Waverley tips and results

Our price $2.86 · SP $3.70 · Kelly Myers

Manorbier has the strongest heavy track credentials in the field, having placed twice on heavy including a recent 3rd on Heavy10. He is racing consistently and has the in-form Kelly Myers aboard. Despite being a maiden after 13 starts, he appears the most likely winner in this small field on testing ground.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.20 · Kelly Myers

However, without any track experience, there is risk. She may be a place chance at worst.

Our price $8.00 · SP $19.40 · Rohan Mudhoo

Serafina Lass is a speculative value pick based entirely on barrier advantage and low weight. On Waverley heavy, inside draws are highly favoured, and she has the best draw of all. This is a punt on the draw and weight more than form.

Our price $3.00 · SP $4.20 · Kelly Myers

Ena Sharples is the clear form pick with three heavy track placings from four runs, including a narrow second at Woodville over 1400m last start. Second-up today and reuniting with Kelly Myers, who rides in career-best form. The barrier is acceptable and the weight is manageable.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.80 · Hayley Hassman

Game Face has tackled heavy tracks exclusively and is gradually improving, with a best of 4th over 1400m on Heavy9 last start. Drawing barrier 3 is a big plus on Waverley's heavy surface, and she gets in light at 54.5kg. The main knock is the jockey's poor recent record.

Our price $20.00 · SP $46.10 · Elen Nicholas

Two starts back she ran second on Heavy10 at Woodville over 1400m, showing she can handle the conditions. From the inside gate (1) at Waverley, she can get a soft run up front.

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.30 · George Rooke

She's A Boss drops sharply from Open class to BM65, a massive advantage. She has won on Heavy10 and placed in her last two starts on heavy ground. Barrier 6 is ideal and jockey Rooke has a 40% win rate at Waverley. The main query is her lack of experience but class and weight relief make her the one to beat.

Our price $15.00 · SP $20.60 · Crystal Lindsay

Miss Dixie is an old campaigner who loves heavy ground, placing in over half her heavy starts. Drawn the ace (barrier 1) at Waverley where inside draws win often, and carrying only 51kg, she gets every chance. Her last start 4th on Soft7 was encouraging.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.60 · Liam Kauri

Luckytobehere gets the plum barrier 1 and has been racing consistently with two third placings on synthetic. The big question is whether she can translate that form to Heavy ground, having never raced on it. Liam Kauri has an excellent record at Waverley and the inside draw is a major positive on this track.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Hayley Hassman

Betty Willdoit is the value runner in the race. She ran a massive race on debut over this distance on Heavy, finishing second despite a wide barrier. She gets in with only 54.5kg and looks poised to win or place again. The main concern is barrier 13, which statistically is very hard to overcome at Waverley on heavy. She is the clear value play with each-way appeal.

Our price $5.00 · SP $10.00 · Leah Hemi

Stella Success has the ideal profile for this heavy track staying race: she won over this track and distance on heavy last winter, drops from Open company to BM75, and jockey Leah Hemi rides well here. Her last start was average but she was freshened 18 days. She can stalk the pace from barrier 10 and should be strong late. The 2200m suits her best.

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.70 · Jonathan Riddell

Danjuro is the consistent type who rarely runs poorly. He has placed in his last two heavy track runs and draws perfectly in barrier 3. Needs to convert places into a win to justify favouritism.

Our price $7.00 · SP $14.00 · Kelly Myers

Quid is a genuine heavy tracker with 19 runs on testing ground resulting in 4 wins and 6 seconds. He has placed in 4 of 5 starts at 2200m and ran well over this trip last start on soft. The wide draw is a concern but he has overcome barriers before.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.50 · Elen Nicholas

Wave has started her career with three solid runs, culminating in a third placing at Waverley over 1400m on Soft7. She has handled heavy tracks with two 4th placings. The step up to 1650m should suit her dam's side (Almanzor progeny often improve with distance). Barrier 12 is a concern, but she should get back and run on. She represents strong each-way value.

Our price $5.00 · SP $11.90 · Lisa Allpress

Zashubo has shown glimpses of ability, particularly her 4th on Heavy10 at Wanganui last spring. She gets a significant jockey upgrade to Lisa Allpress. Barrier 5 is ideal on this track. However, her recent form on softer ground has been moderate, finishing 7th here over 1400m on Soft7.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.50 · Floor Moerman

Billy Boy is the most accomplished wet-tracker in the field with 8 heavy wins – more than any other runner combined. He is race-fit from a hurdle campaign and has twice placed on heavy at Waverley. The wide gate is a concern, but his class and stamina should see him finish strongly. Strong each-way and value play.