Northam tips and results

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Victoria Corver

Kute As Kan Be has been knocking on the door, highlighted by a narrow second at Northam two starts ago. The inside barrier and light weight suit the 1000m sprint, and she has plenty of recent match fitness. Her lack of a career win and ordinary jockey strike-rate temper confidence, but she should be in the finish again.

Our price $8.50 · SP $10.00 · Natika Riordan

Salve Regina is the value runner of the race. She has finished second in both prior starts over this track and trip, including a narrow defeat on Soft 7 at Northam. Her last-start failure at Bunbury is concerning, but she returns to her preferred venue with a jockey who has placed on her twice.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.50 · B Parnham

Sovereign Rock is the most exposed form runner in the race, having finished third in three of six starts, including a sound first-up effort at this track. He is second-up today, a record that already includes a placing, and his 1000m form is solid. The major query is a first look at Soft 7. He might lack the ceiling of the debutants, but his reliability makes him a genuine place and each-way hope.

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.00 · Holly Nottle

Amalie's Rule is the value runner. She is the only horse in the field with a placing on soft ground and over the exact 1000m trip, having run third on a Soft 5 at Bunbury last time out.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · C Johnston-Porter

With a slow tempo and inside barrier he should be able to settle closer and improve.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Jarrad Noske

Unanswered represents the strongest form-based case. He ran second in a restricted 0-metro-win race on a soft track last start, and now drops to maiden grade with significant weight relief. The extra 100m and second-up fitness should only help. If Secret Planet fails on debut, this is the most likely beneficiary and represents a solid main danger.

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · J Whiting

My Malena's debut second at Bunbury on soft ground reads well for this assignment. From barrier 1 and with the equal lowest weight, she should be prominent throughout a slowly-run maiden. The rise to 1300m is a query, but her low weight and inside draw offset that. She is a clear place/first-four candidate and can continue her upward curve.

Our price $7.00 · SP $21.00 · Jade Mc Naught

Surefire Miss is the clear value runner. She finished alongside Unanswered in the same restricted race last start, only half a length behind that horse, and now gets into a Maiden with a huge weight pull.

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · Tara Atherden

Profound Benefit is a long-standing maiden but his consistency on soft ground and at this course gives him legitimate place and upset claims. He returned from a break with a sound third and fifth at Northam over 1100m, and rising to 1300m on a deteriorating Soft 7 should be ideal. The obvious knock is 20 starts without a win, but this is a beatable maiden.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Jefferson Tsang

Of the three debutants, Miss Cosmopolitan has the strongest overall profile. Simon Miller targets maidens and his 25% strike-rate with Jefferson Tsang suggests this filly is ready; the 3kg claim leaves her with just 50.5kg. Pierata's progeny usually show early speed, giving her every chance from midfield. The wide gate is a concern, but in a shallow race she is a genuine top-three chance.

Our price $16.00 · SP $14.00 · Ms J Valas

Zinnie Can Run is the clear value runner in the field.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · Jarrad Noske

Luka Magic is the strongest winning chance on profile. He has already won over 2200m on a soft track and followed that with a competitive fourth in a BM54+ over the same trip at Belmont. Barrier 2 is ideal for Northam and the projected slow tempo.

Our price $7.00 · SP $2.25 · B Parnham

She is consistent in CL1 and loves Northam, yet she has no soft-track win and has never been tested at 2200m. That makes her a place candidate rather than the most likely winner.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Natasha Faithfull

She ran a sound fifth behind Luka Magic over 2200m on Soft 5 last month and meets that horse 4.5kg better today. Her last-start 10th is a worry, but that CL1 formline includes several of today's rivals.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.10 · W Pike

Surround Me is the clear form anchor. She won a 1300m Class 3 at Belmont on Soft 5 last preparation and has also placed on Heavy 8, giving her the best wet-track profile in this race. W Pike's strong recent form and 20% strike rate with the Williams stable add confidence. The inside draw allows a handy sit in a slowly-run race, which suits Northam's on-pace bias.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.90 · Joey Azzopardi

My Jimmy produced the best last-start run of this field when 2nd at Pinjarra Scarpside on a Soft 6, finishing ahead of Catch Carter and Surround Me. He has a strong second-up record and gets a favourable inside draw.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · Jason Li

He maps to be prominent in a slowly-run 1300m and has the fitness edge.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Lucy Fiore

Run Pattie Run is a classic second-up improver with winkers on for the first time. She won at Class 5 level last preparation and has a solid soft-track record. Lucy Fiore's outstanding recent form adds confidence. The first-up run at Bunbury was below her best, but 28 days between runs and the gear changes should sharpen her up.