensland · Friday 15 May 2026
Cairns tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Cairns. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Ladbrokes Mates Mode Mdn Hcp
Barrier 1 gives perfect map to lead or sit handy on position-biased Cairns (heavy 9). Consistent in maidens, fitness from 14 days ago. Fast tempo suits on-speed profile; clear top form pick despite no win.
Barrier 4 ideal for midfield position at 400m on tight Cairns. Young gelding dropping class significantly; speed map leader potential. Jockey solid locally. Value in lightly raced profile despite limited heavy form.
Filly drops class; inside draw + speed overcomes limited form.
- 1st3Rocky PrinceNathan Thomas$4.80
- 2nd4Sensei GirlIvo Fry$14.00
- 3rd2Monty RoadSamantha Pointon$4.80
- 4th8I'lltellyouafterSean Cormack$2.15
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Rocky Prince | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 57.5kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Sensei Girl | 2 | Ivo Fry | Gavin Kinlyside | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Monty Road | 1 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 56kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 8 | I'lltellyouafter | 3 | Sean Cormack | S Massingham | 54.5kg | $2.15 |
| 5th | 6 | Sweet 'n' Elite | 8 | Shohei Kaya | Ms R Inglis | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Trusting Star | 7 | Wanderson D'Avila | Gavin Kinlyside | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Betta Win | 9 | Lacey Morrison | A R Bailey | 54.5kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Raar | 5 | Rachel Shred | A R Bailey | 56kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Esprit Lad | 6 | T Button | 60kg |
DNC Plumbing Hcp
Barrier 5 ideal for Cairns positional bias, mapping midfield on fast tempo. Recent narrow 2nd at Townsville confirms fitness. Value overlay here on heavy 9.
Insta Worthy maps ideally from barrier 3 to hold forward position critical at Cairns (winners from top 6 at 400m). Light weight and jockey's 23% Cairns strike enhance prospects on wet track. Solid recent form including 2nd to Mister Doobee. Complements top pick in multis.
Heavy winner from barrier 6 suits map. Upside on heavy where unexposed positively.
Recent class drop win shows fitness; light weight ideal for heavy.
- 1st1BetterlucknexttimeRyan Wiggins$4.00
- 2nd5Insta WorthyLacey Morrison$4.00
- 3rd7Raff VaderSean Cormack$8.50
- 4th2Nottington PrinceAidan Holt$6.50
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Betterlucknexttime | 1 | Ryan Wiggins | Ms J Hassett | 60kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Insta Worthy | 3 | Lacey Morrison | Sharlee Hoffman | 55kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Raff Vader | 7 | Sean Cormack | S Massingham | 54kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Nottington Prince | 5 | Aidan Holt | Ms J Hassett | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Exodas | 2 | Lachie Manzelmann | 57kg | $3.30 | |
| 6th | 3 | Mister Doobee | 4 | Ivo Fry | Krystin Allender | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Nordic Invader | 6 | Nathan Thomas | S Massingham | 55kg |
Aussie Drill Kings (Bm55)
Threebrothers stands out on pure form with 12:2-3-1 at track/distance and heavy record of 5:1-1-1. Recent win (950m Heavy 9) and close 2nd (950m Heavy 10) at Cairns show suitability.
Maps as leader on fast tempo suiting Cairns on-pace bias. Class rise from maiden win is concern but inside draw and connections provide edge. Not top pick due to form limitations vs proven BM55 rivals.
Our Addiction shows improving form with recent win and barrier 3 perfect for inside bias. Midfield map fits Cairns positional demands where top 6 at 400m dominate. Lacks heavy black-type but recent fitness and class drop help. Solid place chance in heavy conditions.
Heavy winner previously, dropping class, and tongue tie could spark improvement despite recent form dip.
- 1st1ThreebrothersRachel Shred$8.50
- 2nd2She's SpeedyRyan Wiggins$1.50
- 3rd4Fancy GarterAidan Holt$9.00
- 4th3KitemaSean Cormack$8.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Threebrothers | 7 | Rachel Shred | A R Bailey | 60.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | She's Speedy | 2 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 59.5kg | $1.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Fancy Garter | 5 | Aidan Holt | A R Bailey | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Kitema | 4 | Sean Cormack | A R Bailey | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Shere Khan | 6 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Our Addiction | 3 | Lacey Morrison | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Irish Gift | 1 | Wanderson D'Avila | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Airborne Hotdog | 8 | Scott Cooper | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Accept Power | 2 | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 56kg |
Babinda Electrics Hcp
Prime inside barrier 2 suits Cairns' strong positional bias favouring 1-6. First up stats solid (3:1-1-0), maps midfield in fast tempo from likely leaders #1-2. Superior class from metro/Open form outweighs unproven heavy despite track Heavy 9. Best form profile for win.
