Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Sunday 6 July 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Kilcoy. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Lord Danilo brings consistent form into this race, including a close second last start. The significant class drop is a major positive, and his soft track record suggests he'll handle conditions. Likely to be on-pace in a moderately fast tempo, which suits his racing style. The main query is his ability to break through for a win.
The addition of blinkers for the first time could spark further improvement. She gets in with a light weight and should get a good run from midfield. The main concerns are her unproven record at the distance and the potentially tricky inside barrier.
Neo Vici has been showing improvement in recent starts and looks well-suited stepping up to 1500m. The good barrier draw gives options tactically, and he carries a competitive weight. The main concerns are his lack of a win to date and unproven form on soft tracks. Could be ready to peak third-up from a spell.
The return to blinkers and addition of pads could spark improvement. Likely to get a good run from midfield and be suited by the predicted tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Lord Danilo | 6 | Rob Thorburn | J L Johnston | 57kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 9 | Supido Rose | 1 | Rhiannon Payne | L J Gough | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Happy Coffee | 2 | Chelsea Baker | James Moore | 54.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Our Esprit | 5 | Michael Hellyer | B A Gentle | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Ilegitimo | 11 | Scott Sheargold | Amanda Park | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 10 | Bambino Di Vino | 13 | Nozi Tomizawa | Ashtyn Reedy | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Rock A Bye Ivy | 14 | A & T Sweeney | 56.5kg | $21.00 | |
| 8th | 8 | Preachabull | 7 | S Champkin | Stephanie Sixtus | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Sally''s Kato | 8 | Luke Tarrant | Simon Grimson | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Shamiela | 12 | Perrie Carter | Wayne Kuskopf | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Air Of Authority | 4 | Amy Graham | Linda Gersekowski | 57kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Neo Vici | 3 | Luke Dempsey | J A Gilmore | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Better Believe It | 9 | Lauren Abbott | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Bubbly Moon | 10 | T B Thomas | 56kg |
The low weight and soft track suitability are significant advantages. While unproven at 1200m, the recent form suggests readiness for the step up in distance.
Unega Wahy''a brings consistency and experience to the race. While carrying more weight than the top pick, the horse has proven ability at the distance and good recent form. The midfield running style should be advantageous given the likely race tempo.
Zhongxin Koala benefits from a significant class drop and weight relief. The wide barrier is a concern, but the horse's early speed could overcome this. Soft track experience is a plus.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Zimbara | 6 | Chelsea Francis | Darren Bell | 53.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 6 | Magical Eye | 2 | Michael Hellyer | B A Gentle | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Yonaka | 12 | Anthony Allen | Laura Anderson | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 5 | What Artists Do | 4 | Luke Dempsey | T B Thomas | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 12 | Insain Lady | 5 | Rob Thorburn | A & D Simpson | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Bubbly Moon | 7 | Montana Philpot | T B Thomas | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Waiting For Graham | 3 | Brooke Ainsworth | Brooke Ainsworth | 58kg | $2.80 |
| 8th | 3 | Unega Wahy''a | 8 | Chelsea Baker | J W Zielke | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 9th | 15 | Social Revolution | 9 | Corey Sutherland | Simon Grimson | 54.5kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Llewellyn Bay | 10 | Kayla Johnston | T N Miller | 53kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Cobble | 11 | Kenji Yoshida | Cameron Byrne | 58kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Stell''s Angel | 13 | Glenn Richardson | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Zhongxin Koala | 15 | K H Zechner | Allan Chau | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Midnight Miracle | 1 | Corey Bayliss | M A Currie | 56kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Life Of Tree | 14 | M Callaghan | 58.5kg |
Morganite presents as the top selection with a strong win rate and consistent recent form. The mare has performed well on soft tracks and is drawn ideally in barrier 3. While carrying top weight is a concern, her overall profile suggests she's well-placed to succeed in this race.
Hi Jules is a strong second pick with an impressive place rate and good soft track performance. Coming off a spell could be advantageous, and her consistent form is promising. The wide barrier is a concern, but her overall profile suggests she can overcome this challenge.
Hard To Dismiss lives up to its name as a consistent place-getter with good soft track form. While the win rate is low, the mare's experience and recent good run make her a solid contender.
