Queanbeyan tips and results

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · M A Cahill

Sabatina is the best mile profile in the race. Her record over 1600m is strong for this level - a second and three thirds from five starts - and M A Cahill knows her well. She disappointed at Narromine last start, but that was over 1300m on a Soft7 where she never got into the race. Returned to 1600m with a low weight and inside draw, she should be running on for a place. The win risk is her overall 1-from-18 record, so place is the preferred play.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Deep Shanker

Aquilino has the strongest track and distance form here, having placed in three of four starts over this QBY 1460m and returning a solid third on Soft 7 at Nowra. His on-pace style suits Queanbeyan on rain-affected ground. The query is whether he finally converts after 17 maiden starts, and the outside gate is a genuine risk.

Our price $4.40 · SP $3.20 · Nick Heywood

Red Hot Rosie is the horse to beat on the Queanbeyan speed map over 1000m. Nick Heywood is riding with confidence and this is a winnable country maiden. The negatives are obvious — she has been unplaced in two starts — but her pattern and fitness edge suggest she is ready to run her best race.

Our price $9.00 · SP $6.50 · Molly Bourke

From barrier 6 he should be able to hold a forward spot behind the speed, which is the profitable pattern under soft conditions at Queanbeyan. Molly Bourke’s local strike rate is solid. The concern is the hang in his only run, so he rates more place than win.

Our price $14.00 · SP $41.00 · Deanne Panya

She has placed at 1000m on Soft5, has a favourable draw in barrier 3, and the blinkers going on first time offer a clear gear-change signal. Her first-up run on synthetic can be forgiven as a fitness hitout; she is second-up now and her second-up record includes another placing.

Our price $5.80 · SP $8.50 · Jett Stanley

Zeema went into her spell with a string of narrow defeats, including seconds at Moruya and Cowra, and she already has a fair Queanbeyan reference. Drawn inside and retaining a forward role, blinkers-off may help her settle. However, she has just one career win, no wins fresh and no soft-track wins, so she rates a place chance rather than a horse to trust for the win.

Our price $7.00 · SP $26.00 · Ms J Taylor

Cascata Spritz is the value runner: she won her maiden on Soft 5 and placed on Heavy 9, giving her genuine wet-track credentials for today's conditions. She maps to be on the pace if she begins cleanly from barrier 8, and her lightly raced profile suggests further improvement.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Dale Cole

Nagadec has solid claims behind the top pick. Her record at this trip reads 4:1-1-1 and she is better suited back to 1460m after two sharp 1200m runs. The main concern is her low win strike rate, but she profiles as a strong place chance and genuine threat.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

Her form is consistent around this grade, and she did run 4th on a Heavy9 track two starts ago, but her record at 1460m is a genuine query. She should get every chance from barrier 2 and Boudvillain is in good touch, making her a place chance rather than the most likely winner.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.50 · Deon Le Roux

Tillman offers genuine each-way value. He has been a consistent placegetter at Queanbeyan, including a narrow second in this same BM58 over 1460m in April. He drops back from much stronger company and maps perfectly from barrier 1.

Our price $4.20 · SP $6.00 · Ms J Taylor

Aegipan is the most reliable winning chance. His 1000m record is strong, he has placed in three straight provincial races, and his only earlier Queanbeyan run produced a placing. The main concern is a long run of near-misses, but today’s map and rail should allow him to secure the right spot behind the speed.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.40 · Deep Shanker

She has also won twice from three Queanbeyan starts, so the course is no issue. The risks are her lack of a win over 1000m and a patient running style on a track that generally favours handy runners. She is still a clear top-three chance with upside.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Glenn Cahill

She comes off back-to-back thirds and has a strong Queanbeyan 1000m placing on her record. Her weakness is that she tends to settle back and requires luck, especially at a track that rewards forward runners.

Our price $9.00 · SP $6.00 · Molly Bourke

Human Shield has the same key point that makes top pick Zoucat attractive: a Queanbeyan 1200m win. He has been racing in Open grade and drops heavily to BM58, with enough early speed to use barrier 4. The concern is that all four career runs on soft ground have failed to produce a win, and resuming under 62kg is a task.