Tamworth tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Anna Weatherlake

Bill Peyto offers excellent each-way value with a strong course/distance profile and low weight. He's placed in 4 of his last 7 starts and maps perfectly from barrier 1. The heavy track is a concern given his 0-from-13 record, but he was placed on heavy recently, suggesting he can handle it.

Our price $10.00 · SP $20.00 · Gabrielle Johnston

Hardyo is a veteran who thrives on wet ground and comes off a dominant win on Heavy 9.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Nick Palmer

Thundering Falcon broke through with a gutsy win last start over 2245m. He's never raced on heavy but handled soft well. The step back to BM58 is favourable and he maps to settle midfield.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

Acquisitive Art made a highly encouraging debut on heavy ground, charging home from the back to grab 2nd at Narromine over 800m. That run showed both wet-track aptitude and a will to win. The extra 200m should suit, and she is likely to have improved. Barrier 6 is acceptable and she maps to settle midfield with cover. The main risk is inexperience, but this low-grade Maiden is winnable.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Juliet Partridge

Euphoric Miss is a genuine roughie who could surprise. She jumps well and from the inside draw can lead or sit close. The tongue tie coming off might help her relax and finish better.

Our price $4.00 · SP $7.50 · Olivia Dalton

Fined For Speeding has been consistent this campaign, finishing 2nd at Warren on Soft over 1400m and 4th on Heavy10 last start. He drops from CL1 to Maiden company, which is a positive. The main challenge is barrier 10, but Olivia Dalton is riding well and can manage a midfield position. With the expected slow tempo, he should be in the first half of the field at the 400m.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

Redaluca Girl boasts a flawless place record on Heavy ground, finishing second in both starts. She continued that form with a 2nd at Narromine on Heavy10. Despite drawing wide, she can settle back and rely on her strong finish.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.90 · Shannen Llewellyn

Love You Anyway is the most consistent runner in the field with six seconds and three thirds. She should sit just off the speed from barrier 5 and produce her usual honest finish. Winless stats are a concern but she can place.

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · Clayton Gallagher

Long Time Lovers is a consistent maiden who rarely runs badly. Each-way value if the heavy track suits.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.80 · Jacob Stiff

Set To Prophet is the most in-form runner having won his last two starts at BM58 level. He has previously won a BM66 at Armidale, showing he can handle the class. With a slow tempo expected, his on-pace pattern and barrier 5 should give him every chance. The heavy track is a slight query, but he has placed on it. He represents the best combination of current form and race suitability.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Izzy Neale

City Gold Speed is an on-pace runner with genuine heavy track form, finishing second in his latest run on heavy10. With a low weight and a claiming apprentice, he maps to be prominent. The wide draw is a concern but given the bias favouring backmarkers recently, his forward position could be okay.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.00 · Angel Brennan

Uno Fred broke his maiden strongly last start and now drops back in distance with a featherweight. His heavy track performance was solid (2nd) and the low weight gives him a massive advantage. He is a value play with each-way claims in a wide open race.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.40 · Anna Weatherlake

Athena's Treasure is the class horse of the race dropping from Randwick Class 3 to a country BM58. If she handles the conditions, she wins, but it's a big if.

Our price $10.00 · SP $26.00 · Ben Looker

Northern Boogie is in career-best form with a win and a second on heavy ground in his last two starts. He possesses strong early speed and should be able to cross to a forward position. The wide draw is a concern, but his current form and fitness make him a solid place chance.

Our price $12.00 · SP $7.50 · Zoe Hunt

Commando Jack returns from a long spell but has a good first-up record and thrives on heavy ground. He was competitive in BM66 grade before the spell and now drops to BM58.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Aaron Bullock

Struff has the strongest heavy track credentials in the field with a win on Heavy. She drops in class from Class 5 to BM74 which is favourable. Jockey Aaron Bullock is in outstanding form (6 wins from last 20) and has a good record at Tamworth. Barrier 4 allows a forward position. Although she is first-up and has no track form, her class and heavy track ability make her the horse to beat.

Our price $20.00 · SP $20.00 · Donovan Dillon

She has the class drop from BM82 and has previously won on heavy ground. She placed at Tamworth in a BM66 on heavy two years ago. The major negatives are jockey Donovan Dillon's winless record at the track and the inside barrier which may be a disadvantage on Tamworth's tight circuit.