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New South Wales · Sunday 9 August 2026

Muswellbrook tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Muswellbrook. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail TrueOvercastMuswellbrook track guide ›
Top pick won3/743%
Any tip won7/7100%
Top pick placed5/771%
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R1

TAB Mdn Plate

12:57 local1500mMaiden$27,000
Winner2. Magic MerlinSP $2.50
★ Top pickWon
2Magic Merlin

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.50 · Mitchell Bell

Magic Merlin is the most consistent runner in the field, with three placings from six starts and a recent close-up second at this exact track on Soft.

2nd pick4th
3Ocean Predator

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Winona Costin

A first starter for one of Australia's premier stables, drawn to perfection in barrier 4.

3rd pick3rd
6Strasbelle

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · Olivia Dalton

Strasbelle is the lone speed in a field with no other genuine leader, drawn ideally in barrier 1 within the track's favoured inside zone. With three consecutive placings and a strong soft-track record, an uncontested lead in a slow-tempo maiden gives her a genuine winning chance, even though the rider's local statistics are modest.

Value pick7th
8Trapeazy

Our price $5.00 · SP $13.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

  1. 1st2Magic MerlinMitchell Bell$2.50
  2. 2nd4Linda's PrincessMikayla Weir$71.00
  3. 3rd6StrasbelleOlivia Dalton$10.00
  4. 4th3Ocean PredatorWinona Costin$5.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Magic Merlin7Mitchell BellBrett & Georgie Cavanough59kg$2.50
2nd4Linda's Princess8Mikayla WeirMs J Bowen57kg$71.00
3rd6Strasbelle1Olivia DaltonAnnabel & Rob Archibald55kg$10.00
4th3Ocean Predator4Winona CostinG Waterhouse & A Bott59kg$5.00
5th1Gold Earth6Grant BuckleyT Wong59kg$13.00
6th5Maremoto3Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald57kg$3.10
7th8Trapeazy5Mollie FitzgeraldAnnabel & Rob Archibald55kg$13.00
8th7Winnie's Feelin'2Donovan DillonPatrick Cleave56.5kg$31.00
R2

Denbrook Thoroughbreds Country Boosted Mdn Hcp

13:37 local1280mMaiden$30,000
Winner5. Nulkaba StarSP $3.80
★ Top pick2nd
7Thirty Degrees

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.20 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

Thirty Degrees produced his best and most relevant form line last start, finishing third at this same track and distance, and repeats the assignment today from the ideal inside barrier under Muswellbrook's soft bias.

2nd pickWon
5Nulkaba Star

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.80 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Rock-solid place claims with genuine winning upside if it finally clicks.

3rd pick3rd
4Tralee

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Rory Hutchings

Value pick5th
8Zo Frilling

Our price $11.00 · SP $41.00 · Billy Cray

  1. 1st5Nulkaba StarMollie Fitzgerald$3.80
  2. 2nd7Thirty DegreesJake Pracey-Holmes$3.20
  3. 3rd4TraleeRory Hutchings$8.50
  4. 4th3GraffiDonovan Dillon$41.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Nulkaba Star7Mollie FitzgeraldJ A Sylvester55.5kg$3.80
2nd7Thirty Degrees1Jake Pracey-HolmesCassandra Stummer55.5kg$3.20
3rd4Tralee2Rory HutchingsMelissa Dennett56kg$8.50
4th3Graffi6Donovan DillonA M Boyle56.5kg$41.00
5th8Zo Frilling8Billy CrayNikki Pollock55.5kg$41.00
6th6Shakespeare's Girl4Anna RoperPatrick Cleave55.5kg$4.80
7th2Looking The Part3Mikayla WeirCassandra Stummer57kg$9.00
8th1I'm Flexible5Winona CostinBrett & Georgie Cavanough59kg$7.00
R3

Hunter Thoroughbred Breeders Mdn Plate

14:17 local1000mMaiden$27,000
Winner2. Mr CornstarSP $7.00
★ Top pickWon
2Mr Cornstar

Our price $3.80 · SP $7.00 · Aaron Bullock

Drawn ideally in barrier 1, a major plus given Muswellbrook's clear inside-draw advantage. Leading local jockey Aaron Bullock, in career-best form, takes the ride. Untested for a placing specifically on Soft, but the overall profile and ideal gate make him the most reliable winning chance in this maiden.

2nd pick2nd
4Elska

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

3rd pick7th
7Sicilian Heat

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Winona Costin

Costin's strong combination strike rate with this stable adds further weight. Genuine each-way claims against more experienced rivals despite the lack of hard data.

Value pick5th
5Magatama

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Andrew Gibbons

Lightly raced mare who has trialled impressively into today's race with a Gosford trial win, suggesting more upside than her modest two-start race record shows. Drawn ideally in barrier 4 and partnered by in-form local jockey Andrew Gibbons.

