Naracoorte tips and results

Our price $10.00 · SP $8.00 · Sophie Logan

On Tik showed improvement with a 3rd at Murray Bridge last start. However, he has no wet track form and the jockey/trainer combination is winless. Place chances only.

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Kayla Crowther

Ballroom Blast is a debutant with a reasonable trainer/jockey combination. Could run above expectations.

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.00 · Brooke King

Mon Papillon is the clear form horse on heavy ground after a strong placing last start. The wide draw is a minor concern but she maps to settle midfield and be within range by the 400m.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.50 · Kate Walters

Melissa Kate is a proven wet-track mare who arrives off a dominant win on Heavy8 at Casterton, followed by a solid 4th on Heavy10 at Mt Gambier. With seven career wins on rain-affected ground and consistent recent form, she handles these conditions best. The wide draw is a concern, but her tactical speed and ability to sustain a long run suit the slow tempo and Naracoorte's heavy profile.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · Kayla Crowther

Star Fortian returned to form with a strong third on Heavy8 at Bordertown over this trip, beaten just over a length. The 3yo filly is lightly raced and improving, and that run suggests she handles wet ground. From barrier 7 she can settle midfield and build into the race. Kayla Crowther has a modest track record, but the horse's recent heavy performance outweighs that.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Melea Castle

Alpinova has a tremendous record at 1100m with six seconds and four thirds from 16 starts, indicating she often finds the frame. Barrier 4 allows a comfortable run behind the speed. The jockey/trainer combination has produced winners.

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.00 · Connor Murtagh

Ironbar comes off a gutsy win in similar BM56 grade on soft ground and boasts a strong heavy-track profile with a win and two placings from three wet starts. The class drop from BM68 now appears favourable, and while barrier 9 and top weight are concerns, his ability to sustain a long run suits Naracoorte's 1430m journey.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · Dominic Tourneur

Loose Lip Lloyd is the classic old-stager who thrives in the wet. His last-start win on Heavy10 demonstrates he still has the will to compete, and his heavy track strike rate is far superior to most in this field.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Andrew Stead

I Could Do Better is in career-best wet-track form with two strong runner-up efforts on Heavy8/10. He stays on well over 2000m and has the stamina profile to overcome a wide draw at Naracoorte. The class rise from BM52 is minor and he meets weaker opposition than recent runs. Give him a big chance.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.50 · Kayla Crowther

Badonkidonk is a course specialist with a strong record at Naracoorte, especially over the 2000m. He has won on heavy ground and while his first-up run this prep was poor, he typically improves second-up. Barrier 5 and a likely handy midfield position suit.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Connor Murtagh

Hotinherre is the class horse but has significant question marks. She's unproven over the distance, has a poor heavy win rate, and comes off a 20-length defeat. The class drop is real but her last run was plain and she hasn't won for a long time.

Our price $4.00 · SP $7.00 · Andrew Stead

Impending Diamond is a proven heavy-track mare with 4 wins on the surface. She ran a solid 5th last start on Heavy 8 and maps well from barrier 4. Her class and wet-track credentials make her a strong each-way chance in this BM62.

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · Margaret Collett

She ran a strong 4th in a BM62 on soft two back and has placed on heavy. With only 55kg and a good draw, she maps to get every chance.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Margaret Collett

Barrier 12 is a concern but if he can find a position, his wet-track ability and recent consistency make him a serious threat.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Ashvin Goindasamy

Wild Vitality has a strong heavy-track record with three wins. He drops back from synthetic racing and is lightly weighted.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Melea Castle

Gargantuan returns to heavy ground after two solid seconds on synthetic and heavy. He has placed three times on heavy without winning, suggesting he handles it but lacks the finish. The 60kg impost and lack of a distance win are negatives. He maps well from barrier 4 and should be in the finish, but is more likely to place than win. Worth including for place payouts in exotics.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Kate Walters

Our Ellie Rose is a veteran mare who loves Naracoorte with two wins and two seconds from six starts. She ran second on Heavy 10 last time at Mt Gambier, suggesting she handles the testing conditions. Dropping to 54kg is a big advantage and she gets Kate Walters who knows the horse intimately.