The mare's recent win indicates improvement, and the light weight is advantageous. The class rise is a concern, but there's potential for an upset.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Morganite | 3 | Anthony Allen | T J Gollan | 60kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 7 | Dashing Hope | 1 | K H Zechner | T B Thomas | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Spirit Of Storm | 6 | Luke Dempsey | S & A Barling | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Hi Jules | 10 | Rob Thorburn | B K Wakefield | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Grandeur Rose | 2 | Minonette Kennedy | G M Hay | 58.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Bleriot | 4 | Sarah Robbins | Maleah Hill | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 5 | War Too All | 5 | Montana Philpot | T B Thomas | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Flick | 8 | Perrie Carter | Kym Afford | 52kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Hard To Dismiss | 9 | Corey Sutherland | Billy Healey | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Allezizzy | 12 | Corey Bayliss | M A Currie | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | In Great Spirit | 11 | Chris Anderson | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Victory Statement | 7 | Kayla Johnston | T N Miller | 52.5kg |
Cook Island Girl shows improving form with a strong second place finish last start. With proven soft track form and consistency at this distance, she's well-positioned to handle today's conditions.
The advantageous barrier 4 draw and significant class drop work in his favor. While unproven at this exact distance, his form suggests he should handle the step up.
As a proven soft track winner with consistent form, the slight class rise appears manageable. While experience at this exact distance is limited, overall form suggests adaptability.
The soft track suitability and weight advantage could offset the class rise and wide barrier.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Shape Of Water | 9 | Colleen Krahnen | Ms O Cairns | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Jumeirah Triangle | 8 | Montana Philpot | James Hepworth | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Cheerful Cat | 4 | Corey Sutherland | James Moore | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Shot Down By Love | 10 | Nozi Tomizawa | Ashtyn Reedy | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 16 | Nitroglycerine | 7 | B W Brown | 54kg | $20.00 | |
| 6th | 15 | Winston Blue | 3 | Michael Hellyer | Neil Hocking | 54.5kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Force Me | 2 | S Champkin | G J Hutchesson | 52.5kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Showdra | 1 | Luke Dempsey | A & T Sweeney | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Cook Island Girl | 11 | Anthony Allen | Renita Beaton | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 10th | 9 | Lizzie''s Pride | 5 | Olivia Webb | Greg Wright | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 11th | 1 | Barocco Bar | 13 | P Hamblin | Emma Fouchard | 61.5kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Phoenix Flyer | 14 | Sarah Robbins | Brendon Newport | 58kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Swiper | 6 | Alan Boyd | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Godra | 16 | Amy Graham | Nicole Luke | 54kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Super Fair | 15 | James Baker | M Callaghan | 55kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Optimus Maximus | 12 | T B Thomas | 56.5kg |
Brave Boy presents as the top selection with consistent form, including a win and placing in his last 5 starts. His soft track record (4 wins from 23 starts) is a significant advantage on today's surface. Well-weighted and likely to lead, he should control the race from the front.
Radegast is a strong second pick, showing excellent recent form and a good record on soft tracks. The class drop is significant, and the inside barrier draw should allow for a favorable run. While carrying top weight, his proven ability makes him a serious contender.
Kenshin Maru rounds out the top three with consistent form and proven ability at the distance. Well-weighted and likely to be on-pace, he should be in the finish. The wide barrier is a concern, but his racing style should mitigate this disadvantage.
With improving form and a good barrier draw, this lightweight chance could surprise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Sokudo | 14 | Perrie Carter | Vishan Venkaya | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Brave Boy | 8 | Dan Mc Gillivray | Christos Zintilis | 61kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Kenshin Maru | 17 | P Hamblin | Louise White | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Glenray''s Mate | 12 | Colleen Krahnen | Kenneth Deacon | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Khant Quit | 7 | Kayla Johnston | Kerry Taplin | 59kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 4 | Radegast | 5 | Anthony Allen | Nick Keal | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 10 | December Diamond | 2 | Luke Tarrant | James Moore | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Swift Son | 6 | Corey Bayliss | Peter Brennan | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Another Dazzler | 1 | Michael Hellyer | Neil Hocking | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Justice Served | 13 | Luke Dempsey | R H Dart | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
| 11th | 5 | The Manipulator | 10 | Amy Graham | Linda Gersekowski | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Lyndall | 16 | Nozi Tomizawa | Ms P Barron | 55kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Quick Shot | 11 | Ms K Loy | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Bie''res | 9 | Jade Metcalfe | W P Nugent | 52.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Unique Elle | 4 | Nicole Luke | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Come On Eileen | 3 | Josh Sweeney | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Whistlin'' Ruler | 15 | P B Moncrieff | 54kg |
The advantageous barrier and weight relief make him well-positioned for this race. While rising in class, his consistent performances and suitability for the distance suggest he's ready for the challenge. The soft track is a minor concern, but overall he presents as the most likely winner.
He's proven at this class and distance, which is a significant advantage. The experienced jockey is a plus, but he'll need to overcome the top weight and wider barrier. The soft track is a slight concern, but his overall profile makes him a strong contender.
The light weight and inside barrier are significant advantages. However, he's facing a steep class rise and is unproven at the distance. Despite these concerns, his potential for improvement and strong recent form make him a serious contender.
