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New South Wales · Saturday 25 July 2026

Kembla Grange tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail +3m 1100m-W/Post, True RemainderFineKembla Grange track guide ›
Top pick won3/838%
Any tip won6/875%
Top pick placed6/875%
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top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won

R1

Moretti Constructions Super Mdn Plate

12:14 local1400mMaiden$60,000
Winner7. Pierro LadSP $2.20
★ Top pickWon
7Pierro Lad

Our price $1.85 · SP $2.20 · Keagan Latham

Pierro Lad presents the strongest and deepest form profile in this maiden field, with three placings from limited chances against tougher city maiden company, plus previous experience at this track/distance.

2nd pick3rd
8Rapid Revenue

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.90 · Mitchell Bell

Quick back-up suggests sound fitness, and the barrier draw allows a forward position which suits the slow-tempo scenario predicted today.

3rd pick2nd
9World Wide

Our price $4.80 · SP $6.50 · Mikayla Weir

Barrier 1 is workable given the slow tempo map, and his adaptability across track conditions supports each-way claims.

Value pick4th
6My Country Boy

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Lee Magorrian

My Country Boy offers value with a leading city stable behind him and a recent Soft-track placing, plus a workable barrier for forward positioning under the predicted slow tempo.

  1. 1st7Pierro LadKeagan Latham$2.20
  2. 2nd9World WideMikayla Weir$6.50
  3. 3rd8Rapid RevenueMitchell Bell$2.90
  4. 4th6My Country BoyLee Magorrian$5.50
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Pierro Lad6Keagan LathamC Maher57kg$2.20
2nd9World Wide1Mikayla WeirJ G Sargent57kg$6.50
3rd8Rapid Revenue5Mitchell BellBjorn Baker57kg$2.90
4th6My Country Boy4Lee MagorrianPeter Snowden57kg$5.50
5th5Mr Reiby2Jess TaylorMs T Bateup57kg$20.00
6th3Heart Reset3Brock RyanR & L Price57kg$51.00
7th2Final Spirit7Ms T Bateup57kg$101.00
Scr1Algorithmic6Nikki Hodgson57kg
Scr4Leon Ruben2Ms D Poidevin-Laine57kg
Scr10Cool Aza Breeze3C Maher55kg
Scr11Hussy La Vista7Ms T Bateup55kg
R2

Skin Revival Provincial Mdn Hcp

12:49 local1500mMaiden$45,000
Winner12. SonnigSP $18.00
★ Top pick6th
1Algorithmic

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.75 · Keagan Latham

Drawn wide but Kembla's soft track bias data shows barrier draw is a minor factor.

2nd pick3rd
6Mandy Canrun

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

Mandy Canrun is a genuine progressive type, lightly raced with a strong runner-up effort last start on a similar soft track. Her trial form at Kembla Grange and wet-track affinity make her a threat in this maiden, though the small sample size and wider gate add some risk.

999th pickScratched
10Leon Ruben

Our price $4.50 · Jeff Penza

Value pick7th
5Ridgeback

Our price $10.00 · SP $17.00 · Mitchell Bell

Ridgeback offers each-way value dropping out of a tougher Class 1 grade back to a winnable maiden, with past placings at today's trip and demonstrated wet-track capability.

  1. 1st12SonnigAdam Farragher$18.00
  2. 2nd3RouladenLee Magorrian$3.80
  3. 3rd6Mandy CanrunRebecca Bronett Prag$7.00
  4. 4th11Robbed By RobMikayla Weir$31.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st12Sonnig2Adam FarragherAnthony Mountney55kg$18.00
2nd3Rouladen3Lee MagorrianMitchell Beer & George Carpenter58.5kg$3.80
3rd6Mandy Canrun9Rebecca Bronett PragK J Parker53.5kg$7.00
4th11Robbed By Rob6Mikayla WeirSara Ryan55kg$31.00
5th2Flying Arabesque1Jon GrisedaleRoss McConville58.5kg$12.00
6th1Algorithmic10Keagan LathamNikki Hodgson60kg$1.75
7th5Ridgeback4Mitchell BellEdward O'Rourke57.5kg$17.00
Scr4Final Spirit11Brock RyanMs T Bateup57.5kg
Scr7Heart Reset12R & L Price56kg
Scr8Argantorati7Louise DayJoseph Ible55kg
Scr9Hussy La Vista8Jess TaylorMs T Bateup55kg
Scr10Leon Ruben5Jeff PenzaMs D Poidevin-Laine55kg
R3

