Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Friday 6 March 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Dubbo. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Local Dubbo specialist with outstanding track record (3:1-1-0, including T&D win/place). Recent 2nd over course 2200m behind stronger field, then honest 5th Tamworth. Barrier 1 ideal on fair Dubbo staying track; light weight and likely forward map exploits moderate-slow tempo where backmarkers have 25% win rate.
Strong Dubbo record (4:0-1-2) includes recent neck 2nd over 2218m here in BM58. Lightest weight 54.5kg with claim a big plus in compressed scale; midfield barrier 5 suits spacious track. Recent form consistent with placings; moderate tempo favours on-pace/midfield types. Reliable place contender in volatile BM66 country staying race.
Midfield barrier 4 ideal for Dubbo staying trip with moderate tempo favouring strong finishers over leaders (0% leader win rate). Gear change positive. Clear form standout despite weight.
Lacks distance wins but places well; light weight and inside draw exploits track bias.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Dunedin | 5 | Leeshelle Small | Ms J Galea | 54.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 3 | Will To Excel | 2 | Mathew Cahill | James Ponsonby | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Final Impact | 1 | Chad Lever | M R Mulholland | 55.5kg | $2.40 |
| 4th | 7 | Testing The Cugat | 7 | Josh Richards | Doug Gorrel | 55kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 8 | Doppio | 3 | Grant Buckley | Doug Gorrel | 55kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Southerly Buster | 4 | S I Singleton | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Wolf Club | 8 | Jacob Stiff | M D Griffith | 57kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Blazing Guru | 6 | Clayton Gallagher | R Lomax | 56kg |
Second up improves fitness, barrier 3 perfect for midfield in fast tempo on fair Dubbo track.
Barrier 4 suits midfield settling in fast tempo, winkers return aids focus. Consistent country performer suits Good 4, strong place claims in volatile maiden despite win drought.
Lightly raced Claudio showed promise with recent 1100m 3rd, suited to step up in trip. Cahill booking signals intent, recent fitness edge in fast tempo suits on-pace map.
Class drop massive positive, inside draw exploits Dubbo sprint dynamics despite first up.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Claudio | 7 | Mathew Cahill | James Ponsonby | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Mr Gunna Do | 8 | Izzy Neale | Troy Mc Carney | 53.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Fortians | 4 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | R W Howe | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Zoysia | 3 | Kody Nestor | Kieren Hazelton | 59.5kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 3 | Allusive Intent | 9 | Ms A Smith | 57.5kg | $8.00 | |
| 6th | 7 | Majestic Roca | 1 | Zoe Hunt | Merv Rumble | 55kg | $3.90 |
| 7th | 8 | Megaphone Miss | 5 | Jacob Stiff | Ms S Jeffries | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Jimmy's Choice | 6 | Troy Mc Carney | 57kg | $101.00 | |
| Scr | 5 | Sunday Lemonade | 1 | Brett Robb | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Silent Drama | 2 | Gregory O'Neill | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Slayrider | 3 | Gavin Groth | 55kg |
Barrier 3 perfect for midfield run in moderate-fast tempo where closers advantaged per track bias. Strong Good 4 record.
Strong recent form: won Condobolin open last start, 3rd prior at Dubbo BM58. Barrier 1 perfect for this spacious track's 1600m where inside draws fair. Distance proven (2 wins from 6). Suits moderate-fast tempo from good gate. Solid place chance in volatile BM58.
Proven winner at Dubbo 1618m (near T/D) in Class 1, now slight class drop to BM58. Consistent recent form, good Good track record. Wide draw a query in likely moderate-fast tempo but prior low draw win here shows versatility. Solid top-3 contender.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Just On Fire | 1 | Brooke Stower | Connie Greig | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Pappiana | 10 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Dark Thinker | 7 | Ms A Smith | 55kg | $18.00 | |
| 4th | 1 | Yorkel | 9 | Izzy Neale | M E Jones | 60.5kg | $3.80 |
| 5th | 9 | Bill Peyto | 4 | Leeshelle Small | Ms J Clement | 53.5kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Beg Me | 11 | Grant Buckley | Kieren Hazelton | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Joshua | 8 | Jordan Quince | Connie Greig | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Proclivity | 12 | Kody Nestor | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 9th | 10 | Jetpack Verdi | 5 | Serg Lisnyy | Kieren Hazelton | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Saint Philomena | 3 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Dar Lunn | 58kg | $2.90 |
| Scr | 2 | Dunedin | 6 | Liam Blanch | Ms J Galea | 60kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Big Shot Legend | 2 | Clayton Gallagher | Kieren Hazelton | 55.5kg |
Lagoon stands out on pure form with 9 career placings, strong 1600m record (0-3-1), and excellent Dubbo exposure (0-1-1 from 4). Barrier 2 perfect for fast tempo where backmarkers favoured per track bias. Jockey hot at Dubbo (50% win rate). Top form pick despite no wins.