  1. 1st2Mr CornstarAaron Bullock$7.00
  2. 2nd4ElskaMollie Fitzgerald$3.00
  3. 3rd6Got HereMitchell Bell$21.00
  4. 4th8Bascilica BabeAnna Roper$5.50
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Mr Cornstar1Aaron BullockDamien Smith59kg$7.00
2nd4Elska6Mollie FitzgeraldM S Minervini57kg$3.00
3rd6Got Here8Mitchell BellD Lane56.5kg$21.00
4th8Bascilica Babe9Anna RoperSara Ryan55kg$5.50
5th5Magatama4Andrew GibbonsAngela Davies57kg$11.00
6th9Cool Art7Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald55kg$16.00
7th7Sicilian Heat3Winona CostinG Waterhouse & A Bott56.5kg$4.80
8th3Shanghai Sprint5Grant BuckleyT Wong59kg$7.50
9th1Already Blue2Rory HutchingsJulia Presits59kg$81.00
R4

Queen Of The Valley Matchmaker (Bm66)

14:55 local1280mBenchmark 66$27,000
Winner2. Purple RoseSP $2.40
★ Top pick5th
4Wootten It Be Nice

Our price $2.40 · SP $2.30 · Aaron Bullock

First-time blinkers/tongue-tie and a leading rider booking add genuine improvement signals. The recent dry-track flop is explainable by class and surface change, not a fitness concern.

2nd pick2nd
6Lune D'excellence

Our price $5.50 · SP $15.00 · Andrew Gibbons

3rd pickWon
2Purple Rose

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.40 · Olivia Chambers

The last-start flop is mitigated by a wide draw and step up to a tougher grade at Wyong.

Value pick8th
7Lika Remi

Our price $8.00 · SP $19.00 · Serg Lisnyy

  1. 1st2Purple RoseOlivia Chambers$2.40
  2. 2nd6Lune D'excellenceAndrew Gibbons$15.00
  3. 3rd3TulipwoodAdam Farragher$9.00
  4. 4th1Maid In DubaiMitchell Bell$17.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Purple Rose3Olivia ChambersMs K Buchanan59.5kg$2.40
2nd6Lune D'excellence5Andrew GibbonsK A Lees57.5kg$15.00
3rd3Tulipwood4Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald59.5kg$9.00
4th1Maid In Dubai6Mitchell BellBrett Robb60.5kg$17.00
5th4Wootten It Be Nice1Aaron BullockAnnabel & Rob Archibald59kg$2.30
6th5Coella2Jake Pracey-HolmesCassandra Stummer57.5kg$20.00
7th8Sunday Punch7Winona CostinCheryl Roberts55.5kg$61.00
8th7Lika Remi8Serg LisnyyS J Hodge56.5kg$19.00
R5

Star Turn @ Vinery Stud Country Boosted Hcp (C1)

15:35 local1000mClass 1$30,000
Winner3. BellerataSP $4.60
★ Top pick2nd
1Manoora

Our price $1.55 · SP $1.45 · Aaron Bullock

2nd pickWon
3Bellerata

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.60 · Gabrielle Johnston

Bellerata arrives fresh off her maiden win and has been knocking on the door for months (five placings from her last six runs). Barrier 2 plays to this track's inside bias and she maps as one of the forward runners in a tempo-less race, which suits her.

3rd pick3rd
5City Gold Speed

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Mikayla Weir

City Gold Speed is an honest, if not brilliant, performer with a well-exposed profile of minor placings. The key here is shape: with no genuine leader in the race and a slow tempo forecast, he is one of the few horses likely to roll forward, and the track's positional data favours leaders.

Value pick5th
4Archaic Force

Our price $11.00 · SP $21.00 · Adam Farragher

  1. 1st3BellerataGabrielle Johnston$4.60
  2. 2nd1ManooraAaron Bullock$1.45
  3. 3rd5City Gold SpeedMikayla Weir$11.00
  4. 4th2Beyond The SkyRory Hutchings$8.00
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Bellerata2Gabrielle JohnstonW T Wilkes55kg$4.60
2nd1Manoora6Aaron BullockBrett Robb60kg$1.45
3rd5City Gold Speed8Mikayla WeirJ R Gask56.5kg$11.00
4th2Beyond The Sky5Rory HutchingsZach Hatch57.5kg$8.00
5th4Archaic Force1Adam FarragherT S Howlett56.5kg$21.00
6th8Ring My Bell7Donovan DillonM A Milton55kg$31.00
Scr6Haras4Izzy NealeS I Singleton55kg
Scr7Meteor Mist3Jake Pracey-HolmesLiam Ruddy55kg
Scr9Hoo Haa9Kacie AdamsDarren Treacy55kg
Scr10Pride Of Lanka5J Kehoe55kg
R6

EMF Group (Bm66)

16:10 local1500mBenchmark 66$27,000
Winner3. Invasive DreamsSP $5.00
★ Top pickWon
3Invasive Dreams

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

Ticks every box for Muswellbrook's soft-track profile: inside gate, proven mid-field settler, and a standout record at this track/distance/class combination including a competitive run in this exact race grade 13 days ago.

