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Tasmania · Sunday 21 June 2026

Hobart tips and results

Our top pick won 0 of 9 races at Hobart. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 5Rail +3m EntireOvercastHobart track guide ›
Top pick won0/90%
Any tip won3/933%
Top pick placed5/956%
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R1

Ron Banks Life Member Mdn Plate

11:03 local1600mMaiden$25,000
Winner7. Light WorkSP $5.50
★ Top pick5th
5Sorell Eagles

Our price $2.50 · SP $3.80 · Codi Jordan

Sorell Eagles presents as the most reliable winning chance based on recent form trajectory and track/distance suitability. While stepping up to 1600m for the first time, the slow predicted tempo and proven stamina breeding (Alpine Eagle sire) suggest the distance extension is manageable.

2nd pick3rd
6Timely Needs

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.20 · Anthony Darmanin

Timely Needs offers strong each-way value based on consistent recent form and proven Hobart/Soft credentials. Three consecutive placings at this track (5-4-2) demonstrate current fitness and surface suitability, with the 2nd placing over 1100m two starts back particularly relevant. The Darmanin/Gandy combination (11% strike rate) and Darmanin's solid Hobart record (12%) provide confidence in connections. However, the wide barrier (9) is a significant negative at this tight circuit where outside draws (9-12) win only 7% versus 12% for inside gates. The step to 1600m is also untested, though the slow predicted tempo may assist.

3rd pickWon
7Light Work

Our price $4.80 · SP $5.50 · Sam Kennedy

Light Work presents as a value third selection with improving synthetic form and positive stable intent signals. The gear change (visors off first time) combined with the strong Kennedy/Blacker partnership (23% strike rate) suggests connections believe she can improve on turf. The lightest weight (55kg) and good barrier (4) are significant advantages at Hobart where position is critical. However, the reliance on synthetic form (5 of 10 starts) and modest Soft turf record (3:0-0-1) are concerns. The step to 1600m is also untested, though the slow tempo may assist.

Value pick2nd
3Called Through

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.40 · Hayley Mc Carthy

The good barrier (5) and likely slow tempo suit the midfield settling pattern. The topweight (58.5kg) and recent synthetic form also temper enthusiasm.

  1. 1st7Light WorkSam Kennedy$5.50
  2. 2nd3Called ThroughHayley Mc Carthy$3.40
  3. 3rd6Timely NeedsAnthony Darmanin$3.20
  4. 4th1Alla RusticaKirra-Lee Lane$17.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Light Work4Sam KennedyJ K Blacker55kg$5.50
2nd3Called Through5Hayley Mc CarthyMs A Fulton58.5kg$3.40
3rd6Timely Needs9Anthony DarmaninS Gandy58.5kg$3.20
4th1Alla Rustica3Kirra-Lee LaneMs L Gaffney55.5kg$17.00
5th5Sorell Eagles2Codi JordanJ F Luttrell58.5kg$3.80
6th2Alpine Drift6Bree TempleSigrid Carr55.5kg$101.00
7th4Crowned Beau1Troy BakerSigrid Carr58.5kg$26.00
8th8Littlemissallsorts8Justin W StanleyR Seymour56.5kg$61.00
9th9Strip'n'tough7Bulent MuhcuBradley Franklin56.5kg$15.00
R2

Terry Clayton Life Member Mdn Plate

11:35 local1200mMaiden$25,000
Winner4. Fuel On The FireSP $15.00
★ Top pick2nd
2Don Turboas

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.75 · Erica Byrne Burke

Don Turboas presents as the most reliable winning chance despite maiden status. Second-up after a strong fresh placing, the gelding maps to settle in the box seat and control the race.

2nd pick4th
5Gold Armour

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Troy Baker

The half-length second at this track 14 days ago, combined with extensive trial preparation, suggests readiness to break through. However, barrier 10 is problematic at Hobart where inside-to-middle draws dominate. The gelding must overcome the wide gate and settle closer than typical maiden pattern. Strong each-way value given the upside, but the draw prevents outright favouritism over Don Turboas.

