Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Thursday 16 April 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Echuca. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Snobbery tops form assessment with consistent placings including recent staying second at Kilmore (2007m) and Stony Creek (2100m). Barrier 4 ideal for Echuca's fair track, suits moderate-fast tempo favouring midfielders. Jett Stanley retains ride for strong combo. Best pure form horse.
Good 4 record reliable on today's surface. Progressive 3yo with fitness edge over longer first-uppers. Solid each-way chance in volatile Maiden.
Te Taniwha progressive with 3rd at this exact track/distance (Echuca 2124m) 26 days ago. Barrier 3 enhances chances in likely leaders speed map. Matthew Cumani stable adds class edge in country Maiden. Improving trajectory outweighs raw experience.
Draw overrides recent poor finishes in Maiden.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Without Fail | 9 | Mitchell Aitken | D J McCarthy | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Kazungula | 6 | Fred W Kersley | Jarrod Robinson | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 13 | Te Taniwha | 3 | Eoin Walsh | Matthew Cumani | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Sasterion | 1 | Lachlan King | T Fitzsimmons | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Snobbery | 4 | Jett Stanley | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $2.70 |
| 6th | 1 | Exceed And Believe | 8 | Logan McNeil | Carly Thomas | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Shaw Can Fly | 2 | Harry Coffey | D T O'Brien | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 8th | 4 | Rockin' Dee Fox | 12 | Sheridan Clarke | Jim Cerchi Jnr | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Fintona's Soul | 11 | Craig Newitt | K & K Keys | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Mega Needs | 7 | Brad Rawiller | R K Challis | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Carosoul | 10 | Luke Nolen | K & K Keys | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Pitman | 5 | Liam Riordan | P Kearney | 59kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Tulchan | 13 | Cian Macredmond | Annie Alexander | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Wizardess | 9 | Jamie Edwards | 57.5kg |
Jett Stanley (29% track strike) booked as positive intent. No form to analyse but stable/jockey combo and draw outweigh unknowns in debutant maiden.
McEvoy/Coffey team reliable, blinkers added for focus. Wide draw tests in backmarker map but class edge over pure debutants.
Debutant with prime barrier 2 in balanced track (neutral bias). Gear changes signal preparation; inside draw exploits low leaders win rate (11%) by settling handy. Lacks form but proxy strengths (draw, gear) suit maiden volatility.
Moody stable debut with premium jockey Luke Nolen (20% recent, 13% with trainer). Blinkers/lugging bit indicate sharp trial prep.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Mull Of Kintyre | 9 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Running Rich | 11 | Craig Newitt | Jarrod Robinson | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Purgatorio | 1 | Jett Stanley | A & S Freedman | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 6 | Pinazaki | 7 | Fred W Kersley | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Queen Of The Top | 3 | Cian Macredmond | Henry Dwyer | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Fontein Jewel | 12 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Queen Clarion | 6 | Mitchell Aitken | Anthony Chibnall | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Fortheloveofgrace | 13 | Alana Kelly | Patrick Payne | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Bordeaux | 10 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 10 | Flash Inquiry | 8 | Sarah Field | Taige Weir | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Famous Rosy | 2 | Liam Riordan | P Kearney | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 12th | 2 | Boutin | 5 | Brad Rawiller | C I Brown | 58kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Tandarra | 4 | Eoin Walsh | R G Symons | 58kg |
Recent close 3rd at 1400m Geelong shows distance aptitude. Elite connections with Harry Coffey outweigh wide draw.
Good track record (3:0-1-0) suits Good 4 conditions. Neutral barrier and forward map suit Echuca's fair layout. Strong placegetter likely to be prominent in moderate-fast tempo.
Recent fitness confirmed, blinkers may sharpen. Reliable place chance.
