Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New Zealand · Sunday 6 July 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Tauranga. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Gracetheace stands out with consistent heavy track form and a strong second place finish last start. Well-weighted and tactically versatile, she appears primed for a breakthrough win. The wider barrier is a minor concern, but her adaptability should mitigate this issue.
Horrie brings solid heavy track credentials and consistent form to this race. The class drop is significant, and Rihaan Goyaram's experience is a plus. While the top weight is a concern, Horrie's proven ability in these conditions makes him a strong contender.
Playinasandpit is an intriguing prospect with a favorable barrier and lightweight. The heavy track and inside draw could see this runner outperform expectations, making it a solid each-way proposition.
With an advantageous barrier and potential to improve, this runner could surprise on debut. The heavy track introduces uncertainty, but also levels the playing field for less exposed runners. A speculative but value-laden option.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Vickezzlastcall | 1 | Samantha Collett | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 6 | Gracetheace | 9 | G Rooke | G K Opie | 56.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 10 | Playinasandpit | 2 | E H Nicholas | S C Phelan | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | I''m Feeling Lucky | 6 | B D Rogerson | Team Rogerson | 54.5kg | $30.10 |
| 5th | 1 | Horrie | 8 | Rihaan Goyaram | M & K Murdoch | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 6th | 2 | Nick Time | 11 | Sam McNab | Nick Kneebone | 54.5kg | $6.10 |
| 7th | 4 | Up With Ace | 4 | Bridget Grylls | B H King | 58.5kg | $20.30 |
| 8th | 3 | Remote | 5 | A Lawson-Carroll | S L Crawford | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Small Town Girl | 10 | R R Manning | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Fira | 3 | G Richardson & R Norvall | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Thee Auld Trick | 7 | Courtney Barnes | S B Marsh | 56.5kg |
Sally stands out as the top selection with consistent form in heavy conditions and a significant weight advantage. Her recent placings and proven ability at the distance make her well-suited to this race. While yet to break through for a win, the conditions look ideal for a breakthrough performance.
Small Town Girl presents as a strong contender with her recent form and proven ability in heavy conditions. The favorable barrier draw and light weight further enhance her chances. While less experienced than some rivals, her upside potential and suitability to conditions make her a serious threat.
Thee Auld Trick is an intriguing prospect as a lightly raced runner from a strong stable. The good barrier draw and suitability to heavy conditions enhance her appeal. While lacking experience, the potential for improvement and stable confidence make her a worthy inclusion in selections.
The experienced jockey and potential for third-up improvement add to the appeal.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Sally | 8 | Hayley Hassman | G K Opie | 53.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Charlemagne | 10 | A Lawson-Carroll | M & K Murdoch | 57.5kg | $8.70 |
| 3rd | 8 | Chicflix | 1 | L H Satherley | P P Mirabelli | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Thee Auld Trick | 3 | S B Marsh | 56.5kg | $7.00 | |
| 5th | 6 | Small Town Girl | 6 | Rihaan Goyaram | R R Manning | 54.5kg | $3.30 |
| 6th | 7 | I''maprincess | 2 | J Nishizuka | C R Isdale | 53.5kg | $7.20 |
| 7th | 3 | Gibraltar Rising | 5 | B D Rogerson | Ms M Northcott | 56.5kg | $19.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Mister Meaner | 7 | T C Moodley | Ms S P Mynott | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Remote | 9 | S L Crawford | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Kindra Girl | 4 | Ashlee Strawbridge | T D Reid | 52.5kg |
Kenny stands out as the top selection due to his consistent form and proven ability on heavy tracks. Coming off a close second and third in his last two starts, he's well-suited to today's conditions. The significant class drop from his recent runs should give him a clear advantage over most of the field.
Magna Memory shows promise as the second selection with his improving form and recent third place on a heavy track. His recent performances suggest he's ready to break through for a win.
Rollins rounds out the top three selections with his consistent form and heavy track experience. While yet to win, he's been competitive in his last four starts and should appreciate the step up in distance. The wide barrier is a concern, but his early speed could help overcome this disadvantage.