3rd pick5th
6Gold Tianna

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Bulent Muhcu

Gold Tianna is the ultimate maiden bridesmaid with three consecutive seconds, but the pattern suggests placement ability rather than winning capacity. The gelding's soft-track form and Hobart record are strong, but barrier 9 and the moderate tempo create tactical concerns. Needs to settle closer than recent pattern to threaten, and the 1200m distance drop may not suit the staying-bred Highland Reel type. Solid each-way chance but lacks the tactical edge of the top two selections.

Value pick3rd
10Vinraam

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Anthony Darmanin

Vinraam represents speculative value based on pedigree, connections, and gear changes rather than proven form. The I Am Invincible sire line excels at 1200m, and the Darmanin/McShane 25% strike rate is compelling. However, first-up from a long spell with barrier 11 creates significant tactical concerns. If the gelding can overcome the wide draw and show natural early speed, the class could emerge. High-risk, high-reward proposition for small-stake punters seeking overs.

  1. 1st4Fuel On The FireCodi Jordan$15.00
  2. 2nd2Don TurboasErica Byrne Burke$1.75
  3. 3rd10VinraamAnthony Darmanin$8.50
  4. 4th5Gold ArmourTroy Baker$5.50
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Fuel On The Fire11Codi JordanS Gandy58.5kg$15.00
2nd2Don Turboas1Erica Byrne BurkeJessie Bazan58.5kg$1.75
3rd10Vinraam10Anthony DarmaninBrendan McShane58.5kg$8.50
4th5Gold Armour9Troy BakerJ K Blacker58.5kg$5.50
5th6Gold Tianna8Bulent MuhcuR Seymour58.5kg$7.00
6th12Sedna5Justin W StanleySigrid Carr56.5kg$31.00
7th7Honest Warrior3Kelvin SandersonK P Hamilton58.5kg$41.00
8th13Sunrise At Kirra4Kirra-Lee LaneMs R Hall53.5kg$51.00
9th11Empress Angel6Sam KennedyJ L Keys55kg$13.00
10th3Enuff Dosh7Sheridan ClarkeJ L Keys58.5kg$101.00
Scr1Bruny Boy1Jessie Bazan58.5kg
Scr8Kimba2Christopher PangBradley Franklin56.5kg
Scr9Stollaway Ned7Lauryn BingleyJ K Blacker58.5kg
R3

Ladbrokes Hosted Pots Mdn Plate

12:07 local1200mMaiden$25,000
Winner2. Alpine RubySP $31.00
★ Top pick3rd
10Vabuiagi

Our price $2.80 · SP $9.00 · Mehmet Ulucinar

Vabuiagi presents as the most reliable winning chance based on recent form and race setup. Second-up record is solid, and the inside barrier (1) is a significant advantage at tight Hobart, allowing her to settle on-pace and be positioned top-three at the 400m - the key winning pattern here. The Ulucinar/Gandy combination has a 15% strike rate, and while she's yet to win, the progression is clear.

2nd pick6th
8Thermal Miss

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.60 · Erica Byrne Burke

The Cotton stable has prepared her well with two trials, and the gear change (nose roll off) suggests they're looking for improvement. Her form was trending upward (9-5-6) before the spell, and barrier 8 allows her to settle in the on-pace positions that dominate at Hobart. Byrne Burke's 16% strike rate at the track is a positive. While first-up record is unproven, the trial form is compelling.

3rd pick2nd
9Up To Tori

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.70 · Bree Temple

Her first-up record includes a placing, and she's shown consistency with soft track form. The 100-day break is a concern, but her form pattern suggests she rarely finishes far back. Barrier 9 is wide but manageable for a midfield settling position. Temple's 50% strike rate at Hobart (albeit limited sample) is encouraging.

