Seymour tips and results

Our price $2.90 · SP $2.70 · Jordan Childs

La Reina Vega has the strongest Seymour-heavy formline: a narrow second in a Heavy9 maiden here over 1200m, followed by another placing on synthetic. The rise to 1414m and the longer straight should suit a filly with a sustained finish, and only 56kg helps. Jordan Childs knows the course well and this stable rarely sends out maidens without reason. Keen Observer is the main danger, but La Reina Vega's combination of wet-track proof, course form and weight edge makes her the most likely winner.

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.50 · W Gordon

The query is heavy ground having never raced on it, and her second-up record is barren, but this is a very ordinary maiden.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Damien Thornton

Piccina has the crucial point of difference: genuine wet-track exposure in both starts, including a Heavy10 run 14 days ago.

Our price $3.25 · SP $3.70 · Ethan Brown

Purgatorio made a promising start with a third placing on debut and returns from a spell for the powerful Freedman yard. Ethan Brown has a strong 30% strike rate with this stable and 28% at Seymour, while the colt is drawn nicely at six. Needs luck in running but has the polish to break through.

Our price $8.00 · SP $4.80 · B Shinn

Blake Shinn is riding with confidence, posting four wins from his last 20 rides. From the Eurell yard with no gear changes, this debutant has an inside gate to adopt a prominent position if he jumps alertly.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Jordan Childs

Knights Emperor is the clear form pick on Heavy. Waterhouse/Bott and Jordan Childs (18% at Seymour) add confidence. The slow tempo and on-pace map assist, though he must finally break through as a 5-start maiden under top weight.

Our price $9.00 · SP $4.40 · Dylan Dunn

Jonquil is the value runner. Her Heavy track record includes a placing, and she has also placed around the 2021m trip, which is more distance form than most rivals. Recent efforts over 1600m were only fair, but the extra ground and lighter weight should suit.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Ethan Brown

Batoka Chief profiles best for this Heavy8 staying test. He was a close third in a Rest66 2400m at Sandown on Soft6, third in a BM62 over 2000m on Heavy10, and won a Rest56 over 2112m on Soft7.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.50 · John Allen

The main concern is his backmarker style on a Seymour Heavy track where on-pace runners are favoured, so he rates as a strong place chance rather than the top win pick. John Allen knows him well and the 2021m trip is within his comfort zone.

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · B Rawiller

Amphactor is a reliable on-pace performer who has already placed at Seymour over 2046m on Soft6 and at Geelong on Heavy9. His map from barrier 5 is ideal and he should be in the finish if the heavy track turns into a staying grind.

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Jye McNeil

Margie's Boy is the defined value runner. His 13-start heavy track record with four wins stands out in this field, and he drops back to BM62 after struggling against BM66/BM70 opposition.

Our price $12.00 · SP $5.00 · Stephanie Hateley

Zourain offers genuine each-way value in a race where wet-track ability is paramount. His Seymour Heavy 9 win was strong and he returns to a similar surface and grade after a forgive run on top of the ground.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · W Gordon

Infinite Jest has the strongest heavy-track credentials in this field, with two wins from four starts on Heavy ground and a last-start third in BM66 company. He has been consistent through three wet runs, and the drop back to Restricted 62 suits. Barrier 3 and a patient on-pace pattern fit Seymour's long straight.

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.50 · J Mott

Tauto Bar brings the strongest recent class form, finishing second in Open company on Heavy9 at Wodonga. He has won once and placed once from two heavy starts and represents a powerful stable. The drop to Restricted 62 is a clear class advantage. He is unproven at 1414m and only lightly raced, but his wet-track profile and forward position should see him fight out the finish.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Caitlin Hollowood

Frostration comes off three straight wins before a solid fourth in a BM62 at Seymour on Soft7. Her two Heavy-track wins and light 53.5kg weight make her dangerous in testing ground. The obvious risks are a wide speed battle and a modest Seymour jockey record, but she maps prominently and should be running on strongly.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · W Egan

He has placed twice at BM62 level, including a narrow second on Heavy9, and now drops sharply from Open class. The negatives are top weight, a wide draw and a first-time gear change, which is why Tel Aviv is preferred on top.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Damian Lane

Shanoni is the class runner of the field, having gone close in Sydney BM64/72 races. She has placed on a heavy track and gets the services of Damian Lane. The long layoff and absence of a 1600m win keep her behind the top two, but she is the clear third pick.

Our price $11.00 · SP $11.00 · Zac Moore

Miss Trustful is the value runner. Her heavy-track record is excellent with two wins from four starts, and she won over a similar trip on Heavy8 two starts back.