Barrier 1 is gold on heavy Cairns where inside 1-6 dominate. First up record solid, maps prominently in fast tempo. Massingham barn in form with multiple runners. Unproven heavy but positional advantage and track affinity make strong place claim despite class rise.
Barrier 3 perfectly positioned for Cairns bias. Consistent track performer (11 starts, multiple places) with good T&D record. Second up from spell with stats showing improvement second up. Light weight, recent fitness from 16-day backup, maps on-pace in speed map.
Recent fitness trumps first-uppers, track places, light weight. Barrier 7 concern on bias track but wet expertise and fast tempo may suit late charge.
- 1st3Blue StratumSean Cormack$3.20
- 2nd2Lady DamusRyan Wiggins$4.80
- 3rd7Machine HeadKrysten Swaffer$6.00
- 4th6Sowilo SirenLacey Morrison$3.10
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Blue Stratum | 2 | Sean Cormack | S Massingham | 54kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 2 | Lady Damus | 6 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 7 | Machine Head | 7 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Sowilo Siren | 5 | Lacey Morrison | Sharlee Hoffman | 54kg | $3.10 |
| 5th | 5 | Almighty Jab | 1 | Nathan Thomas | S Massingham | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Bloomin' Ripper | 3 | Rachel Shred | Sharlee Hoffman | 54kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Missile Thunder | 4 | Lauren Guernier | F J Wieland | 63kg | $26.00 |
Red Beret Hotel (Bm50)
Heavy record 1:0-1-0 includes strong 2nd on Heavy 9 carrying 59kg. Barrier 6 suits likely midfield map on Cairns' first-half bias track.
Heavy record 2:1-0-0 ideal for conditions; huge drop from BM65 suits. Barrier 7 allows midfield settling for Cairns bias. Lacey Morrison (23% track strike) boosts connections.
Local runner with prior Cairns 3rd (Heavy 8); dropping class. Recent heavy finishes competitive despite form dip. Barrier 8 suits likely leader/midfield per speed map. Major overlay; suits moderate-fast tempo.
Class drop enhances chances in position-biased race.
- 1st3TsunamiAidan Holt$5.00
- 2nd1VerbalizeLauren Guernier$3.40
- 3rd6EyeleftitLacey Morrison$3.00
- 4th7StarmeiraIvo Fry$6.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Tsunami | 3 | Aidan Holt | O Chillemi | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Verbalize | 6 | Lauren Guernier | Athol Ryan | 60kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 6 | Eyeleftit | 7 | Lacey Morrison | Bodine Bailey | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Starmeira | 2 | Ivo Fry | Krystin Allender | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Third Master | 8 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Bombinate | 4 | Masayuki Abe | Louise Terzi | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Brand New | 1 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Rose Of Athens | 5 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
Cairns Car Brokers Hcp (C4)
Cyclone Coco tops form assessment with proven heavy track record (1 win from 6) and sizzling recent wins on wet tracks including Cairns heavy 10 victory. Low 54kg weight and barrier 5 position it to settle midfield-forward, ideal for Cairns' first-half bias in moderate-fast tempo. Class rise offset by fitness and suitability.
Our Missile maps ideally from barrier 1 to hold forward spot in position-driven Cairns track. Recent form outstanding (win, 2nd, 3rd) with soft success, low weight suits heavy. Jockey Cormack excels locally. Lacks heavy form but unexposed negative not penalised heavily; class rise manageable from lower grades. Solid place chance in moderate-fast tempo favouring on-pace.
Kickagoal Kenny loves Cairns with excellent record including T/D success. Second-up from spell where it performs well, recent sharp 2nd shows fitness. Barrier 6 suits midfield settling for track bias. Gear tweak positive, strong jockey combo.
Barrier 3 positions it forward as likely leader, suiting Cairns bias despite low leaders win rate in small sample. Winkers on first time could sharpen; proven wet performer. Recent fade offset by class drop potential and overlay vs form peers.