Likely leader suits track's 33% leader win rate and moderate-fast tempo. Gear change (blinkers on) and Newitt booking signal intent. Overlaid vs assessed chance in upset-prone country maiden.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Muthabara | 8 | Cian Macredmond | Richard Cully | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Gracconi | 2 | Liam Riordan | M W Walker | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Silky Seth | 10 | Harry Coffey | D T O'Brien | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 7 | The Mailer | 1 | Fred W Kersley | Paul Cumming | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 5th | 9 | Mukatila | 4 | Jett Stanley | Ben Brisbourne | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Iron Stupa | 3 | Craig Newitt | P Kearney | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Trickemezi | 5 | Milos Bunjevac | Ben Brisbourne | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 3 | John In English | 7 | Mitchell Aitken | Renee Pola | 58kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Soldier Boi | 9 | Lucinda Boyd | Lucinda Boyd | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Tisseyre | 6 | Luke Nolen | K & K Keys | 56kg |
Moody stable and Nolen booking signal intent. Barrier 4 ideal for fast tempo; lacks 1300m test but class edge clear in weak maiden field.
Barrier 1 perfect for Echuca's moderate inside bias and fast tempo favouring leaders. Only horse with 1300m form (close 3rd heavy Wangaratta); first up record 1:0-0-1 suits.
Fitness peak at 12 days suits Thursday country maiden. Wide draw and backmarker style risk in fast tempo but improving trajectory and light weight provide threat.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Chloe First | 4 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 11 | Lei | 6 | Harry Coffey | Dominic Sutton | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | More Give It | 3 | Brad Rawiller | Heath Chalmers | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Palladium | 1 | Lachlan King | J E & C Ledger | 59kg | $2.70 |
| 5th | 8 | Princess Prussia | 9 | Milos Bunjevac | Craig Weeding | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Fiore Darancio | 2 | Liam Riordan | Ben Brisbourne | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Deadly Devil | 11 | Brittany Button | Olivia Osborne | 56kg | $201.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Covered In Cash | 7 | Craig Newitt | Carly Thomas | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Prince Sevres | 10 | Bradley Vale | Shilleagh Meyervale | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Buster The Dog | 8 | Mitchell Aitken | S G Noble | 59kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Tallingas Gray | 5 | Cory Parish | S S Cunningham | 59kg |
Boulder Jack stands out on pure form with excellent Echuca record (9 starts, 1 win 2 places) including recent 2nd over similar trip. Fast tempo suits midfield map. Recent fitness edge over first-uppers.
Recent placings in BM56 company, good track record (3:1-0-1), Luke Nolen booking upgrade. Fast tempo at Echuca fair track suits. Solid place claims.
Good distance record (8:2-1-2), proven good tracks (28:5-7-4), big class drop. Fast tempo may suit forward run.
Second up stats okay, class drop helps, good on Good4 (11:0-5-2). Wide draw risk in fast tempo but Newitt can position.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Our Lone Star | 6 | Brad Rawiller | Sean Mott | 63.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Cash Converter | 10 | Craig Newitt | Carly Thomas | 61.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Fire Wheel | 3 | Olivia East | Nick Ryan | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Wallaby Jack | 5 | Milos Bunjevac | J E & C Ledger | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Ancho | 4 | Brittany Button | G W Egan | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Pharoah's Glory | 11 | Liam Riordan | P Kearney | 61kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 8 | Shezasmokey | 8 | Luke Nolen | Patrick Payne | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 7 | The Cuban | 1 | Sarah McDonough | D J McCarthy | 58kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Barn Zee | 12 | Logan McNeil | Sylvia Thompson | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Star Blazer | 2 | Jessica Booth | D J McCarthy | 60kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Boulder Jack | 9 | Dylan Dean | D E Oliver | 55.5kg | $4.60 |
| 12th | 11 | Altai Ranger | 7 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 56kg | $151.00 |
Baganov tops form assessment with barrier 1 perfectly suiting Echuca's moderate inside bias and leader advantage (33% win rate). Won here on Good 4 previously (1:1-0-0), outclassing most rivals from maiden/BM62. Fast tempo favours forward runners like this likely leader despite recent decline.
Recent form 122 with strong finishes shows fitness; midfield map ideal for fast tempo where backmarkers struggle (0% win rate).