Value pick12th
5Poetic Light

Our price $7.00 · SP $14.00 · Georgie Catania

The 604-day spell is a major concern, but the inside barrier (2) is crucial at Hobart and allows her to settle on-pace where winners come from. The Catania/Keys combination has a 7% strike rate, and the jockey's 12% strike rate at Hobart suggests she can navigate the tight circuit. While the extreme spell and lack of wins are negatives, the gear change and barrier draw create an upset scenario.

  1. 1st2Alpine RubyLauryn Bingley$31.00
  2. 2nd9Up To ToriBree Temple$3.70
  3. 3rd10VabuiagiMehmet Ulucinar$9.00
  4. 4th4Frosty RugeHayley Mc Carthy$101.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Alpine Ruby7Lauryn BingleyJ K Blacker56.5kg$31.00
2nd9Up To Tori9Bree TempleSigrid Carr53.5kg$3.70
3rd10Vabuiagi1Mehmet UlucinarS Gandy56.5kg$9.00
4th4Frosty Ruge12Hayley Mc CarthyBarry Baker56.5kg$101.00
5th12White Star Suzie11Troy BakerSigrid Carr56.5kg$8.50
6th8Thermal Miss8Erica Byrne BurkeSarah Cotton56.5kg$2.60
7th11Wheelewe4Sheridan ClarkeJ L Keys56.5kg$101.00
8th1Midway Point6Daniel GandertonJessie Bazan58.5kg$11.00
9th6Tank Girl3Sam KennedyP A Preusker55kg$14.00
10th7Tea With The Queen10Chloe WellsJ F Luttrell56.5kg$151.00
11th3Caffy5Anthony DarmaninBradley Franklin56.5kg$19.00
12th5Poetic Light2Georgie CataniaJ L Keys56.5kg$14.00
R4

EIS Property Hcp (C1)

12:42 local1200mClass 1$26,000
Winner1. BenefitsofmineSP $5.50
★ Top pick10th
4Lawrenny Boys

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.00 · Sam Kennedy

Lawrenny Boys is the most reliable form runner in the race. He handles Soft ground exceptionally well (12 starts, 1 win, 4 seconds, 2 thirds) and has been in consistent form with placings in three of his last four starts, including a close third in this same class three weeks ago. Barrier 3 and the on-pace bias at Hobart suit him ideally.

2nd pickWon
1Benefitsofmine

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Kelvin Sanderson

Benefitsofmine has a consistent profile on Soft going with a win and two seconds from five starts. His recent form includes a good second at Kyneton two runs back in a Bench56, though he disappointed last start. The removal of the nose roll may help him settle better. He has enough class to be competitive and with Kelvin Sanderson aboard (16% at Hobart), he can feature in the placings.

3rd pick9th
7Bella Chinkara

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Hayley Mc Carthy

Bella Chinkara has an excellent record over this track and distance, with one win and two seconds from four runs, and all placings have come on Soft ground. She has a good first-up record including a win, and she drops markedly in class from Group/Open company. The main concerns are the long spell and a jockey with a low overall strike rate.

Value pick6th
14Fruit Of De Vine

Our price $10.00 · SP $17.00 · Christopher Pang

Fruit Of De Vine ran an eye-catching second in this same class two weeks ago, beaten less than a length after making ground. She gets a huge weight advantage (51.5kg with claim) and a peach barrier 2 that should allow her to settle forward. She is still lightly raced and improving. Each-way value.

  1. 1st1BenefitsofmineKelvin Sanderson$5.50
  2. 2nd11Celestial GlowTroy Baker$26.00
  3. 3rd8Geegees MercedesAnthony Darmanin$11.00
  4. 4th12Golden Sweet HeartBree Temple$91.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Benefitsofmine8Kelvin SandersonK P Hamilton59kg$5.50
2nd11Celestial Glow10Troy BakerJ K Blacker54kg$26.00
3rd8Geegees Mercedes9Anthony DarmaninS Gandy55.5kg$11.00
4th12Golden Sweet Heart11Bree TempleMs L Gaffney51kg$91.00
5th6Nandi Clan6Erica Byrne BurkeJ L Keys56.5kg$14.00
6th14Fruit Of De Vine2Christopher PangBronte Kent52kg$17.00
7th13Lady Fern13Kirra-Lee LaneJ K Blacker51kg$21.00
8th2Megalita4Codi JordanG J Stevenson59kg$4.00
9th7Bella Chinkara7Hayley Mc CarthyJ K Blacker56kg$8.50
10th4Lawrenny Boys3Sam KennedyJ L Keys56.5kg$4.00
11th3Fierce 'n Fabulous1Lauryn BingleyJ K Blacker58kg$8.50
12th5Beau Warrior5Chloe WellsAndrew Moore56.5kg$101.00
Scr9Party Day7Jessie Bazan55.5kg
Scr10Outbush12Justin W StanleyJ F Luttrell55kg
R5

