Casterton tips and results

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.10 · Shayleigh Ingelse

He steps out second-up with barrier 1 and a trainer who can ready them.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Melissa Julius

Juno's Song didn't flop on debut on heavy, running on okay for 7th. The addition of blinkers and a better draw suggest she can improve sharply. Not the most reliable but has upside.

Our price $3.33 · SP $6.00 · Rochelle Milnes

Magic Machine brings the best heavy-track credentials in this maiden, having finished a close second on Heavy 8 at Horsham over 1400m last start. The filly gets a 2kg weight advantage over many rivals and has shown she can sustain a run in testing ground. While drawn wide, the long Casterton straight and likely fast tempo should allow her to find cover and produce a strong late burst. She represents the most reliable winning chance in a moderate field.

Our price $12.50 · SP $11.00 · Shayleigh Ingelse

Beersbeforemuscatt is a filly on the improve, stepping up from a 4th at this track over 1200m to today's 1400m journey. Her heavy track credentials are untested, but her soft track performance and running style suggest she can handle a bit of give in the ground.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.90 · Sarah Field

Janey Bopper has been knocking on the door with solid performances on heavy going, including a runner-up effort at Stawell. She gets an inside barrier and a jockey who excels at Casterton, mapping well for a prominent finish.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.60 · Jacob Opperman

Path To Victory is progressing nicely, coming off a strong second on heavy ground at Stawell over 2000m. He drops slightly in distance but retains fitness and draws well. With natural improvement, he is a major threat.

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.50 · Ryan Hurdle

Specky Boy is a wet-track specialist who has hit form with two solid runs on heavy ground.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.70 · Rochelle Milnes

First Division is the most suitable horse for Casterton's heavy ground. She showed she can handle the deepest conditions with a close third at Hamilton on Heavy10. With a likely fast tempo she can sit midfield and unleash a finishing burst. She represents the most balanced form and conditions play.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.00 · Linda Meech

The Mariner is a Casterton winner and has shown he can handle heavy ground, placing twice from eight attempts. He gets a significant weight drop and a top jockey on a track she knows well. He is best suited as a place chance but could threaten if he recaptures his best.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Rochelle Milnes

Disco Talk presents as the strongest form and value play. She won on heavy ground at Mt Gambier, then returned from a spell with a bold second on soft. Second up and dropping to a winnable Rest56 grade, she maps perfectly from barrier 4 to sit handy and unleash a sustained finish.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Ryan Hurdle

Thunderanlightning is a genuine wet-track galloper with three heavy wins and strong overall statistics. Drawn ideally in barrier 2, he can sit on the pace in a race that lacks depth. He drops in grade and should be right in the finish.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Jacob Opperman

Sierra Blanca has shown genuine ability on heavy ground, winning her maiden on the surface and chasing home well last start at Hamilton. She maps nicely from barrier 6 and is still open to improvement.

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Chelsea Thompson

Loose Lip Lloyd is a proven heavy-track specialist with five career wins in the wet. He drops significantly in class from BM66 to Rest56 and gets in with just 56kg after the claim. He is a serious long-shot threat.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.40 · Linda Meech

Consistent mare who placed third in a stronger BM62 over this C&D last start on Soft 6. Drops to BM56 and retains Linda Meech who has a strong record with trainer Symon Wilde (15% win). However, drawn wide in barrier 16 which is a significant disadvantage at Casterton, and is winless from 3 Heavy attempts.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Cian Macredmond

Genuine heavy-track specialist with an outstanding 11:1-3-1 record on Heavy (45% place). Ran a close second at Hamilton on Heavy 8 over 1600m two starts back. Not beaten far in recent runs and now gets blinkers re-applied which may sharpen him up. Wide barrier 12 is a concern but if he gets cover and runs on, he's a value place hope.

Our price $6.00 · SP $16.00 · Chelsea Thompson

That form franked by the subsequent high-class performance. Drops significantly in grade to BM56 and returns to a track where she is 1 from 1. The main query is her first run on Heavy ground, but she handled Soft well.

Our price $5.00 · SP $14.00 · Chelsea Thompson

Any Luck drops sharply in class after a gutsy Listed win on Heavy 10 at Warrnambool. She has a strong heavy-track record and has been racing in much tougher company. The wide barrier is a concern but her stamina and ability to sustain a long run suit Casterton's staying tests.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Dominic Tourneur

Idon'tgetit is a Casterton specialist with three wins from four visits, all at this track and distance. He thrives on heavy ground and has the perfect barrier to settle midfield. Recent form is lacklustre but he has been freshened and returns to his happy track.

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.00 · Chelsea Thompson

Dubai Dancer is a proven heavy tracker with two wins on the surface and a formidable 50% second-up strike rate. She drops nicely in class after running respectably in Open company at Warrnambool. The fast tempo predicted should suit her midfield-to-late running style at Casterton. Chelsea Thompson's strong recent form and prior success at the track add confidence. The slight query is the wide barrier, but she has overcome similar before and maps to get cover.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.90 · Shayleigh Ingelse

She maps beautifully from barrier 2 and should get a soft run. The major query is her lack of heavy track exposure - all wins have come on good or soft surfaces. Still a strong top-3 chance but not the win selection given the surface unknown.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Linda Meech

She has demonstrated heavy-track ability with a maiden win on Heavy 9, and now gets a significant weight drop with Linda Meech in the saddle. Her recent runs have been poor but she may have needed them after a spell and the step up to 1400m should suit. The inside draw and Meech's excellent Casterton record provide hope for a bounce-back.