Light weight and proven jockey combo (33% wins) aid in Class 1 drop; backmarker but fast tempo allows swoop on fair Echuca straight. Reliable consistent profile edges others despite map.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Sunlit Serenade | 3 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 57kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Here Comes Wozza | 8 | Craig Newitt | Ms G Johnstone | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Baganov | 1 | Craig Newitt | Nick Ryan | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Lil Orlov | 2 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 10 | Crying Cougar | 6 | Brittany Button | Olivia Osborne | 51kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Boom Boom Betty | 5 | Sheridan Clarke | Jim Cerchi Jnr | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Silver Top Ridge | 9 | Cory Parish | Sylvia Thompson | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Ravens Bay | 7 | Liam Riordan | Brett Scott | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Farakta | 4 | Luke Nolen | R D Griffiths | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Naughty Sort | 10 | Glen Thompson | 56.5kg |
Fast tempo suits midfield finishers at Echuca's fair track.
Strong recent win in higher BM66 at 2400m proves stamina for 1600m, drops class with perfect barrier 1 for forward run in fast tempo. Echuca fair track suits inside draw. Solid top-3 chance in volatile BM56.
Fast tempo and Echuca's long straight favour strong finishers.
Recent Tocumwal 1600m BM50 win, prior Echuca Rest.56 3rd shows suitability. Strong strike rates (27%), good jockey retention. Fast tempo may suit if settles midfield; Echuca's even camber helps wide draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Simply Outrageous | 7 | Olivia East | T & C McEvoy | 58kg | $1.40 |
| 2nd | 7 | Three Reel Roses | 2 | Mitchell Aitken | Henry Dwyer | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Goats On Oats | 4 | Cory Parish | Sylvia Thompson | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Sly Cascata | 11 | Milos Bunjevac | Shelley Kirkpatrick | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 2 | King Cornelius | 6 | Cassidy Hill | Ms T Davies | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Regal Visions | 9 | Brittany Button | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Lightning Flash | 1 | Alice Kennedy | Ben Brisbourne | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Mahogwise Honour | 8 | Chelsea Taylor | Glen Gascoyne | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Coomoroo Lady | 5 | Justin W Stanley | Craig Weeding | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Elvis | 10 | Logan McNeil | Daniel Williams | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Il Americana | 3 | Ms G Johnstone | 55.5kg |
Echuca specialist with 0:2:3 from 10 starts including near-miss in BM70. Good 4 record 22:4-2-3 strong. Regular racing, slight class drop. Very fast tempo suits closing style if maps midfield. Solid place chance.
Mighty Feat brings strong Echuca form (1:1:2 from 6, 1:1:1 at T/D) plus recent Berrigan BM58 win. Significant class drop to BM56 ideal for veteran. Good 4 record 42:8-6-5 excellent. Regular racing with fitness. Very fast tempo may suit if settles handy from barrier 11. Reliable place getter.
Recent Avoca win confirms fitness in regular prep. Positional bias favors backmarkers slightly but track/distance form overrides. Top win pick despite age.
First up record 3:1-0-1 with trainer's fresh stats reliable. Newitt booking signals intent. Value alternative.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Toronado Boom | 5 | Craig Newitt | Scott Cameron | 62kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 1 | With Strength | 7 | Sarah McDonough | D J McCarthy | 61kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 11 | Mr Time | 3 | Milos Bunjevac | Marcus O'Connor | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Minesite | 10 | Chelsea Taylor | J D Pearson | 60.5kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Mighty Feat | 11 | Lachlan King | S A McIntosh | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 6 | French Lolly | 13 | Brittany Button | Olivia Osborne | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Whatdoya Mean | 1 | Ryan Hurdle | Heath Chalmers | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Lacemaker | 6 | Cory Parish | Heath Chalmers | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Boudica Warrior | 12 | Sarah Field | K J Evans | 51.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Transom | 2 | Olivia East | S V Brown | 51.5kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Fox Man | 9 | Liam Riordan | Andrew Bobbin | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Raging Monkey | 4 | Dylan Dean | L E Robertson | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Son Of Zorro | 8 | Mitchell Aitken | D J McCarthy | 57.5kg |
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