Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Sunday 6 July 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Warrnambool. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Stockman stands out as the top selection with excellent heavy track form and proven stamina over the distance. The significant class drop from recent Group races is a major positive, and his consistent recent performances indicate he's in good form. While carrying top weight is a concern, his ability to handle heavy going should offset this disadvantage.
Farag presents as a strong second pick with recent good form over hurdles and a proven ability at the distance on the flat. The booking of experienced hurdler W Gordon is a positive, and his consistent performances suggest he'll be competitive.
Balinor offers value as the third selection with his experience over jumps and good heavy track form.
The gear change to winkers could bring about improvement, and he's well-weighted compared to the top contenders.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Stockman | 9 | Steven Pateman | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 4 | Farag | 5 | W Gordon | Aaron Purcell | 69.5kg | $1.65 |
| 3rd | 9 | Topspin | 2 | Jordan Hart | Joanne Mugavin | 69.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Balinor | 1 | Conor Brassil | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 69.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Oz Legend | 4 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 69.5kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Tewkesbury | 8 | William Mc Carthy | T & C McEvoy | 69.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Bignight Rebel | 7 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 69.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Sandpiper | 10 | Arron Lynch | J P Salanitri | 67.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Big Ess | 6 | Dean Parker | Andrew Bobbin | 69.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Mungerannie | 3 | David Mulcahy | Amy McDonald | 69.5kg |
Through Irish Eyes presents as the top selection with strong recent form, including a win last start over hurdles. Has proven ability on heavy tracks and over the distance. The class drop is significant and should give this runner a clear advantage.
Bitcoin is a consistent performer with a good record on heavy tracks. The Steven Pateman/Jessica Pateman combination is strong in jumps racing. While coming off a break, the lighter weight and proven ability in similar conditions make Bitcoin a solid second choice.
Hit The Road Jack brings solid jumps experience and consistent form to this race. While carrying a high weight, the horse has proven ability on heavy tracks and comes from the in-form Symon Wilde stable. A strong contender for the placings.
While less experienced over jumps than some rivals, recent good form on the flat and ability to handle heavy tracks make this runner an interesting prospect. The improving profile over jumps suggests potential for further improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Bitcoin | 4 | Steven Pateman | Jessica Pateman | 70kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Through Irish Eyes | 3 | William Mc Carthy | C Maher | 69.5kg | $2.35 |
| 3rd | 3 | Sing For Peace | 5 | W Gordon | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 69.5kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Hit The Road Jack | 2 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Pearlman | 6 | David Mulcahy | Amy McDonald | 69kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Vadarchie | 1 | Martin Kelly | Aaron Laing | 68.5kg | $31.00 |
Loft stands out as the top selection with a perfect 2 from 2 record over jumps and a significant class drop from his recent flat racing. His consistent form, including 2 wins from his last 4 starts, coupled with proven performance on soft/heavy tracks make him well-suited to today's conditions. The top weight is a concern, but his class should overcome this.
Normandy Bridge presents as a strong second pick with excellent recent form and proven ability over jumps. His impressive record on soft/heavy tracks is a significant advantage in today's conditions. While facing a slight class rise, the weight advantage over the top selection could prove crucial.
Right Now's excellent heavy track record and strong jumps form make him a solid third pick. However, the top weight and recent form decline are concerns.
Her consistent recent form and improving jumps record suggest she's ready to perform well.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Right Now | 1 | Arron Lynch | S B Laming | 71kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Loft | 2 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 68kg | $1.35 |
| 3rd | 5 | Normandy Bridge | 5 | William Mc Carthy | C Maher | 65.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Gambu | 4 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 65.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Nassak Diamond | 3 | W Gordon | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 66kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Enchanted Elle | 6 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 65kg | $16.00 |
Noonday Gun presents as the standout selection with strong recent form, including two consecutive wins in similar conditions. The significant class drop from previous races should offset the top weight he's carrying.
Prismatic is a solid second choice with consistent recent form and a strong record at both the distance and track. His experience as a jumper and proven performance in heavy conditions make him a strong contender, despite carrying the top weight.
Field Of Lights offers value as the third selection. While his recent form has declined, he has previous success at this track and is dropping in class.
While his recent form has been inconsistent, the lighter weight and potential on a heavy track make him an interesting longshot for value-seeking punters.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Noonday Gun | 4 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 73kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 1 | Prismatic | 2 | Jordan Hart | M W Walker | 73.5kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 3 | Field Of Lights | 1 | William Mc Carthy | Symon Wilde | 70.5kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 6 | Mokele Mbembe | 6 | Arron Lynch | Ms S Houston | 65kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Dr Dependable | 5 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 67.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Bazini | 3 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg |
Stern Idol stands out as the top selection with an impressive heavy track record and consistent recent form. Despite carrying top weight, the significant class drop and proven ability over jumps make him a strong contender. The heavy track conditions should play to his strengths, and his last start win indicates he's in good form.