Fast tempo and closers' bias favour her late strength.
Fast tempo and closers' bias at Dubbo 1600m suit backmarker style despite wide draw. Reliable place form.
Cobocco offers value as Dubbo specialist (5 starts, recent 2nd/7th/8th including T/D win threat).
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Lagoon | 2 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Kylie Kennedy | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Muirisc | 1 | Zoe Hunt | David J Smith | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Magic Merlin | 9 | Kody Nestor | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 58.5kg | $2.35 |
| 4th | 2 | Recognition | 11 | Mathew Cahill | Andrew Ryan | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Calle | 12 | Brooke Stower | Ms J Clement | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Indie Mae | 4 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | J R Gask | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 7 | La Chaparron | 3 | Ms A Smith | 57kg | $7.50 | |
| 8th | 11 | Real Housewives | 7 | Sally Torrens | 57kg | $7.50 | |
| 9th | 5 | Cobocco | 14 | Grant Buckley | Brett Thompson | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Sellinya | 10 | Adrian Layt | Dar Lunn | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Takethemoneyandrun | 13 | Billy Cray | Gavin Groth | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Lady Dexterous | 8 | Serg Lisnyy | Kieren Hazelton | 57kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Show Us Ya Texts | 5 | Lyle Chandler | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Quirky Princess | 6 | Tilly McCarroll | S I Singleton | 54.5kg |
Light weight and inside draw (6) suit Dubbo's fair 1300m setup with fast tempo favouring midfield finishers over backmarkers. Consistent in maidens, dropping nothing in class. Best pure form in high-volatility maiden.
Strong local form at Dubbo with multiple places including recent 2nd over 1300m. Improving pattern suits second-up fitness in regular racing. Outside barrier aligns with weak track bias favouring 13+ gates (50% win rate). Fast tempo may suit if can get cover despite draw. Reliable place chance.
Perfect barrier 3 for likely leader role in fast tempo race where leaders win 33%. Mulholland/Stiff combo solid at track. Minimal exposure means upside in weak maiden field; form not penalised due to inexperience.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Be Guided | 11 | Ella Drew | Ben Blay | 55kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 10 | Miss Maverick | 6 | Izzy Neale | Connie Greig | 53.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 11 | Nightwalker | 14 | Ms A Smith | 55kg | $12.00 | |
| 4th | 1 | Narmer | 3 | Jacob Stiff | M R Mulholland | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Forwarding | 5 | Ken Dunbar | Robert Lane | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Flee With Me | 1 | Brooke Stower | Ms J Clement | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Willow Capri | 2 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Bold Bender | 10 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Connie Greig | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Strassman | 4 | Adrian Layt | Ms M Harrison | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Highland Lad | 13 | Mathew Cahill | James Ponsonby | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Gyra | 7 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Slayrider | 8 | Leanne Boyd | Gavin Groth | 53kg | $19.00 |
| 13th | 14 | Zo Frilling | 9 | Zoe Hunt | Nikki Pollock | 55kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 9 | La Bella Rosa | 12 | Fabio Martino | 55kg |
11:5-2-1 career, barrier 4 ideal for midfield in very fast tempo suiting strong finishers on spacious Dubbo sprint. Rising 4yo with class edge over older rivals.
Good track specialist suits Good 4. Wide barrier concern but spacious Dubbo allows settling midfield; fast tempo plays to finishing strength.
Solid Dubbo exposure, light weight. Fast tempo may suit if finds front vs poor leaders bias (22% win).
