Grafton tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.80 · Yvette Lewis

That race experience, combined with a low 55kg weight and barrier 7, gives her a clear edge in a maiden with a high proportion of debutants. Soft ground is the only query, but her early speed should let her hold a forward position, which is the key winning profile at Grafton in these conditions.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Madeline Owen

Sizzling Suzie placed on debut before a break and has returned with a solid Soft 6 trial, suggesting she is ready to run well fresh. The first-up record is positive and her pattern should suit the on-speed, leader-favoured Grafton profile.

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Grace Palmer

Musumeci brings the strongest recent race form to this maiden, with a narrow second at Inverell followed by a third at Casino on Soft 5. He has placed three times on soft ground from eight attempts and drops back to a suitable sprint distance.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Archie Mc Colm

Zoucat comes into this off a last-start win in BM58 company on a Soft 6, and the jockey booking is a strong positive. Archie McColm rides with confidence and combines well with this trainer. The rise in class is a query, but the drop to 54kg and proven Soft-track form help.

Our price $13.00 · SP $18.00 · Siabh Rigley

She has won at Grafton on Soft 7 and is 2-from-3 when second-up, a pattern that fits today's race. The 4kg claim drops her to just 52kg, a significant advantage on a rain-affected sprint. Her first-up sixth at Casino was only fair, but she should improve sharply.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Kirk Matheson

She draws the inside gate, which is a major advantage on Grafton's leader-biased Soft surface, and she has placed in two of three Soft-track starts. The main concern is her jockey's poor recent strike rate and a moderate Grafton run two starts ago, but this is a weak maiden and her class edge gives her the best winning chance.

Our price $8.50 · SP $12.00 · Cassey Williams

Turpin's Torment is the clear value play in this race due to his outstanding Grafton-specific form: five placings from 12 attempts over 1730m and a recent second over 1700m on Soft 5. Barrier three gives Cassey Williams the chance to sit on speed, exactly where Grafton winners come from on Soft ground.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.60 · Danny Peisley

He steps up to 1430m with race fitness, and barrier 7 gives Danny Peisley options in a winnable maiden. The main concerns are inexperience and the 60kg impost, but no rival has a stronger overall profile. He rates clearly the most likely winner.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Benjamin Osmond

Winning Harlow has shown steady progression across two Brisbane maiden attempts, finishing fourth on both occasions without being far away. The addition of blinkers from the Kris Lees stable is a positive sign, and she maps well from barrier 4 with only 55kg. The key concerns are the untried 1430m trip and softer surface.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.50 · Andrew Mallyon

You Are Mind won at this exact Grafton distance two starts ago and is entitled to improve sharply returning from an Eagle Farm CL1 failure. The first-time blinkers plus barrier 6 give him every chance to settle closer and exploit the slow tempo.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Grady Spokes

She comes off a gutsy soft-track maiden win, has placed at this track/distance, and handles genuine give in the ground. The wide gate is a concern on a leader-favoured Grafton surface, but her on-pace style and stable/jockey form make her the clear value runner outside the top three.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.90 · Archie Mc Colm

Spirits Burn Deep has the map and recent form to capitalise on Grafton's leader-biased Soft circuit. Her soft-track record is full of placings rather than wins, but the low 55kg, stable/jockey strike and absence of a dominant leader enhance her chance.

Our price $6.50 · SP $16.00 · Grace Palmer

Patrioticintention is a proven 1200m wet-track performer who drops back from a CL6 fifth at Grafton to BM66. His record shows 3 wins from 7 attempts at the trip and excellent heavy-track numbers, while Grace Palmer has 2 wins from 4 rides on him. Barrier 6 gives a clean passage to the front three. The query is his Grafton win record and recent jockey strike, but on Soft he should be running on strongly and represents place value.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Raymond Spokes

Awarded Glory is a progressive 4YO who has found his form since switching to NSW. He won a maiden over 1700m on Soft at Grafton before running 8th in a BM58 there, then bounced back with a strong second over 1600m on Soft at Coffs Harbour. Drawn low and able to sit on the pace, he appeals as the main threat to the top pick.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Mikayla Weir

Tara Koda is a proven Grafton BM58 performer, having won over 1435m on Soft 6 and run a close second over 1700m on Soft 5. She is inconsistent, as shown by her 10th at Coffs Harbour last start, but the return to Grafton and a low draw should help.