Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Sunday 24 May 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Nowra. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Winnie Fortune stands out as the heavy track specialist with her only career win coming on Heavy 9 at Nowra. Second up from spell with positive record (0-0-1 from 2 starts), she showed strong form last start finishing second in soft conditions. The addition of blinkers first time is a positive gear change, and her light weight of 57kg provides a significant advantage in these conditions.
The inside barrier is crucial on heavy tracks, and the Boudvillain/Williams combination has good strike rates. Recent trial win shows fitness, though limited heavy track exposure and top weight are concerns.
Vereeva offers strong value with her excellent heavy track credentials (2 wins from 6 starts) and positive second up record. Barrier 3 is ideal for the conditions despite jockey concerns.
The significant class drop from recent higher grade races creates opportunity, and the lugging bit first time may address recent wayward tendencies. His BM58 win in April shows he has the class for this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Silver Serenade | 1 | Pierre Boudvillain | D A Williams | 61kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Winnie Fortune | 5 | Amy Mc Lucas | Jamie Stewart | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 2 | Drama Dodger | 6 | Teaghan Martin | G G Kirkup | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Vereeva | 3 | Robyn Freeman | B L Adams | 59.5kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 5 | Santolini | 4 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | G G Kirkup | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Sogeri | 8 | Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen | J Rolfe | 52kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Insane Volt | 7 | Quayde Krogh | J Rolfe | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 3 | I Show Speed | 2 | Jack Martin | Todd Smart | 60kg |
His soft track credentials (3 wins, 3 seconds from 13 starts) provide confidence despite heavy track inexperience. Recent placings at Albury and Canberra show he's racing well, and the moderate tempo should suit his running style from barrier 5.
His close third at Hawkesbury and Bathurst win demonstrate staying ability, while recent form suggests improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | It Is To Be | 9 | Shaun Guymer | Pat Murphy | 55.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 4 | Septimus | 1 | Keagan Latham | Matthew Smith | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 2 | Taytay Bay | 5 | Brodie Loy | Luke Pepper | 58.5kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 1 | Devil Rider | 8 | Pierre Boudvillain | Danielle Seib | 60kg | $4.80 |
| Scr | 3 | Lots To Love | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | King Edward | 7 | Jeff Penza | Matthew Kelley | 57kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Knight Of Rhodes | 2 | Ashley Morgan | Matthew Smith | 55kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Big Time Charlie | 6 | Luke Pepper | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Dance With Destiny | 4 | Alysha Collett | J G Sargent | 55kg |
Rawano offers speculative value based on the recent narrow second at Moruya and significant class drop. The extensive local knowledge at Nowra and weight relief provide hope, though the overall record is concerning.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Wire To Wire | 4 | Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen | J Rolfe | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Step Quick | 7 | Alysha Collett | Matthew Kelley | 59kg | $2.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Masked Vision | 8 | Brodie Loy | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 8 | Goddess Minerva | 5 | Jeff Penza | T J Robinson | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Survivabeel | 10 | Amy Mc Lucas | S W Coady | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Zillenial | 3 | Ellen Hennessy | M D Sparrow | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Rawano | 6 | Robyn Freeman | Gary Crossley | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Loujen Francaise | 9 | Emma Ly | John Morrison | 55kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Rosenblum | 11 | Pierre Boudvillain | Danielle Seib | 59kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Fortythreebeans | 2 | Keagan Latham | Matthew Dale | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Voynichese | 1 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 55kg |
Baker's proven ability with first-starters combined with Ashley Morgan's excellent 21% strike rate at Nowra provides confidence. The addition of ear muffs suggests stable readiness, and absence of negative form in this weak maiden field is advantageous.
The 54kg minimum weight provides a crucial advantage on the heavy track, while his previous Nowra second demonstrates track suitability.
The Tagaloa filly has shown quality form including recent placings, though the inside barrier on heavy track and jockey form concerns temper enthusiasm. Worth a small value play in weak maiden company.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Don't What Me | 6 | Mitchell Bell | J C Coyle | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Ho Aloha | 2 | Alysha Collett | David Pfieffer | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Power Hungry | 10 | Jessica Brookes | J M Sharah | 54kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Artistic Lady | 3 | Siena Grima | G Portelli | 57kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 2 | Life Is A Shiraz | 7 | Ashley Morgan | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 6th | 6 | The Force Awakens | 11 | Amy Mc Lucas | C Karakatsanis | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Novel Attraction | 8 | Robyn Freeman | Gary Crossley | 55.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Pink Silk | 9 | Quayde Krogh | Paul Murray | 57kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Capone | 1 | Brock Ryan | John Thompson | 59kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Russian Reign | 12 | Richard Litt | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Pacific Diamond | 5 | Keagan Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 55kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Style Of Dubai | 4 | Adam Farragher | C Maher | 55kg |
The significant class drop from previous runs, combined with the strong Morgan/Smith partnership, makes him the most likely winner despite his maiden status.
