Clear form standout in weak maiden with 622 pattern showing consistency. Barrier 1 perfectly suits Armidale's on-speed bias and leader-dominated midweek profile. Fast tempo favors forward positioning.
New South Wales · Thursday 16 April 2026
Armidale tips and results
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Armidale. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Brian Hillier Country Boosted Mdn Hcp
Good track form and Mikayla Weir's solid combo stats (19% with trainer) provide reliable place threat in fast tempo favoring midfielders.
Value top-3 with barrier 2 suiting speed map/leaders (25% win rate). Rolls booking adds intent; fast tempo may suit if leads despite poor raw form.
- 1st1Midnight RhythmAnna Roper$1.55
- 2nd7MoonspellLuke Rolls$5.00
- 3rd6LobbyistMikayla Weir$6.50
- 4th4Exorbitant MissLeeshelle Small$7.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Midnight Rhythm | 1 | Anna Roper | M K Mason | 59.5kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 7 | Moonspell | 2 | Luke Rolls | J D Shelton | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Lobbyist | 3 | Mikayla Weir | S I Singleton | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Exorbitant Miss | 6 | Leeshelle Small | J R Gask | 53.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Burn Bobby Burn | 7 | Olivia Dalton | T G Payne | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Lite Side | 5 | Ben Looker | G A O'Brien | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Pride Of Nations | 8 | Billy Cray | Ms S Grills | 55kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Sanbina | 4 | M K Mason | 56.5kg |
Bruce Wilson Mdn Plate
Regular racing trumps first-uppers in BM58-equivalent maiden. Wide draw noted but fast tempo suits midfield map. Armidale on-speed bias manageable with fitness edge.
Prime debutant value with barrier 1 (key Armidale advantage) and 55kg. Singleton/Weir combo 19% strike rate shows stable strength. No data penalty per rules - proxy eval favours trainer/jockey/barrier/draw. Suits fast tempo from inside in on-speed track.
Barrier 5 suits midfield map on fast tempo. First-up record includes place, trainer knows prep. Experience edge over lessers despite winless record. Armidale on-speed bias helps likely forward run.
Value roughy with barrier 2 (prime inside draw per Armidale data). Local trainer Grills + Nestor (20% track) combo. Winkers off may sharpen first-up. Short home straight limits closers - inside speed key.
- 1st2Evil LoverBen Looker$4.40
- 2nd5Hillbilly HippiePeter Graham$11.00
- 3rd4Dirty DaniJeff Kehoe$2.80
- 4th9Our Astute LassMikayla Weir$3.20
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Evil Lover | 5 | Ben Looker | Sally Taylor | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 5 | Hillbilly Hippie | 7 | Peter Graham | Colt Prosser | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Dirty Dani | 9 | Jeff Kehoe | Allan Kehoe | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 9 | Our Astute Lass | 1 | Mikayla Weir | S I Singleton | 55kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 7 | Mystic Wave | 4 | Stephen Traecey | Darren L Bell | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Mishpat | 6 | Kelsey Lenton | Nick Keal | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Adelina Falls | 8 | Luke Rolls | G A O'Brien | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Astern Powers | 3 | Anna Roper | Stephanie Sixtus | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Ole Lady | 2 | Kody Nestor | Ms S Grills | 57.5kg |
Allan Piddington Mdn Plate
Barrier 1 perfectly suits Armidale's inside bias and on-speed track, mapping prominently in fast tempo. Superior recency, local form and class hold outweigh lack of win.
Barrier 3 ideal for Armidale inside bias, midfield settling suits track despite fast tempo favouring front-runners.
Barrier 5 much better for Armidale bias, strong trainer/jockey combo (19%) and gear changes signal intent.
Under The Collar represents value overlay with perfect barrier 2 for Armidale's strong inside bias (1-4 best). Lightly raced local with improving trend, recent 7th from barrier 4 here better than appears.
