Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Sunday 12 July 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Grafton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Frictional Force presents the strongest form case in this open, leaderless race. Drawn perfectly in barrier 2, with genuinely improving form and proven ability at this course and distance, it is well placed to control or sit forward and exploit Grafton's powerful front-three bias. The absence of natural leaders elsewhere increases its ability to dictate terms.
Divine Effort offers a well-founded form case built on proven Grafton course form, excellent conditions suitability, and strong connections. The wide-ish barrier is a slight complication given the track's leader bias, but the horse has shown it can race handy and finish off races at this level, making it a genuine winning hope in a moderate-tempo affair.
Montevecchio arrives with strong recent form, including a narrow defeat in similar grade, and a favourable barrier for Grafton's structural bias. While its overall winning rate is unremarkable, the horse is racing well up to task and rates as a leading placegetter with genuine winning upside if the speed map unfolds as a workmanlike, tactical affair.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Frictional Force | 2 | Ben Looker | J D Shelton | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 2 | Divine Effort | 9 | Grace Palmer | Samantha McGuren | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Smokey Saint | 6 | Jean Van Overmeire | R N Godbolt | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Bow Tie Affair | 3 | Jasper Franklin | Phil Bobic | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 5 | Memumza Diva | 5 | Stephen Cummins | Ms L Thomson | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Montevecchio | 7 | Archie Mc Colm | Vishan Venkaya | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Kiss'n Dance | 8 | Mikayla Weir | Fleur Henley | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Koojan | 1 | Kirk Matheson | Ruby Chatterton | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Oakfield Galaxy | 10 | Winona Costin | Ruby Chatterton | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Little Lunch | 4 | Grady Spokes | J M Austin | 55kg | $6.00 |
Clear form standout in this maiden field - only runner with multiple placings and demonstrated ability to be competitive at Grafton specifically.
Vastly experienced mare with strong course form (2 placings at Grafton) and an ideal inside barrier for the track's leader bias. Question marks remain about whether she can finish the job, but the experience and course suitability make her a leading contender in this maiden.
Included on raw ability but with tempered confidence due to barrier draw.
Ideal inside barrier for Grafton's strong leader bias adds to the case.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Sinfull | 10 | Jean Van Overmeire | J D Shelton | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | I Am Steffi | 9 | Archie Mc Colm | N J Osborne | 52.5kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Didie's Meadow | 6 | Nash Rawiller | M J Dunn | 58kg | $2.35 |
| 4th | 9 | Words Of Fire | 5 | Winona Costin | Ms R Dunn | 55.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Ibetty | 8 | Yvette Lewis | P G Randall | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 12 | So Sain | 2 | Ben Looker | Ethan Ensby | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Miss Dipsey | 4 | Grady Spokes | L J Clapham | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Worth The Ride | 7 | Raymond Spokes | Sally Taylor | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Secessionist | 1 | Stephen Cummins | Ms L Sheppard | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 4 | Bring It On Sal | 3 | Jenny Duggan | J Kehoe | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Pride Of Nations | 11 | Nozi Tomizawa | Stephanie Sixtus | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Arakoola | 5 | Sally Taylor | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Kobi Express | 11 | Samantha McGuren | 56.5kg |
Steffi Electrica represents the most credible form-based winning chance, dropping from a higher grade into this Class 1 with a strong record of minor placings and proven Grafton course form including a win at this track/distance.
