Randwick tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · Jay Ford

Let's Go Again has been the most consistent performer at BM72 level this preparation with placings in three of her last four starts. The on-pace running style is perfectly suited to the track bias data showing 33% win rate for on-pace runners versus 0% for leaders.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · James Mc Donald

He's been consistent at BM72 level with a win and two thirds from his last three Canterbury starts.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Zac Lloyd

The inside barrier 4 draw suits the track bias perfectly and she's a 1100m distance specialist. The class rise to Saturday metro is the query but her recent form suggests she's ready for it.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Anna Roper

The class drop to Class 3 is significant. Barrier 1 is ideal for the 1000m chute at Randwick where inside draws are strongly favoured. Light weight of 53.5kg and proven soft track ability (1-1-0 from 2 soft starts) make her the most likely winner despite limited experience.

Our price $7.00 · SP $21.00 · Tommy Berry

Zampano is a 1000m specialist with 3 wins from 6 starts at the trip, including a Bench 66 win on Heavy 8 last start. The class drop is a positive and Tommy Berry's booking signals stable confidence despite the long spell. The concern is barrier 10 at 1000m Randwick where inside draws dominate, and the 283-day absence. His wet track credentials are strong but the wide draw tempers enthusiasm.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Sam Clipperton

Glad You Think So has genuine wet track credentials with wins on Heavy 10 and placings on Soft surfaces. The major negative is barrier 14 against the inside bias, which will require a patient ride. If the fast tempo creates a genuine staying test, he can finish over the top from the back.

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.45 · James Mc Donald

The step to 1200m and Group 2 level is a query, but the margin of victory and James McDonald booking suggest genuine talent. The very fast tempo should suit her closing style from off the pace.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.50 · Jason Collett

Ciaron's Star is the most progressive runner in the field with an improving trajectory capped by a Randwick 1100m win last start. Barrier 6 places her perfectly in the favoured middle zone, and the very fast tempo should allow her to settle midfield and finish over the top.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Tommy Berry

The very fast predicted tempo is ideal for her closing style, and Tommy Berry's 30% recent strike rate adds confidence. The barrier 3 concern is offset by her likely settling position well back.

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.80 · Rachel King

The 55-day gap is a concern at Group 2 level, but he won first-up previously and the step to this class looks warranted given the manner of his victories. Barrier 1 is not ideal given bias data but the long straight at Randwick mitigates this.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · James Mc Donald

Fireball is unbeaten in two starts and won impressively at Randwick last time in the same race several of these contested. However, his Snitzel pedigree suggests wet track competence, James McDonald is in superb form, and barrier 12 is well-placed per bias data. The step to 1200m is the key query but his class is undeniable. Likely leader in a very fast tempo is a risk given positional bias.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Nash Rawiller

Gerringong has strong 1400m Group 2 credentials with two seconds at this level. The predicted fast tempo suits her midfield-to-back running style, and she has proven soft track ability. Second-up improvement pattern is encouraging. The barrier blanket addition may help her settle better. While the inside barrier bias data is concerning, the 1400m start at Randwick provides a long run before the turn, mitigating draw disadvantage. Rawiller's poor recent form is a concern but he knows this horse.

Our price $11.00 · SP $14.00 · Tyler Schiller

The fast predicted tempo perfectly suits her closing style. She has extensive soft track experience (16 starts) and the 6-day backup shows trainer confidence. While she hasn't won at 1400m, her placings at Group level suggest she's competitive here.

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.00 · Tommy Berry

Apocalyptic brings the best black-type credentials with a G1 Flight Stakes win and G2 Tea Rose victory, both at Randwick. Her 100% place rate from 6 starts is exceptional and she's proven at 1400m at this track. Berry's strong form and the barrier draw partially offset this, making her the clear danger.

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Chad Schofield

Ceolwulf is a dual G1 winner at this exact track and distance, including a win on Soft 5 conditions identical to today. His barrier 2 draw suits the inside bias and his likely leading position aligns with the 25% leader win rate. Second up he's won twice from five attempts.

Our price $5.50 · SP $13.00 · Tyler Schiller

Willaidow won the same Group 3 race last start that several rivals contested, doing so with authority. Second-up is a strong pattern and the step to 1300m should suit his finishing style. Barrier 7 aligns perfectly with the middle barrier bias.

Our price $6.00 · SP $12.00 · Regan Bayliss

His second-up record of 3 wins from 5 is outstanding and he handles soft ground superbly. The wide barrier is the main negative but the track bias data shows middle-outside barriers performing well.

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.00 · Angela Jones

His Group 1 second at 1300m on Soft 5 at Eagle Farm proves he handles these exact conditions at the highest level. Second-up, barrier 8 in the favoured zone, and a class drop from his Group 1 efforts make him a strong value play. The jockey's lack of Randwick experience is a concern but the horse's proven ability at this level compensates.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Chad Schofield

Barrier 9 in the favoured middle zone is ideal, and the Schofield/Pride combination has a strong record.

Our price $14.00 · SP $12.00 · Braith Nock

His BM94 win on Heavy 8 and BM88 win on Soft 7 are strong form references.