Forbes tips and results

Our price $3.30 · SP $3.30 · Izzy Neale

First-time visors and barrier 4 enhance his tactical profile.

Our price $15.00 · SP $15.00 · Mathew Cahill

Arwa Miss is the value runner. Her second-up statistics show a place from one attempt, and the step to 1300m on Good should suit. The wide-ish draw is mitigated by her ability to use early speed.

Our price $6.50 · SP $16.00 · Heavelon Van Der Hoven

Bindaree Lass is the value play because her consistent minor placings and low-draw, on-speed style fit the Forbes pattern well. She has finished fourth in three of her last five starts and should get every chance from barrier 2. The major concerns are no 1600m experience and no wins from 11 starts.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Kody Nestor

The queries are the wide gate and first try at 1100m, but she should have enough speed to find a forward position.

Our price $10.00 · SP $20.00 · Jess Del Frari

Azucar is the value runner. He has proven 1100m form on Good ground from his Wyong placing and has been consistent lately with two thirds from his last three starts.

Our price $4.60 · SP $6.50 · Izzy Neale

Kevin has returned from the spell in clear form, finishing a close second at Dubbo before winning at Cowra. Barrier 2 and an inside draw give him every chance to hold a forward position, a key edge at Forbes over 1100m. His 1100m form and fitness base offset the class rise to Class 2.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.20 · Jordan Quince

Dawn On Me is the clear class and consistency threat. She won a Class 3 at Sapphire Coast, then held her own in a Rosehill Class 2 on heavy, and her only Good-track start produced a comfortable win.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.20 · Ken Dunbar

Western Warrior is a fascinating fresh horse whose two first-up performances have both resulted in wins. He has raced exclusively on Good tracks, with two wins and two thirds from seven starts, and won his only previous 1100m race at Mudgee. The 133-day break is the obvious negative, but he returns to a shorter, suitable trip after being beaten over 1400m last preparation.

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.25 · Clayton Gallagher

Panelli is the most reliable winning chance. He won a Dubbo maiden last start under the same rider and draws ideally in barrier 3, matching Forbes' on-pace/inside bias. His runs over 1450-1600m suggest 1400m is within range. The winless Good-track record and class rise are concerns, but the overall form, map, and momentum make him the horse to beat.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.80 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

Wolf Island should get every chance from barrier 1, a huge advantage at Forbes where inside barriers and on-pace runners are favoured. He has been consistent without being prolific, and his recent BM58 third plus a past Forbes placing keep him firmly in the finish. The query is his low win rate and 1400m record, so he rates as the main danger rather than the top pick.

Our price $8.00 · SP $20.00 · Teaghan Martin

Her record over 1400m reads a win and a second from two starts, and she returns second-up after a solid fourth at Gosford. This is a clear class drop to country Class 1, and she is already a Good-ground winner at Kembla. The wide draw is a concern, but her distance strength and upside make her overpriced.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Chad Lever

Zoutastic is the strongest form-line fit for this Forbes BM82, having won this exact course and distance last year with Chad Lever aboard. Lever's strong record on her plus a 33% jockey-trainer strike rate are clear positives. Main risks are the outside gate and weight, but she profiles best of those with proven course class.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Dale Cole

His last-start 10th in a Randwick BM88 came over 1800m, but he was a close third at Flemington over 1600m two starts earlier. The fast tempo should let him use his class late. The main negatives are the 60kg weight and wide barrier, but if he can hold a forward position he rates the one to beat.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.40 · Jessica Brookes

Acheson is the most consistent recent-form runner, having won a 1600m Open at Canberra and then placed second in the Narrandera Open over the same trip. The low weight and barrier 3 are major positives around Forbes.

Our price $4.60 · SP $4.40 · Clayton Gallagher

Cheap Shot is the clear form anchor coming off three consecutive top-three finishes, including a BM58 third over 1400m at Dubbo. He has previously won at Forbes and his recent performances suggest he is still racing well despite his age. The wide gate and 0-from-5 distance record are concerns, but his current fitness, tactical speed and stable form offset them.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

Commando Jack has the strongest distance profile in the race and is expected to be prominent from barrier 8, which suits the likely slow tempo at Forbes. His last start over 1400m at Dubbo was sound, and he has placed in stronger BM66 company. The knocks are the poor jockey/trainer record and modest Good-track strike rate, but in a race lacking genuine speed he is a clear second-ranked winning chance.

Our price $8.50 · SP $17.00 · Liam Blanch

He has placed in both starts at 1400m and comes off a solid third at Warren over this trip in BM58 company. The inside draw is a significant asset at Forbes, where barriers 1-6 have been favoured.