Midwest Princess boasts by far the best course and course/distance record in the field at Grafton, showing she handles this specific track and trip better than most rivals. However, barrier 14 is a genuine structural negative given the track's strong front-three-at-400m bias, capping her upside despite the extensive local form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Steffi Electrica | 7 | Archie Mc Colm | A J Edmonds | 54.5kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 14 | Monaco Flyer | 2 | Andrew Gibbons | J D Shelton | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Constellation | 6 | Nick Heywood | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Hayley's Rocket | 5 | Ben Looker | J D Shelton | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 11 | On Her Word | 9 | Winona Costin | Ms R Dunn | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Midwest Princess | 11 | Olivia Dalton | Jason Reilly | 53kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Stratton | 1 | Mikayla Weir | A Parramore | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 16 | Miss Indi | 10 | Jenny Duggan | P J Cunningham | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Kemal | 12 | Raymond Spokes | Daniel Wheeler | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Vantante | 4 | Jean Van Overmeire | Paul Murray | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Devious Mind | 3 | Karl Zechner | L J Clapham | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Mum Knows | 8 | Kirk Matheson | J D Shelton | 55kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Zouking | 7 | Jake Hull | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Land Speed | 11 | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Exceed Me | 17 | J A Sprague | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Autumngirl | 9 | Adam Campton | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Clan D'oro | 13 | Ms V McLennan | 55kg |
Redland Bay draws perfectly into the Grafton bias, has been building nicely with an improving trend and a narrow last-start defeat in a similar race. Best combination of on-pace positioning, barrier and rising form in this maiden.
A model of consistency without having saluted, Miss Midas Touch draws well and has proven big-race manners at this class.
Habib Albi has been racing honestly with two thirds from his last four runs and holds a workable inside barrier at a track that rewards forward, on-pace runners. Lack of jockey information is a slight unknown, but the underlying form is solid enough for a third selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 16 | You Are Mind | 13 | Aaron Bullock | M J Dunn | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 17 | Occupation | 10 | Nash Rawiller | M J Dunn | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Miss Midas Touch | 4 | Grady Spokes | B J Dodson | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Cook My Goose | 6 | Karl Zechner | Sally Taylor | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Junostar | 14 | Nozi Tomizawa | D Chujo | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Redland Bay | 2 | Stephen Cummins | Ms L Sheppard | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Antonucci | 11 | Poppie Gorton | Aiden St Vincent | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Goodonya Ausbred | 7 | Raymond Spokes | N Mayfield-Smith | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Cosmic Fun | 3 | Mikayla Weir | A Parramore | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Bucket List | 12 | Jean Van Overmeire | J D Shelton | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Motion A Nation | 9 | Noriyuki Masuda | D Chujo | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Habib Albi | 1 | Ben Looker | Aiden St Vincent | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 13th | 14 | New Beginnings | 8 | Olivia Dalton | Jason Reilly | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 14th | 9 | Halloween Holly | 5 | Andrew Gibbons | Shane Everson | 57kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Sajjetti | 14 | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | La Regina | 17 | Aiden St Vincent | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | My Lioness | 14 | P J Cunningham | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Lagavulin | 8 | A Parramore | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Babe Roth | 4 | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Shamolatte | 9 | P G Randall | 59kg |
Jukebox In Siberia gets it right back at the scene of her narrow last-start win at Grafton over near-identical trip. Her track/distance record is outstanding relative to this field, and barrier 8 sets her up perfectly to sit forward into a very fast pace without leading outright.
Prestige Gundy is the most consistent and in-form runner in the race, with a strong recent record of wins and minor placings.
Archie Maximus is flying under a strong recent form trend, winning as a leader last start. He suits Grafton's on-speed bias with a favourable barrier 9, but faces a genuine step up in grade today against more experienced rivals. Three genuine leaders in this field could compromise his ability to dictate terms uncontested.
Fiction Society boasts a strong course-specialist record at Grafton with three wins including at this trip, and a good first-up record suits today's fresh assignment. Barrier 4 allows forward tactics that suit the track bias.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Prestige Gundy | 9 | Aaron Bullock | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 59.5kg | $2.35 |
| 2nd | 1 | Think Like Paddy | 10 | Nash Rawiller | M J Dunn | 61kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 15 | Fiction Society | 4 | Winona Costin | Ms R Dunn | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Picasso's Dream | 3 | Yvette Lewis | G N Nielsen | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Chica Del Mar | 7 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | Paul Snowden | 55.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Jukebox In Siberia | 8 | Harrison Shaw | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 14 | The Lupercal | 12 | Jean Van Overmeire | D B Campbell | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Dark Stratum | 1 | Grace Palmer | Samantha McGuren | 52kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 16 | Monte Outlander | 2 | Stephen Cummins | N Mayfield-Smith | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Beer Baron | 6 | Ben Looker | N J Osborne | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 11th | 17 | Dupont | 11 | Madeline Owen | D W Dwane | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 12th | 13 | Rethink It | 5 | Mikayla Weir | T J Vidler | 55kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Archie Maximus | 9 | M J Dunn | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Master Artist | 10 | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Autumn Miss | 13 | M J Dunn | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Keiko Say | 15 | J C Smerdon | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Phoenix Power | 13 | Darren Treacy | 55kg |
Aaron Bullock's stats with this stable are outstanding.