Carbine Club Winter Classic

13:17 local1390mOpen$45,000
Winner5. TaroonaSP $5.50
★ Top pick3rd
3Daytona Diva

Our price $1.60 · SP $1.24 · Kirra-Lee Lane

Daytona Diva presents as the standout selection despite being first-up at 1390m. Her Hobart dominance (5 wins from 6 starts) and soft track proficiency (4 wins from 6) provide exceptional confidence. The Listed winner drops back to Open grade second-up, where she boasts a perfect 1:1-0-0 record. The slow tempo suits her tactical versatility, and barrier 6 allows her to settle in the critical top-3 at the 400m position that wins 17% at Hobart on Soft. While the distance rise is a query, her class and track mastery override this concern.

2nd pickWon
5Taroona

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.50 · Troy Baker

Taroona arrives in career-best form following a narrow victory at Devonport 7 days ago. Her distance credentials are solid (2 wins from 3 at 1350m+) and the barrier 2 draw is crucial in a slow-tempo race, allowing her to settle prominently and be positioned perfectly at the 400m. The Baker/Campbell combination is lethal (63% strike rate), and her synthetic dominance (3:3-0-0) suggests tactical versatility. The main concern is her poor Hobart record (0 wins from 3), but the class rise from Class 4 is offset by her progressive profile and ideal race setup.

3rd pick4th
1Zambezi Blonde

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · Erica Byrne Burke

Zambezi Blonde presents a mixed profile. His Hobart record (5:1-1-1) and soft track form (5:1-1-1) are positives, and the 28-day break since a disappointing 5th suggests freshness. The barrier 4 draw allows him to settle in the critical midfield position in a slow tempo. However, the distance rise to 1390m is a significant query—he's never won beyond 1200m and his last start at this track/distance saw him fade to 5th.

Value pick5th
2The Real Man

Our price $5.50 · SP $16.00 · Codi Jordan

The barrier 1 draw is crucial in a slow-tempo race with no genuine leaders—he can control from the front and dictate terms. His soft track form (3:1-0-1) is proven, and the synthetic dominance (2:1-1-0) suggests tactical versatility. The main concerns are the distance rise to 1390m (unproven) and moderate Hobart record, but his progressive profile and race setup override these negatives.

  1. 1st5TaroonaTroy Baker$5.50
  2. 2nd4The Little BaySheridan Clarke$91.00
  3. 3rd3Daytona DivaKirra-Lee Lane$1.24
  4. 4th1Zambezi BlondeErica Byrne Burke$7.50
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Taroona2Troy BakerBarry Campbell56kg$5.50
2nd4The Little Bay7Sheridan ClarkeT W Evans57kg$91.00
3rd3Daytona Diva6Kirra-Lee LaneJ K Blacker54kg$1.24
4th1Zambezi Blonde4Erica Byrne BurkeJ L Keys57.5kg$7.50
5th2The Real Man1Codi JordanLiam Beamish57.5kg$16.00
6th6Sh' Bourne Angel5Hayley Mc CarthyS Gandy55kg$51.00
Scr7Jedd's Jet3Sam KennedyJ L Keys53.5kg
R6

Raine & Horne Hcp (C2)

13:52 local1100mClass 2$27,000
Winner7. Wild NightsSP $21.00
★ Top pick7th
1Alpine Fury

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.50 · Codi Jordan

The inside barrier suits his forward racing pattern, and the established Jordan/Stevenson combination (23% strike rate) adds confidence. Class-suited returning to the level where he won last preparation, and the 4yo profile suggests continued improvement.

