Pierro Lad presents the strongest and deepest form profile in this maiden field, with three placings from limited chances against tougher city maiden company, plus previous experience at this track/distance.
New South Wales · Saturday 25 July 2026
Kembla Grange tips and results
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Moretti Constructions Super Mdn Plate
Quick back-up suggests sound fitness, and the barrier draw allows a forward position which suits the slow-tempo scenario predicted today.
Barrier 1 is workable given the slow tempo map, and his adaptability across track conditions supports each-way claims.
My Country Boy offers value with a leading city stable behind him and a recent Soft-track placing, plus a workable barrier for forward positioning under the predicted slow tempo.
- 1st7Pierro LadKeagan Latham$2.20
- 2nd9World WideMikayla Weir$6.50
- 3rd8Rapid RevenueMitchell Bell$2.90
- 4th6My Country BoyLee Magorrian$5.50
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Pierro Lad | 6 | Keagan Latham | C Maher | 57kg | $2.20 |
| 2nd | 9 | World Wide | 1 | Mikayla Weir | J G Sargent | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Rapid Revenue | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Bjorn Baker | 57kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 6 | My Country Boy | 4 | Lee Magorrian | Peter Snowden | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Mr Reiby | 2 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Heart Reset | 3 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Final Spirit | 7 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $101.00 | |
| Scr | 1 | Algorithmic | 6 | Nikki Hodgson | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Leon Ruben | 2 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Cool Aza Breeze | 3 | C Maher | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Hussy La Vista | 7 | Ms T Bateup | 55kg |
Skin Revival Provincial Mdn Hcp
Drawn wide but Kembla's soft track bias data shows barrier draw is a minor factor.
Mandy Canrun is a genuine progressive type, lightly raced with a strong runner-up effort last start on a similar soft track. Her trial form at Kembla Grange and wet-track affinity make her a threat in this maiden, though the small sample size and wider gate add some risk.
Ridgeback offers each-way value dropping out of a tougher Class 1 grade back to a winnable maiden, with past placings at today's trip and demonstrated wet-track capability.
- 1st12SonnigAdam Farragher$18.00
- 2nd3RouladenLee Magorrian$3.80
- 3rd6Mandy CanrunRebecca Bronett Prag$7.00
- 4th11Robbed By RobMikayla Weir$31.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Sonnig | 2 | Adam Farragher | Anthony Mountney | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Rouladen | 3 | Lee Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58.5kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Mandy Canrun | 9 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | K J Parker | 53.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Robbed By Rob | 6 | Mikayla Weir | Sara Ryan | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Flying Arabesque | 1 | Jon Grisedale | Ross McConville | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Algorithmic | 10 | Keagan Latham | Nikki Hodgson | 60kg | $1.75 |
| 7th | 5 | Ridgeback | 4 | Mitchell Bell | Edward O'Rourke | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Final Spirit | 11 | Brock Ryan | Ms T Bateup | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Heart Reset | 12 | R & L Price | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Argantorati | 7 | Louise Day | Joseph Ible | 55kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Hussy La Vista | 8 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Leon Ruben | 5 | Jeff Penza | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55kg |
Complete Warehouse Solutions Mdn Plate
Elite stable connections and a proven wet-track placing make this the most likely winner on form.
Short Sea drops sharply in class after competing in Open company, with solid placings on Soft and Heavy ground.
- 1st7Short SeaChristian Reith$11.00
- 2nd8SkystoneKeagan Latham$3.30
- 3rd4HitchLee Magorrian$1.80
- 4th6Loud And ClearAdam Farragher$7.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Short Sea | 4 | Christian Reith | Peter Snowden | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Skystone | 5 | Keagan Latham | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 4 | Hitch | 2 | Lee Magorrian | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg | $1.80 |
| 4th | 6 | Loud And Clear | 6 | Adam Farragher | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Lord Bassett | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Dawn Rider | 1 | Jon Grisedale | Donna Grisedale | 59kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Flying Arabesque | 4 | Ross McConville | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Pierro Lad | 2 | C Maher | 59kg |
Go Hire Site Rentals Mdn Plate
Grand Carousel is the most credentialed runner in this maiden, with three placings from four starts including a close 2nd at Nowra on a Heavy track last start. Barrier 10 is a minor concern but Kembla's weak barrier bias limits the impact.
Cool Aza Breeze offers solid each-way claims as a genuine placegetter last start for a powerful stable, second-up and with a capable rider.
Treated as a value proxy play given the absence of negative signals, this is a speculative each-way option rather than a confident selection, best suited to small stakes given the uncertainty.
- 1st10SomerfordChristian Reith$2.10
- 2nd6PhotoshopMikayla Weir$7.00
- 3rd4Grand CarouselLee Magorrian$5.00
- 4th5IsotropicAdrian Layt$31.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Somerford | 3 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 55.5kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 6 | Photoshop | 1 | Mikayla Weir | J G Sargent | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Grand Carousel | 10 | Lee Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Isotropic | 8 | Adrian Layt | W A Hudd | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Bow Lion | 4 | Brock Ryan | Ms T Bateup | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Pressure Point | 9 | Jeff Penza | K J Parker | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Frosted Amour | 6 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Supa Zenardini | 7 | Olivia Chambers | Craig Carmody | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Cool Aza Breeze | 2 | Keagan Latham | C Maher | 58kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Atossa | 5 | Ms T Bateup | 58kg |
Carlton Dry 3.5 (Bm64)
Her wet-track record (3 wins from 7) and course suitability align perfectly with the track's preference for distance/track proven types. Represents the most reliable winning chance on raw form.
Proven form at Kembla Grange itself is a plus. However, his one win from 17 starts flags him as more of a Placegetter than out-and-out winner, capping conviction at moderate levels despite the strong underlying numbers.