Leaderboard presents as a solid second choice with improving form and a weight advantage over the top selection. His track and distance record is favorable, and he's likely to be well-positioned in what's expected to be a slow-tempo race. While not as proven on heavy tracks, his recent form suggests he's capable of handling the conditions.
Fabalot rounds out the top three selections with recent winning form and valuable jumps experience. The class drop is a positive factor, and he carries a competitive weight. While his heavy track record isn't as strong as the top pick, his improving form and jumps experience make him a contender in these conditions.
While his win strike rate is lower than the top picks, he's an experienced jumps performer with consistent recent form. His track record at Warrnambool is solid, and he carries a competitive weight.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Stern Idol | 4 | Steven Pateman | C Maher | 72kg | $1.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Leaderboard | 2 | W Gordon | M W Walker | 65kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Fabalot | 5 | William Mc Carthy | Symon Wilde | 65kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Instigator | 1 | Tom Ryan | Aaron Purcell | 65kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Mustang Harry | 3 | Jordan Hart | Kaye Edwards | 65kg | $61.00 |
Cleitus presents as the top selection with consistent form and a strong affinity for heavy tracks. The class drop is significant and should offset the weight concern. Recent performances, including a close second at Casterton, indicate fitness. The wide draw is mitigated by early speed.
Purveyor is well-placed in this race, dropping significantly in class. The heavy track is a query, but the class drop and strong recent runs make him a serious contender despite the weight.
Astradeel boasts an excellent heavy track record and is dropping significantly in class. The inside barrier draw is advantageous on a heavy track. While carrying top weight, the class drop and track conditions should suit. Recent form is consistent but not as strong as the top two selections.
Recent improving form, including a win, and a light weight are positives. The good barrier draw is advantageous on a heavy track. While facing a class rise and with limited heavy track experience, the improving form and weight advantage make her an interesting value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Astradeel | 4 | W Gordon | Adam Chambers | 74kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Cleitus | 7 | Martin Kelly | Symon Wilde | 71kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 8 | Dempsey Girl | 3 | Jordan Hart | J G Brooks | 65kg | $71.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Yorkel | 6 | Arron Lynch | Gavin Bedggood | 68.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Imarichgirl | 5 | Dean Parker | Jack Laing | 65kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Purveyor | 8 | Steven Pateman | S B Laming | 69.5kg | $3.10 |
| 7th | 6 | Star Canto | 2 | William Mc Carthy | C Maher | 66.5kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Unfair Dismissal | 1 | Daniel Small | D M Noonan | 68.5kg |
Baltic Way presents as the top selection with a strong heavy track record and consistent recent form. The gelding has proven weight-carrying ability and a suitable racing pattern for the conditions. While facing a slight class rise, the strong jockey booking of Steven Pateman is a significant positive.
Eight Under shows consistent form and is a proven weight carrier. The gelding's likely forward position suits the conditions, and the booking of William McCarthy is a plus. However, the lack of heavy track form and wide barrier are concerns in this heavy track contest.
Shogun Express is an improving type with a strong soft track record. The good barrier draw and light weight are advantageous in these conditions. However, the lack of heavy track form and the class rise present some risk factors. The gelding's consistent recent placings suggest he's in good form.
The mare's consistent recent form and proven ability over similar distances are positives. The class drop is significant and could see improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Smiling Assassin | 7 | Arron Lynch | Garret Lynch | 71.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 6 | Bergasun | 13 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 69.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Shogun Express | 4 | Martin Kelly | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 69kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 3 | Baltic Way | 3 | Steven Pateman | Peter Lafferty | 71kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 4 | Cool King | 1 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 70kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Anphina | 6 | Jordan Hart | Nell Carter | 65kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Zedwilldo | 10 | W Gordon | Brett Scott | 70kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Tomboulder | 12 | Carly Cook | 65kg | $31.00 | |
| 9th | 1 | Eight Under | 11 | William Mc Carthy | Mathew Smerdon | 72kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Christmas | 14 | Cillin Leonard | P A Preusker | 69kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Maritorious | 5 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 69kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Opus | 15 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Simone Manne | 68kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Got An Inspiration | 17 | Garret Lynch | 65kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Delcoff | 16 | Jordan Hart | M W Greig | 65kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Oh No George | 9 | Gary Walsh | Michael Farrell | 65kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Hasta La Truce | 8 | Kaye Edwards | 65kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Bernie Beel | 2 | Allan Peterson | 65kg |
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