2nd pick5th
3Tribal Council

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Bree Temple

While the 1100m is untested, his racing pattern suggests he can adapt, and the inside-to-middle barrier (6) allows tactical flexibility. The 3kg claim from Temple is significant, bringing him down to 54.5kg, and his improving trajectory (recent form shows consistent placings) suggests he's racing into peak fitness. Not the most likely winner, but a genuine threat with strong place prospects.

3rd pick4th
9Zulu Fields

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.00 · Christopher Pang

The inside barrier (5) is crucial given the track bias favouring positions 1-6, and the Pang/Dargan combination (25% strike rate) adds confidence. However, her overall strike rate (6%) and inconsistent form pattern suggest she's not the most reliable, and the 1100m distance is slightly untested. Best suited as a place chance or saver in exotics, with upside if the race unfolds to suit her on-pace style.

Value pick3rd
8Hububbajahn

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.50 · Bulent Muhcu

The Soft 5 conditions suit (1-4-3 from 11 starts), and the gear changes (visors off, cross-over nose band on) suggest the stable is actively seeking improvement. While the wide barrier (11) is a concern on the tight Hobart circuit, her first-up pattern suggests she can overcome it.

  1. 1st7Wild NightsBulent Muhcu$21.00
  2. 2nd4VerhoevenErica Byrne Burke$10.00
  3. 3rd8HububbajahnBulent Muhcu$8.50
  4. 4th9Zulu FieldsChristopher Pang$8.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Wild Nights9Bulent MuhcuJ K Blacker54.5kg$21.00
2nd4Verhoeven2Erica Byrne BurkeSigrid Carr56.5kg$10.00
3rd8Hububbajahn11Bulent MuhcuBrendan McShane54kg$8.50
4th9Zulu Fields5Christopher PangPatrick Dargan52kg$8.00
5th3Tribal Council6Bree TempleSarah Cotton54.5kg$5.50
6th5Royal Detective3Troy BakerK P Hamilton55kg$6.50
7th1Alpine Fury4Codi JordanG J Stevenson59kg$3.50
8th13Rare Oro12Chloe WellsJ F Luttrell54kg$101.00
9th12Swinging It7Hayley Mc CarthyBrendan McShane54kg$31.00
10th11Sky Eagle10Catherine Van MunsterJ K Blacker54kg$61.00
11th10First Line1Sam KennedyJ L Keys52.5kg$8.00
12th2Gems Eagle8Georgie CataniaJ L Keys57.5kg$20.00
Scr6Arctic Attraction11Jessie Bazan54.5kg
R7

Steeline Roofing Hcp (C2)

14:30 local1390mClass 2$27,000
Winner6. Sir JagSP $7.50
★ Top pick3rd
2Light Force

Our price $3.50 · SP $7.50 · Bulent Muhcu

Light Force is the standout on form with a superb 2-from-3 record at this Hobart 1390m trip on soft. He has won his last two starts comfortably and maps perfectly from barrier 3.

2nd pick13th
4Bayside

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Chloe Wells

Bayside rarely runs a bad race and has placed at this level multiple times. He maps well from barrier 4 and should be in the finish again.

3rd pick5th
3Regal Hunter

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Christopher Pang

Regal Hunter is lightly raced and showed promise winning his maiden on soft. From barrier 1 and with light weight, he can settle on the speed and improve.

Value pick2nd
9Coastal Strike

Our price $10.00 · SP $10.00 · Kirra-Lee Lane

Coastal Strike has a solid record at this track and distance and gets a huge weight advantage with 51.5kg. He returns from a spell but may be fresh.