Will The Thinker's heavy track second at this venue gives him a significant edge in these conditions. The strong stable form and proven wet track ability make him a serious threat despite limited experience.
Tragedies shows a clear upward trajectory in recent form and has the class to be competitive. The improving pattern and suitable distance make her a place chance despite the winless record.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Will The Thinker | 6 | Pierre Boudvillain | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 2 | Kharif | 10 | Keagan Latham | C Maher | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Master Of War | 3 | Ashley Morgan | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 7 | So Superior | 7 | Olivia Chambers | Ms A Turner | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Think I'm In | 1 | Shaun Guymer | David Pfieffer | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Sonnig | 11 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Anthony Mountney | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Tragedies | 2 | Siena Grima | G Portelli | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 11 | Burnt Fingers | 9 | Quayde Krogh | Paul Murray | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Prophet's Promise | 5 | Jack Martin | K Dryden & L Snowden | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Second Deb | 12 | Mitchell Bell | J A Steinmetz | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Crudo | 14 | Adam Farragher | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Stars And Spangles | 8 | Emma Ly | J Rolfe | 57kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Kittano | 4 | Brock Ryan | G D Hickman | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | So Precise | 13 | Amy Mc Lucas | Ms A Turner | 59kg |
Written By Lucy stands out as the most reliable heavy track performer with a proven winning record at Nowra. Her recent Class 2 victory and strong partnership with Budler, combined with her excellent wet track statistics, make her the standout selection despite the class rise.
Ride The River brings strong recent heavy track form including a last-start win. The top weight is a concern but his proven ability on heavy surfaces and consistent recent performances make him a genuine threat in these conditions.
Milly Molly Mandy represents excellent value given her perfect heavy track record and light weight.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Written By Lucy | 9 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Ride The River | 8 | Adam Farragher | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 61.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | A Book Of Days | 5 | Quayde Krogh | J Rolfe | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Jalmari | 6 | Amy Mc Lucas | G Backhouse | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Prefer Diamonds | 2 | Olivia Chambers | Jason Attard | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Fine Wine | 7 | Siena Grima | G Portelli | 57.5kg | $3.90 |
| 7th | 10 | Milly Molly Mandy | 10 | Brock Ryan | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Lethal Love | 1 | Dale Cole | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Stormbringer | 4 | Keagan Latham | Matthew Dale | 58kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Webejamin | 3 | Shaun Guymer | Stephen O'Halloran | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Prorata | 11 | Mitch Stapleford | G D Hickman | 56kg |
Spiritualistic stands out as the most logical winner based on her exceptional heavy track record and proven ability at this track and distance.
Jackpot Star offers solid each-way value with proven heavy track ability and track familiarity. The Latham/Dale combination is reliable, and despite the wide draw, his consistent form and heavy track credentials make him a strong place chance with winning upside.
Craft represents value as a roughie chance with solid heavy track credentials and distance suitability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Spiritualistic | 6 | Adam Farragher | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Omnic | 1 | Mitchell Bell | C Maher | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 13 | London Star | 5 | Amy Mc Lucas | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 16 | Airliner | 17 | Jeff Penza | T J Robinson | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 15 | Lantau Island | 9 | Ms T Bateup | 55.5kg | $21.00 | |
| 6th | 1 | Craft | 2 | Sairyn Fawke | Becky Byrne | 61kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 17 | Go Gazza | 12 | Cindy Pearson | 55kg | $15.00 | |
| 8th | 2 | Jackpot Star | 10 | Keagan Latham | Matthew Dale | 61kg | $3.70 |
| 9th | 10 | Hello Jack | 7 | Cindy Pearson | 57.5kg | $21.00 | |
| 10th | 6 | Dubai Centre | 15 | Quayde Krogh | J Rolfe | 59kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Rico Suave | 8 | Ellen Hennessy | Stephen O'Halloran | 61kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Altair I Am | 4 | Jake Hull | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Blue Monday | 13 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Win The Day | 16 | Alysha Collett | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 58kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Felis Chaus | 11 | Mitchell Bell | Richard Litt | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | La Bella Bondi | 3 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 57kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Shezain | 14 | Jessica Brookes | K Dryden & L Snowden | 55kg |
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