Complete Warehouse Solutions Mdn Plate

13:24 local1300mMaiden$42,000
Winner7. Short SeaSP $11.00
★ Top pick3rd
4Hitch

Our price $1.70 · SP $1.80 · Lee Magorrian

Elite stable connections and a proven wet-track placing make this the most likely winner on form.

2nd pick2nd
8Skystone

Our price $2.60 · SP $3.30 · Keagan Latham

3rd pickWon
7Short Sea

Our price $8.50 · SP $11.00 · Christian Reith

Short Sea drops sharply in class after competing in Open company, with solid placings on Soft and Heavy ground.

Value pick4th
6Loud And Clear

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Adam Farragher

  1. 1st7Short SeaChristian Reith$11.00
  2. 2nd8SkystoneKeagan Latham$3.30
  3. 3rd4HitchLee Magorrian$1.80
  4. 4th6Loud And ClearAdam Farragher$7.00
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Short Sea4Christian ReithPeter Snowden56.5kg$11.00
2nd8Skystone5Keagan LathamJohn O'Shea & Tom Charlton56.5kg$3.30
3rd4Hitch2Lee MagorrianMichael Freedman56.5kg$1.80
4th6Loud And Clear6Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald56.5kg$7.00
5th5Lord Bassett3Mitchell BellAnnabel & Rob Archibald56.5kg$11.00
6th1Dawn Rider1Jon GrisedaleDonna Grisedale59kg$101.00
Scr2Flying Arabesque4Ross McConville59kg
Scr3Pierro Lad2C Maher59kg
R4

Go Hire Site Rentals Mdn Plate

13:59 local1300mMaiden$42,000
Winner10. SomerfordSP $2.10
★ Top pick3rd
4Grand Carousel

Our price $2.30 · SP $5.00 · Lee Magorrian

Grand Carousel is the most credentialed runner in this maiden, with three placings from four starts including a close 2nd at Nowra on a Heavy track last start. Barrier 10 is a minor concern but Kembla's weak barrier bias limits the impact.

2nd pickWon
10Somerford

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.10 · Christian Reith

3rd pick9th
2Cool Aza Breeze

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.00 · Keagan Latham

Cool Aza Breeze offers solid each-way claims as a genuine placegetter last start for a powerful stable, second-up and with a capable rider.

Value pick6th
9Pressure Point

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Jeff Penza

Treated as a value proxy play given the absence of negative signals, this is a speculative each-way option rather than a confident selection, best suited to small stakes given the uncertainty.

  1. 1st10SomerfordChristian Reith$2.10
  2. 2nd6PhotoshopMikayla Weir$7.00
  3. 3rd4Grand CarouselLee Magorrian$5.00
  4. 4th5IsotropicAdrian Layt$31.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Somerford3Christian ReithBrad Widdup55.5kg$2.10
2nd6Photoshop1Mikayla WeirJ G Sargent58kg$7.00
3rd4Grand Carousel10Lee MagorrianMitchell Beer & George Carpenter58kg$5.00
4th5Isotropic8Adrian LaytW A Hudd58kg$31.00
5th8Bow Lion4Brock RyanMs T Bateup55.5kg$12.00
6th9Pressure Point9Jeff PenzaK J Parker55.5kg$11.00
7th3Frosted Amour6Jess TaylorMs T Bateup58kg$41.00
8th7Supa Zenardini7Olivia ChambersCraig Carmody56kg$41.00
9th2Cool Aza Breeze2Keagan LathamC Maher58kg$8.00
Scr1Atossa5Ms T Bateup58kg
R5

Carlton Dry 3.5 (Bm64)

14:34 local2400mBenchmark 64$42,000
Winner3. SablonneuseSP $3.60
★ Top pickWon
3Sablonneuse

Our price $3.40 · SP $3.60 · Brock Ryan

Her wet-track record (3 wins from 7) and course suitability align perfectly with the track's preference for distance/track proven types. Represents the most reliable winning chance on raw form.

