Little One is the standout form selection despite the wide draw. The gelding has proven Good track form and fits the Port Augusta winner profile perfectly: course-and-distance proven, in-form, and fresh. While barrier 10 is a concern on a track favouring inside-to-middle draws, the consistent finishing pattern and ability to be prominent at the 400m mitigates this.
South Australia · Sunday 21 June 2026
Port Augusta tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Port Augusta. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Mahanewo Station Mdn Plate
Sir Aali presents strong each-way value with proven Port Augusta credentials. The gelding has placed at this track and distance previously and ran a solid fourth here last start. The inside barrier is crucial on this forward-biased track, allowing tactical positioning to be top-three at the 400m. While winless from 24 starts raises concerns, the consistent placing record at Port Augusta (3 placings from 5 starts) and suitable barrier draw make this a genuine threat.
Bass Coast Flyer is a speculative play based on first-time blinkers and strong jockey/trainer combination. Hutchinson is riding at 30% strike rate and the Lynch/Hutchinson partnership has proven effective (14% wins, 24 placings from 117). The gear change to blinkers is the key angle, potentially unlocking improvement in a lightly-raced 3yo filly.
The gelding won a Port Lincoln trial by a narrow margin, suggesting fitness is on track first-up. Rawiller's engagement is a positive intent signal, and the inside barrier (3) is crucial on this forward-biased track. However, the poor first-up record (0 from 6) and winless career (0 from 14) are major concerns.
- 1st6Little OneAlyssa Webb$1.65
- 2nd3Sir AaliStacey Metcalfe$4.00
- 3rd10Bass Coast FlyerTala Hutchinson$10.00
- 4th5BadjawaLauren Stojakovic$51.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Little One | 10 | Alyssa Webb | Christopher Harrison | 55.5kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 3 | Sir Aali | 2 | Stacey Metcalfe | P Huserot | 58kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Bass Coast Flyer | 6 | Tala Hutchinson | Garret Lynch | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Badjawa | 5 | Lauren Stojakovic | Robert Atkinson | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Nouveau Marche | 7 | Dylan Caboche | Jason Allen | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Liberty London | 8 | Andrew Stead | Wayne Brown | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Defiant Caesour | 3 | Campbell Rawiller | Brent Hull | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Swamped | 1 | S H Sit | Gary Mibus | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Blue Horizon | 4 | Jemma Gutte | Jarrod Lynch | 53kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Green Amber | 9 | Margaret Collett | S & J Jaensch | 56kg | $12.00 |
RJM Pastoral Mdn Plate
Forever A Diamond presents the strongest recent form credentials with two narrow seconds from her last three starts, both at today's 1200m distance. The moderate tempo should allow her to settle in a forward position from the midfield, which aligns with Port Augusta's strong positional bias favouring horses in the top three at the 400m. While she's yet to break through for a win, her progressive form trend and distance suitability make her the most reliable winning chance, though the wide draw and jockey's poor recent form are concerns.
Conjoin offers strong each-way value based on exceptional course-and-distance credentials, having placed in both previous starts at Port Augusta over 1200m, including a close second here just 15 days ago. This recent form demonstrates both fitness and track suitability. The gear change back to blinkers after removing visors suggests stable confidence in sharpening his focus. While yet to win from 21 starts, his consistent placing record and specific course form make him a strong threat for the minor placings.
As a lightly-raced 3yo second-up from a spell, he fits the profile of a horse who can improve sharply with fitness and experience. The trainer/jockey combination's 17% strike rate adds confidence, and the class drop from metropolitan maiden company is a positive. However, his limited experience, wide barrier, and lack of proven winning ability are significant concerns. The moderate tempo should suit his racing pattern, but he needs to overcome the positional bias favouring inside-drawn, forward-running types.
Tohoku Tempest represents a speculative value play as a debutant from quality trainer Will Clarken, who typically has horses competitive first-up. The application of blinkers on debut and engagement of S H Sit (who has a solid 10% strike rate at this track) suggests stable confidence. The neutral barrier and lightest weight provide tactical advantages, while the moderate tempo allows flexibility in settling position. However, the complete absence of form data makes this a high-risk selection requiring faith in the stable's preparation and the trainer's debut record. Only for punters willing to back stable confidence over proven form.