- 1st7Our MissileSean Cormack$4.20
- 2nd8Fools PlayLacey Morrison$2.90
- 3rd1AcclimatiseIvo Fry$21.00
- 4th6Kickagoal KennyKrysten Swaffer$5.50
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Our Missile | 1 | Sean Cormack | Lachie Manzelmann | 54.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Fools Play | 8 | Lacey Morrison | S J Royes | 54kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 1 | Acclimatise | 2 | Ivo Fry | Krystin Allender | 63kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Kickagoal Kenny | 6 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Cyclone Coco | 5 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 54kg | $3.90 |
| 6th | 4 | Eclipsion | 3 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Hyde Park | 4 | T Button | 62.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | First Man | 7 | Aidan Holt | Ms J Hassett | 57.5kg |
TJ Casey Racing (Bm65)
Heavy record 2:1-0-0 critical on Heavy 9 with showers. Fast tempo suits improving finishers. Wiggins booking adds intent.
Stands out on Heavy 9 with 4:1-1-2 record including close 2nd Heavy 10 (Innisfail) and 3rd Heavy 9 (Cairns). Barrier 4 ideal for midfield settling on position-biased track. Class drop helps, consistent form. Fast tempo may suit vs leaders.
Cairns track specialist with 11:3-2-2 record, 5:2-0-1 at T&D. Big class drop from recent BM60. Consistent recent form, Morrison (23% track) excellent book. Barrier 9 concern on bias track but fast tempo may help midfield shift. Solid place claim despite heavy query.
Value roughie with exceptional Cairns stats (13:0-6-3, T&D 12:0-6-3) and heavy 5:0-3-0. 55kg light on wet track, barrier 6 suits midfield needs. Consistent recent 544 form.
- 1st1NolanAidan Holt$11.00
- 2nd4Buffet BusterWanderson D'Avila$21.00
- 3rd7Line 'em Up LouiRyan Wiggins$2.50
- 4th8SkogafossLacey Morrison$4.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Nolan | 5 | Aidan Holt | S J Royes | 61kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Buffet Buster | 8 | Wanderson D'Avila | A R Bailey | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Line 'em Up Loui | 3 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Skogafoss | 9 | Lacey Morrison | Dean Piccolo | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Materialist | 4 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Ellie's Dream | 6 | Lauren Guernier | F J Wieland | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Irresistible Force | 10 | Ivo Fry | A R Bailey | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Betta Al | 7 | Nathan Thomas | A R Bailey | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 3 | Nippa's Nightcap | 2 | Rachel Shred | Sharlee Hoffman | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Swatow | 1 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 61kg | $21.00 |
Ladbrokes Owners Promotion Plate (C2)
Kirikan stands out on pure form with consistent placings (53233x26332) including recent strong finishes at Townsville/Cairns. Heavy record 4:0-1-2 provides key edge on Heavy 9. Barrier 7 ideal for middle bias, maps midfield to exploit fast tempo per speed map. Wiggins (13% track) retains ride.
Morrison's 23% track strike rate huge positive. Light weight and forward map suit fast tempo/heavy track. Solid place chance even if class rise tests.
Floral Legend peaking with back-to-back wins including recent Mt Garnet Class B. Barrier 6 and bottom weight 55kg ideal for Heavy 9 Cairns where lightweights prosper. Recent heavy 2nd at track shows suitability.
Barrier 2 perfect for track bias, heavy record 3:0-1-1 reliable. Despite topweight, recent win trumps most and maps prominently in fast tempo. Clear overlay.
- 1st8MclovinLacey Morrison$3.90
- 2nd2Tipped OffShohei Kaya$26.00
- 3rd6KirikanRyan Wiggins$2.30
- 4th10She's A BeautyAidan Holt$5.50
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Mclovin | 1 | Lacey Morrison | Sharlee Hoffman | 58.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 2 | Tipped Off | 4 | Shohei Kaya | A R Bailey | 60kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Kirikan | 7 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 58.5kg | $2.30 |
| 4th | 10 | She's A Beauty | 10 | Aidan Holt | S J Royes | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 13 | Airborne Hotdog | 2 | Wanderson D'Avila | Scott Cooper | 60kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Floral Legend | 6 | Lauren Guernier | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Down The Kooka | 8 | Masayuki Abe | Louise Terzi | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Sweet Candy | 5 | Rachel Shred | Rachel Shred | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Leconfield | 9 | Nathan Thomas | O Chillemi | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Charm Teller | 12 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 56.5kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Sharman Pete | 11 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 60kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Betterlucknexttime | 6 | Ms J Hassett | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Nottington Prince | 4 | Ms J Hassett | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Majestic Blaze | 3 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 56kg |
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