His improving form, light weight, and favorable inside barrier draw make him an interesting prospect.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Kenny | 3 | M J Mc Nab | R R Manning | 58.5kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 6 | Baxter | 4 | Gareth Lahoud | D S Wilson | 54.5kg | $12.90 |
| 3rd | 3 | Rollins | 11 | G Rooke | S B Marsh | 58.5kg | $6.80 |
| 4th | 4 | Ghibbo | 13 | A Lawson-Carroll | S & E Clotworthy | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Pure Gold | 2 | K R Hercock | Ms K A Hoskin | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Acalypha | 5 | T C Moodley | G Richardson & R Norvall | 55.5kg | $12.40 |
| 7th | 9 | Milanese | 8 | Rihaan Goyaram | Andrew Forsman | 54.5kg | $17.60 |
| 8th | 7 | Ferdie''s Secret | 10 | B D Rogerson | Team Rogerson | 56.5kg | $87.30 |
| 9th | 2 | Magna Memory | 7 | V A Colgan | M H Brooks | 58.5kg | $8.40 |
| 10th | 10 | Media Queen | 12 | J Nishizuka | G J Lord | 53.5kg | $88.30 |
| Scr | 11 | Her Grace | 9 | G Richardson & R Norvall | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | King William | 6 | E P Green | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Abu Dhabi | 1 | S & E Clotworthy | 58.5kg |
Stylish Invasion looks well-placed to break through for a maiden win. The mare has been knocking on the door with recent placings, carries a light weight, and should get every chance from barrier 1. The heavy track and likely moderate tempo suit her running style.
Talea is a lightly-raced mare showing promise. She gets in with a light weight, has an advantageous inside draw, and should appreciate the heavy track conditions. Her recent form suggests she's ready to take the next step up in this company.
Join The Dance has been knocking on the door with consistent form. She's proven on heavy tracks, gets in with a light weight, and should be suited by the distance. The midfield draw allows options tactically.
While yet to win, his recent form is improving and he's a proven performer over this trip. Experienced on heavy tracks and likely to lead, he could prove hard to run down if allowed to dictate terms. The wide draw is a concern but he has tactical speed to overcome it.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Slick Chick | 10 | Bridget Grylls | Peter Grey | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Uhtred | 13 | Gareth Lahoud | S L Cameron | 54.5kg | $7.20 |
| 3rd | 10 | Talea | 3 | A Lawson-Carroll | S L Crawford | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 4 | King Cabal | 2 | J Nishizuka | G & T Shaw | 55.5kg | $10.90 |
| 5th | 5 | Join The Dance | 9 | B D Rogerson | Team Rogerson | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Sybaris | 8 | Samantha Collett | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 56.5kg | $8.30 |
| 7th | 7 | Stylish Invasion | 1 | Sam McNab | G L Hughes | 52.5kg | $4.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Magna Kata | 5 | Ngakau Hailey | L Te Keeti | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 8 | High Penny | 4 | K R Hercock | Jason Price | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 3 | I''lberidingshotgun | 6 | L H Satherley | P & J Brosnan | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Her Grace | 7 | G Richardson & R Norvall | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | King William | 11 | E P Green | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Abu Dhabi | 12 | S & E Clotworthy | 58.5kg |
Lord Goliath stands out as the top selection with his excellent heavy track record and consistent recent form. His on-pace racing style and proven ability to handle weight on wet tracks make him well-suited to these conditions. While the 2100m is a new test, his stamina-rich pedigree suggests he should handle it.
Middle Khan presents as a solid second pick with his improving form and proven stamina. The lightweight and good barrier draw are significant positives for heavy track racing. While less exposed on heavy going compared to the top pick, his recent form suggests he's ready to handle the challenge.
The lightweight and proven stamina are positives, but the lack of heavy track form introduces some uncertainty. Recent form has been declining, but the drop in class could see a return to form.
The inside barrier is advantageous in these conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | In A Pickle | 1 | Rihaan Goyaram | R R Manning | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Middle Khan | 5 | M J Sanson | R Gavin | 54.5kg | $6.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Lord Goliath | 8 | T C Moodley | Danny Walker & Arron Tata | 58kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Hootie Johnson | 4 | Ashlee Strawbridge | R S Manning | 51.5kg | $8.90 |
| 5th | 10 | Opera Belle | 6 | Courtney Barnes | Ms K A Hoskin | 54kg | $17.70 |
| 6th | 3 | Pointer | 12 | L H Satherley | D B Hollinshead | 57kg | $5.10 |
| 7th | 4 | Deebee Bellfer | 7 | G Rooke | G K Opie | 56.5kg | $4.50 |
| 8th | 6 | Tellemalie | 10 | A Lawson-Carroll | P & J Brosnan | 55kg | $35.60 |
| 9th | 9 | Cru Classe | 9 | K R Hercock | Ms K A Hoskin | 54kg | $11.90 |
| 10th | 8 | Rodolfo | 3 | Bridget Grylls | S L Cameron | 55.5kg | $70.70 |
| Scr | 11 | Endean Ace | 11 | V A Colgan | Shelley Wright | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | High Penny | 2 | Jason Price | 54kg |
Eligius stands out as the top selection with proven heavy track form, consistent performance at this class level, and an advantageous inside barrier draw. The weight-for-age conditions suit, and while inexperienced, shows the most potential to handle today's challenging conditions.
Apollo Warrior is the third selection, benefiting from a good barrier and potential early pace. The weight-for-age conditions are favorable, but lack of race experience and unproven heavy track ability are significant unknowns.
