Hobart tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $1.85 · Erica Byrne Burke

Them's The Breaks has good form with a close second over 2000m at Hobart when fresh earlier this campaign. However, she is first up from a spell today and her first-up record is poor (0-0-0 from 4). The slow tempo will make it tough to come from behind.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · Lauryn Bingley

Wholesome is a classy mare with 5 wins from 34 starts, the best win rate in the race. She has placed over this track and distance before. Her recent form is poor but the return to blinkers and a good track may spark improvement.

Our price $3.00 · SP $8.00 · Kelvin Sanderson

Upheaval has the most convincing form line, having placed on debut over 1100m at Hobart and run competitively since. He returns from a spell but has shown he can run well fresh.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.40 · Erica Byrne Burke

However, the trainer's poor jockey combination record and wide barrier are concerns. In a weak maiden, he could run well fresh, but the risk is high without any evidence of ability.

Our price $15.00 · SP $18.00 · Bree Temple

Her best performance (2nd at Launceston) would be competitive here.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Anthony Darmanin

The blinkers-on gear change could produce the needed improvement. His last start 3rd over 1600m was ordinary but the step back to 1410m suits.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Bree Temple

Up To Tori produced a career-best effort first-up over 1200m, finishing 2nd behind a subsequent winner. She now goes second-up with 1.5kg less and a low weight.

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.20 · Sheridan Clarke

The Little Bay drops sharply in class after two excellent runs in Open and BM60 company at Hobart. He has won over this track and distance before and maps to be prominent. Despite jockey concerns, the class edge and current form make him the most likely winner.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · Lauryn Bingley

Alpine Ruby broke her maiden at Hobart two weeks ago, winning comfortably. She steps up to Class 1 now but is third-up and likely still improving.

Our price $15.00 · SP $41.00 · Christopher Pang

She disappointed last start on synthetic, but second-up she historically improves (1:0-1-0 record). The wide barrier is a concern but she should settle midfield. Value play.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Chelsea Thompson

Designer Dreamer is the class runner dropping from BM68 to BM60, a move that should suit. The very fast tempo predicted suits his closer style, and though wide barrier 14 is a concern, he can settle back and unwind. Last start was poor but prior form includes a win and a placing over this trip. He represents the most likely winner at fair value.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Luke P Dempsey

Stardarmus ran well last start, finishing 3rd in a BM68 at Hobart, and now drops to BM60. He has a strong track record with four wins at Hobart and barrier 6 allows a handy position. The fast tempo should suit his pattern. Good each-way value.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · Bulent Muhcu

She ran on well for 3rd in a CL2 last start and now drops to BM60 with barrier 4 and a good jockey. The moderate tempo and on-pace bias at Hobart suit her running style. She represents the most reliable winning chance in an even race.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.70 · Anthony Darmanin

First-up from a long spell is the main query, but her track/distance record and class edge make her a serious threat.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.50 · Troy Baker

Tribal Council is a genuine Hobart performer with strong recent form including a win over this track/distance. He ran 5th last start beaten less than a length and has the tactical speed to settle handy. The wide draw is a minor concern but his consistency and track affinity make him a strong each-way prospect.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.60 · Jason Maskiell

Perspiration is the class runner. He's won a Listed race and competed in Group company, and his sole start at Hobart 1200m was a victory. He comes off a poor run on heavy but that was first-up; his second-up record is strong. The main concerns are carrying top weight and an out-of-form jockey, but if he reproduces his Launceston win from February he is clearly the horse to beat. He should be ridden with cover and can finish over the top.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Erica Byrne Burke

Alvarinho is a track specialist with outstanding statistics at Hobart. She drops back from Group 3 class and handles Good ground. Drawn nicely and has a good jockey engagement. However, she returns from a lengthy spell and has been winless at black-type level. Expect her to run well but may be vulnerable fresh.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Anthony Darmanin

Thespian Waters is the value runner. The inside barrier gives him every chance to get a soft run, and he drops 2kg from his last start. He can run into the placings again and could surprise if everything goes his way.

Our price $4.00 · SP $8.00 · Kirra-Lee Lane

Fighting Floyd won impressively over this track/distance last start, beating several of today's rivals. His record at Hobart 1410m is outstanding with 5 wins from 8 starts. He maps to settle handy in a race lacking speed, and the slight weight rise should not derail him.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Jason Maskiell

Kakia is the likely leader in a slow-run race and brings consistent form from stronger company. Second-up statistics favour improvement. He is the logical danger and should give a bold sight.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.80 · Erica Byrne Burke

Rubbleonthedouble returned from a spell with a decisive win over 1200m, showing he is in good order. He has a strong place record at the track and distance. However, his second-up statistics are concerning, making him a place prospect rather than a win certainty.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Sam Kennedy

Verbano ran an honest second to Fighting Floyd last start and meets that rival 3kg better at the weights today. She has consistently placed at this track and distance and should again be in the finish.