  1. 1st6Sir JagAnthony Darmanin$7.50
  2. 2nd9Coastal StrikeKirra-Lee Lane$10.00
  3. 3rd2Light ForceBulent Muhcu$7.50
  4. 4th1AzontoDaniel Ganderton$3.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Sir Jag9Anthony DarmaninJ F Luttrell56kg$7.50
2nd9Coastal Strike8Kirra-Lee LaneP A Hill51.5kg$10.00
3rd2Light Force3Bulent MuhcuMs R Hall58kg$7.50
4th1Azonto13Daniel GandertonBarry Campbell58kg$3.00
5th3Regal Hunter1Christopher PangJessie Bazan55.5kg$8.50
6th5Henley Extreme12Codi JordanLiam Beamish56kg$15.00
7th10Mateus10Hayley Mc CarthyJ K Blacker54.5kg$31.00
8th11Purr Sefanee2Bree TempleBradley Franklin51kg$9.50
9th7Windara Wolf6Mehmet UlucinarS Gandy56kg$31.00
10th13Miss Pebbles14Erica Byrne BurkeAndrew Moore54kg$151.00
11th12April's Dance5Georgie CataniaMs R Hall54kg$71.00
12th8Striding Bay11Sheridan ClarkeL R Laskey55.5kg$101.00
13th4Bayside4Chloe WellsBarry Campbell56.5kg$6.00
Scr14Whisper Of Matilda7Justin W StanleyStephen Lockhart54kg
R8

Aviso TAS Insurance Brokers Plate (C6)

15:10 local1200mClass 6$30,000
Winner9. RubbleonthedoubleSP $13.00
★ Top pick2nd
1In The Ocean

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.50 · Troy Baker

The significant class drop from BM76 to Class 6 is the key angle—this gelding has been competitive at higher levels and returns fresh with a proven first-up record. While the 1200m distance is unproven for wins, the class edge and fitness platform from quality opposition make this the horse to beat.

2nd pick3rd
5Thespian Waters

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Daniel Ganderton

Thespian Waters offers excellent each-way value as a proven Hobart specialist dropping significantly in class. The 40% win rate at this track is outstanding, and the first-up record (33% wins) provides confidence despite the 65-day break. While recent form shows placings rather than wins, the class drop from Listed/Open company to Class 6 is substantial. The gelding has won at this exact track/distance before and maps to settle midfield from barrier 12, which suits the moderate tempo. Strong each-way proposition.

3rd pick8th
15Tassie Power

Our price $8.00 · SP $4.60 · Bree Temple

Tassie Power represents the improving type stepping up in class off a last-start Hobart win. The gelding's soft track form (70% place rate) and Hobart record (64% place rate) are strong positives, while the 54kg weight provides a genuine advantage over the top-weighted runners. The class rise is a concern, but the recent win suggests upward trajectory.

Value pick4th
7Kakia

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Bulent Muhcu

However, the 171-day spell and poor first-up statistics (0 wins from 3) are significant concerns. The last-start BM68 win on Soft 5 at Longford demonstrates current ability, and the inside barrier 2 is ideal for settling on-pace. The gelding's 80% place rate at this track/distance combination suggests strong familiarity.

  1. 1st9RubbleonthedoubleErica Byrne Burke$13.00
  2. 2nd1In The OceanTroy Baker$5.50
  3. 3rd5Thespian WatersDaniel Ganderton$4.80
  4. 4th7KakiaBulent Muhcu$14.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Rubbleonthedouble4Erica Byrne BurkeJ L Keys57kg$13.00
2nd1In The Ocean8Troy BakerSarah Cotton59kg$5.50
3rd5Thespian Waters12Daniel GandertonAshley Meaburn59kg$4.80
4th7Kakia2Bulent MuhcuJessie Bazan57kg$14.00
5th6Thisismyturf1Lauryn BingleyT W Evans59kg$61.00
6th14Fluffy's Girl13Hayley Mc CarthyChristie Burt54kg$12.00
7th8No Access10Anthony DarmaninJ L Keys57kg$20.00
8th15Tassie Power11Bree TempleS Gandy54kg$4.60
9th10Sky Land3Sheridan ClarkeJ L Keys55kg$17.00
10th3Shy Guy6Chloe WellsBarry Campbell59kg$11.00
11th4The Longest Yard7Kelvin SandersonG J Stevenson59kg$12.00
12th11We Deserve This5Christopher PangTony Romeo55kg$151.00
13th2Restricted Access14Sam KennedyJ L Keys59kg$9.00
Scr12Billie The Great5Codi JordanBradley Franklin54kg
Scr13Esprit Diva9Catherine Van MunsterJ F Luttrell54kg
R9