Kronenbourg drops from tougher Listed grade and boasts an outstanding record at this exact distance (8 wins, 18 starts). Recent form (4th, 7th, 3rd in Listed races) is competitive.
The fast tempo predicted today should suit his finishing turn of foot, though barrier 13 is a genuine obstacle on this leader-biased circuit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Mr Chaplin | 7 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | Tom Charlton | 54kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 9 | Fortune | 11 | Adam Farragher | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Kronenbourg | 9 | Nash Rawiller | T J Gollan | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Know Thyself | 5 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 58.5kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 18 | Ghost Walker | 1 | Andrew Gibbons | Paul Snowden | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Hollywood Hero | 10 | Winona Costin | Bjorn Baker | 55kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 22 | Winning Point | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Paul Murray | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Sibaaq | 6 | Jasper Franklin | Declan Maher | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Auzstar | 3 | Jenny Duggan | M P Quinn | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Kaizad | 4 | Jake Bayliss | Ms C Rode | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 17 | Navy Buoy | 8 | Ben Looker | Paul Snowden | 54kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | War Eternal | 12 | Bjorn Baker | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Midnight Dynamite | 15 | Bjorn Baker | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Rising Pacific | 17 | T J Gollan | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Warby | 16 | T J Gollan | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Time Quest | 15 | Matthew Smith | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Danish Fortune | 11 | Joel Wilkes | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Northern Decree | 9 | Christos Zintilis | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Supreme Command | 13 | Glen Milligan | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Pressalong | 19 | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Bold Hoi Ho | 8 | Sally Taylor | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 21 | Visualise | 6 | Jacob Perrett | 54kg |
Rates the most likely winner on raw form despite the draw.
However, barrier 14 is a serious red flag given Grafton's pronounced 400m front-three bias and the backmarker penalty highlighted in the track profile. Still rates as a top-three chance on class and consistency, but the draw tempers conviction relative to better-positioned rivals.
Sinatra draws well (barrier 5) at a track where forward position is king, and arrives in career-best form having just won at Murwillumbah. Rising in class but the trajectory is positive with a lightly-raced profile suggesting more upside. A prominent, forward-racing type that suits the expected moderate-tempo, lone-leader shape of this race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | He's A Copy Boy | 11 | Grace Palmer | Samantha McGuren | 53.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Bails | 4 | Nick Heywood | M J Dunn | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 7 | Dance Dance Dance | 8 | Kacie Adams | Darren Treacy | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 15 | Flash Prince | 1 | Noriyuki Masuda | Ms V McLennan | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Lady Alabama | 10 | Grady Spokes | L J Clapham | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Sound And Vision | 7 | Madeline Owen | Ms K Owen | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Spills | 9 | Bailie Baker | Wayne S Lawson | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 8th | 14 | Queen Of Tayrona | 5 | Yvette Lewis | G N Nielsen | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Monarch Express | 6 | Harrison Shaw | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 10th | 3 | Sun Topaze | 2 | Mikayla Weir | Shane Everson | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Mindspace | 2 | Sally Taylor | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | He's Godspeed | 13 | B M Lazzarini | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | In The Fine Print | 3 | Winona Costin | L J Clapham | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Vixenette | 14 | M J Dunn | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Sinatra | 5 | M J Dunn | 57kg |
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