Wodonga tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.00 · Ben Allen

The Cellist maps to sit just off the lone leader Coachella Lass in a slow-tempo race, which is precisely the profile that wins the Wodonga mile.

Our price $4.00 · SP $12.00 · Damien Thornton

Fierce Ruby actually finished in front of The Cellist last start and now draws better (barrier 2) at the same weight, so she has a genuine claim on the form. The concern is whether the Wangaratta run was a one-off after two very poor efforts, and the jockey booking is weak on the numbers.

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.00 · Mitchell Aitken

Andauto is the map horse in this race: barrier 1, will settle third behind the leader, and both his recent placings came when racing handy.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Jake Duffy

Bloomin' Rich is the unknown of the race. Against a field of largely exposed and winless maidens, an unexposed colt is a legitimate chance.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Brad Rawiller

Skilled Sailor is the value runner. He is an exposed maiden with obvious flaws, but his Wangaratta third over 1400m was the strongest recent performance in this field and came when he was ridden forward, exactly the pattern that wins at Wodonga. He has the most early speed here and can take a spot behind Brenin.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Brendan Ward

Polytelis did plenty right on debut at this track, overcoming a slow start and a three-wide run to finish second, and should improve for the experience. She maps forward with a light weight, which is where Wodonga sprints are won. The concern is that the race she placed in was slowly run and she picked up beaten horses, so the form is only moderate in real terms. A sound each-way play as the third pick.

Our price $3.60 · SP $4.00 · Jake Duffy

Form-based top pick. Back to country Bm62 second-up (1:1-0-0) she is the horse with the strongest wins-per-start profile and best trajectory.

Our price $11.00 · SP $11.00 · Alice Kennedy

Divazou is the race's natural leader from an inside gate on a track where the front runner is heavily favoured, and he has placed in half his first-up runs. If he gets an uncontested lead at moderate tempo he can hang on for a placing at worst.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.60 · Chelsea Taylor

Star Royal ran second at this track and trip a fortnight ago, leading from the 800m and only run down late by half a length.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.70 · Billy Egan

Hotei Senshi has the most upside in the field on class — a BM62 placegetter dropping to BM56 with Billy Egan aboard from barrier 3 — but he is a midfield-to-back runner on a track where backmarkers win under 3% of mile races, he carries 62kg, and his last two runs were poor regardless of excuses.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Ben Allen

The form leader once the Good 4 surface is factored in. Brutify and More Highs On Me have never raced on a Good track, while Hustle is 4:1-2-1 on Good with a BM56 win over 1459m and a BM62 placing at 1400m.

Our price $4.80 · SP $3.10 · Chelsea Taylor

The most reliable recent form in the race after winning this grade at this track 14 days ago with a tough wide run. She is 4 starts for 2 wins and 2 seconds at Wodonga and maps handy, which the track statistics strongly favour.

Our price $5.50 · SP $2.50 · Chelsea Thompson

The case for her is the map - she leads on a track where front-runners dominate, and if Steve's Way (no jockey listed) is scratched she may get an uncontested lead.

Our price $5.00 · SP $10.00 · Billy Egan

A progressive Payne-trained gelding whose blinkers-on maiden win at 1400m on Good 4 was emphatic, with a settling position of 4th and a solid last 600m. Billy Egan has a 30% strike rate for the stable and is 2 from 2 at Wodonga.

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.00 · Chelsea Taylor

From barrier 4 he can press forward to sit behind or alongside Yellowknife, exploiting the on-pace bias.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Cassidy Hill

Bella Katelyn is a lightly raced mare with the bottom weight, an inside draw and enough early speed to sit handy, which is exactly the profile that wins at Wodonga sprints.