The significant weight relief is a major advantage, and he's proven at both the track and distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Horrible Hank | 2 | Kayla Barker | Glenn Richardson | 52.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Field Agent | 1 | Nozi Tomizawa | Stephanie Sixtus | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Gallery Master | 4 | Kayla Johnston | Julie Harris | 52.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Paballo | 11 | Corey Sutherland | James Moore | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Stormtrooper | 13 | S Champkin | Brett Sturgess | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Suenito | 8 | Julie Busuttin | Vishan Venkaya | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Step Along | 9 | P Hamblin | T N Miller | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Neoclassicism | 7 | K H Zechner | Allan Chau | 58.5kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 8 | Above The Sky | 3 | Luke Dempsey | T J Hurley | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Palatial Prince | 14 | Hannah English | Glenn Richardson | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Brave Cowboy Bill | 6 | Scott Sheargold | Ms O Cairns | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Paper Cowboy | 5 | Montana Philpot | T B Thomas | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Roconono | 12 | Amy Graham | Caitlin Johnstone | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Daintree Dreaming | 10 | T B Thomas | 54kg |
Tipsy Tiger stands out with strong soft track form and consistent recent performances. The significant class drop and suitable weight for today's conditions further enhance its chances. While the 44-day break is a slight concern, the overall form and track suitability make it a confident top selection.
The class drop and addition of winkers for the first time are positive factors. However, the top weight and wider barrier draw present some challenges, placing it as a strong second pick.
Mishani Suspect shows consistent recent form and benefits from an advantageous barrier draw. The addition of winkers and suitable weight are positive factors. While the lower win strike rate and lack of track experience are concerns, the overall package makes it a solid third selection.
Got Gumption offers value with strong soft track form and an advantageous barrier draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Got Gumption | 4 | Nozi Tomizawa | D Chujo | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 13 | In Great Spirit | 1 | Michael Hellyer | Chris Anderson | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Tipsy Tiger | 8 | Anthony Allen | T J Gollan | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 1 | Hidden Nugget | 10 | Chelsea Francis | Darren Bell | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Mishani Suspect | 5 | Corey Sutherland | Donna Stanbridge | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Mishani Express | 2 | Kenji Yoshida | Donna Stanbridge | 56kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Mishani Eclipse | 3 | Corey Bayliss | Donna Stanbridge | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 5 | What A Doozy | 7 | P Hamblin | L F Birchley | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Count The Dough | 6 | Luke Dempsey | Matthew Hoysted | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Bonfire Spark | 13 | Ms O Cairns | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Hoffman | 9 | Billy Healey | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Esprit Du Jour | 12 | Emily Lang | T J Gollan | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Wantsomemoreofit | 11 | K R Kemp | 57.5kg |
Hooks presents as the top selection with consistent recent form, including a close 4th last start over this distance. The gelding has a strong record at 1500m and should appreciate the drop in weight to 57kg. While not a noted wet tracker, his adaptable running style and proven ability make him well-suited to the predicted moderate tempo.
Sock''emsid is a consistent performer with an excellent record at Kilcoy over this distance. As a likely leader, he should be able to dictate terms from the front. His soft track form is solid, but the top weight is a concern. If able to control the race from the front, he'll be hard to run down.
Flying Bat is dropping in class and has a good record when fresh. As a likely leader, he should be able to overcome the wide barrier on a soft track. However, his lack of soft track form and the heavy weight are concerns. If he can dictate terms from the front, he could prove hard to catch.
She performs well on soft tracks and should get a good run from barrier 7. The main concerns are her inconsistent form and the long break since her last run.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Toros | 10 | K H Zechner | Ms P Barron | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Flying Bat | 18 | Dan Mc Gillivray | Allan Chau | 61kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Sock''emsid | 8 | Corey Sutherland | Brendan Jones | 59.5kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 3 | Cluster''s Rein | 9 | Michael Hellyer | Ms K Stabe | 60kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Spring Daze | 12 | Anthony Allen | Jack Bruce | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Zattastar | 7 | Corey Bayliss | Jack Bruce | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Hooks | 13 | Kayla Johnston | Kerry Taplin | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 8th | 14 | Atlantic Royal | 3 | Luke Dempsey | P P Jenkins | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 15 | Martini Dancer | 16 | Kenji Yoshida | Amanda Park | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 5 | La Mano | 17 | L J Hatch | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Cheerful Cat | 4 | James Moore | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Align The Planets | 14 | Scott Sheargold | Ms O Cairns | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Phoenix Flyer | 6 | Brendon Newport | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Suprendre | 11 | Amy Graham | Phil Bobic | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Invader''s Girl | 5 | A & D Simpson | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Above The Sky | 15 | T J Hurley | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Super Fair | 2 | M Callaghan | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Whistlin'' Ruler | 1 | P B Moncrieff | 54kg |
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