Warrnambool tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Dean Parker

Symon Wilde and Dean Parker combine for a big strike rate together, and everything points to another forward showing. The query is race shape - she settles off the pace at a track that rewards on-pace runners - but the ability looks strong enough to overcome it.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Darryl Horner

Pitman rounded up his rivals nicely last start at Hamilton to record one of the better closing efforts in this field, and he backs that up with useful trial form since.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Luca Remondet

Octahedron has strung together one of the strongest form lines in the race, racing right up to a good level at Mt Gambier and winning twice below today's grade before that. His inside gate suits a track that clearly favours on-pace runners in staying races, and he handles rain-affected ground.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Tom Ryan

He was competitive at a notably tougher level last start over almost this same trip and now gets clear class relief. The stable and rider combination is among the best represented at this meeting. Limited experience is the only real query, but the upward trajectory is hard to ignore.

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.50 · Darryl Horner

Matthew Mark was narrowly beaten in almost this identical race last time out and looks the most likely leader in the field, a running style that this track rewards heavily in staying races. He also has a strong record on rain-affected ground. The worry is his wide barrier draw, a group that has struggled to produce winners here previously, but his course form and tactical speed offset much of that risk.

Our price $1.70 · SP $1.70 · Declan Bates

Tuscan Rose is the clear form horse. She led all the way at Warrnambool last start and was beaten only a short margin in a maiden plate, on a similar surface. The run was the best of any runner in this field.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Linda Meech

Rose Milla won a jump-out and then ran third, and she comes from one of the best Warrnambool stables with a top local jockey. She looks the best value in the race.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Jabez Johnstone

Cool Aza Breeze keeps knocking on the door, with three placings from five runs while racing handy each time. She's proven on soft going, draws the rail which suits her forward style, and Warrnambool's pattern strongly favours leaders and on-pace runners over closers.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.20 · Declan Bates

Mr Cicconi brings a strong trial profile into his debut, including a recent win right here at Warrnambool on a comparable soft surface. His trainer has a strong record at this course, and the inside gate should let him track into a handy spot. Untested in an official race, but the local trial form and good barrier make him a leading hope in an open maiden.

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.50 · Ryan Hurdle

Tikiela's latest run stands out as the best on-the-clock performance of any runner in this race - second at this same track and distance, beaten only narrowly. She's been building all campaign, draws a workable barrier, and her forward racing style suits a track that rewards leaders.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Linda Meech

This experienced mare was doing her best work late when third at this track just over a week ago, beaten less than a length, and she quickly backs up in a race that should suit. Her record at Warrnambool is strong for minor placings, and she has a capable rider aboard who knows the track well. She hasn't won for some time, but her current form is trending the right way and she looks well placed to go one better.

Our price $6.50 · SP $20.00 · Tom Madden

Thoughtful arrives in the best form of his campaign, winning his last two and placing in nearly every start this preparation, with a strong record in wet conditions. He gets a good barrier to sit off a race that should be run hard early, setting up perfectly for his turn of foot. The main query is his rise from lower grade handicaps into this tougher open company, but his recent racing pattern suggests he is more than capable of making the transition.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Melissa Julius

Hill Cry has an outstanding record at Warrnambool over this exact distance and was last seen winning at the track in this same grade. She backs up quickly, which the stable clearly likes doing with her, and her midfield draw should keep her out of trouble in a race with plenty of speed on offer.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Neil Farley

Crossoverkid draws the perfect barrier for a staying race on this circuit and continues his remarkably consistent pattern of minor placings, including a narrow defeat last start at today's grade on rain-affected ground. He has been freshened up, which has previously suited him. The obvious knock is that he is still searching for his first win, but his placing strike-rate and ideal draw make him hard to leave out of the placings.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.50 · Jack Hill

Haiiro's underlying record is one of the strongest in the field on a wins-and-places basis, and he has already shown he can compete at this grade with a competitive run at Stawell. He gets the ideal inside barrier and has a genuine record on soft ground.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.40 · Linda Meech

A genuine course specialist who has been racing consistently well at this exact track and grade, placing at his last two Warrnambool starts. He is a proven performer on soft ground and his handy racing style should suit a moderately run race.