2nd pick5th
2Laspirit Deeler

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Jeff Penza

3rd pick4th
6My Greek God

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Jett Newman

Proven form at Kembla Grange itself is a plus. However, his one win from 17 starts flags him as more of a Placegetter than out-and-out winner, capping conviction at moderate levels despite the strong underlying numbers.

Value pick8th
7California Grass

Our price $4.60 · SP $5.00 · Keagan Latham

Elite Latham/Thompson combination adds intent.

  1. 1st3SablonneuseBrock Ryan$3.60
  2. 2nd1MajorianOlivia Dalton$6.00
  3. 3rd5AnulfaMitch Stapleford$12.00
  4. 4th6My Greek GodJett Newman$7.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Sablonneuse4Brock RyanMs T Bateup57.5kg$3.60
2nd1Majorian5Olivia DaltonAnnabel & Rob Archibald59.5kg$6.00
3rd5Anulfa1Mitch StaplefordS B Hill54.5kg$12.00
4th6My Greek God7Jett NewmanMatthew Smith54kg$7.00
5th2Laspirit Deeler3Jeff PenzaLee & Cherie Curtis59kg$5.00
6th4Sunburnt Country2Rebecca Bronett PragNatalie Jarvis54kg$21.00
7th8Queen Tavane6Olivia ChambersLee & Cherie Curtis53kg$11.00
8th7California Grass8Keagan LathamJohn Thompson55kg$5.00
R6

Brookvale Union Midway Hcp (C1)

15:14 local1300mClass 1$45,000
Winner7. RockthevelioSP $4.80
★ Top pickWon
7Rockthevelio

Our price $3.00 · SP $4.80 · Louise Day

Rockthevelio has been building nicely with a placing behind subsequent form in a stronger race last start, and a dominant maiden win on heavy ground prior. Barrier 7 sets up a forward, on-pace run which suits the track's positional bias at Kembla. Represents the most reliable, in-form runner in the race and fits the profile of lightly-raced, progressive types that win here.

2nd pick8th
5Rose Of Fenway

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.60 · Lee Magorrian

Consistent placegetter with genuine wet-track form and represents a strong claim on capable, current form. A key threat to the top pick and a solid each-way/place watch given consistent hit-rate.

3rd pick2nd
1Hinzel

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.00 · Chad Lever

Value pick3rd
9Ouragan

Our price $9.00 · SP $18.00 · Grant Buckley

  1. 1st7RockthevelioLouise Day$4.80
  2. 2nd1HinzelChad Lever$2.00
  3. 3rd9OuraganGrant Buckley$18.00
  4. 4th6Powerful PrayerBrock Ryan$61.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Rockthevelio7Louise DayDavid Pfieffer56.5kg$4.80
2nd1Hinzel5Chad LeverK J Parker59.5kg$2.00
3rd9Ouragan4Grant BuckleyP & M Cave55.5kg$18.00
4th6Powerful Prayer9Brock RyanJohn Thompson56.5kg$61.00
5th11Velia6Donovan DillonMitchell Beer & George Carpenter55kg$91.00
6th10I Am Brave1Keagan LathamRichard & Will Freedman55kg$15.00
7th8Decota2Jon GrisedaleRoss McConville55.5kg$101.00
8th5Rose Of Fenway8Lee MagorrianMitchell Beer & George Carpenter57kg$3.60
9th3Derry City Felix10Andrew CalderP & M Cave58kg$41.00
10th2Royal Corporal3Mitchell BellRichard Litt59.5kg$26.00
Scr4Zougotme11Jett NewmanR & L Price55.5kg
R7

Kennards Hire Hcp (C1)

15:54 local1500mClass 1$42,000
Winner3. So RebelliousSP $5.50
★ Top pick2nd
4Street Vanquisher

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.00 · Chad Lever

Street Vanquisher presents the strongest form case with a perfect 2-from-2 placing record, including a track-and-condition-specific win at Kembla Grange on Soft footing. Stepping up in class was handled well with a narrow 2nd at Newcastle.