- 1st2ConjoinStacey Metcalfe$4.40
- 2nd11Forever A DiamondAndrew Stead$2.70
- 3rd1Break The LineTala Hutchinson$9.50
- 4th9CopperflangeWesley Cave$26.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Conjoin | 14 | Stacey Metcalfe | Larry McMahon | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 11 | Forever A Diamond | 13 | Andrew Stead | Ms R Day | 55.5kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 1 | Break The Line | 9 | Tala Hutchinson | Allan Jarvis | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Copperflange | 11 | Wesley Cave | Danny Penna | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Tennessee Fire | 8 | Ashlee Stone | W A Bogarts | 53.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Tohoku Tempest | 7 | S H Sit | Will Clarken | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Caesour's Tomb | 12 | Campbell Rawiller | Garret Lynch | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 3 | Foolish Lad | 6 | Jemma Gutte | Lewis & Eliza Grantham | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Initially | 4 | Alyssa Webb | Brent Hull | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Aqua Riva | 15 | Shuichi Terachi | Gary Mibus | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 7 | To Catch A Spieth | 5 | Margaret Collett | Garret Lynch | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Cappa Grande | 16 | Dylan Caboche | Jason Allen | 56kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Favours | 1 | T H Jolly | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Bishop's Choice | 10 | S H Sit | Christopher Harrison | 56kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Kung Fu Kisses | 2 | Alyssa Webb | Christopher Harrison | 54kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Toast For Becky | 3 | Lauren Stojakovic | Ms S Ratsch | 56kg |
Nonning Pastoral Co Plate (C1)
Won impressively here 2 weeks ago from barrier 8, showing the tactical speed to overcome wide draws. Barrier 2 today is a significant upgrade on a track where being top-3 at the 400m wins 26% vs 1% from back. The Heavy 9 last start can be completely dismissed - this is a Good-track specialist (1-0-1 from 3). Hutchinson/Lynch combination is elite (14% strike rate), and the step to 1867m suits the So You Think pedigree perfectly. Lightly-raced 3YO with upside, fresh and progressive. Class rise is the only concern, but maiden win margin and tactical suitability outweigh this.
However, course form is exceptional (50% top-3 rate at Port Augusta) and last start 2nd here was strong. Dropping from BM58 to Class 1 is a clear class drop. The 1867m is untested but maiden win was at 1498m, suggesting stamina. Has won from barrier 10 before, proving ability to overcome wide draws. Good-track record is solid (38% top-3 rate). Jockey combination lacks wins but shows consistency. Barrier draw prevents top selection despite strong credentials.
Barrier 1 today is a huge advantage on a track where inside draws win 12% vs 6% wide. The class rise from Maiden to Class 1 is significant, but the winning margin and ability to overcome wide draw last start suggests quality. Lightly-raced 4YO with only 7 starts, clear upside. Port Augusta record is perfect (1 from 3). The 1867m is untested but won at 1498m, and Magnus sire suggests stamina. Top weight 59kg is a concern, as is jockey form (0% last 20). Class rise and distance step are risks, but progressive trajectory and ideal barrier position make this a genuine chance.
Barrier 3 is ideal for securing the forward position this track demands. Dropping from Rest. 58 to Class 1 is a clear class advantage. Gear changes (cross-over nose band on, visors off) suggest stable confidence. The 1867m is a query (1 start, no placing), but has placed at 1498m here. Last start 11th can be dismissed (Soft 7, unsuitable). Jockey form is poor (0% strike rate), but Cave has ridden this mare 4 times for 0-2-0 (knows the horse). Each-way appeal strong.
- 1st10Star DecorumWesley Cave$9.50
- 2nd6Otto's DreamTala Hutchinson$3.20
- 3rd5Wakool AshMargaret Collett$4.80
- 4th4Sea RoadsAlyssa Webb$4.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Star Decorum | 3 | Wesley Cave | Danny Penna | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Otto's Dream | 2 | Tala Hutchinson | Garret Lynch | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 5 | Wakool Ash | 1 | Margaret Collett | Darren & Aimee Magro | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 4 | Sea Roads | 11 | Alyssa Webb | Christopher Harrison | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Valued | 5 | Stacey Metcalfe | Garret Lynch | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Raw Grunt | 10 | Shuichi Terachi | Danny Penna | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Elegant Man | 6 | Andrew Stead | T R Montgomerie | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Grinzinger Joy | 8 | Jemma Gutte | Ms R Day | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Shinohara | 7 | S H Sit | Brian Lear | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Nightsun | 4 | Lauren Stojakovic | B J Jones | 59kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Loca Bella | 9 | Sophie Potter | A J Gluyas | 55.5kg |
Costello Cattle Company Hcp (52)
Super Sunny Seeya presents as the most reliable winning chance based on proven course-and-distance form and recent consistency. The gelding placed second at this exact track/distance combination in April and has shown adaptability with three placings from four starts. The inside-to-middle barrier (5) allows settling forward, critical at Port Augusta where top-three-at-400m positioning wins 26%. The slight class drop from Rest. 54 to Rest. 52 provides additional edge.