2nd pick3rd
5Unreal Expectation

Our price $2.90 · SP $2.30 · Aaron Bullock

However, barrier 9 goes against the strong inside-gate bias here, and the soft-track record is unproven relative to her heavy-track form. Rates a clear top-three chance but not clearly superior to the top selection on merit.

3rd pick7th
8Hinune

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · Adam Farragher

Hinune arrives with strong soft-track credentials and a close finish to Invasive Dreams in an identical race here less than two weeks ago. The concern is tactical: she projects as today's lone back marker at a track that clearly disadvantages that running style, capping her upside compared to on-pace and mid-field rivals.

Value pick6th
9Incantress

Our price $9.00 · SP $14.00 · Andrew Gibbons

The inside gate lines up with the track's bias, blinkers going back on adds a genuine improvement angle, and the rider/trainer combination has a real record at this circuit.

  1. 1st3Invasive DreamsJasmine Urquhart-Warren$5.00
  2. 2nd4Rebel's EdgeGabrielle Johnston$20.00
  3. 3rd5Unreal ExpectationAaron Bullock$2.30
  4. 4th6StrobingMadeline Owen$9.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Invasive Dreams1Jasmine Urquhart-WarrenS Harvey59kg$5.00
2nd4Rebel's Edge4Gabrielle JohnstonCassandra Stummer59kg$20.00
3rd5Unreal Expectation9Aaron BullockT & P Vigouroux60.5kg$2.30
4th6Strobing5Madeline OwenA P Ball57kg$9.00
5th7Shoot'em Up2Mikayla WeirBen Lees56.5kg$13.00
6th9Incantress3Andrew GibbonsS J Hodge55kg$14.00
7th8Hinune8Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald56kg$4.00
8th1Hunter Bred7Angel BrennanDamien Smith61.5kg$31.00
Scr2Tact10J C Deamer63kg
Scr10Faiza Star6Darren Treacy55kg
R7

Supido @ www.widden.com (Bm74)

16:45 local1000mBenchmark 74$27,000
Winner1. Where'stheprofitSP $1.75
★ Top pick4th
2Occult

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.30 · Winona Costin

Occult presents the strongest form case in this Soft 6 sprint: a rails draw that lines up perfectly with Muswellbrook's inside-barrier bias, and an outstanding 50% win strike rate on soft ground including a course win on this exact surface. The last-start flop at Kensington looks like an outlier against tougher city-adjacent opposition.

2nd pickWon
1Where'stheprofit

Our price $2.70 · SP $1.75 · Aaron Bullock

Included as a leading each-way threat rather than the outright top selection.

3rd pick2nd
4Cresta Run

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Mitchell Bell

Cresta Run drops markedly in grade after being competitive in Open company, and her soft-track profile is built on placings (4 from 4) rather than lapses in form. A strong claim from a proven local combination and the addition of a tongue tie add to the improvement case, though the outside gate and lack of a soft-track win temper her to a place-oriented wager behind the top two.

Value pick3rd
7In Spades

Our price $17.00 · SP $31.00 · Donovan Dillon

  1. 1st1Where'stheprofitAaron Bullock$1.75
  2. 2nd4Cresta RunMitchell Bell$5.00
  3. 3rd7In SpadesDonovan Dillon$31.00
  4. 4th2OccultWinona Costin$3.30
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Where'stheprofit5Aaron BullockCameron Crockett60.5kg$1.75
2nd4Cresta Run9Mitchell BellBrett & Georgie Cavanough58kg$5.00
3rd7In Spades4Donovan DillonMs J Bowen55.5kg$31.00
4th2Occult1Winona CostinBrett & Georgie Cavanough60kg$3.30
5th10Sapphire Kiss2Grant BuckleyWayne Seelin55kg$17.00
6th11Royal Optimism11Mikayla WeirMelanie O'Gorman55kg$31.00
7th6Debussy6Madeline OwenA P Ball57kg$51.00
Scr3Gail Jeanette10Jacob StiffAngus Stewart57kg
Scr5Super Sioux7Izzy NealeMelissa Dennett56.5kg
Scr8Whil To Win3Liberty SmythJoseph Burges53kg
Scr9Iknowyou8Nick PalmerBrett & Georgie Cavanough53kg

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