Goulburn tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $10.00 · Dale Cole

Koning presents as the strongest winning chance based on the critical class drop from BM64 to BM58. His proven form at 2000m+ on soft tracks, including a Class 1 win at Canberra on Soft 6, demonstrates he handles these conditions. The barrier draw is ideal for settling in the first half of the field, which is crucial at Goulburn where position at the 400m is paramount.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.00 · Andrew Calder

Devils Daughter is the honest, reliable type who consistently runs in the placings but struggles to win. Her recent 4th at this track over the same distance 10 days ago shows she's race-fit and comfortable with the conditions. The inside barrier and light weight are advantages, and the strong jockey/trainer combination adds confidence. However, with only 2 wins from 35 starts and no wins at 2150m, she's more likely to fill a place than win.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Jordan Quince

Own Them is a value roughie based purely on his outstanding Goulburn track record. With a 25% win rate at this venue including a previous win at 2140m, he clearly handles the track. His soft track form is adequate at 15%, and his recent 5th here suggests he's fit and ready. However, the distance remains a query with no wins beyond 2000m, and at 8 years old with 40 starts, he may be past his best. The inside barrier in a slow tempo could be problematic.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.40 · Adrian Layt

Lookin' Suave Harv showed promise on debut at Moruya, finishing 4th beaten less than a length on a Soft 5 track. The most compelling factor is the outstanding 42% strike rate of the Burleigh/Layt combination - this is elite-level success. Barrier 5 is ideal for Goulburn, allowing the gelding to settle in a forward position without overworking. The quick 13-day backup is a strong confidence signal from the stable.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

Nikita Zou represents the value play in this race based on a significant class drop from Open company to Maiden level. The Pepper/Boudvillain combination strikes at 19%, well above average, and the 146-day spell provides time for the 2yo filly to mature and strengthen. This is a speculative play on class and improvement.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Brock Ryan

The application of blinkers and lugging bit first time suggests the stable has identified what's needed, and Brock Ryan's excellent recent form (3 wins from 20 rides) is a positive. The barrier 6 draw is perfect for a first-starter to settle and learn. The gear changes and quality jockey booking suggest confidence.

Our price $3.50 · SP $9.00 · Amy Mc Lucas

Casino Shaw presents as the most reliable winning chance based on form superiority. Her consistency is exceptional with 5 placings from her last 6 starts, including a narrow second on Heavy 8 at this distance last start. The drop from Class 3 to BM58 is significant, and her soft track record (1-2-1 from 6) proves she handles the conditions.

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.00 · Quayde Krogh

Her last-start second on Heavy 9 at Albury, beaten less than a length, demonstrates she's racing well in current conditions. The barrier 5 draw is crucial at Goulburn, allowing her to settle in the forward positions that the track rewards. She's proven at 1100m with a win at Echuca and handles wet going (1-1-0 on heavy). At 57.5kg she's well-weighted for this BM58, and the 16-day gap is ideal.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.00 · Keagan Latham

The class rise from maiden/Class 1 to BM58 is substantial, and barrier 11 on a track that favors forward positions is problematic.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Mitchell Bell

Anarita represents a solid each-way chance based on her second-up pattern and strong 1200m credentials. The mare has won at this distance before and holds a respectable 7:1-1-2 record at 1200m. Her second-up statistics show a 33% place rate, and the ideal barrier 2 draw allows her to settle in the forward positions that Goulburn rewards. Jockey Mitchell Bell is in excellent form with 4 wins from his last 20 rides (20% strike rate), and his combination with the Archibald stable has a 15% strike rate. The main concern is her moderate Soft track form (5:0-1-1 with no wins) and disappointing first-up effort. However, the distance drop from 1400m to 1200m and second-up fitness improvement make her a genuine top-three chance.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.20 · Mitchell Bell

She Can Salsa flashed ability with a narrow margin fifth at Kembla last start, tackling 1600m on soft for the first time. With barrier 4 and a good draw, she can settle midfield and finish on.

Our price $10.00 · SP $16.00 · Robyn Freeman

The extra 300m today should suit his breeding and he remains open to improvement.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Louise Day

Progressive 3yo with the right profile for this race. Excellent soft track form (1-2-0 from 4) and strong recent efforts (2nd last two) suggest he's ready to break through at this level. Barrier 3 is ideal at Goulburn, allowing him to settle handy and be in the critical position by the 400m. The ear muffs first time indicates stable confidence. While the class rise from Class 1 is a query, his improving trajectory and conditions suitability make him the most reliable winning chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Brodie Loy

Significant second-up angle with blinkers applied for the first time. Won second up previously over this distance and the gear change suggests connections expect sharp improvement. Handles wet tracks well and barrier 6 is ideal for settling in a forward position at Goulburn. Matthew Dale stable is strong and Brodie Loy has excellent record here (29%).

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.40 · Pierre Boudvillain

Talented 3yo from elite Joseph/Jones stable who just broke through for maiden win on soft track. Strong distance credentials (1-1-0 from 4 at 1400m) and has placed at Goulburn before. The class rise from maiden to BM58 is significant but he's shown enough ability in placings to suggest he can handle it. Barrier 9 is a concern as he'll need to work or settle back, but if he can get the right run, has the class to be competitive. Each-way value given the sharp class rise.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.60 · Glenn Cahill

Highly talented lightly-raced 3yo who would be a strong favorite from a better barrier. However, barrier 14 is a critical negative at this track where inside barriers dominate and wide draws have struggled. He'll need to either work hard early (risky on soft) or settle back and hope for tempo/luck. The talent is there but the draw makes him a risky value proposition rather than a confident selection.