The gelding has hit the line strongly in three consecutive starts, including two narrow seconds, suggesting peak fitness. The inside barrier is crucial at Port Augusta where forward position dominates, and My Truth's proven ability to settle on-pace suits perfectly.
Astromancer represents the best each-way value proposition with a significant class drop and proven distance credentials. The mare's 1100m record (10:1-2-1) demonstrates genuine ability at this trip, and the engagement of in-form jockey Tala Hutchinson (30% strike rate) signals stable confidence. The class drop from Rest. 58 to Rest. 52 is substantial and should see her more competitive. While the wide barrier (9) is concerning at Port Augusta, the light weight (55.5kg) and jockey's current form provide compensation.
Emmooki Magic presents as the standout value play based purely on course-and-distance specialisation. The mare's record at Port Augusta 1100m (5:1-0-2) is exceptional and demonstrates genuine affinity for these exact conditions. The previous win at this track/distance combination proves capability, and the recent third at Clare suggests form returning. The 51kg weight allocation is a massive advantage in a competitive Restricted 52, effectively giving her 9kg on the topweight. The engagement of Jemma Gutte, who has an 18% strike rate at this track, adds further confidence. This represents clear overlay value for a proven course specialist.
- 1st4Bad To The BoneAshlee Stone$31.00
- 2nd10My TruthMargaret Collett$4.20
- 3rd8SumadartsonMurray Henderson$18.00
- 4th2Super Sunny SeeyaAlyssa Webb$3.80
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Bad To The Bone | 10 | Ashlee Stone | W A Bogarts | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | My Truth | 1 | Margaret Collett | Kim Talent | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 8 | Sumadartson | 7 | Murray Henderson | Mark Moosha | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Super Sunny Seeya | 5 | Alyssa Webb | Christopher Harrison | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 5th | 9 | Wandering Eye | 8 | S H Sit | Christopher Harrison | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Princess Now | 6 | Campbell Rawiller | Garret Lynch | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 3 | The Last Stand | 3 | Shuichi Terachi | Jason Allen | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 1 | Bentley Brook | 2 | Stacey Metcalfe | L Jarvis & C Paisley | 60kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Hot Off | 4 | Lauren Stojakovic | Ms S Ratsch | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Astromancer | 9 | Tala Hutchinson | Ms H J Smith | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Emmooki Magic | 14 | Jemma Gutte | Scott Whittle | 51kg | $9.50 |
| 12th | 11 | Eastside Diamond | 12 | Dylan Caboche | Mark Moosha | 56kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Born To Shine | 14 | Sophie Potter | A B Beswick | 56kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Sengoki | 11 | Wesley Cave | Danny Penna | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | The Streaker | 13 | Jason Allen | 54kg |
Nutrien Ag Port Augusta (Bm62)
Bjarne presents as the most reliable winning chance based on proven course-and-distance form. Won at this exact venue and trip in May, then ran a solid second here last start despite wide barrier. The drop to 60.5kg from 58kg last start is a concern, but the inside-to-middle barrier (6) and strong jockey/trainer combination (22% strike rate) provide significant positives. Track bias heavily favours being top-3 at the 400m, and Bjarne's forward settling pattern aligns perfectly.
The 54.5kg impost is a major advantage, being 6kg under topweight, and the recent BM66 form suggests she's competitive at this level. Won at BM66 two starts back and placed 3rd here last start. The class drop to BM62 combined with the barrier and weight makes her a genuine winning chance. However, her Good track record is modest (1-2-2 from 13) and she's untested at exactly 1100m.
All Clubs brings proven course-and-distance credentials with a win and second from two starts at this exact venue and trip. The consistency is appealing with three placings from the last four starts, and the drop from BM66 to BM62 provides a class edge. Barrier 2 is ideal for this track's inside bias, and the return to visors (previously successful) adds confidence. However, the jockey is in poor form (5% recent strike rate) and the combination with trainer is modest (8%). The 56kg impost is competitive but not the lightest.
The barrier 3 draw is ideal for this inside-biased track, and the Good track form is solid (5-7-1 from 34). The slight class rise from BM56 to BM62 is manageable given the competitive 57.5kg impost. However, the last start on Soft 5 was disappointing, and the jockey is in woeful form with 0 wins from 20 recent rides and 0% strike rate at Port Augusta.