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Inazuma Boy | 4 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 57.5kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 2 | Chandon Star | 13 | Jacob Stiff | Ms J Clement | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 1 | How's It Kev | 9 | Ms A Smith | 62.5kg | $16.00 | |
| 4th | 9 | Rothgate | 12 | Clayton Gallagher | Brett Robb | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Press Forward | 6 | Izzy Neale | Brett Robb | 53.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Feirme Prince | 5 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Toby Pracey | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Brief Statement | 3 | Ms A Smith | 55kg | $21.00 | |
| 8th | 8 | Grins | 1 | Mathew Cahill | R Lomax | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Gidgee Guy | 2 | Grant Buckley | Kylie Kennedy | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Staffa | 8 | Adrian Layt | Holly Williams | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Power Bank | 7 | Dar Lunn | 55kg | $201.00 | |
| 12th | 12 | Medinah | 10 | Serg Lisnyy | Kylie Kennedy | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Rivkin | 11 | Nick Heywood | Lyle Chandler | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Iron Hat | 14 | Chad Lever | Ms J Bowen | 55.5kg |
Barrier 4 ideal for Dubbo 1200m back straight start. Good 4 record solid, class drop positive. Recent Muswellbrook 3rd off strong tempo shows fitness.
Midfield map ideal for very fast tempo where backmarkers struggle (0% win rate). Class rise manageable with youth (4yo).
Lightly raced with 50% win rate, barrier 2 allows perfect lead/map in fast tempo race favouring early speed. Dubbo record 3:1-0-1 strong, recent 1100m win shows sprint ability suits 1200m. Good 4 perfect.
Good 4 record elite. Second up suits, recent trial/spell sharpness. Backmarker but very fast tempo and 400m straight give closing chance despite no Dubbo exp.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Crusader Kings | 15 | Dale Cole | M E Jones | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Kranich | 4 | Chad Lever | M R Mulholland | 61kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Western Warrior | 2 | Ken Dunbar | Natalie Pearce | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Beauty Edge | 1 | Clayton Gallagher | C Lundholm | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Speedy Henry | 9 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 53.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Miracle Day | 13 | Kody Nestor | Dar Lunn | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Future Fund | 16 | Josh Richards | Maddison Collins | 61kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Wasted Days | 12 | Mathew Cahill | Brett Robb | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Nimble Star | 6 | Izzy Neale | Brett Robb | 56kg | $2.10 |
| 10th | 9 | Andale | 3 | Zoe Hunt | Merv Rumble | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Billabong Rose | 11 | Brett Thompson | 55kg | $71.00 | |
| 12th | 10 | Iknowyou | 7 | Grant Buckley | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 55kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Hammering Away | 14 | Brett Thompson | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Extreme Merger | 8 | Jacob Stiff | Ms J Clement | 53kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Always Fiorente | 5 | Liam Blanch | C Lundholm | 55kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Fantasy Crowned | 10 | Ms J Galea | 55kg |
Recent Dubbo 1000m 2nd (same race as several rivals) confirms suitability despite class rise. Very fast tempo and Dubbo sprint bias favour her midfield finish.
Youth and Cavanough preparation elevate her despite wide draw in very fast tempo. Second up suitability and Good 4 form (1:1-0-0) strong. Not quite Bolo Miss's sprint polish but clear top threat.
Denman Bandit fits BM58/Cl1 volatility with perfect barrier for midfield run in fast tempo. Second up record (career win first up) and Thompson connections strong signals. Recent Dubbo 4th was educational; youth suits class rise. Reliable place chance in upset-prone race.
Wide draw suits fast tempo for closers at Dubbo despite class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Bolo Miss | 7 | Mathew Cahill | M C Lynch | 58kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 1 | Bounding Bon | 16 | Ken Dunbar | M C Lynch | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | La Potenza | 12 | Kody Nestor | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 57.5kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Denman Bandit | 6 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 5th | 14 | Zaibatsu | 13 | Brett Thompson | 55kg | $21.00 | |
| 6th | 9 | Russian Ember | 9 | Billy Cray | Ms S Jeffries | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Teepee Princess | 2 | Jacob Stiff | Brett Thompson | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Dusty Vermeer | 1 | Adrian Layt | Troy Mc Carney | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Brummagen | 10 | Brett Thompson | 58kg | $11.00 | |
| 10th | 12 | Silver Chair | 11 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Kylie Kennedy | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Kiltiki | 8 | Zoe Hunt | Merv Rumble | 56kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Denman Force | 3 | Brett Thompson | 57.5kg | ||
| 11 | Torendosetta | 4 | Clayton Gallagher | R W Howe | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Swedish Glitter | 14 | C Lundholm | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Houdini Spirit | 5 | Ms C Monaghan | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Calmundi | 15 | Serg Lisnyy | Kylie Kennedy | 55kg |
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