- 1st11Under The CollarPeter Graham$6.50
- 2nd8Extremely PerfectKody Nestor$1.95
- 3rd6All Too SheikLeeshelle Small$10.00
- 4th9LyonMikayla Weir$8.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Under The Collar | 2 | Peter Graham | Stirling Osland | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Extremely Perfect | 1 | Kody Nestor | Jacob Perrett | 58.5kg | $1.95 |
| 3rd | 6 | All Too Sheik | 7 | Leeshelle Small | Holly Williams | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Lyon | 5 | Mikayla Weir | S I Singleton | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Aeternus Bellator | 11 | Billy Cray | Stirling Osland | 59kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Billybago | 9 | Luke Rolls | Colt Prosser | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Etoiles | 8 | Cassey Williams | Ms T Bell | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Claw Machine | 3 | Ben Looker | Beau Gorman | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Northfire | 4 | Juliet Partridge | Melissa Dennett | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Foxwedge Arrow | 10 | L J Fairhall | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Northern Eagle | 6 | Jacob Perrett | 59kg |
Rod Watt (Bm66)
Barrier 8 workable, fast tempo suits likely forward run.
Progressive mare with 31224 form, recent 2nds at Muswellbrook/Tamworth behind stronger fields. Rolls booking positive (25% combo). Class rise concern but recent fitness/form edges beaten rivals. Strong place claims.
Pre-spell form solid (win at Canberra, 2nd Nowra). Barrier 5 perfect for midfield run in fast tempo on on-speed track. Solid eachway.
Recent Armidale 1300m 3rd behind Concoction, second-up improver. 55kg ideal, proven good tracks. Class rise but map/position trumps in country BM66.
- 1st2Sensational RewardGabrielle Johnston$14.00
- 2nd7Rethink ItMikayla Weir$16.00
- 3rd6Little ProphetPeter Graham$26.00
- 4th5GelseyLuke Rolls$4.40
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Sensational Reward | 7 | Gabrielle Johnston | T G Payne | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Rethink It | 3 | Mikayla Weir | T J Vidler | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Little Prophet | 1 | Peter Graham | Colt Prosser | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Gelsey | 4 | Luke Rolls | Tim McIntosh | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 8 | Zougo Boss | 2 | Anna Roper | D J Hatch | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Concoction | 8 | Ben Looker | Stirling Osland | 62kg | $1.85 |
| 7th | 4 | To Be Frank | 6 | Kody Nestor | Ms S Grills | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 3 | Supairo | 5 | Olivia Dalton | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg |
Joe Barbato (Bm58)
Dipierdomenico's local form shines with 2 track wins from 5 starts including T&D success, barrier 3 exploits Armidale's inside bias crucial for on-speed track. Dropping class helps despite recent ordinary finishes; fitness from recent runs suits midweek country volatility. Solid place chance in leaders-favoured setup.
Lacks Armidale exposure but recent fitness and speed map to midfield/on-pace fits track bias. Solid but vulnerable to proven locals; not top form pick due to unknowns.
Rock The Machine tops form assessment with proven Armidale success including T&D win, two recent victories showing fitness at suitable trips, barrier 4 perfect for track's inside bias and on-speed dominance.
Poor recent form and gear changes risk but track suits on-speed types; overlay if improves with tweaks in volatile BM58.
- 1st1Disco PrinceGrady Spokes$4.20
- 2nd7LibbyLuke Rolls$12.00
- 3rd8My PepperjackOlivia Dalton$21.00
- 4th6BonfidelityMikayla Weir$5.50
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Disco Prince | 5 | Grady Spokes | D J Hatch | 61.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 7 | Libby | 11 | Luke Rolls | Ridge Wilson | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | My Pepperjack | 2 | Olivia Dalton | Sally Taylor | 53kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Bonfidelity | 8 | Mikayla Weir | P J Cunningham | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Charlie Bali | 7 | Cassey Williams | Ms T Bell | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 3 | Dipierdomenico | 3 | Leeshelle Small | R J Knight | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 10 | Notabadone | 6 | Anna Roper | Ms T Bell | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 9 | Got An Inspiration | 1 | Peter Graham | Joanna Methven | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Brand New Moon | 10 | Billy Cray | Melanie O'Gorman | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Attack Force | 9 | Kelsey Lenton | Nick Keal | 60kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Rock The Machine | 4 | Kody Nestor | Cathy Chapman | 60kg |
Greg Mitchell Hcp (C1)
Midfield barrier suits Armidale on-speed bias and fast tempo. Dropping class enhances chances despite low strike rate. Best pure form in field.