Elite Latham/Thompson combination adds intent.
- 1st3SablonneuseBrock Ryan$3.60
- 2nd1MajorianOlivia Dalton$6.00
- 3rd5AnulfaMitch Stapleford$12.00
- 4th6My Greek GodJett Newman$7.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Sablonneuse | 4 | Brock Ryan | Ms T Bateup | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Majorian | 5 | Olivia Dalton | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Anulfa | 1 | Mitch Stapleford | S B Hill | 54.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 6 | My Greek God | 7 | Jett Newman | Matthew Smith | 54kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Laspirit Deeler | 3 | Jeff Penza | Lee & Cherie Curtis | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Sunburnt Country | 2 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Natalie Jarvis | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Queen Tavane | 6 | Olivia Chambers | Lee & Cherie Curtis | 53kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 7 | California Grass | 8 | Keagan Latham | John Thompson | 55kg | $5.00 |
Brookvale Union Midway Hcp (C1)
Rockthevelio has been building nicely with a placing behind subsequent form in a stronger race last start, and a dominant maiden win on heavy ground prior. Barrier 7 sets up a forward, on-pace run which suits the track's positional bias at Kembla. Represents the most reliable, in-form runner in the race and fits the profile of lightly-raced, progressive types that win here.
Consistent placegetter with genuine wet-track form and represents a strong claim on capable, current form. A key threat to the top pick and a solid each-way/place watch given consistent hit-rate.
- 1st7RockthevelioLouise Day$4.80
- 2nd1HinzelChad Lever$2.00
- 3rd9OuraganGrant Buckley$18.00
- 4th6Powerful PrayerBrock Ryan$61.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Rockthevelio | 7 | Louise Day | David Pfieffer | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Hinzel | 5 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 59.5kg | $2.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Ouragan | 4 | Grant Buckley | P & M Cave | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Powerful Prayer | 9 | Brock Ryan | John Thompson | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Velia | 6 | Donovan Dillon | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 6th | 10 | I Am Brave | 1 | Keagan Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Decota | 2 | Jon Grisedale | Ross McConville | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Rose Of Fenway | 8 | Lee Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57kg | $3.60 |
| 9th | 3 | Derry City Felix | 10 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Royal Corporal | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Richard Litt | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Zougotme | 11 | Jett Newman | R & L Price | 55.5kg |
Kennards Hire Hcp (C1)
Street Vanquisher presents the strongest form case with a perfect 2-from-2 placing record, including a track-and-condition-specific win at Kembla Grange on Soft footing. Stepping up in class was handled well with a narrow 2nd at Newcastle.
Alamagan offers standout course-and-class form, with two placings in Class 1 races at Kembla Grange including a narrow 2nd on Soft 7 ground.
- 1st3So RebelliousRobyn Freeman$5.50
- 2nd4Street VanquisherChad Lever$6.00
- 3rd6SharbinoAdrian Layt$21.00
- 4th10Johnny SmashLeeshelle Small$21.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | So Rebellious | 6 | Robyn Freeman | G Portelli | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Street Vanquisher | 8 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Sharbino | 9 | Adrian Layt | G R Nickson | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Johnny Smash | 4 | Leeshelle Small | M F Van Gestel | 52kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Kindamagic | 1 | Quayde Krogh | Mitchell Maloney-Stone | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Namaste | 7 | Keagan Latham | Bjorn Baker | 61.5kg | $1.90 |
| 7th | 2 | Flying Artisam | 2 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Wootten It Be Nice | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Pawa | 3 | Olivia Chambers | Edward O'Rourke | 56kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Alamagan | 10 | Joseph Ible | 57kg |
Patrick McCabe''s 90th Celebration (Bm64)
Honey Perfume presents the strongest form case in this BM64 - a genuine soft-track specialist with excellent consistency (7 placings from last 9 runs) and recent class-level success. Best fits Kembla's ideal profile of in-form, distance-proven runners capable of building a forward position by the 400m.
Tai Lung has strong recent-form context, having placed 3rd in this exact race last preparation at Kembla Grange over 1000m on soft ground. The extended 70-day spell is a mild concern, but the trainer/horse combination has managed him first-up well previously.
Exfortythree has a winning course record and a lightly-raced, improving profile that fits the Kembla ideal-winner mould.
Her indifferent last-start effort on heavy ground can be forgiven given the softer conditions today and easier grade.
- 1st8IndefensibleJeff Penza$7.50
- 2nd13AegipanShaun Guymer$14.00
- 3rd2IndecisiveKeagan Latham$5.00
- 4th5Oceans OneOlivia Dalton$12.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Indefensible | 5 | Jeff Penza | Joseph Pride | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 13 | Aegipan | 12 | Shaun Guymer | Pat Murphy | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Indecisive | 1 | Keagan Latham | John Thompson | 61kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Oceans One | 6 | Olivia Dalton | Sara Ryan | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Exfortythree | 8 | Brodie Loy | Edward Cummings | 59kg | $2.60 |
| 6th | 4 | Tai Lung | 9 | Glenn Cahill | T J Robinson | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Zoukerino | 4 | Louise Day | J C Coyle | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Honey Perfume | 10 | Mitchell Bell | Matthew Smith | 60.5kg | $4.60 |
| Scr | 1 | Gail Jeanette | 13 | Jett Newman | Angus Stewart | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Brown Sugar | 7 | Lee Magorrian | Adam Duggan | 59kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Donwon | 11 | Jon Grisedale | Ross McConville | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Noctua | 3 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Natalie Jarvis | 54kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Kunis | 2 | Madison Waters | R & L Price | 56.5kg |
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