Mt Isa tips and results

Our price $5.30 · SP $8.50 · Hayley Saunders

Euphoric Miss is the map and rider horse. Barrier 1 and an on-pace pattern put her right behind the likely leader, which is the winning lane at Mt Isa. Hayley Saunders has 5 wins from her last 20 rides and 2 wins from 14 with Tanya Parry, and the mare carries 55.5kg with a 3kg claim. Her own record is 12:0-1-0, she is 0 from 2 at the trip, and last start at Cloncurry she resented the kickback and finished fifth.

Our price $6.20 · SP $10.00 · Jason Miller

He is 10:0-2-0 overall and 2:0-1-0 at the distance.

Our price $2.40 · SP $1.35 · Amie Meissner

Lilii Borea is the only proven leader in a race set for a slow tempo, at a track that rewards horses racing handy. She won at Mt Isa in August and her recent runs rate best in the field. The last start fade was in a stronger race after she was bumped and raced wide.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.00 · Mitch Goring

Makeminemilo is a reliable place type whose last run was spoiled when a horse fell in front of him. Jockey Mitch Goring knows the track well. The concern is the likely back-of-field position in a slow-run race, plus a history of finishing second or third rather than winning. He is a place option rather than a winner.

Our price $2.05 · SP $2.70 · Mitch Goring

The one to beat. She has won four of her last five and was game when second in open company last time after being hampered at the start. Her record at this course is outstanding — four wins and two seconds from six starts — and she has three wins and a second from four over this trip here. She leads, the track heavily favours leaders, and she drops in class. The top weight is the only query.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.45 · Hayley Saunders

The clear second pick. He demolished a similar field over this trip here two starts back and comes off a close fourth in open company at Cloncurry where he was caught wide throughout. He settles in the first two, which is exactly where you want to be at this track.

Our price $4.80 · SP $3.60 · Hayley Saunders

Surfers Royale arrives in career-best form after a game second at Cloncurry over this trip. He should sit on the back of Revolt in a slowly run race, and the featherweight helps. The stable's form is cold and he often finds one too good, but he is the best of the chasers on map and weight.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.20 · Mitch Goring

Runs second-up, the stage where he produced his only recent win, and he drops slightly in grade. The concern is the map: he settles last and this track is brutal on backmarkers — very few get home. His last two runs were well below his best and he steps to 900m for the first time under top weight.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Caine Stuart

The value runner. She led and was beaten under a length over this exact trip at this track back in July — the best 900m run in the field. She drops to 52kg with the claim, gets first-time headgear and resumes off a freshen-up. The knock is that she is one from 40 and has never won on good ground, and she has a habit of carrying on at the barriers.

Our price $2.30 · SP $1.75 · Aidan Holt

As the only true leader in a moderate-tempo 1000m, it should get an uncontested lead on a track that rewards on-pace runners. The class drop helps, but 64kg is a real burden and the stable's form is poor.

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.70 · Aidan Holt

He won over this track and trip two runs back lumping the top weight, and his last two outings have both been in stronger grade. From gate four he should lead or sit outside the speed, which is exactly the profile this dirt track rewards. Clearly the one to beat.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.50 · Caine Stuart

Arrives off a win at Cloncurry where he sat outside the lead, covered ground three deep and still fought on strongly. His record here is solid, with a win and a placing from three goes over this trip, and he draws to settle in the first handful, which is where this track demands you be. The query is the strength of that last win in weaker grade and a stable that has had a lean run of late.