Aintree Contracting (Bm68)

15:50 local1390mBenchmark 68$25,000
Winner2. Fighting FloydSP $10.00
★ Top pick6th
3Flying Billie

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.60 · Bree Temple

Flying Billie is the standout selection based on last-start dominance at this exact track/distance in higher grade. The drop from BM76 to BM68 is significant, and the horse's Hobart 1390m record (44% win rate, 67% place rate) is exceptional. While the jockey booking is unproven and the weight rise is a minor concern, class and suitability overwhelm these negatives.

2nd pick2nd
7Verbano

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Erica Byrne Burke

Verbano is the each-way value play based on exceptional Hobart 1390m place consistency (36% strike rate) and proven wet-track ability, including a Heavy 10 win. The recent Victorian campaign shows the mare can handle stronger opposition, with a solid 5th at Warrnambool Heavy 10. The barrier allows settling on-pace where Hobart winners come from. However, the last-start failure and 35-day break are concerns, as is the lack of jockey combination history. The soft-track record is moderate (13% win rate) compared to good tracks (18%), but the Heavy 10 win suggests adaptability.

3rd pickScratched
5Adachi

Our price $5.50 · Anthony Darmanin

Adachi presents as the main danger based on the exceptional jockey/horse combination (100% strike rate) and proven suitability at this track/distance. The Hobart 1390m record is strong, and soft-track form is reliable. However, the last-start failure and declining form trend are concerning. The key is whether the jockey change back to Darmanin (who has won both previous rides) can reverse the recent slide. The barrier allows tactical positioning, and the horse has shown it can finish strongly from midfield.

Value pick10th
11Araya Sunshine

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Bulent Muhcu

The February win here in BM68 on soft demonstrates capability at this level, and the last-start 3rd shows the mare is finding form again. The soft-track record is solid, and the Hobart place rate (38%) is strong. The inside barrier allows settling on-pace where winners come from. However, the poor jockey/trainer combination (4% strike rate) and overall low win rate (10%) are significant concerns.

  1. 1st2Fighting FloydKirra-Lee Lane$10.00
  2. 2nd7VerbanoErica Byrne Burke$5.00
  3. 3rd1Nicco The GreekSam Kennedy$10.00
  4. 3rd10StardarmusHayley Mc Carthy$17.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Fighting Floyd12Kirra-Lee LaneImogen Miller57.5kg$10.00
2nd7Verbano8Erica Byrne BurkeJ L Keys56kg$5.00
3rd1Nicco The Greek13Sam KennedyJ L Keys61.5kg$10.00
3rd10Stardarmus7Hayley Mc CarthyJ K Blacker54.5kg$17.00
5th4Just A Needs11Justin W StanleyJ F Luttrell58.5kg$26.00
6th3Flying Billie4Bree TempleChristie Burt57kg$2.60
7th12Geegee Strawberry6Troy BakerJ F Luttrell54kg$17.00
8th6Designer Dreamer5Codi JordanG J Stevenson56.5kg$9.00
9th9Runaway Statement9Christopher PangBrendan McShane52.5kg$31.00
10th11Araya Sunshine3Bulent MuhcuJ K Blacker54kg$10.00
11th8Dancing Wolf1Chloe WellsBarry Campbell55kg$18.00
12th13Steele My Sunshine2Catherine Van MunsterJ F Luttrell54kg$101.00
Scr5Adachi10Anthony DarmaninM A Ganderton57.5kg

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