Kilcoy tips and results

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.60 · Jake Molloy

Placed in two of his last three and four of six career starts, most recently a solid second over further. He is the natural leader in a race where front-runners dominate at Kilcoy, and the drop to 1500m suits. The concern is the wide gate, which may force early work, and a stable yet to fire.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Georgina Cartwright

Lightly raced with an in-form yard and the inside draw. He produced his best result when third last start, though beaten a long way and fading late. The ear muffs come off first time, which may sharpen him. The question is the 1500m, as he looked one-paced over 1400m and the rider is without a recent win.

Our price $13.00 · SP $31.00 · Colleen Krahnen

The value runner. She led and ran to a winning standard at Warwick two runs back and now drops to the feather weight from an inside gate, expected to roll forward on a track that rewards speed. Recent form reads plainly, but conditions here are far more suitable than her last couple of outings over longer trips.

Our price $5.50 · SP $2.80 · Ryan Houston

Veteran mare who arrives off a win in a stronger race over 2110m and now finds a winnable BM58. Her record at Kilcoy over this trip is excellent with two wins and two placings from ten attempts, so she knows the track well. The concern is her get-back style on a circuit that heavily favours on-pace runners, but she has proven she can overcome that here before.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Tiffani Brooker

The model of consistency with nine placings in his last ten, capped by a maiden win last time out. He maps to race handy, which is a genuine edge on a tight circuit with a short straight, and the trainer/jockey pairing is reliable. The obvious query is the big step up from maiden grade to a BM58 while stretching to 1900m for the first time.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.00 · Colleen Krahnen

Privalova is arguably the form runner in the race. She won here over this trip earlier in the campaign and was beaten a whisker in a stronger grade at Warwick last start, sitting handy and hitting the line. She races on the pace, which suits this track, and gets in light. The queries are a slightly awkward draw and a combination with a modest record, but her recent runs are the strongest in the field.

Our price $4.60 · SP $5.50 · Adin Thompson

Sukhbir is the consistent one. He has won at this track and is proven at the trip, and drops in class after a string of honest efforts in stronger company. He sits just off the speed, which is a good spot at Kilcoy, and produced his best run of the prep a couple of starts back. He lacks a recent winning edge but is a solid place hope if the leaders overdo it.

Our price $12.00 · SP $19.00 · Aidan Keeley

She has been running honest races against stronger maidens, with useful efforts over 1200m at Mackay and Rockhampton, and is normally positioned handily rather than at the tail. The rider is going well.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.70 · Danny Peisley

He is a relentless placegetter who rarely runs poorly.

Our price $4.80 · SP $5.50 · Wayne O'Connell

Course-and-distance winner who does his best work on top of the pace, and from gate three he should get the perfect box-seat trail behind the two speedsters. He is dropping in grade and all his good-ground wins say he handles the surface.

Our price $9.00 · SP $21.00 · Julie Busuttin

Veteran who has found a new lease of life, winning two starts back and placing in four of his last five. He drops in class and the stable is going well. The problem is his pattern: he settles near last and Kilcoy is unforgiving to back-markers.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.60 · Ashley Butler

The risk is having to burn early petrol from the outside gate, which is why he rates clear second rather than top pick.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Georgina Cartwright

A reliable on-pace mare who races best at Kilcoy. She has a win and a placing over this course and distance and comes off competitive runs in better class. If she lands in the first three around the home turn she will be in the finish, though she is vulnerable late.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Frederick Larson

The each-way play.