Murtoa tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.90 · Chelsea Taylor

All The Moves has the strongest heavy track credentials in this maiden, having placed on heavy. He maps to lead from barrier 2 on a track that favours on-pace runners, and the slow tempo should suit his running style. The main concern is the jockey's poor recent record, but if he gets an easy lead, he can breakthrough for a maiden win.

Our price $15.00 · SP $26.00 · Alana Kelly

She is second up today, and her second up record includes a placing. While her first up run was poor on heavy, she may improve with the run.

Our price $4.50 · SP $11.00 · Stephanie Hateley

Finnish Girl is the only runner with genuine heavy track form, having placed in both starts on the surface. In a weak maiden, her consistency and wet-track aptitude make her the most likely winner.

Our price $8.00 · SP $3.40 · Tom Madden

He has never raced on wet ground, and the slow pace from a wide gate may leave him too far back. His talent demands respect, but conditions are against him.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.50 · Neil Farley

Ideas Galore is a value play in a race lacking depth. She ran 3rd at 1600m on good ground and is second up, where she placed previously. The Payne/Farley combination has a strong strike rate.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.50 · Ryan Hurdle

Filigree Shadow has been competitive in both starts, finishing 4th each time including on Heavy 8 at Ballarat. The McEvoy stable applies first-time blinkers and tongue tie, which could sharpen her up. She maps to settle midfield and should be running on. While not a standout, she is the clear second pick behind Sattva.

Our price $4.00 · SP $8.00 · Chelsea Jokic

My Alpha Sonic ran a credible third on a Heavy10 surface last start, indicating he handles wet ground. Second-up from a spell, he should strip fitter. The 1200m journey is suitable and his on-pace style will suit Murtoa's tight circuit.

Our price $20.00 · SP $41.00 · Christine Puls

Staff Writer made an encouraging debut with a third placing on Heavy10, suggesting she handles wet conditions. Christine Puls knows the track well (1 win from 3 rides). The step up to 1200m is a query but she should have more to offer.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Melissa Julius

Ambello is the most suitable horse for today's conditions. He's a proven wet tracker with a Heavy 8 win over 1200m at Casterton last month, and his on-pace style and inside barrier are ideal for Murtoa's tight circuit.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.70 · Will Gordon

Triora is ultra-consistent in heavy going with four consecutive placings in wet conditions. The inside gate gives her every chance to sit handy, but her lack of a recent win and tendency to need luck from behind are concerns. She should be in the finish but is vulnerable to the leader bias.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Neil Farley

Tudaya has been knocking on the door with three straight top-four finishes under wet conditions. However, her racing pattern is midfield-to-back, which is a major disadvantage at Murtoa's tight circuit, especially if the tempo is slow. Likely to run well but not the primary winning chance.

Our price $10.00 · SP $10.00 · Sarah Field

Mangione is a seasoned campaigner with an excellent heavy track record and a strong jockey booking who knows him well. The class rise is a concern, but his best heavy runs would be competitive here.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Jade Smith

Spylark has the best heavy track credentials in the race and placed in this same race last year on Heavy10. Her recent poor runs came on good ground, and the addition of blinkers could bring her back to form.

Our price $8.00 · SP $4.20 · Neil Farley

Digari ran well on a Heavy 10 last time and now drops in class, which could help. However, his jockey's poor recent form and modest heavy track record are concerns. He is capable of finishing strongly if the pace is genuine, but others have stronger claims on current evidence.

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.00 · Lachlan King

Teddy Boy is a course and distance specialist who has shown ability on heavy tracks, but his recent form has been disappointing.