Local track specialist with ideal barrier 3 to exploit Armidale's inside/on-speed bias. Strong distance history and multiple Armidale placings make her prime midfield threat. Fast tempo suits.
Barrier 7 exploits track's middle bias, second up fitness suits. Recent BM58 flop concerning but prior maiden win dominant. On-speed map potential in fast tempo.
Barrier 9 hurts but fast tempo could suit late charge.
- 1st9Think BackMikayla Weir$3.50
- 2nd4MeddlesomeBen Looker$2.60
- 3rd3RopewalkerGrace Palmer$13.00
- 4th10It's A WrittenAnna Roper$8.50
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Think Back | 9 | Mikayla Weir | S I Singleton | 55kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Meddlesome | 6 | Ben Looker | C K Martin | 55.5kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Ropewalker | 7 | Grace Palmer | Troy O'Neile | 53kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 10 | It's A Written | 3 | Anna Roper | C R Clegg | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Rugby | 8 | Kelsey Lenton | Nick Keal | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 5 | More Cash | 5 | Luke Rolls | Ridge Wilson | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Cascan | 4 | Deon Le Roux | C R Clegg | 52kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Our Boy Tom | 11 | Kody Nestor | Ms S Grills | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Alarthill | 1 | Leeshelle Small | Ms J Bowen | 53.5kg | $19.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Thundering Falcon | 2 | Cassey Williams | R J Knight | 53.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Casino Collection | 10 | Jon Grisedale | Donna Grisedale | 55kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Graceful Warrior | 11 | A Parramore | 55kg |
Wayne McFayden Country Boosted (Bm58)
Snatchreilly tops form assessment for BM58 country sprint. Prime barrier 3 on on-speed Armidale track (inside 1-4 favoured), strong local record 3:0-2-1 at track/distance. Recent 3rd at Tamworth from wide draw shows fitness; likely leader per speed map in very fast tempo. Good 4 record solid. Best win chance.
Barrier 4 perfect for Armidale's inside bias and on-speed pattern. Solid track history 6:1-0-1, T/D 4:1-0-1. Light 52kg suits; forward map possible despite backmarker tag. Recent fitness trumps older form in volatile BM58.
Lord Of The Sun reliable third with excellent Armidale affinity 5:1-2-0, T/D 4:1-2-0 including recent 2nd here. Barrier 7 viable (5-8 ok), midfield map suits fast tempo. Consistent placer in BM58 company; track bias elevates over pure recent form.
Barrier 5 for midfield on on-speed track; Good 4 record 11:2-2-2. Light weight; fast tempo may suit closing strength despite no 1100m form. Upset potential in volatile midweek BM58.
- 1st5Lord Of The SunKody Nestor$9.00
- 2nd3DusanOlivia Dalton$9.50
- 3rd11Northern BoogieDeon Le Roux$4.60
- 4th10Sharpen The KnivesCassey Williams$11.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Lord Of The Sun | 7 | Kody Nestor | Ms S Grills | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Dusan | 2 | Olivia Dalton | Samantha McGuren | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Northern Boogie | 4 | Deon Le Roux | Philip Duffy | 52kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 10 | Sharpen The Knives | 10 | Cassey Williams | Ms T Bell | 53kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Soobooco | 9 | Gabrielle Johnston | T G Payne | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Snatchreilly | 3 | Grady Spokes | D J Hatch | 60kg | $4.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Withstand | 8 | Leeshelle Small | Ms J Bowen | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Skates On | 6 | Luke Rolls | Colt Prosser | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Provencal | 5 | Mikayla Weir | J R Gask | 56kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Evocator | 1 | Scott Sweedman | Danni Schreck | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Diamondsaremio | 10 | Sally Taylor | 58kg |
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