Grafton tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $10.00 · Justin P Stanley

Pacific Reel arrives in career-best form with back-to-back placings, most recently 2nd at Grafton on Heavy 9 and 2nd at Inverell on Soft 5. Barrier 3 is ideal for Grafton's dominant front-three-at-400m pattern on Soft. The step up to 1635m suits a horse that has been finishing strongly at 1400-1420m. Soft track record is positive.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.35 · Nick Heywood

However, the complete absence of soft track experience is a significant concern on today's Soft 6 surface. Blinkers first time may help, but barrier 8 and an unproven jockey combination add risk.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Archie Mc Colm

The significant class drop and lightest weight at 53kg are positives. However, no soft track wins from 2 attempts and a new jockey combination temper enthusiasm.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Grady Spokes

Dancing Tilda has shown wet track ability with back-to-back 3rd placings on heavy ground, and the soft track record includes a placing.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · Nick Heywood

The horse has genuine Grafton affinity with a win at 1720m and a placing at 1420m on Soft, and barrier 2 is ideal for the track's leader bias.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Grace Palmer

Divine Effort is the only runner with a Grafton win on its record, taking out a Maiden at 1708m in April. Barrier 4 is perfectly placed for the track's leader bias on Soft, and the horse has shown wet track ability with a placing at Coffs Harbour on Heavy 8. The concerns are the class rise, no soft track wins, and a declining recent form trend.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.10 · Nick Heywood

Gaylord is the standout selection based on an exceptional Grafton track and distance record of 2 wins and 1 place from 3 starts. Proven on soft tracks and drawn perfectly in barrier 3 to exploit Grafton's front-three-at-400m bias. Won at Grafton on Soft 7 previously and has placed twice at this track. The main concern is the new jockey booking and top weight, but the form credentials at this specific venue and distance are compelling.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · Luke Rolls

Barrier 4 is ideal for Grafton's front-three bias. The concern is a soft track record showing no wins or places from 3 starts on soft going, which is a meaningful negative given today's Soft 6 conditions. However, the raw speed and second-up pattern make this a genuine contender.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Jon Grisedale

Miss Mercy has a solid soft track record of 1 win and 2 places from 8 starts on soft going, which is the key positive for today's Soft 6 conditions. Barrier 2 is ideal for Grafton's inside bias. However, the last start was a poor 11th at Inverell and the jockey/trainer combination has no recorded history. The gear change removing the tongue control bit could be a positive signal.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Nick Heywood

However, barrier 12 is a significant negative at Grafton on Soft where inside draws dominate, and the jockey has no track record here.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Jason Taylor

The improving form trend and distance drop from 1400-1600m to 1205m are positives. However, two unplaced runs and a first-up spell status create uncertainty.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Grady Spokes

The soft track record is strong with 40% place rate from 20 starts. Grady Spokes is in good form.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Jon Grisedale

The class drop from BM66 to BM58 is a genuine advantage, and the horse has demonstrated wet track ability winning on Soft 5 at Port Macquarie. The Grisedale combination has a solid record together.

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00

Gaming has the best track and distance record in the field with 2 wins from 6 starts at Grafton at this distance. Barrier 7 suits the Grafton Soft track profile perfectly. The horse has won at BM58 level at Grafton and on Soft 7 at Lismore. The main concern is no jockey named, which reduces confidence in stable intent.