Sha Tin tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.10 · Nichola Yuen

Last-start winner over this track and trip, powering home from midfield with the strongest recent performance in the race. The jockey-trainer combination is striking at a very high rate and the stable is in form, while his midfield map keeps him within striking range at the turn. He steps up in weight and has only one win to his name, but he is clearly the one to beat.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Vincent Ho

A four-year-old still improving, he was on the speed and ran to a winning standard from a wide gate at this level last time. Now better drawn in gate eight, he is exactly the adaptable on-pace type this leaderless, tactical sprint should suit, and his trainer is firing. Still a maiden, but he looks the value among the main chances.

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Karis Teetan

Still a maiden after 23 starts, but clearly improving and his latest effort was his best yet, closing strongly from last.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.70 · Andrea Atzeni

General Smart is the form pick. He settles just behind the speed, an ideal position if the three front-runners cut at each other, and he still looks to be improving at five. The query is the extra weight he now carries, but the upward curve and run style make him the most likely winner.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.40 · Zac Purton

But he is a specialist placegetter who has never won in 14 attempts at the mile, and he now meets a race with three genuine front-runners, so he may be forced to work early.

Our price $18.00 · SP $37.00 · Derek Leung

Setanta is the value. He is a consistent veteran with seven wins and gets weight relief.

Our price $11.00 · SP $15.00 · Harry Bentley

Tomodachi Kokoroe is the value play. He draws well and should slot in just behind the speed, the ideal position on a day that looks likely to be run at a strong clip. He has been thereabouts at Group level and is fit and seasoned.

Our price $3.30 · SP $5.10 · Nichola Yuen

A genuine each-way contender who gets the run of the race. He landed the ideal inside alley and carries a light weight for an apprentice who is riding winners at a good clip and knows this track well. The concern is that he does not win often, but everything about his setup here says he will be in the thick of the finish.

Our price $14.00 · SP $27.00 · Derek Leung

He is in the hands of a stable going very well and a jockey riding plenty of winners.

Our price $11.00 · SP $24.00 · Nichola Yuen

An each-way case built on map and fitness rather than raw class. He is the quickest to begin in this field, draws gate three and looks the natural leader on a circuit that strongly favours forward positions, and he ran well enough last start in this grade to suggest he is close.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.60 · Harry Bentley

Lucky Year produced the best recent run in the field, closing for a clear second over 1600m last start, and she raced handily, which suits this track. The doubts are clear: she is still a maiden after nine starts, drawn gate 13, and her trainer-jockey pairing is 0-for-26.

Our price $6.80 · SP $9.30 · Zac Purton

Romantic Fantasy arrives off a last-start 1800m win, closing from off the pace, and holds a solid record at this trip with two wins and three placings. Zac Purton's booking is a major plus, as is his strong course record. The negatives are a wide gate 11 and a run style that will leave him second-up and out the back, which is a concern at a track that favours handy runners.

Our price $2.40 · SP $3.50 · Zac Purton

Spirited Steed has run to a winning standard in each of his last two starts over this course and trip - third after racing handy, then second from off the pace. Zac Purton takes the ride for a yard that goes well with him, and from gate six he should settle in the first half. The one query is a stable that has been quiet in recent weeks, but on form he is the most likely winner.

Our price $4.80 · SP $3.70 · Luke Ferraris

Light Years Glory is the only last-start winner in the field and produced the strongest single run of any runner when sweeping home over this course and trip. The concern is the sharp rise to top weight and a wider draw, which has dulled him before. Even so, the projected fast tempo plays to his closing style and he rates a clear second pick.

Our price $20.00 · SP $16.00 · Alexis Badel

Our price $4.80 · SP $12.00 · Karis Teetan

Made a big impression on debut, running to a winning standard when charging home into third, and now gets the rail from a stable renowned for improving types. With one run behind him there should be plenty more to come; the query is how close he can settle under a jockey who is having a quiet spell.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.90 · Zac Purton

A last-start winner going the right way with the ideal on-pace style for this track, and the champion jockey takes the ride. The concerns are the top weight and a wide gate, which could leave him working early, but if Purton can slot him in behind the pace he is a serious contender.

Our price $9.00 · SP $51.00 · Jerry Chau

The value play. He has repeatedly run to a winning standard on good ground — winning and finishing a close second here earlier in the year — and his two recent down-the-field runs both came from wide gates with interference.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.30 · Jerry Chau

A genuine 1400m specialist with a strong record at the trip, having won his last two over this course and distance. He races on the pace, which is exactly where you want to be at Sha Tin, and he gets weight relief after carrying more to victory last time. The rise in class is the real test and he tends to tire late, but he maps to be right in the finish.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Harry Bentley

Flying Fortress ran the best closing race in the field when charging into second over this trip last time, and he is on the improve. With several genuine speedsters engaged, the strong tempo should play right into his hands from a handy middle draw. His modest winning record is the knock, but he shapes as a solid place/each-way chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $2.90 · Andrea Atzeni

Master Lucky knows this course and distance well with a win and three placings from four attempts, and he drops to a light weight after carrying top weight into second last time.

Our price $6.50 · SP $13.00 · James Orman

He closed strongly into sixth over this trip last start, and the expected fast tempo should suit his finishing style from a handy middle gate.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.10 · Karis Teetan

Pi Legend arrives off two wins at this course and distance in this grade, both times settling off the pace and finishing over the top. That profile fits a race the map says will be run at a strong tempo, when the early leaders are likely to tire. The 61kg top weight, an awkward draw and quiet recent form from his rider and yard are genuine negatives, but he owns the strongest class credentials in the field.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.40 · Luke Ferraris

Super Strong Kid has been running to a good standard without winning, closing hard into the placings. Barrier four lets him drop in and conserve energy for one late thrust, and in a race with plenty of declared speed he should be doing his best work through the line. The query is that he has never won at this trip, so he is more a solid place proposition than a certain winner.

Our price $6.50 · SP $3.90 · Brenton Avdulla

Spicy Standard won last time out with a sweeping run from well back, the kind of effort that should be rewarded again if this race is run at the strong tempo the map suggests. He comes from a top stable and barrier five is a plus. The rise in grade is the query, but his best is clearly good enough to be competitive at this level.

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.00 · Harry Bentley

The Heir produced the strongest closing effort in the field last start when third from well back, and the projected fast tempo plays right to his strength. Barrier three is ideal for a horse who drops in and produces one late run.