Eagle Farm tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.30 · Jon Grisedale

Seymour Stars is the only runner with proven Heavy 8 form, winning at Port Macquarie on that surface. The significant class rise to Eagle Farm metro is the major query.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Damien Boche

She comes in on the back of consecutive wins including a last-start Soft 7 victory, and importantly has placed on heavy ground before. The bottom weight of 54.5kg is a real asset on a Heavy 8 surface.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Damien Thornton

His Eagle Farm last-start win and class drop from Victorian open company give him a strong form edge. The step to 2200m looks ideal after running over 2580m at Cranbourne. The wide barrier 17 is a concern but at 2200m there's time to find position. His one heavy track start yielded nothing, but his Soft 6 Flemington 2nd suggests he can handle rain-affected ground.

Our price $25.00 · SP $41.00 · Jace McMurray

Caracoron is the standout wet-tracker in this field with a perfect 2-from-2 record on heavy ground. The step to 2200m is a query with no wins at the trip, and the wide barrier and apprentice jockey are negatives.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.50 · Ryan Wiggins

If Areprice falters under the very fast tempo pressure, Swift Dragon is positioned to inherit the lead.

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.60 · Emily Lang

Barrier 4 is ideal for the 1000m start at Eagle Farm which begins on the top bend, giving inside draws a significant advantage.

Our price $7.00 · SP $17.00 · Daniel Moor

Barrier 1 is a massive advantage for the 1000m start at Eagle Farm which begins on the top bend. The concern is the 84-day break and no heavy track experience. Daniel Moor knows the horse well and has a strong Eagle Farm record. The class drop alone makes her a serious each-way contender.

Our price $15.00 · SP $51.00 · Vlad Duric

Sun Sister is the only runner in this field with a proven win on a rain-affected surface, having won on Soft 5 at Ipswich just 8 days ago. Quick backup suggests connections are confident.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.10 · Michael Rodd

So Long Farewell is a progressive 4yo who won impressively at this track and distance last start. The step from BM68 to BM78 is significant but his trajectory suggests he's capable. The class rise is the main query but his upside is considerable.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Jace McMurray

The class drop from BM85 to BM78 is a significant positive, and he has a heavy track placing to his name. His Eagle Farm record of 1-1-1 from 6 starts shows track affinity. A genuine each-way chance if the heavy track doesn't blunt his speed.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Damien Thornton

Noble Conqueror won this exact race (Eagle Farm 1600m) two weeks ago and has three wins from his last five starts, showing a horse running into peak form. The class rise from BM85 to Open is the key question, but his Eagle Farm record of 3 wins from 9 starts is the best track record in the field. The concerning factor is the Thornton-Waller combination which has 0 wins from 42 rides, and the step up to Heavy 8 from Soft 7.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Jasper Franklin

Glory Daze is the standout wet track performer in this field with a win on Heavy 9 and a second on Heavy 9 from just three heavy track starts. The 147-day spell is the main concern, but his first-up record of 1-1-0 from 6 starts and the Maher stable's ability to have horses ready fresh mitigate this.

Our price $4.00 · SP $8.00 · Daniel Moor

Break Free is the top selection based on the critical Heavy 8 surface. Her Heavy 10 win at Sunshine Coast proves she handles genuine wet ground, and her 44% career win rate signals class well above BM78 level. At 55kg from barrier 4, she ticks the two most important heavy track boxes - light weight and inside draw. The fast predicted tempo suits her midfield settling pattern perfectly.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.00 · Damien Thornton

Barrier 1 on a Heavy 8 is a significant advantage, saving ground throughout. Her second behind Savagery Vibe at Eagle Farm on Soft 6 is a strong form reference. The 0-for-10 record at 1200m is concerning, but the heavy track and inside draw may unlock a different performance pattern. Thornton's poor recent form is a negative.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Vlad Duric

All four career wins have come at 1200m making him a distance specialist. The last start 10th at BM85 can be forgiven as a class rise too far. Dropping back to BM78 with Duric aboard is a positive.

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.80 · Ryan Maloney

The major concern is the Heavy 8 surface - his only heavy track start resulted in a 10th at Doomben (Group 2 admittedly). At 1000m he's dominant but the conditions introduce significant risk. Still the most likely winner on raw ability.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Daniel Moor

Forgotten Spirit has been ultra-consistent at this level over 1000m, placing in multiple Open class races at Eagle Farm and Gold Coast. The 6kg weight advantage over Earn To Burn is significant on a heavy track. No heavy track form is a concern but her soft track record (0-1-0 from 1) is limited rather than negative.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Emily Lang

Hell has a superb 1200m record and ran a solid third behind Hatchet last start in the same Open class race. The inside barrier 2 is a significant advantage on a Heavy 8 surface, and the Gollan stable knows Eagle Farm intimately. However, like Hatchet, the heavy track is largely unproven territory (1 start, no wins). His soft track form (4-2-2) provides some confidence the wet won't be a total negative, but the class rise and limited heavy track exposure temper enthusiasm.

Our price $11.00 · SP $16.00 · Chelsea Baker

Her first-up record of 3 wins from 6 starts is outstanding, and she has placed in 3 of 6 heavy track starts showing she handles wet ground. Her Eagle Farm record is strong (4 wins from 14) including 2 wins from 3 at the track and distance. The massive class drop from Group 1 level to Open is significant. The long 140-day spell is a concern, but her first-up stats suggest she performs well fresh.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Corey Sutherland

Slippin' Jimmy is a genuine wet track performer with a win on Heavy 9 already on his record. His 3rd in BM85 at Eagle Farm on Soft 7 two weeks ago confirms current fitness, and the step to 1400m second up suits his profile as a horse who has won at 1350m. The class drop from Open company is a positive.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.50 · Damien Thornton

Rhapsody Chic is the standout value play based on his exceptional heavy track record of 3 wins from 5 starts. No other runner in this field has comparable wet track credentials at this level. His 1400m record of 3 wins from 7 starts adds distance suitability, and the drop from BM88 Sydney company provides a class edge.