2nd pick6th
1Namaste

Our price $3.20 · SP $1.90 · Keagan Latham

999th pickScratched
7Alamagan

Our price $11.00

Alamagan offers standout course-and-class form, with two placings in Class 1 races at Kembla Grange including a narrow 2nd on Soft 7 ground.

Value pick5th
9Kindamagic

Our price $9.00 · SP $31.00 · Quayde Krogh

  1. 1st3So RebelliousRobyn Freeman$5.50
  2. 2nd4Street VanquisherChad Lever$6.00
  3. 3rd6SharbinoAdrian Layt$21.00
  4. 4th10Johnny SmashLeeshelle Small$21.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3So Rebellious6Robyn FreemanG Portelli59kg$5.50
2nd4Street Vanquisher8Chad LeverK J Parker59kg$6.00
3rd6Sharbino9Adrian LaytG R Nickson57.5kg$21.00
4th10Johnny Smash4Leeshelle SmallM F Van Gestel52kg$21.00
5th9Kindamagic1Quayde KroghMitchell Maloney-Stone56.5kg$31.00
6th1Namaste7Keagan LathamBjorn Baker61.5kg$1.90
7th2Flying Artisam2Zac WadickG Waterhouse & A Bott59.5kg$8.50
8th8Wootten It Be Nice5Mitchell BellAnnabel & Rob Archibald57kg$12.00
Scr5Pawa3Olivia ChambersEdward O'Rourke56kg
Scr7Alamagan10Joseph Ible57kg
R8

Patrick McCabe''s 90th Celebration (Bm64)

16:29 local1000mBenchmark 64$42,000
Winner8. IndefensibleSP $7.50
★ Top pick8th
3Honey Perfume

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.60 · Mitchell Bell

Honey Perfume presents the strongest form case in this BM64 - a genuine soft-track specialist with excellent consistency (7 placings from last 9 runs) and recent class-level success. Best fits Kembla's ideal profile of in-form, distance-proven runners capable of building a forward position by the 400m.

2nd pick6th
4Tai Lung

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Glenn Cahill

Tai Lung has strong recent-form context, having placed 3rd in this exact race last preparation at Kembla Grange over 1000m on soft ground. The extended 70-day spell is a mild concern, but the trainer/horse combination has managed him first-up well previously.

3rd pick5th
7Exfortythree

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.60 · Brodie Loy

Exfortythree has a winning course record and a lightly-raced, improving profile that fits the Kembla ideal-winner mould.

Value pickWon
8Indefensible

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Jeff Penza

Her indifferent last-start effort on heavy ground can be forgiven given the softer conditions today and easier grade.

  1. 1st8IndefensibleJeff Penza$7.50
  2. 2nd13AegipanShaun Guymer$14.00
  3. 3rd2IndecisiveKeagan Latham$5.00
  4. 4th5Oceans OneOlivia Dalton$12.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Indefensible5Jeff PenzaJoseph Pride59kg$7.50
2nd13Aegipan12Shaun GuymerPat Murphy55.5kg$14.00
3rd2Indecisive1Keagan LathamJohn Thompson61kg$5.00
4th5Oceans One6Olivia DaltonSara Ryan56.5kg$12.00
5th7Exfortythree8Brodie LoyEdward Cummings59kg$2.60
6th4Tai Lung9Glenn CahillT J Robinson57kg$11.00
7th12Zoukerino4Louise DayJ C Coyle56kg$21.00
8th3Honey Perfume10Mitchell BellMatthew Smith60.5kg$4.60
Scr1Gail Jeanette13Jett NewmanAngus Stewart59kg
Scr6Brown Sugar7Lee MagorrianAdam Duggan59kg
Scr9Donwon11Jon GrisedaleRoss McConville58.5kg
Scr10Noctua3Rebecca Bronett PragNatalie Jarvis54kg
Scr11Kunis2Madison WatersR & L Price56.5kg

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