Geelong tips and results

Our price $2.00 · SP $1.90 · Harry Coffey

She ran second on a Soft 5 debut and has been consistent. Drawn well at barrier 4 and second-up from a short spell, she should race on pace and prove hard to run down in this moderate maiden.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Jack Hill

Barrier 2 is beneficial. Not a strong winning chance.

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · John Allen

Gear changes (cross-over nose band, winkers off) may help.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.80 · Patrick Moloney

Atella Miss is the most reliable chance based on recent consistent efforts on wet tracks. She maps to get a handy run from barrier 6 and has a strong jockey-trainer combination. The winkers first time could provide the necessary edge to break through. She appeals as the best winner candidate in an even maiden.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Ryan Hurdle

True Lies posted a huge run last start when 2nd at Geelong on heavy, charging home from midfield. She gets barrier 1 today and should be prominent in a slow-run race. If she repeats that effort she will be very hard to beat.

Our price $3.00 · SP $1.95 · Lachlan Neindorf

He maps to lead and control the race, which is ideal at Geelong where on-pace runners win at a higher rate. Strong win chance.

Our price $7.00 · SP $18.00 · Harry Coffey

Ilustrious Warrior brings improving form from South Australia with a solid third on Soft 6 last start. The inside barrier is a big plus at Geelong, and he has shown he can handle wet conditions.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.50 · Dean Yendall

Dynamite Dancer has strong form lines, narrowly missing in a BM64 last start. He's second-up and his trainer excels at that fresh stat. However, barrier 12 at Geelong with the rail out is a significant hurdle; he'll need luck to get across without burning energy.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Jamie Mott

Poker is the interesting runner - a Flemington Open performer dropping sharply in grade. His only win was a maiden on heavy, but he's untested on soft. However, lack of soft form and limited race experience tempers enthusiasm.

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Lachlan King

Very Torquee is a tough, honest gelding who has been knocking on the door. He draws wide but typically settles midfield and could get the right run if tempo is slow.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.90 · Bailey Kinninmont

Furtherest Point drops into BM56 after racing in BM66/74 company. He's a Geelong winner at the track and distance, albeit on Good ground. His soft track record is 0-0-1 from 3 starts and recent runs have been underwhelming. The 3kg claim helps but the jockey's poor Geelong record tempers enthusiasm.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Harry Coffey

He draws barrier 5 which allows him to settle handy without conflict. While he lacks a winning habit, his form line and speed profile make him the clear second best winning chance and a strong place prospect.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Jamie Mott

Square Deal is a consistent type who has been racing in higher company (BM62) and now drops to BM56. He has placed in 3 of his last 5 starts on Soft, including a 3rd at Seymour. Barrier 2 gives him a soft run, and Jamie Mott is a significant positive given his strong trainer combination record.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Joe Bowditch

Flying Jude is an improving mare who broke through on Soft two starts back and followed with a close second on synthetic. She is 2 for 4 on Soft and maps nicely from barrier 4 in a race with a likely slow tempo.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Jamie Mott

Outdrive has been consistent since resuming, winning a maiden then a solid 4th in BM62. He handles soft ground well and is drawn to take up an on-pace position, which is key at Geelong. With Jamie Mott aboard (36% with the trainer), he rates as the most likely winner on form and should be hard to run down.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · Zac Spain

Cool Star ran an excellent 2nd at Seymour last start on Soft7, suggesting she is ready to win. She drops in class and gets the in-form Zac Spain. The wide draw is a concern, but if the tempo is moderate she can finish over the top. Good each-way value.

Our price $10.00 · SP $13.00 · Brad Rawiller

Treasury Place broke through handsomely on heavy ground last start and now gets the services of Brad Rawiller, who has already won on him. He maps perfectly from barrier 2 and should get every chance. The query is his soft track form, but the heavy win suggests he handles rain-affected going.

Our price $3.50 · SP $1.80 · Jamie Mott

Prestar is the class runner in this BM62, having contested Open and Listed grade recently. His last two runs – a close 3rd at Flemington and a narrow 2nd on soft – are clearly the best form lines in the race. Likely to settle mid-field and be strong late.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.50 · Jackson Radley

Kagemusha maps beautifully from gate 2 in a race with plenty of early speed. He prefers racing handy and showed course aptitude when winning at Geelong on heavy last spring.

Our price $10.00 · SP $13.00 · Bailey Kinninmont

Honey Maker has been racing in slightly higher grades and has consistently placed including a 3rd at Sale on heavy and a 3rd at Mornington in BM56 company. She drops back to BM56 today, draws nicely in barrier 5, and has a good record at 1400m.