- 1st5CostlessStacey Metcalfe$7.50
- 2nd7ZatannaJemma Gutte$3.60
- 3rd2BjarneLauren Stojakovic$2.90
- 4th4All ClubsSophie Potter$5.50
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Costless | 3 | Stacey Metcalfe | Garret Lynch | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Zatanna | 1 | Jemma Gutte | Scott Whittle | 54.5kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Bjarne | 6 | Lauren Stojakovic | B J Jones | 60.5kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 4 | All Clubs | 2 | Sophie Potter | Waylon Hornhardt | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 6 | One Kind | 10 | Campbell Rawiller | Travis Doudle | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 8 | The Hass | 12 | Alyssa Webb | Christopher Harrison | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Inner Sanctum | 9 | Wesley Cave | Danny Penna | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Dolzino | 5 | Margaret Collett | Ryan Dawson | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Avanzo | 11 | Shuichi Terachi | Danny Penna | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Underhand | 7 | Ashlee Stone | Ms R Day | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Kahlua Girl | 8 | Dylan Caboche | Chris Bieg | 56kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Uncle Barry | 4 | Tala Hutchinson | Travis Doudle | 56kg |
Saltbush Livestock Squatter''s Cup (Bm72)
Ichibansan is the standout selection based on proven course-and-distance credentials and strong recent form at this exact track and distance. The inside barrier is crucial at Port Augusta where being top-three at the 400m is paramount (26% win rate vs 1% for backmarkers). With a 50% strike rate at this distance and 50% at this track, the form profile is superior to all rivals. The poor Hawker run can be dismissed as unsuitable, and the drop from BM70 company to BM64 last start (where competitive) suggests well-placed here.
Cradle Of Jazz presents as a strong threat based on last-start winning form and second-up statistics. Critically, she is second-up today where her record is excellent (50% win rate). The barrier 2 draw is ideal for a forward-settling type on this pace-favouring track. However, the significant class rise (Rest. 56 to BM72) and complete lack of course/distance experience are concerns. The light weight (54kg) and proven Good track form provide compensation.
Fox Dunnett is a genuine winning chance based on last-start victory at this exact track and distance 15 days ago. The gelding has proven Port Augusta credentials (25% win rate) and is a course-and-distance winner. The light weight (51kg) is a significant advantage, and jockey Jemma Gutte has an excellent 18% strike rate at this track. However, the wide barrier 9 is a major concern on a track where inside draws (1-4) win at 12% vs 6% for wide gates (9-12). The class rise from BM64 to BM72 adds pressure, though the last-start win suggests capability. Needs to overcome the wide alley to be competitive.
However, the top weight (60kg) is a major concern, particularly against lighter-weighted rivals like Fox Dunnett (51kg) and Cradle Of Jazz (54kg). Jockey Hutchinson's poor 5% strike rate at Port Augusta is another negative. Better value exists elsewhere, making this a value overlay rather than a top selection.
- 1st6Fox DunnettJemma Gutte$6.00
- 2nd3GhemmeS H Sit$15.00
- 3rd7LettemgoWesley Cave$31.00
- 4th2IchibansanSophie Potter$2.60
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Fox Dunnett | 9 | Jemma Gutte | Garret Lynch | 51kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Ghemme | 6 | S H Sit | D J McMahon | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Lettemgo | 7 | Wesley Cave | T L Day | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Ichibansan | 1 | Sophie Potter | Kylie McKerlie | 58.5kg | $2.60 |
| 5th | 8 | Unisphere | 3 | Margaret Collett | Ryan Dawson | 54kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Doctor Robert | 4 | Tala Hutchinson | Garret Lynch | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Cradle Of Jazz | 2 | Lauren Stojakovic | Ms R Day | 54kg | $4.20 |
| 8th | 9 | Little Outlaw | 8 | Alyssa Webb | B J Davis | 52kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Quick Qudos | 5 | Dylan Caboche | Waylon Hornhardt | 56kg | $71.00 |
Elders Port Augusta (Bm56)
Star Casino is the standout selection based on exceptional course-and-distance credentials (2 wins, 2 seconds from 4 starts at Port Augusta 1498m). Last-start winner at this track over 1396m, demonstrating current form and venue suitability. The wide draw is a concern on a track favouring forward positions, but class and proven ability at this specific circuit override this negative. Campbell Rawiller's strong 43% strike rate with trainer Doudle adds confidence.
I'm Kenny presents strong value as a proven Port Augusta specialist with 11 wins from 28 starts at the track, including 2 wins at this exact distance. The recent form is concerning (9th and 4th), but the return to blinkers and drop to 55.5kg are positive factors. The inside-to-middle draw (barrier 5) suits the track bias favouring forward positions.
Never Surrender won last start at this exact track-and-distance, providing the strongest possible form reference. The combination with jockey S H Sit (43% strike rate with trainer) is a significant positive. While the overall record is modest, the specific course-and-distance success and improving form trend make this a genuine winning chance. The barrier draw (8) is neutral but workable.
