Newcastle Beaumont tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.50 · Grady Spokes

A wet-track specialist coming off a win in the mud over 2200m, and he was only just beaten at this trip and class. He is racing in the best form of this field on the stronger runs of his last month.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.70 · Anna Weatherlake

She is only a small risk of failing on the wet track, where she has no wins from four starts.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Andrew Gibbons

His early speed suits a moderate tempo, although barrier 10 makes it harder to lead.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Gabrielle Johnston

Her Dubbo run was honest and the jockey and trainer connection wins often.

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.10 · Aaron Bullock

Steel Knight ran a gutsy second last start in a higher grade and now drops to Class 1. It handles soft ground and has raced over this course and distance. The 62kg and barrier 8 are real negatives, and he's a maiden-type at this trip, but he is still the most likely winner in an open-looking race.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.30 · Ashley Morgan

Seductra finishes her races well, ran a very good second on soft ground earlier this year, and should be sharper second-up. The concerns are 60kg from a wide gate and a moderate tempo that could make it hard to run down the leaders from back in the field.

Our price $9.00 · SP $41.00 · Jeff Penza

She is well suited by soft ground, drops in grade and has an on-pace style.

Our price $6.50 · SP $17.00 · Courtney Bellamy

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · William A Stanley

Only a rare winner, but he is the one runner who can control this race from the front in an open-lead, moderate tempo, and he consistently runs into the placings on soft ground. Blinkers back on and a good barrier help.

Our price $4.60 · SP $8.50 · Grady Spokes

He sits midfield, which should be fine in a slow-run race, and the blinkers could provide the push to finally win.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Andrew Adkins

An improving type who ran a solid third last start and gets to race forward in a slow-tempo contest. The wide gate is a concern, but the jockey knows the track well and the tongue tie is a positive.

Our price $10.00 · SP $20.00 · Shannen Llewellyn

A frustrating runner, but the race shape gives him a genuine chance to dictate in front. If he gets an easy lead he can stretch the field and be hard to catch, especially with gear changes.

Our price $3.80 · SP $7.00 · Grady Spokes

Fancy Shoulder is the most likely winner on form. She is the only confirmed leader in a moderately run 1200m sprint and has just run two narrow seconds at this grade, both from the front. The draw is good, she is proven on soft ground and she is back to her best distance. The main risk is being run down late again, but the map suits her.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.50 · Matt Kirk

Starry Jack ran the race of his life at Port Macquarie on 10 October at this same grade. He held them all off and only lost it in the stewards' room. The 4kg claim makes his weight manageable, he will be handy from the inside draw and his soft record is solid.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.00 · Aaron Bullock

He is lightly raced, has won on soft ground and has a strong jockey-trainer combination. However, he has to carry top weight on his first start at BM58 and against older, more exposed rivals.

Our price $9.00 · SP $17.00 · Luke Rolls

He is second up, has won on soft ground and has a good place record, and his jockey is in good form and knows the track. The wide draw and a back-of-the-field run in a modest tempo make it hard to win.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.60 · Anna Weatherlake

Sipping Shamus holds the best position on the map and carries a feather weight on a soft track. The wide draw makes it harder to cross to the lead, and he has tended to tire late when taken on. Still, his tempo-control profile and the low weight make him a danger in a moderately run race.