Interlaken is selected second based on a favorable barrier draw and suitable weight. While lacking proven form, the conditions may suit if showing early speed. However, the heavy track is a significant unknown factor.
While facing challenges with a wide barrier and unproven heavy track ability, the light weight and potential for a strong late run make this an intriguing longshot if the race sets up for backmarkers.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Eligius | 1 | G Rooke | M G Forbes | 58.5kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 5 | Heavy Is The Crown | 6 | Rihaan Goyaram | C J Henderson | 56.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 7 | Fracas | 8 | E H Nicholas | C R Isdale | 57.5kg | $8.10 |
| 4th | 4 | Apollo Warrior | 2 | Bridget Grylls | D R Wiles | 58.5kg | $3.40 |
| Scr | 2 | Shamel Express | 5 | P Pertab | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Malleable | 7 | G J Old | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Interlaken | 3 | A Lawson-Carroll | S L Crawford | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Nick Time | 4 | Sam McNab | Nick Kneebone | 54.5kg |
Charmrose stands out as the top selection with her consistent form and proven ability on heavy tracks. Her weight and barrier draw are advantageous, and she has the tactical speed to settle forward. The slight class rise is offset by her strong recent performances.
Macallan is a strong second pick, benefiting from a significant class drop and proven heavy track ability. The advantageous barrier and strong overall win rate are positives, but the top weight and recent form dip are minor concerns.
Inca Belle offers solid value as the third selection. Her consistent form, track experience, and light weight are significant positives. The class drop should suit, but the wide barrier and lack of heavy track form introduce some risk.
Murch represents the best value in the race. The wide barrier and class rise are concerns, but his weight and potential for improvement offer value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Macallan | 7 | Sam McNab | L O''sullivan & A Scott | 55kg | $4.70 |
| 2nd | 8 | Ocean Road | 10 | Yuga Okubo | Ms P Wilkinson | 53.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Bell Time Potae | 4 | Jack Taplin | L A Winters | 54.5kg | $16.10 |
| 4th | 11 | Madiran | 3 | E H Nicholas | M L Rogers | 54kg | $30.60 |
| 5th | 12 | Silkdegrees | 6 | P A Stevens | 54kg | $17.30 | |
| 6th | 4 | Charmrose | 5 | V A Colgan | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 7th | 6 | Inca Belle | 11 | Hayley Hassman | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Hey Hey Baby | 9 | R R Manning | 58kg | $9.40 | |
| 9th | 3 | Bernie''s Ego | 2 | J Nishizuka | F S Neill | 55.5kg | $24.60 |
| 10th | 7 | Murch | 12 | T C Moodley | Danny Walker & Arron Tata | 56.5kg | $10.80 |
| 11th | 10 | Fleming | 8 | M Alam | Shelley Wright | 57kg | $42.90 |
| Scr | 9 | Florin | 1 | M D Wallace | 57kg |
Jaffira stands out with a strong heavy track record and consistent recent form. The gelding has won at this track and distance before, and gets weight relief here. While the wide barrier is a concern, his ability to handle heavy going should offset this disadvantage.
Ruach presents as a solid contender with consistent form and a good record at this track and distance. While not as prolific on heavy tracks as the top pick, he has shown ability in these conditions. The inside barrier draw is a significant advantage on this heavy track.
Pixie comes off a strong win on a heavy track last start, demonstrating her ability in these conditions. As a lightly raced mare, there's potential for further improvement. The weight advantage is significant, but she's stepping up in class and faces a wide barrier draw.
His last start 2nd on a heavy track shows he's in form and handles these conditions. The significant weight relief is a big plus, and he's proven over the distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Rosetown Princess | 5 | Ashlee Strawbridge | D B Hollinshead | 53.5kg | $5.10 |
| 2nd | 2 | Ruach | 2 | Sam McNab | A D Fuller | 56kg | $6.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Jaffira | 4 | Yuga Okubo | L O''sullivan & A Scott | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Eddie''s Dream | 11 | T C Moodley | M L Rogers | 53kg | $5.40 |
| 5th | 10 | Koro''s Princess | 8 | J Nishizuka | G K Opie | 51kg | $13.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Pixie | 10 | E H Nicholas | Ms S Hale | 55.5kg | $7.30 |
| 7th | 3 | Dembe | 6 | P A Stevens | 58kg | $21.00 | |
| 8th | 9 | Tarzador | 7 | J J Fawcett | Team Rogerson | 54.5kg | $7.10 |
| 9th | 12 | Te Atatu Memphis | 12 | A Lawson-Carroll | L O''sullivan & A Scott | 53kg | $20.20 |
| Scr | 5 | The Trendsetter | 9 | S B Marsh | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Clew Bay | 3 | S B Marsh | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Prudentia | 1 | Hayley Hassman | L O''sullivan & A Scott | 53.5kg |
Before the races, not after
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