The Heavy 9 failure can be forgiven given the extreme conditions. Jockey Tala Hutchinson is in red-hot form (30% strike rate last 20 rides) and has strong rapport with trainer Lynch (14% from 117 rides). The inside-to-middle draw (barrier 4) suits the track bias.
- 1st2Star CasinoCampbell Rawiller$2.15
- 2nd1Chef MilitaireMurray Henderson$31.00
- 3rd12Magic PrincessDylan Caboche$13.00
- 4th6Taipan TommyLauren Stojakovic$26.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Star Casino | 12 | Campbell Rawiller | Travis Doudle | 62.5kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 1 | Chef Militaire | 1 | Murray Henderson | M A White | 63.5kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Magic Princess | 7 | Dylan Caboche | Chris Bieg | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Taipan Tommy | 3 | Lauren Stojakovic | Kym Healy | 60kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Sethnique | 11 | Andrew Stead | Wayne Brown | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Never Surrender | 8 | S H Sit | D J McMahon | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 7 | Mr Trafficanti | 4 | Tala Hutchinson | Garret Lynch | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 9 | I'm Kenny | 5 | Jemma Gutte | Darren & Aimee Magro | 55.5kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 5 | Jamrock | 2 | Sophie Potter | Kylie McKerlie | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Valor Bound | 6 | Wesley Cave | Matthew Raymond Barkla | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 4 | Cold Aza Beer | 10 | Shuichi Terachi | B J Davis | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Poetic Whisper | 9 | Alyssa Webb | Garret Lynch | 54.5kg |
Oldfield Memorial Hcp (52)
Limbering presents as the most reliable winning chance based on superior distance credentials and current form trajectory. The slow tempo predicted suits her midfield settling pattern from barrier 6. The main concern is high career mileage (86 starts) and moderate overall win rate, but recent form suggests she's racing into peak condition.
Bywaters Road emerges as the strongest threat to Limbering based on last-start winning form and superior distance credentials. The Hawker victory (Rest. 52 level) two weeks ago confirms current fitness, and his 3 wins from 12 starts at 1396m demonstrates genuine suitability. Second up from spell typically sees improvement, though his second-up record (0 from 4) is concerning. Barrier 4 in a slow tempo race allows tactical positioning to exploit the track's forward bias.
Second up from spell with improving fitness, she maps to settle midfield from barrier 8 in the predicted slow tempo, which suits her running style. The light weight of 54kg provides a genuine advantage, and her Good track record (2-0-1 from 16 starts) is respectable. However, significant concerns include jockey Alyssa Webb's poor recent form (0 from 20), untested jockey/trainer combination, and limited distance experience.
Hubristic represents a speculative value play primarily based on jockey Tala Hutchinson's exceptional recent form (30% strike rate) and the significant class relief from Heavy 9 to Good 3 conditions. The light weight of 55.5kg and barrier 7 provide tactical advantages in the predicted slow tempo. However, her overall record is concerning: 1 win from 14 starts with no Good track victories (0 from 6).
- 1st12HubristicTala Hutchinson$7.50
- 2nd9Duck Duck DuckAshlee Stone$7.00
- 3rd7Sacred ChordStacey Metcalfe$5.50
- 4th5LimberingCampbell Rawiller$2.90
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Hubristic | 7 | Tala Hutchinson | S & J Jaensch | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Duck Duck Duck | 10 | Ashlee Stone | Jason Allen | 53kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Sacred Chord | 12 | Stacey Metcalfe | Garret Lynch | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Limbering | 6 | Campbell Rawiller | Raharna McDonald | 58.5kg | $2.90 |
| 5th | 13 | Notmeanttobe | 9 | Waylon Hornhardt | 57kg | $13.00 | |
| 6th | 8 | My Crackling | 2 | Lauren Stojakovic | B J Jones | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Zilzie Lad | 3 | Wesley Cave | Bryan Holtham | 60kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 2 | I Run On Air | 14 | Andrew Stead | Ms R Day | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Bywaters Road | 4 | Murray Henderson | M A White | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Mistnaces | 5 | Shuichi Terachi | Gary Mibus | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Sazerac | 8 | Alyssa Webb | Des Nolan | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Dylan's Lad | 11 | Jemma Gutte | Garret Lynch | 55kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Ghaznavi | 7 | Margaret Collett | Ryan Dawson | 59kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Agressive Bee | 1 | S H Sit | D B Bonetti | 52kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Archdeacon | 13 | Garret Lynch | 54.5kg |
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